Josh Kasevich

SS Buffalo Bisons

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #413Pre-ArbFA 2033

Scout OFP47ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAATOR	114	.173/.277/.184	0	0	15	—	.158/.241/.168
2025	24	INTLGlendale Dese…	74	.255/.431/.255	0	3	110	—
2026	25	AAATOR	572	.282/.365/.363	4	8	87	—	.267/.330/.336
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBTOR	25	.259/.319/.329	0	0	85	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBTOR	126	.257/.319/.331	1	2	85	0.2
2029PROJ52% MLB	28	MLBTOR	189	.255/.317/.330	1	2	84	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$1M2031Arb-2$1M2032Arb-3$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%96

Z-Con%94

K%93

Chase%88

Max EV71

Speed55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%

CompsAdeiny Hechavarría (age 26) · Ivan Cervantes (age 26) · Bryson Brigman (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .319 / .329

PA25

HR0

K%16

BB%8

BABIP303

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	107	28	8	0	0	11	9	3	0	2	262	347	336	684	75	283	7	9	314	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	334	95	15	0	4	38	41	6	11	2	284	368	365	733	81	310	11	10	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	173	157	51	8	0	3	14	25	1	3	0	325	384	433	817	108	369	14	8	365	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	393	363	103	20	0	3	26	42	2	10	1	284	335	364	699	80	312	11	7	315	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	114	98	17	1	0	0	13	20	1	0	2	173	277	184	460	10	212	18	11	224	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	24	9	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	375	444	417	861	42	429	11	11	393	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	19	14	5	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	1	357	526	357	883		385	5	26	422	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	74	55	14	0	0	0	17	11	0	3	2	255	431	255	685		304	15	23	331	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	504	142	23	3	4	58	65	8	8	4	282	365	363	728	81	316	11	10	333	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	111	27	7	0	0	7	12	3	0	2	243	306	306	612	63	269	10	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	344	88	14	0	3	28	54	6	11	2	256	323	323	645	67	283	14	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	173	161	51	8	0	2	10	30	1	3	0	317	360	404	764	87	369	17	6	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	393	371	99	17	0	2	18	51	2	10	1	267	304	329	633	62	302	13	5	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	114	101	16	1	0	0	10	24	1	0	2	158	241	168	409	10	193	21	9	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	27	25	8	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	320	370	360	730	40	378	15	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	19	16	4	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	1	250	368	250	618		290	5	16	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	521	139	21	3	3	41	78	8	8	4	267	330	336	666	69	306	14	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	111	27	7	0	0	7	12	3	0	2	243	306	306	612	63	270	10	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	107	28	8	0	0	11	9	3	0	2	262	347	336	684	75	283	7	9	314	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	344	88	14	0	3	28	54	6	11	2	256	323	323	645	67	291	14	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	334	95	15	0	4	38	41	6	11	2	284	368	365	733	81	310	11	10	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	532	150	25	0	4	28	81	3	13	1	282	321	352	673	70	324	14	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	566	520	154	28	0	6	40	67	3	13	1	296	350	385	735	88	329	12	7	331	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	234	208	40	2	0	0	21	44	1	3	5	192	270	202	471	10	238	19	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	234	191	45	2	0	0	38	35	1	3	5	236	365	246	611	10	281	15	16	294	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	521	139	21	3	3	41	78	8	8	4	267	330	336	666	69	308	14	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	504	142	23	3	4	58	65	8	8	4	282	365	