Michael Cuevas — OGILVIE

Michael Cuevas P Asheville Tourists

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 25 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 121

ERA5.50

FIP5.50

K%17.3%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%3.2%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	8	1	15	61	9	7	0	12%	1.9	10.0%	14.3%	-4.3%	0.0%	0.59	4.07	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	8	1	15	61	9	7	0	12%	1.9	14.8%	11.5%	3.3%	0.0%	0.59	3.30	—
2021	20	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	20	17	88	386	80	28	8	85%	4.4	15.3%	8.6%	6.8%	2.3%	4.48	4.17	—
2021	20	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	20	17	88	386	80	28	8	85%	4.4	20.7%	7.3%	13.5%	2.1%	4.48	3.42	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	26	24	114	516	82	55	8	92%	4.4	12.2%	12.3%	-0.0%	1.7%	4.64	4.57	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	26	24	114	516	82	55	8	92%	4.4	15.9%	10.7%	5.2%	1.6%	4.64	4.02	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	23	23	98	440	74	45	10	100%	4.2	13.6%	11.3%	2.4%	2.4%	5.53	4.72	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	23	23	98	440	74	45	10	100%	4.2	16.8%	10.2%	6.6%	2.3%	5.53	4.30	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	33	18	105	474	81	47	6	55%	3.2	13.8%	10.9%	2.9%	1.5%	5.91	4.16	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	33	18	105	474	81	47	6	55%	3.2	13.8%	10.9%	2.9%	1.5%	5.91	4.16	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	33	18	105	474	81	47	6	55%	3.2	17.1%	9.9%	7.2%	1.3%	5.91	3.64	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	36	165	35	22	1	0%	1.1	17.6%	13.5%	4.1%	0.7%	3.25	3.70	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	36	165	35	22	1	0%	1.1	17.6%	13.5%	4.1%	0.7%	3.25	3.70	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	36	165	35	22	1	0%	1.1	21.2%	13.3%	7.9%	0.6%	3.25	3.35	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	35	169	36	26	9	0%	1.4	16.7%	17.2%	-0.6%	6.6%	5.14	7.50	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	35	169	36	26	9	0%	1.4	16.7%	17.2%	-0.6%	6.6%	5.14	7.50	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	35	169	36	26	9	0%	1.4	21.3%	15.4%	5.9%	5.3%	5.14	6.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	HOU	24	0	25	106	18	15	3	0%	1.0	17.3%	14.1%	3.2%	3.1%	5.50	5.50	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	30	0	32	135	24	18	4	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.7%	4.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.42	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	11	0	12	51	9	7	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.7%	4.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	9	7	2	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.7%	4.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.04	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	120	34	0%	1.1	17.9%	13.7%	4.2%	3.1%	5.40	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		168	83	492	2211	311	258	48	49%	2.9	14.1%	11.7%	2.4%	2.2%	4.87	4.59	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	34	200	899	127	105	20	49%	2.9	14.1%	11.7%	2.4%	2.2%	4.87	4.59	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Cuevas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.50	17.3%	14.1%	3.1%	—	5.42	17.9%	4.2%	32	-0.08	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	81
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	79
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	79
Victor Santos R 2003 · 5.99 FIP	26	SP-	5.99	12.8%	12.8%	4.3%	.293	4.38	15.4%	7.7%	411	-1.61	4.09	602	78
Joe Record R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	16.6%	15.3%	2.2%	.236	3.55	20.8%	9.1%	172	-1.27	2.64	280	77
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	77
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	76
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	74
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	74
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	73
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	73
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	73
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	73
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	72
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	72
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	72
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	72
Denny Bautista R 2006 · 4.71 FIP	25	SP-	4.71	13.9%	10.8%	2.6%	.298	4.58	17.5%	3.3%	74	-0.13	3.38	238	72
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	17.6%	13.9%	1.20	5.44
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57