Colt Keith

3B Detroit Tigers
Age 25 L/R 6'2" / 211 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.000 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202422MLBDET556.260/.310/.380137971.5
202523MLBDET468.256/.336/.4131311151.8
202624MLBDET423.258/.323/.4061061101.7
2027PROJ25MLBDET490.261/.328/.4101361121.8
2028PROJ98% MLB26MLBDET485.261/.328/.4091361121.8
2029PROJ98% MLB27MLBDET480.260/.327/.4071251111.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 5.0  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 5.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Options4
2027Ext$5M2028Ext$5M2029Ext$5M2030Arb-3$9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Whiff%88
xwOBA67
Speed66
Bat Spd61
Avg EV45
Form.250/.316/.401 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .265/.330/.419
CompsTerrence Long (age 25) · Brad Miller (age 25) · Jonathan India (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 76112vR 126
AVG/OBP/SLG.261 / .328 / .410
PA490
HR13
SB6
K%20
BB%8
BABIP308
ISO151
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+7BATRUN: +1.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -1.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +10.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.00+2.0WAR
0.01.22.52.01.81.71.51.227282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
887.0%
xAVG
660.264
POWER45
Barrel%
447.3
Avg EV
4588.8
Bat Spd
6172.6
EYE50
Chase%
9022.2%
SPEED55
Sprint
6628.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▼▼29% over 48 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%8%·8% over 48 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.152·.143 over 42 AB (60d) · proj .154
BABIP.312·.259 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .313
SLASH.250/.316/.401▼proj .265/.330/.419
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1100 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
134
966
—
wRC+
73
106
▶▶R
wOBA
276
325
▶R
ISO
048
147
▶▶R
BABIP
354
312
◀L
K%
26.9%
19.8%
▶▶R
BB%
6.7%
7.9%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$5M+2.0$16M+$11M
2028Ext$5M+1.8$13M+$9M
2029Ext$5M+1.7$12M+$8M
2030Arb-3$9M+1.5$10M+$3M
Totals $23M $51M +$31M
Options · projected decision
2030CLUB OPT$10.9M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2031CLUB OPT$10.0M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2032CLUB OPT$13.0M / $1.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2033CLUB OPT$15.0M / $1.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 7668 11111 8270 00 162250250500 88250 3611 234 0 — — — — — —
202119 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 181147 47631 30392 41 320441422863 102422 2217 390 112 — — — — — —
202220 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 216193 581439 22420 40 301372544916 244343 1910 397 110 — — — — — —
202220 INTLSalt River Rafters — 8061 21303 16160 30 3444815411.022 197400 2020 435 181 — — — — — —
202321 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 301261 7520113 35581 11 287374521895 234320 1912 387 101 — — — — — —
202321 AAErie SeaWolves — 276246 8018214 25633 21 325394585980 260386 239 423 124 — — — — — —
202422 MLBDetroit Tigers — 556516 13415413 361102 71 260310380690 120306 206 309 97 -2 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.5
202523 MLBDetroit Tigers — 468414 10622213 481022 11 256336413749 157307 2210 333 115 +8 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.8
202624 MLBDetroit Tigers — 423384 9919410 32845 60 258323406729 148305 208 325 110 +5 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 14471314 339561036 1162969 142 258322398720 140306 208 321 104 +6 +2 -0 +5 +31 4.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 7670 9111 6380 00 129197214412 86230 508 168 0 — — — — — —
202119 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 181156 45531 21542 41 288380378758 90413 3012 333 112 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 216199 511328 16560 40 256312462774 206311 267 331 110 — — — — — —
202321 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 301272 6715111 24701 11 246310430740 184279 238 317 101 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 276254 7317210 17813 21 287339488828 201371 296 351 124 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 556518 13615414 341102 71 263310388699 125306 206 311 97 -2 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.5
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 468415 10923214 471022 11 263341429769 166307 2210 337 115 +8 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.8
202624 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 423384 10019410 32845 60 260325409734 148305 208 330 110 +5 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.7
