Michael Cuevas
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 37 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%18.6%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%7.4%
ROS IP37
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 64 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 1 | 15 | 61 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 12% | 1.9 | 10.0% | 14.3% | -4.3% | 0.0% | 0.59 | 4.07 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Nationals | 8 | 1 | 15 | 61 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 12% | 1.9 | 14.8% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.59 | 3.30 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 17 | 88 | 386 | 80 | 28 | 8 | 85% | 4.4 | 15.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 4.48 | 4.01 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 20 | 17 | 88 | 386 | 80 | 28 | 8 | 85% | 4.4 | 20.7% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 2.1% | 4.48 | 3.42 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 26 | 24 | 114 | 516 | 82 | 55 | 8 | 92% | 4.4 | 12.2% | 12.3% | -0.0% | 1.6% | 4.64 | 4.49 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 26 | 24 | 114 | 516 | 82 | 55 | 8 | 92% | 4.4 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 4.64 | 4.02 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 23 | 23 | 98 | 440 | 74 | 45 | 10 | 100% | 4.2 | 13.6% | 11.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.53 | 4.59 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 23 | 23 | 98 | 440 | 74 | 45 | 10 | 100% | 4.2 | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 5.53 | 4.30 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 33 | 18 | 105 | 474 | 81 | 47 | 6 | 55% | 3.2 | 13.8% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 5.91 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | 33 | 18 | 105 | 474 | 81 | 47 | 6 | 55% | 3.2 | 17.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 5.91 | 3.64 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 35 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 14.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 3.25 | 3.82 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 36 | 165 | 35 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 0.6% | 3.25 | 3.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 21 | 0 | 27 | 136 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.2% | 18.9% | -2.7% | 7.3% | 6.41 | 8.12 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.64 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 64 | 294 | 57 | 41 | 12 | — | — | 19.5% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.38 | 6.09 | -1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 36 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 4.58 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 4.58 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.57 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.61 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 56 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.22 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 169 | 94 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 4.59 | 4.22 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 164 | 83 | 483 | 2178 | 305 | 256 | 44 | 51% | 2.9 | 14.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.93 | 4.52 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 34 | 200 | 901 | 126 | 106 | 18 | 51% | 2.9 | 14.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.93 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Cuevas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 2.4% | — | 4.60 | 19.9% | 8.8% | 110 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 89 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 87 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 85 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.63 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 0.9% | .313 | 4.12 | 14.1% | 1.7% | 50 | +0.49 | 3.63 | 104 | 82 |
| Phil Klein R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 81 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 81 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 81 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 80 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 80 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 259 | 79 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 79 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 79 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 79 |
| Brad Allen R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 14.0% | 12.6% | 1.3% | .315 | 6.07 | 14.7% | 1.5% | 87 | +1.85 | 4.22 | 149 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 78 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 78 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 78 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 37 | 19.5% | 11.1% | 0.97 | 4.60 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |