Jack Jasiak

P Akron RubberDucks

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	ALynchburg Hil…	32	2	67	4.57	3.40	20.6%	7.3%	—	K 15.2% · BB 8.6% · FIP 4.59
2025	24	MIX2 levels	40	0	69	3.38	2.45	25.5%	6.3%	—	K 19.9% · BB 7.1% · FIP 3.24
2026	25	MIX2 levels	39	0	65	4.59	3.56	28.7%	7.2%	—	K 25.2% · BB 7.4% · FIP 3.57
2027PROJ	26	MLBCLE	67	0	70	4.05	4.05	22.4%	6.9%	0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBCLE	25	0	26	4.10	4.11	22.5%	7.2%	0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBCLE	38	0	40	4.17	4.21	22.4%	7.5%	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 90%

CompsSimon Castro (age 27) · Joe Broussard (age 26) · Santiago Casilla (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110102vR 94

ERA4.05

FIP4.05

K%22.4%

BB%6.9%

K-BB%15.5%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	0	69	307	50	37	5	0%	2.1	12.1%	14.2%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.46	5.03	—
2023	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	0	69	307	50	37	5	0%	2.1	16.3%	12.1%	4.2%	1.6%	4.46	4.21	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	3.1%	4.57	4.59	—
2024	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	15.2%	8.6%	6.6%	3.1%	4.57	4.59	—
2024	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	32	2	67	301	62	22	6	6%	2.1	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	2.0%	4.57	3.40	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	19.9%	7.1%	12.7%	1.7%	3.38	3.24	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	19.9%	7.1%	12.7%	1.7%	3.38	3.24	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	69	302	77	19	4	0%	1.7	25.5%	6.3%	19.2%	1.3%	3.38	2.45	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	65	279	80	20	10	0%	1.7	25.2%	7.4%	17.8%	3.0%	4.59	3.57	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	65	279	80	20	10	0%	1.7	25.2%	7.4%	17.8%	3.0%	4.59	3.57	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	65	279	80	20	10	0%	1.7	28.7%	7.2%	21.5%	3.6%	4.59	3.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CLE	67	0	70	296	66	20	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	6.9%	15.5%	2.9%	4.05	4.05	+0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66	0	69	291	65	21	9	0%	1.0	22.5%	7.2%	15.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.11	+0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	CLE	64	0	67	282	63	21	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.5%	14.9%	3.0%	4.17	4.21	+0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	CLE	61	0	64	270	60	21	9	0%	1.0	22.2%	7.8%	14.4%	3.2%	4.28	4.35	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CLE	25	0	26	110	25	8	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	7.2%	15.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.11	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CLE	38	0	40	169	38	13	5	0%	1.1	22.4%	7.5%	14.9%	3.0%	4.17	4.21	+0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CLE	43	0	45	190	42	15	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	7.8%	14.4%	3.2%	4.28	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	468	105	35	14	0%	1.0	22.3%	7.6%	14.8%	3.1%	4.20	3.86	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	63	25	0%	1.1	22.3%	7.6%	14.8%	3.1%	4.20	3.86	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		143	2	270	1189	213	112	29	1%	1.9	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.4%	4.24	4.12	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		106	1	200	882	158	83	22	1%	1.9	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.4%	4.24	4.12	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Jasiak (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.05	22.4%	6.9%	2.9%	—	4.22	22.4%	14.9%	200	+0.17	—	—	—
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	85
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	85
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	85
Shay Schanaman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	21.0%	7.6%	3.7%	.292	6.05	16.4%	2.8%	90	+1.71	4.34	148	85
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	576	85
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	85
Ryan Garton R 2016 · 3.14 FIP	26	SU	3.14	21.8%	6.3%	2.0%	.325	3.97	24.1%	12.0%	175	+0.83	3.14	307	84
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	84
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	83
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	83
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	83
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	83
Trent Harris R 2024 · 3.45 FIP	25	SU	3.45	26.9%	9.5%	2.6%	.258	3.36	24.7%	16.7%	121	-0.09	3.06	198	83
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	83
Shawn Camp R 2004 · 4.18 FIP	28	SU	4.18	17.8%	5.2%	3.5%	.305	3.88	15.5%	10.5%	164	-0.30	2.79	589	83
Ryan Halstead R 2018 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	18.0%	6.7%	3.0%	.296	3.24	16.1%	8.7%	64	-0.84	3.12	222	83
Ian Gardeck R 2015 · 2.93 FIP	24	SU	2.93	22.4%	7.7%	1.4%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	105	83
Trevin Michael R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	26	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.256	3.54	23.7%	11.7%	105	-0.86	2.66	198	82
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	22.4%	7.4%	1.16	4.15
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Hisanori Takahashi ('13)	1.2	81	21.6%	8.2%	1.07	3.99
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*