Ed Howard — OGILVIE

Ed HowardSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION96 act + 75 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†6

AVG/OBP/SLG.155 / .200 / .225

PA75

HR1

K%40

BB%5

BABIP250

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	307	51	7	2	3	13	144	4	7	2	166	210	231	441	65	298	44	4	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	302	68	9	3	4	18	98	4	7	2	225	278	315	592	89	318	30	6	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	93	84	18	1	1	1	7	25	1	3	0	214	283	286	568	71	288	27	8	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	93	82	20	1	1	1	9	19	1	3	0	244	326	317	643	73	302	20	10	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	232	222	32	1	0	1	6	103	2	4	2	144	174	162	336	18	258	44	3	159	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	2 teams	—	232	218	42	3	0	2	10	67	2	4	2	193	235	234	469	41	265	29	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	436	409	74	14	2	2	19	161	4	8	1	181	225	240	464	59	290	37	4	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	436	400	90	19	2	2	28	122	4	8	1	225	282	297	580	72	317	28	6	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	2 teams	—	121	108	8	2	0	0	11	76	1	6	1	74	167	93	259	19	250	63	9	123	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	2 teams	—	121	102	17	3	0	0	17	46	1	6	1	167	292	196	488	29	304	38	14	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	CHC	—	96	89	14	3	0	2	5	45	0	1	0	157	202	258	461	101	273	47	5	196	8	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
YTD	24	AA	CHC	—	96	86	17	4	0	2	8	35	0	1	0	198	266	314	580	116	294	36	8	259	56	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	24	AA	CHC	2%	75	71	11	2	0	1	4	30	0	1	0	155	200	225	425	70	264	40	5	194	6	-8	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						265	50	0	190	4	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	CHC	—	98	91	14	3	0	2	5	46	0	1	0	154	198	253	451	99	267	47	5	196	8	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
TOT	24	AA	CHC	—	171	160	25	5	0	3	9	75	0	2	0	156	201	244	445	87	262	44	5	195	7	-18	+0	+0	+2	+5	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CHC	31%	294	274	46	9	1	3	16	113	2	4	1	168	219	241	460	73	267	38	5	212	20	-26	+0	+0	+3	+8	-1.5
2028	26	MLB	CHC	45%	357	331	58	11	1	5	21	133	2	5	1	175	229	260	489	85	270	37	6	224	30	-28	+1	+0	+4	+10	-1.4
2027	25	MLB	CHC	31%	91	85	14	3	0	1	5	35	1	1	0	165	220	235	455	71	268	38	5	208	18	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	CHC	45%	159	148	25	5	0	2	9	59	1	2	0	169	222	243	465	74	271	37	6	220	27	-13	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	252	235	39	8	0	3	14	95	2	3	0	166	219	238	457	72	261	38	6	216	23	-22	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	101	21	0	8	36	245	5	8	0	167	219	241	460	74	261	38	6	216	23	-56	+2	+0	+7	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	1934	1806	298	47	7	16	97	785	16	38	8	165	214	225	440	60	278	41	5	199	10	-196	+4	+0	+21	+55	-11.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	100	16	2	5	33	264	5	13	3	165	214	222	436	58	279	41	5	199	10	-66	+1	+0	+7	+18	-4.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	326	302	68	9	3	4	18	98	4	7	2	225	278	315	592	89	318	30	6	268	63	-14	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	93	82	20	1	1	1	9	19	1	3	0	244	326	317	643	73	302	20	10	294	83	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	188	176	35	2	0	2	8	58	2	4	1	199	242	244	486	45	280	31	4	223	29	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2023	21	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	44	42	7	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	1	167	205	190	395	24	212	20	5	184	-1	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	41	36	5	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	139	205	167	372	28	200	27	5	172	-10	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	395	364	85	18	2	2	26	111	3	8	1	234	290	310	601	77	328	28	7	273	67	-15	+1	—	—	+11	-0.2
2025	23	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	56	48	5	1	0	0	7	27	0	2	1	104	218	125	343	21	238	48	12	175	-8	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	65	54	12	2	0	0	10	19	1	4	0	222	354	259	613	37	343	29	15	297	86	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	254	3	4	173	224	257	+3	+3	-1.1	-0.6
	/162	664	9	9	173	224	257	+7.1	+7.9	-2.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ed Howard (OGILVIE)	24	20	32	48	40	156/201/244	87	262	3	2	44%	5%	7	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/238	61	263	4	7	33%	5%	20	-3.8	207/260/288	81	285	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	214/270/294	80	284	4	12	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Ryan Scott 2019 · AA	24	37	35→40	46→30	40	173/242/231	58	286	2	5	38%	8%	28	-3.2	179/254/275	96	286	10	5	38%	8%	45	-2.1	114/205/205	91	166	14	0	40%	9%	6	-1.8
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	30→40	37→30	50	35	158/197/230	71	229	5	12	33%	4%	7	-4.7	180/231/250	70	271	6	10	34%	6%	27	-3.3	165/226/206	41	257	5	9	35%	7%	11	-1.1
✕Osmy Gregorio 2022 · A	24	34→41	37→30	48→50	36	171/219/239	68	258	5	9	35%	5%	19	-3.9	201/239/274	73	290	5	13	31%	4%	36	-2.7	199/235/264	65	286	4	15	31%	4%	28	-2.0
✕Randy Gress 2009 · A	24	33	37→30	45→40	31	165/205/238	74	271	4	6	40%	4%	13	-4.3	190/236/270	80	281	7	5	33%	5%	34	-2.8	178/225/248	70	252	7	2	31%	5%	22	-1.2
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	35	172/214/248	76	253	6	4	34%	5%	20	-3.8	181/221/241	60	273	5	3	34%	4%	20	-3.8	164/200/203	38	252	3	0	35%	4%	-1	-1.7
✕Neil Walton 2008 · A	24	39→32	36→30	48→50	35	186/229/257	70	286	3	13	35%	4%	27	-3.3	207/254/285	78	293	4	9	29%	6%	46	-2.0	204/252/269	65	280	3	6	27%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	35→30	39→50	34	184/225/239	55	280	4	5	34%	4%	21	-3.7	201/252/270	69	288	5	6	30%	5%	41	-2.3	188/238/227	40	269	3	3	30%	5%	23	-1.2
✕Sal Gozzo 2022 · AAA	24	34	35→30	49→50	39	167/223/223	57	251	4	6	34%	6%	17	-4.0	182/233/260	78	306	5	9	40%	5%	31	-3.0	143/190/205	63	261	2	10	44%	4%	-6	-1.9
✕Kyle Davis 2011 · A	24	37	34→30	48→45	40	177/241/227	50	273	2	5	34%	7%	26	-3.4	181/237/248	67	304	4	8	39%	6%	29	-3.2	94/125/129	34	188	3	11	50%	3%	-53	-1.5
✕Connor Myers 2018 · A	24	34→42	35→40	49→50	30	164/204/224	61	288	3	11	43%	4%	8	-4.6	191/232/268	77	321	4	15	40%	4%	32	-3.0	187/230/264	78	325	4	20	42%	4%	28	-1.7
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	37	184/227/263	79	255	7	15	30%	5%	29	-3.2	202/240/304	102	292	9	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	190/214/293	103	271	9	9	33%	2%	27	-1.1
✕A.J. Kennedy 2018 · AA	24	27	37→30	39→40	29	146/188/210	64	238	6	4	40%	4%	-2	-5.3	160/199/254	94	282	10	5	45%	4%	15	-4.1	110/138/201	91	191	12	0	50%	3%	-28	-1.3
✕Trey Martin 2017 · AA	24	37→39	36→40	53→55	34	182/220/242	60	276	4	19	35%	4%	20	-3.8	195/237/286	91	306	8	14	37%	5%	40	-2.4	188/231/286	97	298	10	14	39%	4%	36	-1.7
✕Alex McClure 2013 · AA	24	37→35	34→30	45→50	33	178/219/227	49	274	2	13	35%	4%	15	-4.1	195/234/253	58	287	3	11	31%	4%	29	-3.2	187/219/222	34	270	0	11	30%	3%	11	-2.3
✕Santiago Chávez 2021 · AA	25	37	37→30	47→30	34	182/225/248	66	285	5	5	37%	5%	24	-3.6	175/231/252	77	275	7	5	37%	5%	28	-3.2	144/206/204	59	226	5	1	36%	5%	3	-1.6
✕Billy Cooke 2019 · A	23	33	35→30	46→50	37	158/235/210	51	276	3	12	41%	7%	20	-3.8	196/266/271	75	304	5	14	34%	6%	49	-1.8	209/280/267	58	308	0	30	29%	5%	51	-0.3
✕Warren Saunders 2023 · AAA	24	39	37→40	41→30	36	188/240/260	72	283	5	3	34%	5%	33	-2.9	192/241/277	85	290	7	6	34%	5%	38	-2.6	131/167/174	43	194	5	0	35%	4%	-22	-1.3
✕Luis Segovia 2010 · A	24	40	35→30	44→50	34	188/232/252	65	295	2	7	36%	4%	28	-3.2	195/242/278	83	313	6	8	37%	5%	40	-2.4	159/194/233	74	270	6	3	42%	2%	4	-1.2