363	728	81	316	11	10	333	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	122	111	27	7	0	0	7	12	3	0	2	243	306	306	612	63	269	10	6	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	383	346	88	14	0	3	28	54	6	11	2	254	323	321	644	66	283	14	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	530	150	25	0	4	28	81	3	13	1	283	321	353	674	70	322	14	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	234	210	40	2	0	0	21	44	1	3	5	190	270	200	470	10	236	19	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	518	139	21	3	3	41	78	8	8	4	268	330	338	668	69	306	14	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	566	530	150	25	0	4	28	81	3	13	1	283	321	353	674	70	322	14	5	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	234	210	40	2	0	0	21	44	1	3	5	190	270	200	470	10	236	19	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	572	518	139	21	3	3	41	78	8	8	4	268	330	338	668	69	306	14	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TOR	10%	380	347	89	14	2	2	26	59	4	5	2	258	318	328	646	70	301	16	7	294	85	-7	+0	-0	+4	+8	0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TOR	10%	25	23	6	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	259	319	329	648	70	303	16	8	295	85	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	336	305	77	12	1	2	24	53	4	4	2	256	318	329	647	73	301	16	7	294	85	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2029	28	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	364	331	85	14	1	3	26	60	4	3	2	254	316	329	645	75	300	16	7	293	84	-7	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	373	339	85	14	1	3	27	63	4	2	2	252	314	327	641	75	299	17	7	291	83	-7	-0	-2	+4	+8	0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	378	344	85	14	1	3	27	66	4	1	1	249	311	324	635	75	297	17	7	288	81	-8	-0	-3	+4	+8	0.1
2032	31	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	369	336	82	13	1	3	26	67	4	1	1	245	306	319	625	74	295	18	7	284	79	-9	-0	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	126	115	30	5	1	1	9	20	1	2	1	257	319	331	649	73	302	16	7	295	85	-2	+0	-0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	189	172	44	7	1	1	13	31	2	2	1	255	317	330	647	75	301	16	7	294	84	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	213	194	50	8	1	2	15	36	2	1	1	253	314	328	643	76	300	17	7	292	83	-4	-0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	227	207	52	8	1	2	16	40	2	1	1	250	311	325	637	75	298	18	7	289	81	-5	-0	-2	+2	+5	0.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	228	208	51	8	1	2	16	41	2	1	1	246	307	320	627	74	296	18	7	285	79	-6	-0	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	983	896	227	36	5	8	69	168	9	7	5	253	313	331	645	78	302	17	7	290	81	-21	-1	-5	+11	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	150	24	3	5	46	111	6	5	3	253	314	329	643	76	303	17	7	290	81	-14	-0	-4	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3947	3599	917	145	9	26	272	616	44	49	23	255	315	322	637	67	299	16	7	287	81	-43	-1	-10	+22	+45	1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	150	24	1	4	45	101	7	8	4	253	313	317	630	64	297	16	7	287	81	-13	-0	-3	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kevin Newmanlast yr '25 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,343 PA	3.5	2,343	28	47	259	300	355	+20	+8	5.1	5.5
/162	664	8	13	+5.7	+2.2	1.5	pk7: 6
#2Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#3Brendan Harrislast yr '13 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,819 PA	2.7	1,819	31	5	256	313	380	+18	-14	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	2	+6.6	-5.2	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Ken Aspromonte'57-'63 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,691 PA	2.5	1,691	19	7	245*	323*	352*	+6	+5	3.2	3.2
/162	664	7	3	+2.4	+2.0	1.3	pk7: 3
#5Joey Amalfitano'54-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,937 PA	2.9	1,937	9	19	238*	319*	333*	+7	+1	1.9	2.7
/162	664	3	7	+2.4	+0.4	0.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	1,009	8	6	252	310	327	+11	-0	1.5	1.5
