Kaden Hollow — OGILVIE

Kaden HollowC Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 297 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .304 / .292

PA297

HR3

K%25

BB%11

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	47	39	9	2	0	1	7	13	1	0	1	231	362	359	721	128	320	28	15	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	47	35	11	3	0	1	11	9	1	0	1	314	489	486	975	171	400	19	23	440	195	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	2 teams	—	192	166	25	8	1	1	22	73	3	2	0	151	262	229	491	78	261	38	11	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	2 teams	—	192	153	36	14	1	1	35	52	3	2	0	235	387	359	747	124	350	27	18	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	2 teams	—	362	305	63	10	1	3	43	89	3	2	2	207	311	275	586	69	273	25	12	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	2 teams	—	362	292	76	15	1	3	56	61	3	2	2	260	385	349	734	89	311	17	15	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	SD	—	297	260	55	11	1	3	33	74	2	4	1	212	305	296	601	85	282	25	11	278	71	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	SD	38%	325	283	61	12	1	4	36	80	3	4	1	216	311	307	618	92	283	25	11	287	77	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2028	27	MLB	SD	52%	361	316	70	14	2	5	39	88	3	5	1	222	313	326	639	104	284	24	11	289	80	-8	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2029	28	MLB	SD	60%	383	335	74	15	2	6	42	94	3	5	1	221	313	331	645	110	284	25	11	290	80	-9	+1	-1	+7	+11	0.9
2027	26	MLB	SD	38%	123	108	24	5	1	2	13	30	1	2	0	222	311	343	654	120	280	24	11	277	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB	SD	52%	188	164	36	7	1	3	20	46	2	3	1	220	312	329	641	110	280	24	11	280	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	28	MLB	SD	60%	228	199	42	8	1	3	25	56	2	3	1	211	305	307	612	95	280	25	11	280	73	-7	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	539	471	102	20	3	8	58	132	5	8	2	217	309	323	632	106	281	24	11	279	72	-17	+1	-0	+10	+15	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	124	24	4	10	70	159	6	10	2	218	311	327	638	109	283	24	11	279	72	-21	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	1967	1704	357	72	8	23	222	511	18	22	7	210	307	302	609	92	282	26	11	278	71	-65	+2	-1	+35	+56	2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	119	24	3	8	73	169	6	7	2	211	308	307	616	96	284	26	11	278	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	47	35	11	3	0	1	11	9	1	0	1	314	489	486	975	171	400	19	23	440	195	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	68	62	10	5	0	0	6	24	0	0	0	161	235	242	477	81	263	35	9	223	29	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	124	91	26	9	1	1	29	28	3	2	0	286	472	440	911	154	403	23	23	413	175	+10	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	68	57	14	2	1	1	8	13	0	1	0	246	338	368	707	123	295	19	12	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	294	235	62	13	0	2	48	48	3	1	2	264	395	345	740	81	314	16	16	337	116	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	836	10	11	217	307	312	+15	+8	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	8	9	217	307	312	+11.9	+6.4	1.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaden Hollow (OGILVIE)	25	45	25	40	60	210/304/292	82	282	3	4	25%	11%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	47→45	36→30	40→50	48	221/301/287	66	300	4	9	26%	8%	68	-0.5	229/305/287	58	289	3	12	20%	8%	69	-0.4	227/306/274	47	283	2	13	19%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Nolan Fontana 2016 · AAA	25	46→43	39→40	41→50	54	211/310/304	93	305	4	9	29%	12%	76	+0.0	195/277/290	95	276	7	10	29%	10%	58	-1.2	184/288/308	124	252	11	12	29%	12%	68	-0.2
✕Michael DeJesus 2008 · A	25	49→51	36→30	43→45	56	227/307/289	62	272	4	6	17%	10%	70	-0.3	229/301/305	76	289	5	6	21%	9%	72	-0.2	229/300/296	67	295	4	4	22%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	51	219/303/311	93	267	8	4	21%	9%	76	+0.0	226/306/320	94	265	9	8	17%	9%	79	+0.3	228/311/314	85	261	9	7	15%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	47	36→30	40	48	217/303/275	58	294	4	5	26%	8%	66	-0.6	231/316/301	70	322	3	5	27%	8%	78	+0.2	238/330/299	62	337	1	3	26%	9%	80	+0.1
✕Robby Price 2013 · A	25	47→48	37→30	42→45	56	219/317/295	76	251	4	7	14%	9%	78	+0.2	209/280/275	66	234	5	5	13%	7%	56	-1.3	198/265/249	51	218	5	2	11%	7%	40	-1.5
✕Jamie Johnson 2012 · AA	25	50→55	37→40	45→50	55	232/315/315	83	291	3	9	20%	10%	80	+0.4	240/313/312	72	289	3	14	16%	9%	78	+0.2	240/315/308	67	282	3	15	15%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Matt Tupman 2006 · AA	26	51→53	37→30	43→30	48	239/302/314	75	294	4	4	20%	7%	74	-0.1	246/309/310	64	290	4	4	15%	8%	76	+0.0	244/306/297	52	284	3	1	14%	8%	68	-0.3
✕Jon-Mark Sprowl 2006 · A	25	45	39→40	44→40	51	215/294/303	88	266	6	6	20%	9%	69	-0.4	204/273/281	77	251	5	7	19%	8%	54	-1.4	142/212/162	20	166	0	0	13%	8%	-5	-0.9
✕Cam Maron 2016 · AA	25	48→58	37→40	46→40	49	226/293/300	74	295	4	4	24%	8%	66	-0.6	236/296/316	80	300	6	4	21%	8%	72	-0.2	244/305/315	71	303	5	1	20%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Nick Haley 2008 · A	24	53→46	36→30	43→50	55	244/325/312	68	303	2	8	19%	10%	83	+0.6	222/295/288	66	301	3	12	25%	9%	65	-0.7	212/288/262	50	293	1	13	26%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Kobe Kato 2023 · A	24	47	41→30	46→55	54	223/310/322	99	281	9	10	22%	11%	80	+0.4	215/294/301	86	303	6	22	28%	9%	68	-0.5	198/284/281	83	286	6	29	30%	10%	55	-0.5
✕Mitchell Tolman 2019 · A	25	44→50	39→45	46→50	47	209/288/295	86	289	7	10	28%	9%	64	-0.8	213/282/321	108	300	10	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	221/294/350	129	290	13	8	27%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Kyle Haines 2007 · A	25	51→54	36→30	43→45	52	237/308/299	61	283	4	8	17%	8%	73	-0.1	232/307/302	70	288	4	7	19%	9%	73	-0.1	237/318/304	67	294	3	4	18%	10%	75	+0.0
✕Casey Benjamin 2006 · A	25	50→52	40→45	44→45	55	236/321/335	99	294	7	7	21%	11%	88	+0.9	232/295/345	113	282	10	6	20%	8%	79	+0.3	226/288/341	115	272	11	5	20%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2016 · AAA	25	49	39→30	39→30	43	237/287/318	80	304	7	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	239/291/310	71	291	6	5	19%	6%	68	-0.5	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	53	198/292/268	70	276	3	7	27%	11%	59	-1.1	195/288/272	77	280	6	7	29%	11%	59	-1.1	161/272/222	60	234	6	4	30%	12%	39	-0.7
✕Louis Ott 2009 · AA	24	48	37→30	42→45	47	224/293/292	68	313	4	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	230/305/304	74	330	5	8	29%	9%	73	-0.1	242/329/293	51	350	4	7	28%	11%	77	+0.1
✕James Skelton 2011 · AA	25	46→56	38→40	49→50	55	216/311/299	83	290	6	12	25%	12%	76	+0.0	223/316/313	90	296	6	10	24%	11%	81	+0.4	219/330/302	83	288	4	9	22%	13%	85	+0.2
✕Casey Turgeon 2017 · AA	24	44	39→40	47→45	55	210/302/302	93	263	5	7	21%	10%	72	-0.2	212/292/317	105	275	10	8	25%	9%	72	-0.2	195/281/291	96	247	12	6	25%	9%	59	-0.6