202119 A MLE2 teams — 257226 52632 27922 41 230318310627 80373 3611 284 78 — — — — — —
202119 A RAW2 teams — 257215 58742 38662 41 270384367752 98376 2615 344 78 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 296271 6917311 21760 70 255308461769 207309 267 331 110 — — — — — —
202220 A+ RAW2 teams — 296254 7917312 38580 70 311401543944 232356 2013 408 110 — — — — — —
202321 AAA MLE2 teams — 577526 13831221 411514 32 262320449769 186325 267 333 112 — — — — — —
202321 AAA RAW2 teams — 577507 15538327 601214 32 306384552936 247351 2110 404 112 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 556518 13615414 341102 71 263310388699 125308 206 311 97 -2 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.5
202422 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 556516 13415413 361102 71 260310380690 120306 206 309 97 -2 +1 +2 +2 +12 1.5
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 468415 10923214 471022 11 263341429769 166314 2210 337 115 +8 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.8
202523 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 468414 10622213 481022 11 256336413749 157307 2210 333 115 +8 -0 -2 +2 +10 1.8
202624 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 423384 10019410 32845 60 260325409734 148308 208 330 110 +5 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.7
202624 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 423384 9919410 32845 60 258323406729 148305 208 325 110 +5 +1 -0 +2 +9 1.7
202119 A MLE2 teams — 257226 52632 27922 41 230318310627 80359 3611 284 78 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 296273 6917311 21760 70 253308458766 205311 267 331 110 — — — — — —
202321 AAA MLE2 teams — 577527 13831221 411514 32 262320448768 186323 267 333 112 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 556515 13615414 341102 71 264310390701 126306 206 311 97 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 468416 10923214 471022 11 262341428768 166307 2210 337 115 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 423383 10019410 32845 60 261325410735 149305 208 330 110 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 556515 13615414 341102 71 264310390701 126306 206 311 97 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 468416 10923214 471022 11 262341428768 166307 2210 337 115 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 423383 10019410 32845 60 261325410735 149305 208 330 110 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEDET 100% 490443 11821413 401004 61 266332419752 154313 208 333 112 +7 +1 -2 +2 +11 2.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXDET 100% 490443 11620413 401004 61 261328410738 149308 208 328 112 +7 +1 -2 +2 +11 1.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEDET 98% 495447 11921413 411014 61 265332419751 154313 208 333 112 +7 +1 -2 +2 +11 1.9
202927 MLB MLEDET 98% 490442 11821413 411014 51 264331416748 152312 218 332 111 +6 +1 -2 +2 +11 1.8
203028 MLB MLEDET 98% 482435 11420313 401004 41 262329412741 149312 218 329 109 +5 +0 -3 +2 +10 1.5
203129 MLB MLEDET 98% 470425 11019312 39993 21 260326405731 145310 218 325 106 +3 +0 -3 +2 +10 1.2
203230 MLB MLEDET 98% 458415 10618311 37983 11 256323397719 140308 218 320 103 +2 -0 -4 +2 +10 0.9
203331 MLB MLEDET 98% 443401 10117310 36973 10 252317386703 134304 228 314 98 -1 +0 -5 +2 +10 0.6
203432 MLB MLEDET 98% 424385 941629 34942 00 246310372682 126300 228 305 93 -4 +0 -5 +2 +9 0.2
203533 MLB MLEDET 98% 394358 851428 31902 00 238302355657 117293 238 295 86 -7 +0 -6 +1 +9 -0.3
202826 MLB CTXDET 98% 485438 11520413 40994 61 261328409737 148308 208 328 112 +7 +1 -2 +2 +11 1.8
202927 MLB CTXDET 98% 480433 11220312 40994 51 260327407734 147307 218 326 111 +6 +1 -2 +2 +10 1.7
203028 MLB CTXDET 98% 472427 10919312 39983 41 258325402727 144306 218 323 109 +5 +0 -2 +2 +10 1.5
203129 MLB CTXDET 98% 461417 10518311 38973 21 255322396718 140305 218 320 106 +3 +0 -3 +2 +10 1.2
203230 MLB CTXDET 98% 449406 10318311 37963 11 252318388706 136303 218 315 103 +2 -0 -4 +2 +10 0.9
203331 MLB CTXDET 98% 434393 9817310 35953 10 247313377690 130300 228 308 98 -1 +0 -4 +2 +9 0.6
203432 MLB CTXDET 98% 416378 911529 33932 00 241306364670 122295 228 300 93 -4 +0 -5 +1 +9 0.2
203533 MLB CTXDET 98% 386351 811327 30882 00 234298347645 113289 238 290 86 -7 +0 -6 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 50304557 115319633121 408106133 337 253319390709 137304 218 317 104 +18 +4 -29 +18 +109 12.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 14925416 531374 41 253319390709 138303 218 317 104 +2 +0 -4 +2 +14 1.6
Career— MLE — 67236091 156927846174 541149544 5311 258323404727 146313 228 322 104 +25 +5 -31 +20 +121 14.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 15227417 521454 51 258322404727 146313 228 322 104 +3 +1 -4 +2 +14 1.7