Kaden Hollow

C Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2180MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202322ROKSD47.314/.489/.4861095—.231/.362/.359
202423A/ROKSD192.235/.387/.3591238—.158/.262/.243
202524A+/ASD362.260/.385/.3493264—.211/.308/.282
2027PROJMLE26MLBSD380.213/.304/.29635730.1
2028PROJ26% MLB27MLBSD24.210/.300/.29300740.0
2029PROJ39% MLB28MLBSD59.210/.299/.29311740.0
Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A+
Chase%98
Whiff%98
Z-Con%94
K%75
Speed66
wOBA60
CompsForrestt Allday (age 25) · Matt Tupman (age 26) · Mario Camilletti (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 89 proj PA
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .301 / .293
PA89
HR1
K%24
BB%11
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.10.00.0272829
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202322 ROKACL Padres — 4735 11301 1191 01 314489486975 171400 1923 440 95 — — — — — —
202423 ALake Elsinore Storm — 6862 10500 6240 00 161235242477 81263 359 223 -16 — — — — — —
202423 ROKACL Padres — 12491 26911 29283 20 286472440911 154403 2323 413 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 6857 14211 8130 10 246338368707 123295 1912 307 52 — — — — — —
202524 ALake Elsinore Storm — 294235 621302 48483 12 264395345740 81314 1616 337 67 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202322 ROK MLEACL Padres — 4739 9201 7131 01 231362359721 128305 2815 309 95 — — — — — —
202423 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 6864 7300 4330 00 109162156318 47213 496 145 -16 — — — — — —
202423 ROK MLEACL Padres — 124103 19611 17413 20 184317291608 107282 3314 269 68 — — — — — —
202524 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 6859 12111 6170 10 203277305582 102242 259 245 52 — — — — — —
202524 A MLELake Elsinore Storm — 294249 531002 34683 12 213315277592 64262 2312 267 67 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Padres — 4739 9201 7131 01 231362359721 128320 2815 309 95 — — — — — —
202322 ROK RAWACL Padres — 4735 11301 1191 01 314489486975 171400 1923 440 95 — — — — — —
202423 ROK MLE2 teams — 192166 26911 22733 20 157267241508 84272 3811 225 38 — — — — — —
202423 ROK RAW2 teams — 192153 361411 35523 20 235387359747 124350 2718 346 38 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362308 651113 40853 22 211308282590 71273 2311 263 64 — — — — — —
202524 A RAW2 teams — 362292 761513 56613 22 260385349734 89311 1715 331 64 — — — — — —
202322 ROK MLEACL Padres — 4739 9201 7131 01 231362359721 128305 2815 309 95 — — — — — —
202423 ROK MLE2 teams — 192165 26911 22733 20 158267242509 85258 3811 225 38 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362316 651113 40853 22 206308275583 70258 2311 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 ROK MLE2 teams — 192165 26911 22733 20 158267242509 85258 3811 225 38 — — — — — —
202524 A MLE2 teams — 362316 651113 40853 22 206308275583 70258 2311 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLESD 0% 380334 721523 40923 52 213304296599 83282 2411 277 73 -12 +0 +0 +7 +8 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLESD 26% 9382 18401 10231 10 214303299602 85282 2511 278 74 -3 +0 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202928 MLB MLESD 39% 149132 28611 15361 21 213302300602 86281 2410 277 74 -5 +0 -1 +3 +3 0.1
202827 MLB CTXSD 26% 2421 4100 360 00 210300293593 83276 2512 274 74 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202928 MLB CTXSD 39% 5952 11201 6141 10 210299293592 84276 2410 274 74 -2 +0 -0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 8373 15301 9201 10 205301288589 82269 2411 274 64 -3 +0 -0 +1 +2 0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650572 1172308 701578 80 205300287587 82268 2411 274 64 -20 +2 -2 +12 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 932806 1623538 10325210 84 201299282581 81278 2711 263 64 -10 +0 -1 +6 +7 0.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650562 1132426 721767 63 201300283582 82277 2711 263 64 -20 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ALake Elsinore Storm · 294 PAwOBA .336 → .267 (−70)K% 16.3% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.33%÷0.956×1.360——23.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.33%÷0.952×0.690—×0.98011.60%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.780—×0.9800.78%
Singles /BIP25.13%÷0.989×0.920×0.950×0.98021.77%
Doubles /BIP6.95%÷1.062×0.830×0.950×0.9805.06%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910×0.950×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP1.07%÷0.936×0.800—×0.9800.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 91, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .336 → .267; ISO .081 → .062; BABIP .314 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps · 68 PAwOBA .304 → .245 (−59)K% 19.1% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.12%÷0.989×1.270——24.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.76%÷0.984×0.710—×0.9888.39%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9880.00%
Singles /BIP22.73%÷1.013×0.920×0.950×0.98819.38%
Doubles /BIP4.55%÷1.071×0.810×0.950×0.9883.23%
Triples /BIP2.27%÷1.120×0.850×0.950×0.9881.62%
Home runs /BIP2.27%÷0.941×0.800—×0.9881.91%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 103, 2B 114, 3B 124, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .304 → .245; ISO .123 → .098; BABIP .295 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Padres · 124 PAwOBA .404 → .269 (−135)K% 22.6% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.58%÷0.990×1.440——32.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.39%÷1.002×0.620—×0.96513.97%
HBP% /PA2.42%—×0.720—×0.9651.68%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.014×0.820×0.950×0.96517.66%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.042×0.720×0.950×0.9659.05%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷0.970×0.720×0.950×0.9651.08%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷0.892×0.780—×0.9651.34%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 94, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .404 → .269; ISO .154 → .107; BABIP .403 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALake Elsinore Storm · 68 PAwOBA .217 → .145 (−72)K% 35.3% → 47.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.29%÷1.002×1.360——47.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.82%÷0.972×0.690—×0.9906.20%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP13.16%÷1.036×0.920—×0.99011.56%
Doubles /BIP13.16%÷1.108×0.830—×0.9909.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.108×0.910—×0.9900.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.953×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 122, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .217 → .145; ISO .081 → .049; BABIP .263 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Padres · 47 PAwOBA .430 → .309 (−121)K% 19.1% → 28.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.15%÷0.983×1.440——28.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.40%÷0.972×0.620—×0.97514.55%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.720—×0.9751.49%
Singles /BIP26.92%÷1.006×0.820—×0.97521.39%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷1.001×0.720—×0.9758.09%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.931×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.912×0.780—×0.9753.21%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 101, 2B 100, 3B 86, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .430 → .309; ISO .171 → .133; BABIP .400 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).