Parker Kelly — OGILVIE

Parker Kelly3B Spokane Indians

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .278 / .320

PA76

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	28	25	3	2	0	0	2	15	1	0	0	120	214	200	414	80	300	54	7	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	28	24	6	3	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	357	458	815	208	429	36	11	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	355	311	47	11	3	3	34	188	9	10	3	151	254	235	489	84	364	53	10	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	2 teams	—	355	299	69	16	5	5	46	135	9	10	3	231	350	368	718	137	400	38	13	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	69	63	9	1	1	0	3	34	1	4	1	143	194	190	385	48	300	49	4	158	-21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	69	60	11	1	1	0	6	24	1	4	1	183	269	233	502	50	297	35	9	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	COL	—	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	203	276	290	566	87	291	32	8	273	67	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	COL	26%	116	105	22	4	1	2	9	36	1	2	1	210	278	324	602	114	291	31	8	277	70	-4	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	COL	37%	198	178	37	7	1	4	16	60	2	3	1	208	281	326	606	118	290	30	8	279	72	-6	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.1
2027	28	MLB	COL	26%	30	28	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	214	267	357	624	143	313	30	7	287	78	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2028	29	MLB	COL	37%	73	66	15	3	0	2	6	22	1	1	0	227	301	364	665	136	313	30	8	289	80	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	103	94	21	4	0	3	8	31	1	2	0	223	291	362	653	138	300	30	8	289	79	-2	+0	-1	+0	+3	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	132	25	0	19	50	196	6	13	0	223	289	361	650	138	299	30	8	289	79	-15	+3	-4	+2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	842	751	132	28	6	10	70	357	15	20	6	176	260	269	529	93	314	42	8	241	43	-55	+2	-2	+3	+24	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	103	22	5	8	54	276	12	15	5	178	262	274	536	97	318	42	8	241	43	-42	+1	-2	+2	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	23	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	28	24	6	3	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	357	458	815	208	429	36	11	361	134	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	82	69	15	3	2	2	11	32	2	5	0	217	341	406	747	188	371	39	13	337	116	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2023	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	273	230	54	13	3	3	35	103	7	5	3	235	353	357	709	122	408	38	13	326	108	+2	-0	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	25	A+	Spokane Indians	—	69	60	11	1	1	0	6	24	1	4	1	183	269	233	502	50	297	35	9	231	35	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Parker Kelly (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	205/278/320	115	291	1	1	31%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA	27	42→37	44→55	47→30	39	204/270/318	113	301	11	5	34%	7%	63	-0.9	201/258/295	94	304	9	7	35%	7%	51	-1.7	159/216/216	58	242	7	0	36%	6%	10	-1.4
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	39	43→45	44→45	46	197/280/304	107	271	12	5	30%	8%	64	-0.8	229/320/373	144	297	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	224/323/376	152	290	16	11	26%	12%	98	+0.8
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Erick Monzon 2009 · AA	27	38→43	41→45	51→50	43	191/245/290	98	255	9	12	28%	7%	43	-2.2	201/251/308	107	284	12	12	32%	6%	51	-1.7	178/220/273	94	244	15	13	33%	5%	26	-1.0
✕Joe Dunand 2023 · AAA	27	38→48	45→50	49→45	38	191/257/314	123	290	13	8	37%	7%	56	-1.3	228/296/385	157	320	18	8	33%	7%	91	+1.1	238/312/416	178	325	22	4	32%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Aaron Schunk 2023 · AA	26	39→42	44→45	48→50	36	200/246/316	117	282	12	9	33%	5%	51	-1.7	211/256/324	113	294	11	10	30%	5%	57	-1.2	209/254/319	110	274	10	10	27%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕David Thompson 2021 · AAA	27	40→48	44→45	50	42	201/261/318	117	257	11	13	26%	6%	59	-1.1	210/280/367	157	289	18	16	33%	6%	80	+0.4	173/256/351	178	230	22	20	35%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Jake Wald 2008 · AA	27	40→42	42→45	48→50	39	199/256/305	106	274	9	10	30%	5%	53	-1.5	194/257/286	92	291	7	9	33%	7%	49	-1.8	177/244/255	79	279	5	7	36%	7%	32	-1.6
✕Steve Moss 2011 · A	27	44→49	44→45	48→50	42	215/273/331	116	287	11	8	28%	6%	67	-0.5	241/302/389	148	330	18	11	31%	7%	95	+1.4	240/320/442	202	294	28	8	27%	9%	113	+0.7
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→37	45→50	48→50	39	184/243/301	118	247	14	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	204/251/338	134	276	16	10	31%	5%	59	-1.1	203/253/332	129	265	15	10	29%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Angelo Castellano 2022 · AAA	27	38→47	44→45	49→50	40	196/248/301	105	255	13	12	28%	6%	48	-1.9	209/272/329	120	259	14	13	24%	7%	66	-0.6	205/273/329	124	247	15	14	23%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→42	44→50	49→50	38	187/247/304	117	274	11	9	35%	6%	49	-1.8	183/227/309	126	266	13	12	35%	5%	42	-2.3	165/204/292	127	233	14	13	35%	4%	24	-2.6
✕Quincy Latimore 2016 · AA	27	42→41	48→50	47→50	40	215/263/356	141	280	15	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	203/251/329	126	276	15	7	31%	6%	57	-1.2	189/238/303	114	257	15	4	32%	5%	40	-1.7
✕Jason Martinson 2016 · AAA	27	37→39	44→45	52→50	38	189/250/296	107	286	12	13	37%	7%	48	-1.9	178/233/289	111	303	12	9	43%	5%	39	-2.5	153/204/262	109	276	11	8	47%	4%	16	-2.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕David Vidal 2017 · A	27	45	40→45	48→30	44	214/276/311	97	301	7	8	30%	8%	63	-0.9	222/277/333	111	281	11	4	24%	6%	69	-0.4	218/277/330	113	272	13	2	24%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7