/162	664	5	4	+7.1	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Dick Culler'36-'49 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	2	19	235*	307*	311*	+17	-5	0.6	1.0
/162	664	1	7	+6.5	-2.0	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Kasevich (OGILVIE)	26	50→60	35→38	45→49	49	256/316/325	69	301	2	3	15%	7%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adeiny Hechavarría 2015 · MLB	26	55→60	38→50	48→50	44	259/293/347	88	308	4	9	17%	5%	80	-0.2	261/294/359	98	303	6	7	15%	4%	83	+0.1	247/285/376	128	287	13	7	19%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Ivan Cervantes 2006 · AAA	26	55→59	38→40	45	47	261/305/346	85	293	5	9	13%	5%	85	+0.2	265/303/343	78	300	5	6	13%	4%	83	+0.1	271/305/341	70	303	5	2	12%	4%	81	-0.1
✕Bryson Brigman 2021 · AA	26	50→59	37→40	47→50	46	235/291/311	76	293	4	9	21%	6%	72	-0.7	236/290/328	92	300	6	11	22%	6%	76	-0.4	245/299/322	76	300	6	12	19%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Derrik Gibson 2016 · AAA	26	51→56	37→40	46→55	48	240/305/316	76	307	4	10	22%	8%	78	-0.3	225/283/313	88	292	5	12	23%	7%	70	-0.9	219/276/312	93	284	4	12	23%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2021 · MLB	26	52→58	40	49→55	48	248/307/345	96	291	7	13	17%	7%	86	+0.3	259/308/346	87	297	7	19	15%	6%	86	+0.3	255/306/343	88	296	8	20	16%	6%	86	+0.2
✕David Urias 2011 · AAA	26	55	38→40	49→45	42	263/295/345	82	310	4	9	17%	4%	80	-0.1	265/298/357	92	311	7	9	17%	4%	84	+0.2	272/298/345	73	314	5	4	15%	3%	78	-0.1
✕Nick Madrigal 2023 · MLB	26	56→59	37→40	46→50	50	265/317/340	75	292	4	7	11%	6%	88	+0.4	256/313/353	97	281	6	12	11%	5%	90	+0.6	273/337/360	87	297	4	15	9%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Tyler Smith 2017 · AAA	26	51→54	39→40	47→50	45	242/293/329	87	300	6	9	21%	6%	77	-0.3	209/266/301	92	277	8	7	26%	6%	61	-1.5	181/247/264	83	244	8	4	28%	7%	43	-1.3
✕Luis Martinez 2011 · AAA	26	52→58	37→40	44→40	49	245/309/319	74	308	5	4	21%	8%	80	-0.1	241/297/327	86	315	4	5	23%	7%	78	-0.3	238/291/325	87	315	3	2	24%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Nate Orf 2016 · AA	26	51→53	37→45	44→50	50	239/316/325	87	295	2	6	19%	8%	85	+0.2	231/302/321	90	282	5	10	19%	7%	79	-0.2	224/309/330	106	275	9	14	20%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Isaac Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	26	58→56	38→40	46→55	46	277/320/362	85	321	5	13	15%	5%	94	+0.9	260/312/343	83	303	6	18	16%	6%	87	+0.4	263/319/336	74	304	6	23	15%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Ryan Hanigan 2007 · AAA	26	53→58	37→40	47→40	54	248/320/314	66	290	5	5	16%	9%	84	+0.1	256/324/338	82	294	6	3	14%	8%	91	+0.7	270/347/355	84	298	8	1	11%	9%	102	+0.8
✕Brandon Fahey 2007 · MLB	26	55→61	37→40	48→50	50	257/316/331	74	299	4	12	15%	7%	86	+0.3	228/277/306	78	277	4	11	18%	6%	65	-1.2	220/263/291	71	269	2	10	18%	5%	54	-1.3
✕Shane Justis 2009 · AA	26	51→52	40	47→50	49	245/305/338	94	285	7	11	17%	7%	84	+0.1	238/294/331	93	279	6	10	16%	5%	78	-0.3	243/297/333	91	282	5	8	15%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Ben Orloff 2013 · AA	26	55→57	34→40	48→50	50	252/304/307	55	275	2	10	9%	5%	76	-0.4	244/300/308	64	272	3	11	11%	6%	74	-0.5	268/325/299	31	287	0	14	6%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Brandon Douglas 2011 · AA	25	58→56	36→40	52→50	47	273/318/349	77	315	2	11	14%	6%	91	+0.6	250/289/327	77	297	3	14	16%	5%	74	-0.5	248/286/322	74	295	3	15	17%	4%	69	-0.8
✕Dixon Machado 2018 · MLB	26	52→57	38→45	50→55	48	247/299/324	77	293	5	12	17%	6%	78	-0.3	219/287/329	110	267	10	6	21%	8%	75	-0.5	224/302/328	105	267	11	4	19%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Ramon Soto 2014 · AAA	26	53	37→30	50→45	47	248/302/317	69	296	4	9	17%	6%	78	-0.3	250/305/337	87	315	6	10	21%	6%	83	+0.1	296/339/364	68	375	0	7	20%	5%	99	+0.3
✕Domingo Castro 2006 · AAA	26	54→61	37→40	45→50	49	252/301/328	76	279	5	14	12%	6%	79	-0.2	258/299/312	54	291	3	14	12%	5%	74	-0.6	283/316/348	65	315	2	5	10%	4%	85	+0.1
✕Hainley Statia 2012 · AAA	26	51→59	37→40	49→50	50	239/290/322	83	272	3	8	14%	7%	74	-0.6	230/291/304	74	277	5	9	17%	8%	70	-0.8	227/296/293	66	272	5	9	17%	9%	67	-0.6

Josh Kasevich

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps