Brady Rose prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Brady Rose P Tampa Tarpons

Age 25 LHP 6'5" / 220 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%21.1%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	18	87	12	10	2	17%	3.1	10.8%	15.0%	-4.3%	2.4%	8.84	5.42	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	1	18	87	12	10	2	17%	3.1	10.8%	15.0%	-4.3%	2.4%	8.84	5.42	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	1	18	87	12	10	2	17%	3.1	13.8%	11.5%	2.3%	2.3%	8.84	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.1%	11.3%	9.8%	3.0%	4.77	4.77	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	18	9	3	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.6%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.71	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.33	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	21.6%	11.1%	10.5%	3.0%	4.71	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		6	1	18	87	9	13	2	17%	3.1	10.8%	15.0%	-4.3%	2.4%	8.84	5.42	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	11	200	949	102	143	23	17%	3.1	10.8%	15.0%	-4.3%	2.4%	8.84	5.42	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brady Rose (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	21.1%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.71	21.5%	10.5%	20	-0.06	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	78
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	74
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	73
Kohl Drake L 2023 · 4.81 FIP	23	SW	4.81	16.3%	11.9%	2.9%	.391	4.40	21.9%	12.6%	296	-0.41	3.32	331	73
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	72
Eric Jokisch L 2014 · 5.18 FIP	25	SW	5.18	15.2%	6.1%	4.7%	.306	4.28	12.8%	4.9%	264	-0.90	3.78	427	72
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	71
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	70
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	70
Jake Kalish L 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	17.8%	6.9%	2.6%	.231	3.90	17.0%	11.9%	352	+0.01	2.68	740	69
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	69
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	69
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	68
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	68
Russell Smith L 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.3%	12.8%	4.5%	.343	4.00	19.0%	5.1%	53	-1.26	4.00	175	68
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	68
Cameron Bishop L 2021 · 3.62 FIP	25	SW	3.62	21.7%	10.3%	1.9%	.296	2.86	29.6%	11.8%	18	-0.76	2.86	305	68
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	67
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	67
Ryan Williamson L 2019 · 4.30 FIP	24	SU	4.30	17.3%	9.9%	2.5%	.301	7.47	20.0%	3.3%	41	+3.17	4.10	123	67