Ed Howard — OGILVIE

Ed HowardSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .252 / .288

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%6

BABIP282

ISO89

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	302	68	9	3	4	18	98	4	7	2	225	278	315	592	89	318	30	6	268	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	93	82	20	1	1	1	9	19	1	3	0	244	326	317	643	73	302	20	10	294	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	188	176	35	2	0	2	8	58	2	4	1	199	242	244	486	45	280	31	4	223	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	44	42	7	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	1	167	205	190	395	24	212	20	5	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	41	36	5	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	139	205	167	372	28	200	27	5	172	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	395	364	85	18	2	2	26	111	3	8	1	234	290	310	601	77	328	28	7	273	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	56	48	5	1	0	0	7	27	0	2	1	104	218	125	343	21	238	48	12	175	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	65	54	12	2	0	0	10	19	1	4	0	222	354	259	613	37	343	29	15	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	33	32	4	1	0	0	1	15	0	0	0	125	152	156	308	31	235	45	3	142	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	116	105	19	4	0	2	9	43	0	2	0	181	246	276	522	95	274	37	8	236	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	307	54	7	2	3	13	139	4	7	2	176	219	241	460	65	305	43	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	93	84	19	1	1	1	7	24	1	3	0	226	293	298	591	71	295	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	188	179	29	1	0	1	5	76	2	4	1	162	194	184	378	22	269	40	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	41	36	5	1	0	0	2	13	1	0	0	139	205	167	372	28	193	32	5	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	395	372	74	14	2	2	18	140	3	8	1	199	242	263	505	65	305	35	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	56	50	4	1	0	0	5	33	0	2	1	80	164	100	264	20	230	59	9	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	33	32	3	1	0	0	1	18	0	0	0	94	121	125	246	31	223	55	3	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	116	108	15	3	0	1	6	52	0	2	0	139	184	194	379	56	240	45	5	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	307	54	7	2	3	13	139	4	7	2	176	219	241	460	65	307	43	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	302	68	9	3	4	18	98	4	7	2	225	278	315	592	89	318	30	6	268	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	93	84	19	1	1	1	7	24	1	3	0	226	293	298	591	71	300	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	93	82	20	1	1	1	9	19	1	3	0	244	326	317	643	73	302	20	10	294	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	232	221	37	2	0	2	7	94	2	4	2	167	200	204	404	36	276	41	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	232	218	42	3	0	2	10	67	2	4	2	193	235	234	469	41	265	29	4	215	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	436	408	79	15	2	2	20	153	4	8	1	194	238	255	493	61	302	35	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	436	400	90	19	2	2	28	122	4	8	1	225	282	297	580	72	317	28	6	264	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	121	108	9	2	0	0	11	72	1	6	1	83	175	102	277	19	250	60	9	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	121	102	17	3	0	0	17	46	1	6	1	167	292	196	488	29	304	38	14	241	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	149	140	18	4	0	1	7	70	0	2	0	129	170	179	349	50	239	47	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	149	137	23	5	0	2	10	58	0	2	0	168	224	248	473	80	266	39	7	215	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	306	54	7	2	3	13	139	4	7	2	176	219	242	461	65	305	43	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	93	85	19	1	1	1	7	24	1	3	0	224	293	294	588	71	295	26	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	232	221	37	2	0	2	7	94	2	4	2	167	200	204	404	36	269	41	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	436	409	79	15	2	2	20	153	4	8	1	193	238	254	493	61	294	35	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	121	108	9	2	0	0	11	72	1	6	1	83	175	102	277	19	230	60	9	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	149	141	18	4	0	1	7	70	0	2	0	128	170	177	347	50	236	47	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	436	409	79	15	2	2	20	153	4	8	1	193	238	254	493	61	294	35	5	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	121	108	9	2	0	0	11	72	1	6	1	83	175	102	277	19	230	60	9	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	149	141	18	4	0	1	7	70	0	2	0	128	170	177	347	50	236	47	5	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	200	184	36	7	1	3	13	65	1	3	1	193	250	286	536	93	279	32	6	243	51	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	195	252	288	540	93	282	33	0	245	51	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CHC	31%	292	269	53	11	1	5	19	94	2	5	1	198	256	303	559	105	280	32	7	252	57	-15	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	CHC	31%	91	84	16	3	0	2	6	29	1	1	0	199	257	304	562	105	283	32	7	254	57	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	91	84	16	3	0	2	6	29	1	1	0	190	253	298	550	107	264	32	7	254	28	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	114	21	0	14	43	207	7	7	0	190	252	295	547	105	264	32	7	254	28	-33	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	1821	1695	299	48	7	16	95	702	15	38	8	176	227	241	468	65	287	39	5	210	28	-25	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	106	17	2	6	34	251	5	14	3	175	225	240	465	64	284	39	5	210	28	-35	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ed Howard (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	191/248/283	92	279	2	3	33%	6%	51	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Max Burt 2022 · AAA	25	41→35	42→45	49→55	37	205/252/307	102	288	10	9	32%	5%	57	-1.8	192/247/306	114	275	13	21	34%	6%	55	-1.9	169/229/255	86	251	9	26	34%	5%	35	-1.6
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Lucas Dunn 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	40	50	44	191/274/286	94	288	8	13	34%	9%	61	-1.5	191/261/280	89	295	8	11	35%	8%	55	-2.0	147/217/217	70	238	6	10	38%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	282	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	200/253/299	99	308	9	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	206/258/303	97	296	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2022 · AA	25	40→30	40→45	49→60	38	193/260/279	86	281	7	12	32%	5%	55	-2.0	179/254/280	101	276	9	16	36%	8%	53	-2.1	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	41→38	40	48→50	40	193/269/287	94	312	8	10	38%	8%	59	-1.6	199/282/297	98	293	8	13	32%	9%	67	-1.1	177/274/267	90	254	6	16	30%	11%	55	-1.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	37	40→45	45→50	44	180/271/269	89	284	8	7	36%	9%	57	-1.8	194/276/296	102	294	9	11	34%	8%	64	-1.3	166/256/268	102	246	9	13	34%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	193/248/293	101	285	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	215/265/301	86	311	6	8	31%	5%	60	-1.6	217/266/289	72	312	5	8	30%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Marty Bechina 2022 · AAA	25	35→34	45	48→45	31	182/230/307	125	291	13	8	41%	4%	49	-2.4	193/265/309	116	308	12	9	39%	7%	63	-1.3	170/257/275	104	275	11	8	39%	8%	50	-1.6
✕Dennis Ortega 2022 · AAA	25	42	39→45	47→45	39	204/255/283	78	294	6	5	32%	6%	52	-2.2	214/269/309	95	322	8	10	34%	6%	63	-1.3	196/249/268	72	304	5	10	35%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	41→33	43→40	46→50	37	200/262/305	105	305	11	11	36%	6%	61	-1.5	208/281/292	84	329	6	15	36%	8%	65	-1.2	205/287/273	68	334	4	17	36%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Eric Yang 2023 · AAA	25	39	39→40	47→40	44	188/270/273	85	279	6	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	199/274/274	75	301	5	6	33%	8%	59	-1.7	179/263/233	55	281	4	1	35%	9%	43	-0.6