Ed HowardSS
Knoxville Smokies
Age 24
R/R
6'1" / 185 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†18
AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .225 / .240
PA171
HR2
K%38
BB%6
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
30→30
SPD
48→48
EYE
40→40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-10M | $-30M | -$21M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$21M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$21M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 326 | 308 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 136 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .172 | .213 | .237 | .450 | .065 | .294 | 42 | 4 | .201 | 12 | -32 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -1.9 |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 93 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .226 | .293 | .298 | .591 | .071 | .300 | 26 | 8 | .250 | 50 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | 2 teams | 232 | 221 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 94 | 2 | 4 | 2 | .167 | .200 | .204 | .404 | .036 | .276 | 41 | 3 | .173 | -9 | -29 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +7 | -2.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 436 | 408 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 153 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .191 | .236 | .252 | .489 | .061 | .298 | 35 | 5 | .212 | 21 | -39 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | -2.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | 2 teams | 121 | 109 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 76 | 1 | 6 | 1 | .073 | .158 | .092 | .250 | .018 | .242 | 63 | 8 | .120 | -50 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .217 | .190 | .408 | .048 | .273 | 43 | 9 | .167 | -14 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 148 | 138 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 56 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .167 | .218 | .217 | .435 | .051 | .279 | 38 | 5 | .215 | 23 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.7 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | CHC | 171 | 159 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 66 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .164 | .218 | .214 | .431 | .050 | .269 | 39 | 6 | .209 | 18 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | CHC | 294 | 272 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 107 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .184 | .240 | .268 | .508 | .085 | .282 | 36 | 6 | .232 | 36 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | CHC | 357 | 328 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 126 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .189 | .249 | .284 | .532 | .095 | .284 | 35 | 6 | .243 | 44 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -0.8 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | CHC | 380 | 349 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 132 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .189 | .249 | .281 | .530 | .092 | .285 | 35 | 7 | .247 | 47 | -23 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | CHC | 394 | 361 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 137 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .191 | .253 | .288 | .541 | .097 | .285 | 35 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -23 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | CHC | 393 | 360 | 69 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 138 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .192 | .254 | .289 | .543 | .097 | .284 | 35 | 7 | .246 | 46 | -24 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | CHC | 392 | 359 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 139 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .187 | .249 | .276 | .525 | .089 | .282 | 35 | 7 | .242 | 44 | -25 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | -1.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | CHC | 380 | 348 | 64 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 136 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .184 | .247 | .273 | .520 | .089 | .281 | 36 | 7 | .239 | 41 | -25 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | -1.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 362 | 331 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 131 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .184 | .248 | .269 | .517 | .085 | .279 | 36 | 7 | .234 | 37 | -26 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -1.5 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 333 | 305 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 123 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .177 | .239 | .252 | .492 | .075 | .277 | 37 | 7 | .229 | 33 | -25 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -1.6 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 290 | 266 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 110 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .173 | .236 | .244 | .480 | .071 | .276 | 38 | 7 | .223 | 29 | -23 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4931 | 4547 | 826 | 138 | 15 | 63 | 305 | 1818 | 40 | 76 | 13 | .182 | .239 | .260 | .500 | .079 | .284 | 37 | 6 | .228 | 32 | -377 | +10 | -20 | +53 | +140 | -19.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 599 | 108 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 240 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .180 | .237 | .257 | .494 | .077 | .282 | 37 | 6 | .228 | 32 | -50 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | -2.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | A | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 326 | 302 | 68 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 98 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .225 | .278 | .315 | .592 | .089 | .318 | 30 | 6 | .268 | 63 | -14 | +1 | — | — | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 93 | 82 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .244 | .326 | .317 | .643 | .073 | .302 | 20 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 188 | 176 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 58 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .199 | .242 | .244 | .486 | .045 | .280 | 31 | 4 | .223 | 29 | -15 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 21 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | 44 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .205 | .190 | .395 | .024 | .212 | 20 | 5 | .184 | -1 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 41 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .139 | .205 | .167 | .372 | .028 | .200 | 27 | 5 | .172 | -10 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 395 | 364 | 85 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 111 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .234 | .290 | .310 | .601 | .077 | .328 | 28 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -15 | +1 | — | — | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 56 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .104 | .218 | .125 | .343 | .021 | .238 | 48 | 12 | .175 | -8 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | 65 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .222 | .354 | .259 | .613 | .037 | .343 | 29 | 15 | .297 | 86 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ed Howard (OGILVIE) | 24 | 20 | 30 | 48 | 40 | .173/.225/.240 | .067 | .279 | 2 | 3 | 38% | 6% | 23 | -1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA |
24 | 40 | 35→30 | 46→45 | 36 | .189/.234/.243 | .054 | .286 | 3 | 6 | 34% | 5% | 26 | -3.4 | .189/.242/.259 | .070 | .276 | 4 | 6 | 31% | 6% | 34 | -2.8 | .172/.230/.237 | .065 | .244 | 3 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 22 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA |
24 | 39→36 | 38→40 | 46→50 | 41 | .190/.267/.263 | .073 | .273 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .177/.269/.263 | .086 | .290 | 7 | 12 | 38% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .150/.256/.240 | .090 | .264 | 8 | 16 | 41% | 8% | 38 | -1.5 |
|
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA |
25 | 38 | 37→40 | 50 | 35 | .177/.235/.246 | .069 | .305 | 4 | 12 | 41% | 6% | 28 | -3.2 | .198/.252/.287 | .089 | .299 | 8 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .187/.242/.269 | .082 | .278 | 9 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 35 | -1.1 |
|
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA |
24 | 36 | 36→30 | 47→45 | 38 | .179/.226/.243 | .064 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 24 | -3.6 | .200/.254/.281 | .081 | .280 | 5 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .204/.263/.285 | .080 | .278 | 5 | 12 | 27% | 6% | 49 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA |
24 | 40 | 39→30 | 49→30 | 37 | .196/.241/.283 | .087 | .286 | 6 | 9 | 33% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .211/.256/.283 | .072 | .279 | 5 | 5 | 25% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .219/.262/.251 | .032 | .278 | 2 | 0 | 21% | 2% | 37 | -1.0 |
|
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA |
25 | 37 | 38→40 | 45→40 | 39 | .179/.256/.255 | .076 | .265 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .189/.268/.274 | .085 | .271 | 7 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .144/.247/.211 | .068 | .201 | 5 | 0 | 28% | 8% | 25 | -0.8 |
|
✕Justin Twine 2019 · AA |
23 | 42→30 | 39→40 | 48→50 | 32 | .202/.241/.290 | .087 | .299 | 7 | 10 | 34% | 3% | 41 | -2.3 | .208/.247/.294 | .086 | .309 | 6 | 11 | 33% | 4% | 45 | -2.1 | .192/.230/.271 | .079 | .306 | 5 | 14 | 37% | 3% | 29 | -1.7 |
|
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA |
24 | 34 | 40→45 | 48→40 | 36 | .174/.227/.262 | .088 | .261 | 9 | 5 | 36% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .191/.246/.304 | .113 | .285 | 13 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .209/.262/.317 | .107 | .291 | 10 | 2 | 30% | 5% | 55 | -0.4 |
|
✕Omar Renteria 2013 · AAA |
23 | 40 | 40→30 | 49→45 | 33 | .194/.232/.279 | .085 | .302 | 8 | 9 | 38% | 4% | 35 | -2.8 | .218/.257/.301 | .083 | .327 | 7 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 51 | -1.7 | .225/.271/.277 | .052 | .319 | 4 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 48 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA |
25 | 35 | 41→45 | 50→45 | 39 | .177/.239/.273 | .095 | .270 | 8 | 7 | 36% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.266/.312 | .112 | .290 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.265/.302 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 31% | 8% | 52 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA |
25 | 35→29 | 39→45 | 46→40 | 35 | .177/.223/.265 | .088 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .194/.242/.308 | .114 | .294 | 12 | 4 | 36% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .190/.238/.309 | .119 | .280 | 15 | 3 | 37% | 5% | 45 | -1.3 |
|
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA |
24 | 39 | 39→45 | 44→55 | 35 | .194/.241/.275 | .081 | .273 | 8 | 6 | 31% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .201/.251/.316 | .115 | .288 | 13 | 15 | 33% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.248/.313 | .122 | .271 | 15 | 21 | 34% | 6% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA |
24 | 39→37 | 38→40 | 42→45 | 46 | .188/.273/.266 | .078 | .268 | 6 | 8 | 30% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .174/.249/.243 | .069 | .257 | 5 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 35 | -2.8 | .148/.220/.200 | .051 | .226 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 9 | -2.7 |
|
✕Ryan Dent 2013 · AAA |
24 | 40→42 | 38→40 | 43→50 | 41 | .196/.249/.269 | .073 | .271 | 6 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .210/.263/.292 | .082 | .292 | 6 | 12 | 28% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .207/.258/.294 | .088 | .289 | 6 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 48 | -1.0 |
|
✕Ryan Scott 2019 · AA |
24 | 36 | 35→40 | 46→30 | 40 | .172/.242/.231 | .059 | .279 | 3 | 5 | 37% | 8% | 28 | -3.2 | .176/.251/.265 | .089 | .281 | 9 | 5 | 38% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .115/.203/.202 | .087 | .168 | 13 | 0 | 40% | 9% | 4 | -1.9 |
|
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA |
25 | 39 | 38→30 | 51→45 | 43 | .191/.252/.268 | .077 | .262 | 6 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .200/.263/.277 | .077 | .269 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .195/.262/.257 | .062 | .254 | 5 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 40 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A |
24 | 41→37 | 38→40 | 52→40 | 36 | .198/.246/.278 | .080 | .286 | 5 | 6 | 32% | 4% | 41 | -2.3 | .221/.263/.318 | .097 | .302 | 7 | 4 | 28% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .232/.270/.340 | .108 | .306 | 9 | 2 | 26% | 3% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA |
25 | 37 | 38→45 | 45→40 | 43 | .174/.261/.256 | .082 | .294 | 6 | 5 | 39% | 9% | 43 | -2.2 | .182/.265/.300 | .118 | .291 | 12 | 6 | 39% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .169/.256/.297 | .129 | .249 | 15 | 4 | 37% | 10% | 50 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cadyn Grenier 2021 · A |
24 | 40→37 | 41→40 | 48→50 | 38 | .191/.256/.294 | .103 | .311 | 8 | 7 | 39% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .191/.271/.289 | .098 | .300 | 8 | 12 | 36% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .176/.264/.267 | .091 | .272 | 8 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 45 | -1.5 |
|
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA |
24 | 39 | 36→30 | 40→50 | 34 | .187/.228/.244 | .057 | .288 | 4 | 5 | 36% | 4% | 24 | -3.6 | .200/.250/.265 | .065 | .286 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .192/.242/.234 | .043 | .269 | 3 | 3 | 28% | 5% | 27 | -1.1 |