Kaden Hollow — OGILVIE

Kaden HollowC Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 25 L/R 5'11" / 210 lbs A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 297 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .303 / .293

PA26

HR0

K%24

BB%11

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL Padres	—	47	35	11	3	0	1	11	9	1	0	1	314	489	486	975	171	400	19	23	440	184	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	68	62	10	5	0	0	6	24	0	0	0	161	235	242	477	81	263	35	9	223	37	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	124	91	26	9	1	1	29	28	3	2	0	286	472	440	911	154	403	23	23	413	166	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.3
2025	24	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	68	57	14	2	1	1	8	13	0	1	0	246	338	368	707	123	295	19	12	307	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	24	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	294	235	62	13	0	2	48	48	3	1	2	264	395	345	740	81	314	16	16	337	114	+5	-1	—	—	+6	1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	47	39	9	2	0	1	7	13	1	0	1	231	362	359	721	128	313	28	15	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	68	64	7	3	0	0	4	32	0	0	0	109	162	156	318	47	213	47	6	148	-14	-9	+0	—	—	+1	-0.8
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	124	102	20	6	1	1	18	41	3	2	0	196	333	304	637	108	292	33	15	277	74	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	24	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	68	59	12	1	1	1	6	18	0	1	0	203	277	305	582	102	243	26	9	244	51	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	24	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	294	247	53	10	0	2	36	67	3	1	2	215	322	279	601	65	265	23	12	274	72	-10	-1	—	—	+6	-0.4
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	47	39	9	2	0	1	7	13	1	0	1	231	362	359	721	128	320	28	15	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	47	35	11	3	0	1	11	9	1	0	1	314	489	486	975	171	400	19	23	440	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	192	166	26	9	1	1	22	73	3	2	0	157	267	241	508	84	272	38	11	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	192	153	36	14	1	1	35	52	3	2	0	235	387	359	747	124	350	27	18	346	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	306	65	11	1	3	42	85	3	2	2	212	313	284	598	72	276	23	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	362	292	76	15	1	3	56	61	3	2	2	260	385	349	734	89	311	17	15	331	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	47	39	9	2	0	1	7	13	1	0	1	231	362	359	721	128	313	28	15	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	192	165	26	9	1	1	22	73	3	2	0	158	267	242	509	85	264	38	11	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	314	65	11	1	3	42	85	3	2	2	207	313	277	590	70	261	23	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	47	39	9	2	0	1	7	13	1	0	1	231	362	359	721	128	313	28	15	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	192	165	26	9	1	1	22	73	3	2	0	158	267	242	509	85	264	38	11	231	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	362	314	65	11	1	3	42	85	3	2	2	207	313	277	590	70	261	23	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	26	23	5	1	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	217	308	261	569	43	282	23	12	278	74	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SD	38%	325	284	62	13	1	4	35	78	3	4	1	218	311	313	624	95	283	24	11	286	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.6
2028	27	MLB MLE	SD	52%	361	317	70	14	2	5	38	87	3	5	1	221	310	325	635	104	283	24	11	289	82	-8	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.7
2029	28	MLB MLE	SD	60%	383	336	75	15	2	6	41	92	3	5	1	223	313	333	646	110	283	24	11	290	82	-8	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	SD	62%	389	342	76	15	2	6	41	94	3	5	1	222	311	330	641	108	283	24	11	289	82	-9	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	SD	63%	391	344	75	15	2	5	41	96	3	5	1	218	307	317	624	99	281	25	10	286	80	-9	+1	-2	+7	+8	0.5
2032	31	MLB MLE	SD	69%	371	326	69	14	1	5	39	92	3	4	1	212	302	307	608	95	279	25	11	282	77	-10	+0	-3	+7	+8	0.2
2033	32	MLB MLE	SD	73%	345	303	63	12	1	4	36	87	3	4	1	208	298	294	592	86	276	25	10	276	73	-11	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	SD	38%	123	108	25	5	1	2	13	30	1	2	0	231	320	352	672	120	280	24	11	278	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SD	52%	188	164	36	7	1	3	20	45	2	3	1	220	312	329	641	110	280	24	11	281	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	SD	60%	228	200	44	9	1	3	24	55	2	3	1	220	310	320	630	100	280	24	11	282	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	SD	62%	240	211	46	9	1	4	25	58	2	3	1	218	307	327	634	109	280	24	10	281	82	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	SD	63%	245	215	46	9	1	3	26	60	2	3	1	214	305	307	612	93	278	24	11	278	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2032	