Joe Campagna — OGILVIE

Joe CampagnaSS Erie SeaWolves

Age 29 R/R 5'9" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .280 / .359

PA188

HR4

K%32

BB%8

BABIP302

ISO147

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AA	DET	—	62	55	12	4	1	1	6	24	0	2	0	218	295	382	677	164	367	39	10	282	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	29	AA	DET	—	62	51	13	5	1	1	8	19	0	2	0	255	344	451	795	196	387	31	13	341	119	+1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
ROS	29	AA	DET	2%	188	170	36	9	2	4	15	61	1	4	1	212	280	359	638	147	299	32	8	277	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
ROS	29	MLB	DET	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						294	25	0	268	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	AA	DET	—	66	59	12	4	1	1	6	25	0	2	0	203	277	356	633	153	333	38	9	281	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	29	AA	DET	—	250	225	48	13	3	5	21	85	1	6	1	213	283	364	648	151	316	34	8	278	71	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	DET	23%	310	281	59	14	3	6	24	99	2	6	1	210	277	345	622	135	296	32	8	278	71	-10	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.1
2028	31	MLB	DET	35%	349	316	66	16	3	7	28	110	2	6	1	209	277	345	622	136	293	32	8	277	70	-12	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.0
2029	32	MLB	DET	42%	365	331	68	16	3	7	29	115	2	5	1	205	273	335	609	130	290	32	8	274	68	-13	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	30	MLB	DET	23%	70	65	13	3	1	1	5	22	0	1	0	200	257	323	580	123	291	31	7	268	63	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	31	MLB	DET	35%	121	109	22	5	1	2	10	38	1	2	0	202	275	321	596	119	288	31	8	268	63	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	32	MLB	DET	42%	152	138	28	7	1	3	12	48	1	2	0	203	272	333	605	130	285	32	8	265	61	-7	+0	-1	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	347	316	63	15	3	6	27	109	2	5	0	199	267	323	589	123	281	31	8	267	62	-15	+1	-3	+4	+10	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	118	28	6	11	51	204	4	9	0	199	268	323	590	123	281	31	8	267	62	-28	+2	-5	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	1212	1098	229	55	11	24	96	385	7	21	4	209	276	344	621	136	295	32	8	276	70	-41	+3	-8	+13	+34	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	123	29	6	13	51	206	4	11	2	209	276	345	621	136	294	32	8	276	70	-22	+1	-5	+7	+18	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	349	7	6	209	274	341	+4	+3	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	13	11	209	274	341	+7.1	+5.7	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joe Campagna (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	213/283/364	151	316	5	6	34%	8%	71	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Garcia 2011 · AA	29	45	45→50	48→40	37	223/260/348	126	301	13	8	30%	5%	66	-0.6	245/287/431	186	320	25	10	31%	5%	99	+1.7	241/275/423	182	301	26	5	29%	3%	91	+0.4
✕Jeff Nettles 2008 · AA	29	44→40	48→55	49→40	40	225/265/365	140	288	16	6	28%	5%	72	-0.2	223/269/381	158	253	21	4	21%	6%	79	+0.3	213/260/375	162	228	23	0	19%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Tony Thomas 2015 · AAA	29	40→46	46→50	56→55	35	203/245/338	135	293	12	14	35%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/343	130	326	12	11	36%	5%	62	-0.9	207/246/338	132	324	10	7	38%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Travis Denker 2015 · AA	29	44→51	43→50	50→45	43	216/275/325	109	286	10	11	28%	6%	66	-0.6	229/297/380	151	259	17	3	19%	8%	90	+1.0	227/302/380	153	255	18	0	19%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Adam Fox 2011 · AAA	29	39→44	47→50	49→45	40	202/251/335	133	253	16	9	27%	5%	59	-1.1	204/249/337	133	259	14	9	26%	5%	58	-1.2	184/221/327	143	224	14	6	25%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Devin Ivany 2011 · AAA	29	43→48	46→50	45	43	217/273/347	131	284	13	9	28%	7%	71	-0.3	217/265/331	114	279	11	9	25%	5%	63	-0.8	212/254/319	107	262	11	5	23%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Allan de San Miguel 2016 · A	28	45	42→45	48→40	43	214/289/319	105	308	10	9	32%	8%	71	-0.3	197/253/282	85	257	6	6	25%	5%	46	-2.0	162/215/227	66	210	5	0	24%	4%	13	-0.8
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	43→45	48→40	36	208/251/319	110	295	10	5	32%	5%	53	-1.5	235/274/338	103	323	9	5	29%	4%	69	-0.4	241/277/335	94	316	8	2	25%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Jeff Arnold 2016 · A	28	45	46→50	50→40	38	210/278/344	135	335	12	6	39%	7%	72	-0.2	180/241/286	106	310	10	4	42%	7%	42	-2.3	145/209/247	103	255	12	1	46%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Dusty Brown 2011 · AAA	29	42	44→45	47→30	43	212/272/328	116	281	12	3	28%	7%	66	-0.6	219/288/371	152	273	16	5	25%	8%	84	+0.6	214/294/383	169	256	18	1	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Javier Colina 2008 · AA	29	39→49	43→45	48→45	41	198/243/311	114	254	10	8	27%	5%	48	-1.9	227/268/346	119	268	11	8	19%	5%	68	-0.5	225/263/341	117	261	11	6	18%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	42→45	51→50	49	214/289/322	109	281	8	8	26%	9%	71	-0.3	199/276/283	84	272	7	10	27%	9%	56	-1.3	177/262/235	58	247	4	10	27%	9%	36	-1.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕David Matranga 2006 · AAA	29	44	43→45	48→50	49	213/288/334	121	268	10	13	24%	8%	74	-0.1	204/270/325	121	268	14	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Jake Hager 2021 · AAA	28	41→51	46→50	49→50	38	209/256/339	131	294	14	9	34%	6%	62	-0.9	201/260/331	130	268	14	10	29%	7%	62	-0.9	188/250/311	122	248	13	9	29%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	41→42	41→45	51→50	41	201/265/300	99	287	8	10	31%	7%	56	-1.3	188/252/274	86	318	7	8	40%	7%	43	-2.2	130/202/174	44	264	1	2	47%	8%	-5	-2.2
✕Taylor Featherston 2019 · MLB	29	37→45	45→55	54→50	37	189/247/308	120	279	13	12	36%	6%	50	-1.7	183/237/315	132	337	16	9	48%	5%	49	-1.8	148/201/281	132	295	18	5	54%	4%	21	-2.8
✕Caonabo Cosme 2008 · AAA	29	43	48→50	49→45	36	221/255/363	142	298	16	8	32%	4%	67	-0.5	223/254/344	121	330	14	8	35%	4%	61	-1.0	219/241/304	85	328	11	0	36%	3%	41	-0.8