Parker Kelly — OGILVIE

Parker Kelly3B Spokane Indians

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .279 / .322

PA7

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	28	24	6	3	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	357	458	815	208	429	36	11	361	130	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	82	69	15	3	2	2	11	32	2	5	0	217	341	406	747	188	371	39	13	337	114	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	273	230	54	13	3	3	35	103	7	5	3	235	353	357	709	122	408	38	13	326	107	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.8
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	69	60	11	1	1	0	6	24	1	4	1	183	269	233	502	50	297	35	9	231	43	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	120	214	200	414	80	315	54	7	205	25	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	82	74	9	2	1	1	6	46	2	5	0	122	207	216	424	95	305	56	7	205	25	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	273	239	38	9	2	2	26	140	7	5	3	159	261	238	500	79	353	51	10	226	39	-20	-0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	69	63	9	1	1	0	3	34	1	4	1	143	194	190	385	48	254	49	4	159	-6	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.7
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	120	214	200	414	80	300	54	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	28	24	6	3	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	357	458	815	208	429	36	11	361	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	355	312	46	10	3	3	33	185	9	10	3	147	249	228	476	80	344	52	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	355	299	69	16	5	5	46	135	9	10	3	231	350	368	718	137	400	38	13	329	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	69	63	9	1	1	0	3	34	1	4	1	143	194	190	385	48	300	49	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	69	60	11	1	1	0	6	24	1	4	1	183	269	233	502	50	297	35	9	231	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	120	214	200	414	80	315	54	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	355	310	46	10	3	3	33	185	9	10	3	148	249	229	478	81	342	52	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	69	65	9	1	1	0	3	34	1	4	1	138	194	185	379	46	254	49	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	355	310	46	10	3	3	33	185	9	10	3	148	249	229	478	81	342	52	9	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	69	65	9	1	1	0	3	34	1	4	1	138	194	185	379	46	254	49	4	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	COL	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		291	29	14	274	72	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	26%	116	105	22	4	1	2	9	35	1	2	1	210	278	324	602	114	291	30	8	278	75	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	26%	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	214	267	357	624	143	307	30	7	285	75	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	214	267	357	624	143	278	30	7	285	38	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	131	22	0	22	43	195	0	22	0	216	268	361	628	145	279	30	7	285	38	-20	+4	-4	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	575	511	81	17	5	5	48	271	12	16	5	159	247	241	488	82	319	47	8	225	38	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	92	19	6	6	54	306	14	18	6	159	248	244	492	85	320	47	8	225	38	-20	+0	-4	+2	+14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Parker Kelly (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	206/279/322	116	291	1	1	31%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→42	44→45	54→50	42	193/265/307	114	268	12	15	32%	7%	63	-1.4	194/259/303	109	286	10	12	34%	7%	59	-1.6	153/220/251	99	233	9	9	37%	7%	30	-1.4
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Weston Wilson 2021 · AA	26	39→43	47→55	49→55	43	204/262/334	130	263	15	10	28%	7%	68	-1.0	212/275/360	148	284	19	18	31%	8%	78	-0.3	207/286/372	166	264	22	25	30%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	38→47	45→50	46→40	39	195/256/312	118	283	13	6	35%	6%	60	-1.6	206/271/321	115	330	11	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	166/240/282	116	284	11	0	42%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Smaily Borges 2011 · A	27	41	43→45	43→50	39	207/250/320	113	264	10	8	26%	4%	59	-1.6	206/251/310	104	282	9	7	29%	5%	57	-1.8	181/218/274	93	241	10	2	29%	3%	34	-0.8
✕Jimmy Herron 2022 · AA	26	41→45	40→45	50→55	47	201/274/294	93	268	7	15	27%	8%	63	-1.4	221/296/354	133	273	14	21	24%	8%	85	+0.2	219/295/351	133	265	15	24	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	39→43	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/334	130	266	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	216/265/341	125	294	14	8	30%	6%	70	-0.9	218/256/337	119	286	16	6	29%	4%	62	-1.0
✕Elier Hernandez 2022 · AAA	27	39→49	46→50	45→50	36	203/250/321	118	282	15	8	33%	5%	59	-1.6	232/282/373	141	305	14	10	28%	6%	84	+0.1	237/286/380	143	306	14	10	27%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→41	42→45	51→50	41	177/263/272	95	295	11	13	41%	9%	55	-2.0	208/301/333	125	331	13	13	37%	10%	82	+0.0	220/323/371	151	334	16	13	35%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Jon Mark Owings 2011 · A	26	40→43	43→50	45	36	199/244/314	115	290	10	8	34%	5%	55	-1.9	223/277/360	137	297	14	7	29%	6%	79	-0.2	221/275/373	152	283	17	4	28%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2018 · AA	26	36→38	43→55	54→50	47	182/267/294	112	258	10	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	212/274/375	163	286	18	14	31%	7%	82	-0.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	185/259/301	116	276	11	10	35%	8%	59	-1.7	192/256/293	101	310	7	9	37%	7%	55	-1.9	161/217/252	92	301	0	4	44%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Tristin English 2022 · A	25	37→47	44→50	45→40	38	191/256/298	108	276	13	9	34%	6%	57	-1.8	215/277/339	124	283	15	5	28%	6%	74	-0.5	227/282/364	137	285	16	2	26%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Nick Podkul 2022 · AA	25	39	44→50	51→50	46	195/270/310	115	258	11	11	28%	8%	65	-1.2	209/297/348	139	287	16	6	31%	9%	84	+0.2	201/298/342	142	277	17	3	32%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Denis Phipps 2011 · AA	26	41→51	43→50	47→50	39	206/249/319	113	271	10	12	28%	5%	58	-1.7	226/273/350	124	310	11	11	29%	6%	74	-0.5	226/276/347	122	309	11	11	29%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	40	201/262/324	122	289	11	16	33%	7%	65	-1.2	205/273/341	136	339	15	10	41%	8%	74	-0.6	180/259/326	147	314	17	7	45%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→47	41→45	49→50	41	200/280/298	98	296	8	11	33%	7%	66	-1.1	217/295/323	106	323	9	11	33%	7%	78	-0.3	216/300/320	103	327	10	12	34%	7%	77	-0.2