31	MLB CTX	SD	69%	255	224	47	9	1	3	27	63	2	3	1	210	300	299	600	89	276	25	11	274	77	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2033	32	MLB CTX	SD	73%	252	221	46	9	1	3	27	63	2	3	1	208	300	299	599	90	273	25	11	269	73	-8	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1531	1343	290	57	7	21	162	374	13	20	6	216	306	316	622	100	282	24	11	277	76	-38	+2	-7	+27	+33	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	123	24	3	9	69	159	6	8	3	216	307	316	623	100	281	24	11	277	76	-16	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3192	2786	595	121	13	40	345	803	28	36	10	214	306	309	616	96	283	25	11	281	76	-64	+4	-10	+46	+56	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	122	25	3	8	70	164	6	7	2	215	307	312	620	97	286	25	11	281	76	-16	+1	-3	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	2.5	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
/162	664	14	9	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.8	1,828	23	23	217	304	313	+33	+20	3.6	3.5
/162	664	8	8	+11.9	+7.3	1.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kaden Hollow (OGILVIE)	25	45	25	40	60	211/303/293	82	282	2	4	24%	11%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrestt Allday 2016 · AA	25	48	36→30	40→50	49	224/305/288	64	301	4	9	25%	9%	73	-0.6	234/309/292	58	293	3	12	19%	8%	75	-0.5	237/314/286	50	292	2	13	18%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Michael DeJesus 2008 · A	25	49→51	36→30	43→45	56	227/307/289	62	272	4	6	17%	10%	74	-0.6	229/301/304	75	288	5	6	20%	9%	74	-0.5	230/301/295	65	294	4	4	21%	9%	71	-0.5
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	40	44→45	50	216/296/304	88	262	8	4	20%	8%	74	-0.6	226/307/313	87	264	8	8	17%	9%	80	-0.2	229/313/307	77	262	7	7	15%	9%	77	-0.1
✕Robby Price 2013 · A	25	49	38→30	42→45	55	227/321/306	79	259	4	7	14%	9%	84	+0.1	211/282/277	66	236	5	5	12%	7%	61	-1.5	200/265/249	49	220	5	2	11%	7%	47	-1.6
✕Nolan Fontana 2016 · AAA	25	46→43	39→40	41→50	55	212/311/307	94	304	5	9	28%	12%	80	-0.2	195/277/291	96	277	7	10	29%	10%	63	-1.3	184/288/307	123	253	11	12	29%	12%	71	-0.3
✕Taylor Krick 2012 · A	24	46	36→30	40	48	214/300/271	57	291	4	5	26%	8%	68	-1.0	233/317/303	70	321	3	5	26%	8%	81	-0.1	244/334/306	62	340	1	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Greg Cullen 2022 · AA	25	46→44	42→40	43→40	52	222/314/329	107	293	9	4	26%	10%	86	+0.3	234/325/337	103	316	10	6	26%	11%	92	+0.7	234/334/325	92	316	9	5	26%	11%	91	+0.3
✕Matt Tupman 2006 · AA	26	51→53	37→30	43→30	49	241/304/315	74	293	4	4	19%	7%	78	-0.3	247/310/310	63	290	3	4	15%	8%	79	-0.2	245/307/297	52	284	3	1	14%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Jon-Mark Sprowl 2006 · A	25	45	39→40	44→40	51	215/294/303	88	266	6	6	20%	9%	72	-0.7	204/274/281	77	250	5	7	19%	8%	59	-1.6	143/213/163	20	166	0	0	13%	8%	8	-0.9
✕Nick Haley 2008 · A	24	53→46	36→30	43→50	55	244/325/312	68	303	2	8	19%	10%	85	+0.2	222/295/288	66	301	3	12	25%	9%	69	-0.9	212/288/262	50	293	1	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Cam Maron 2016 · AA	25	48→57	37→40	46→40	50	227/296/299	72	294	4	4	23%	9%	72	-0.7	238/301/318	80	297	6	4	20%	8%	78	-0.3	250/313/321	72	305	5	1	18%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Jamie Johnson 2012 · AA	25	51→55	37→40	45→50	55	239/320/324	85	295	3	9	19%	10%	86	+0.3	244/317/315	71	290	3	14	15%	9%	82	+0.0	244/318/308	65	283	3	15	14%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Scott Tousa 2006 · AA	26	51→53	38→30	44→45	48	242/317/319	77	301	6	8	20%	7%	84	+0.2	220/288/295	75	285	6	8	23%	7%	68	-1.0	165/232/179	15	222	0	3	24%	6%	20	-1.0
✕Ford Proctor 2021 · A	24	48→49	38→40	44→45	48	226/291/308	82	298	5	8	25%	8%	72	-0.7	208/295/318	110	303	12	6	32%	10%	77	-0.3	195/291/297	102	282	13	4	33%	11%	69	-0.6
✕Tanner Morris 2023 · AAA	25	51→52	40	39→40	53	239/326/331	91	310	8	4	24%	10%	91	+0.6	230/311/321	91	307	7	5	25%	10%	82	+0.0	242/323/328	86	321	7	1	24%	10%	86	+0.2
✕Casey Benjamin 2006 · A	25	50→52	40→45	44→45	55	236/321/335	99	294	7	7	21%	11%	89	+0.5	232/295/341	109	281	9	6	20%	8%	80	-0.1	226/288/336	109	271	10	5	20%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Jon Schemmel 2007 · A	24	52	36→30	42→45	53	240/320/310	70	299	3	6	19%	9%	83	+0.1	227/307/296	69	284	4	6	20%	8%	76	-0.4	223/310/277	54	276	3	4	19%	8%	71	-0.3
✕Kyle Haines 2007 · A	25	51→55	36→30	43→45	52	237/308/299	61	283	4	8	17%	8%	76	-0.4	233/308/303	70	287	4	7	18%	9%	77	-0.3	239/320/307	68	294	3	4	18%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Kawika Emsley-Pai 2013 · A	24	43	36→30	46→40	55	198/298/270	72	275	3	7	26%	12%	67	-1.1	197/293/273	76	284	5	7	29%	11%	65	-1.2	163/278/221	58	239	5	4	30%	13%	48	-0.7
✕Sergio Burruel 2016 · AAA	25	51	38→30	39→30	44	241/292/318	77	307	7	5	23%	6%	74	-0.6	242/294/309	67	295	5	5	19%	6%	72	-0.7	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps