Kaden HollowC
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 25
L/R
5'11" / 210 lbs
A
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 1.1 · 2028
wRC+†78
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .299 / .326
PA285
HR5
K%25
BB%10
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
25→25
SPD
40→40
EYE
61↘60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.1peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.8 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $7M | $4M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Padres | 47 | 39 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .231 | .362 | .359 | .721 | .128 | .320 | 28 | 15 | .317 | 101 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | 2 teams | 192 | 166 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .157 | .267 | .241 | .508 | .084 | .272 | 38 | 11 | .232 | 35 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 362 | 307 | 65 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 41 | 84 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .212 | .311 | .283 | .594 | .072 | .273 | 23 | 11 | .269 | 64 | -15 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SD | 285 | 254 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 72 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .220 | .300 | .331 | .631 | .110 | .287 | 25 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB 10% | SD | 317 | 281 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 80 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .221 | .303 | .335 | .637 | .114 | .288 | 25 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB 25% | SD | 355 | 315 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 89 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .225 | .307 | .349 | .656 | .124 | .289 | 25 | 10 | .296 | 84 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB 36% | SD | 378 | 335 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 95 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .307 | .343 | .650 | .119 | .289 | 25 | 10 | .296 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB 46% | SD | 385 | 342 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 97 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .225 | .306 | .351 | .657 | .126 | .288 | 25 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB 55% | SD | 387 | 343 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 99 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .222 | .305 | .338 | .643 | .117 | .286 | 26 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +7 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB 72% | SD | 367 | 325 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 96 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .218 | .302 | .332 | .635 | .114 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .288 | 78 | -9 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB 81% | SD | 341 | 302 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 91 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .215 | .299 | .325 | .623 | .109 | .284 | 27 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB 88% | SD | 305 | 271 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 83 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .210 | .291 | .314 | .605 | .103 | .282 | 27 | 10 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | SD | 258 | 229 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 73 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .289 | .306 | .595 | .100 | .280 | 28 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -10 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | SD | 206 | 183 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 60 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .284 | .301 | .585 | .098 | .278 | 29 | 9 | .264 | 60 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4185 | 3692 | 794 | 158 | 17 | 70 | 415 | 1105 | 36 | 42 | 9 | .215 | .301 | .324 | .624 | .109 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -118 | +5 | -25 | +75 | +119 | 5.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 124 | 25 | 3 | 11 | 64 | 172 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .216 | .301 | .328 | .629 | .112 | .287 | 26 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -18 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Padres | 47 | 35 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .314 | .489 | .486 | .975 | .171 | .400 | 19 | 23 | .440 | 195 | +5 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 68 | 62 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .161 | .235 | .242 | .477 | .081 | .263 | 35 | 9 | .223 | 29 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | ACL Padres | 124 | 91 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .286 | .472 | .440 | .911 | .154 | .403 | 23 | 23 | .413 | 175 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.5 |
| 2025 | 24 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 68 | 57 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .246 | .338 | .368 | .707 | .123 | .295 | 19 | 12 | .307 | 93 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 294 | 235 | 62 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 48 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .264 | .395 | .345 | .740 | .081 | .314 | 16 | 16 | .337 | 116 | +5 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kaden Hollow (OGILVIE) | 25 | 45 | 25 | 40 | 60 | .218/.299/.326 | .108 | .287 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 78 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→42 | 42→40 | 42→40 | 50 | .217/.304/.324 | .107 | .280 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .236/.327/.346 | .110 | .320 | 11 | 6 | 27% | 11% | 94 | +1.3 | .236/.337/.336 | .100 | .321 | 11 | 5 | 27% | 11% | 93 | +0.5 |
|
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA |
25 | 45 | 41→40 | 44→45 | 50 | .219/.298/.313 | .094 | .268 | 8 | 4 | 21% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .228/.309/.320 | .092 | .268 | 9 | 8 | 17% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .233/.317/.316 | .083 | .266 | 8 | 7 | 15% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Tanner Morris 2023 · AAA |
25 | 51→53 | 41→40 | 40 | 53 | .242/.326/.338 | .097 | .315 | 9 | 5 | 24% | 10% | 91 | +1.1 | .234/.315/.330 | .096 | .311 | 8 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .244/.326/.338 | .094 | .321 | 8 | 1 | 24% | 10% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Nolan Fontana 2016 · AAA |
25 | 45→43 | 39→40 | 42→50 | 55 | .208/.309/.301 | .093 | .301 | 5 | 9 | 29% | 12% | 75 | -0.0 | .194/.276/.287 | .093 | .277 | 6 | 10 | 29% | 10% | 57 | -1.2 | .184/.288/.306 | .123 | .253 | 10 | 12 | 29% | 12% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kevin Taylor 2016 · A |
25 | 47→57 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 48 | .227/.289/.326 | .099 | .272 | 10 | 7 | 20% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .254/.317/.345 | .091 | .302 | 7 | 3 | 17% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .258/.316/.333 | .075 | .304 | 5 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 82 | +0.4 |
|
✕Sergio Burruel 2016 · AAA |
25 | 50 | 39→30 | 40→30 | 43 | .241/.289/.322 | .082 | .306 | 7 | 6 | 23% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .242/.292/.312 | .070 | .295 | 6 | 5 | 19% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .244/.307/.320 | .075 | .298 | 8 | 1 | 19% | 7% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A |
24 | 49→45 | 40→45 | 46→50 | 50 | .236/.313/.328 | .092 | .294 | 8 | 9 | 22% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .211/.292/.307 | .096 | .311 | 7 | 8 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .191/.278/.276 | .085 | .297 | 5 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 53 | -0.8 |
|
✕Vimael Machín 2019 · AAA |
25 | 46→55 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 49 | .226/.289/.329 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .226/.290/.329 | .103 | .273 | 9 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .243/.302/.358 | .114 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 19% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Marco Rivera 2010 · AAA |
26 | 47 | 42→40 | 41→40 | 49 | .230/.293/.333 | .103 | .277 | 10 | 7 | 21% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .241/.289/.334 | .093 | .295 | 9 | 7 | 20% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .261/.297/.323 | .062 | .319 | 5 | 2 | 19% | 4% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA |
25 | 48→47 | 36→30 | 40→50 | 48 | .222/.302/.286 | .064 | .298 | 4 | 9 | 25% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.306/.288 | .058 | .291 | 3 | 11 | 20% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .231/.309/.280 | .049 | .287 | 2 | 13 | 19% | 8% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Casey Benjamin 2006 · A |
25 | 50→52 | 40→45 | 44→45 | 56 | .238/.324/.337 | .099 | .292 | 7 | 7 | 20% | 11% | 90 | +1.0 | .231/.296/.342 | .111 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 20% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .222/.284/.335 | .113 | .267 | 11 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jamie Ritchie 2018 · AA |
25 | 50→53 | 39→40 | 46→45 | 53 | .234/.322/.318 | .084 | .306 | 6 | 6 | 24% | 10% | 84 | +0.6 | .232/.309/.327 | .095 | .308 | 7 | 6 | 25% | 9% | 81 | +0.4 | .241/.322/.333 | .092 | .314 | 6 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
✕Zach Dillon 2008 · A |
25 | 49 | 42→45 | 38→30 | 50 | .234/.290/.346 | .112 | .269 | 8 | 3 | 16% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .228/.288/.333 | .105 | .260 | 8 | 5 | 15% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .213/.288/.293 | .080 | .225 | 5 | 0 | 8% | 9% | 69 | -0.1 |
|
✕Ford Proctor 2022 · AA |
25 | 46→50 | 44→45 | 43→45 | 48 | .221/.301/.338 | .117 | .304 | 12 | 7 | 29% | 10% | 81 | +0.4 | .204/.291/.311 | .107 | .300 | 13 | 6 | 33% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.273 | .084 | .274 | 11 | 4 | 32% | 11% | 55 | -0.9 |
|
✕Peter Maris 2019 · AA |
25 | 48→51 | 45 | 46→50 | 49 | .236/.294/.363 | .127 | .277 | 13 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 84 | +0.6 | .217/.275/.348 | .131 | .281 | 14 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.255/.326 | .126 | .265 | 14 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 55 | -0.6 |
|
✕Beau Taylor 2015 · AA |
25 | 44→46 | 41→45 | 42→30 | 44 | .212/.276/.307 | .095 | .302 | 9 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.277/.304 | .094 | .299 | 9 | 3 | 30% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.303/.325 | .110 | .307 | 10 | 1 | 31% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A |
25 | 44→47 | 40→45 | 45→50 | 48 | .211/.286/.301 | .089 | .282 | 7 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .212/.281/.308 | .096 | .301 | 8 | 9 | 30% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .215/.285/.332 | .118 | .284 | 11 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2016 · AAA |
25 | 50 | 43→45 | 40→50 | 45 | .245/.297/.355 | .111 | .298 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .246/.295/.354 | .108 | .310 | 11 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .255/.314/.357 | .101 | .328 | 11 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.5 |
|
✕Terrin Vavra 2022 · AA |
25 | 46 | 44→45 | 48→50 | 48 | .227/.296/.347 | .121 | .287 | 11 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .250/.325/.358 | .108 | .328 | 8 | 10 | 24% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .255/.330/.354 | .099 | .334 | 7 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 92 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jamie Johnson 2012 · AA |
25 | 52→56 | 38→40 | 45→50 | 56 | .240/.323/.325 | .085 | .297 | 3 | 9 | 19% | 11% | 86 | +0.8 | .247/.321/.320 | .073 | .297 | 3 | 13 | 16% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .248/.323/.315 | .066 | .291 | 3 | 15 | 14% | 10% | 82 | +0.4 |