Drew Bowser — OGILVIE

Drew Bowser3B South Bend Cubs

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 226 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION242 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.155 / .249 / .232

PA161

HR2

SB5

K%43

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	49	46	7	2	0	0	3	30	0	4	1	152	204	196	400	43	438	61	6	184	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	49	44	13	4	0	0	5	21	0	4	1	295	367	386	754	91	565	43	10	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	266	239	26	8	0	5	21	163	4	0	1	109	193	205	398	96	288	61	8	182	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	2 teams	—	266	227	41	13	1	7	33	111	4	0	1	181	295	339	635	159	306	42	12	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	340	301	49	7	2	1	32	112	5	18	4	163	254	209	464	47	253	33	9	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	340	285	58	9	2	2	48	91	5	18	4	204	328	270	599	67	289	27	14	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	CHC	—	242	213	34	8	0	4	17	113	12	10	0	160	260	254	514	94	312	47	7	226	31	-19	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
YTD	24	A+	CHC	—	242	206	44	11	0	5	24	84	12	10	0	214	331	340	670	126	333	35	10	312	97	-1	+2	+0	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	24	A+	CHC	0%	161	142	22	5	0	2	13	69	5	5	1	155	249	232	481	77	283	43	8	230	34	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	210	19	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	CHC	—	243	214	34	8	0	4	17	113	12	10	0	159	259	252	512	93	309	47	7	226	31	-19	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.9
TOT	24	A+	CHC	—	403	355	56	13	0	6	30	182	17	15	1	158	256	245	501	87	297	45	7	228	33	-31	+3	+0	+1	+11	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CHC	30%	361	319	53	11	1	5	30	145	9	9	1	166	257	254	511	88	281	40	8	240	42	-24	+1	+0	+1	+10	-1.1
2028	26	MLB	CHC	44%	401	356	62	13	1	7	33	156	9	9	1	174	261	275	537	101	282	39	8	249	49	-23	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.9
2029	27	MLB	CHC	49%	416	369	64	13	1	7	35	159	9	9	1	173	262	271	533	98	283	38	8	253	52	-23	+1	+0	+1	+12	-0.8
2030	28	MLB	CHC	52%	422	374	67	14	1	8	36	160	9	9	1	179	267	286	553	107	282	38	9	254	52	-23	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.9
2031	29	MLB	CHC	51%	418	370	65	13	1	7	36	159	9	9	1	176	265	273	538	97	281	38	9	252	51	-23	+1	-1	+1	+12	-1.0
2027	25	MLB	CHC	30%	109	96	16	3	0	2	9	44	3	3	0	167	259	260	520	94	282	40	8	224	30	-9	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	CHC	44%	177	156	28	6	1	3	15	69	4	4	1	179	269	288	557	109	283	39	8	233	37	-13	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.7
2029	27	MLB	CHC	49%	204	180	33	7	1	4	17	78	5	5	1	183	272	300	572	117	284	38	8	238	40	-14	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
2030	28	MLB	CHC	52%	217	191	35	7	1	4	19	82	5	5	1	183	274	293	568	110	283	38	9	239	41	-15	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.7
2031	29	MLB	CHC	51%	215	190	34	7	1	4	18	82	5	4	1	179	268	289	557	111	282	38	8	237	39	-15	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	923	814	146	30	4	17	78	355	22	21	4	179	269	289	558	109	289	38	8	235	38	-64	+3	-1	+3	+26	-3.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	103	21	3	12	55	250	15	15	3	180	269	290	559	110	289	38	8	235	38	-45	+2	-1	+2	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	2834	2516	415	86	7	42	239	1153	59	72	12	165	253	255	508	90	279	41	8	237	40	-192	+10	-2	+10	+80	-9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	96	20	2	10	55	264	14	17	3	166	255	260	515	94	281	41	8	237	40	-44	+2	-0	+2	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	49	44	13	4	0	0	5	21	0	4	1	295	367	386	754	91	565	43	10	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	228	191	31	9	1	4	31	95	4	0	1	162	292	283	575	120	287	42	14	270	64	-9	-0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	22	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	38	36	10	4	0	3	2	16	0	0	0	278	316	639	955	361	412	42	5	408	170	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	340	285	58	9	2	2	48	91	5	18	4	204	328	270	599	67	289	27	14	285	76	-9	+2	—	—	+10	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	925	16	21	177	262	278	+3	+1	-2.1	-1.1
	/162	664	11	15	177	262	278	+2.4	+0.7	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Bowser (OGILVIE)	24	30	25	55	60	158/256/245	87	297	6	15	45%	7%	33	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	42	183/275/240	57	297	3	13	36%	8%	46	-2.0	217/272/277	60	282	3	17	23%	6%	51	-1.7	231/276/282	51	286	2	23	19%	5%	51	-0.6
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	182/261/280	98	290	8	22	38%	7%	50	-1.8	189/265/279	90	345	8	15	44%	7%	51	-1.7	121/213/165	44	300	7	12	56%	7%	-2	-1.2
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Gift Ngoepe 2014 · AA	24	39→40	38→45	51→50	37	180/245/262	82	309	5	17	41%	7%	37	-2.6	203/256/312	109	315	10	11	36%	6%	55	-1.4	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	41	37→30	54→55	49	193/289/269	76	284	4	18	30%	10%	59	-1.1	181/267/257	76	330	6	12	43%	9%	46	-2.0	143/238/200	56	291	6	12	48%	8%	17	-2.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	39→36	39→40	51→50	37	180/246/265	85	318	6	10	43%	8%	38	-2.6	186/240/282	96	380	9	13	50%	6%	40	-2.4	117/163/189	72	288	7	20	59%	4%	-20	-1.7
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Richard Lucas 2013 · A	24	38→36	39→40	50→45	37	176/254/260	84	314	7	12	42%	8%	42	-2.3	199/253/293	94	304	9	10	35%	6%	48	-1.9	191/228/284	93	272	11	6	33%	4%	32	-1.9
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	38	-2.6	200/280/300	100	309	7	12	35%	6%	63	-0.8	168/266/287	118	282	8	12	39%	7%	54	-0.3
✕Wyatt Hoffman 2023 · A	24	38	38→30	50→55	37	175/248/252	77	308	6	15	42%	7%	37	-2.7	163/249/223	60	294	4	19	42%	8%	30	-3.1	140/232/184	44	261	3	21	43%	8%	12	-1.9