Mario Camilletti
2B Charlotte Knights| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AA/A+CWS | 379 | .249/.394/.355 | 5 | 5 | 69 | — | .207/.303/.298 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AACWS | 367 | .235/.346/.293 | 2 | 7 | 58 | — | .217/.294/.265 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAACWS | 453 | .263/.384/.387 | 9 | 7 | 74 | — | .218/.308/.306 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBCWS | 16 | .227/.314/.312 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 29 | MLBCWS | 58 | .226/.311/.311 | 1 | 1 | 79 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 62 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 200 | 410 | 267 | 677 | 67 | 229 | 15 | 23 | 332 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 434 | 339 | 98 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 84 | 70 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 289 | 433 | 375 | 807 | 86 | 354 | 16 | 19 | 372 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 204 | 155 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 45 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 239 | 416 | 323 | 738 | 84 | 299 | 19 | 22 | 350 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 175 | 146 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 368 | 390 | 759 | 130 | 321 | 21 | 14 | 338 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 41 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 415 | 273 | 687 | 333 | 15 | 20 | 335 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 326 | 278 | 64 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 77 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 230 | 337 | 295 | 632 | 65 | 310 | 24 | 13 | 295 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 377 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 70 | 102 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 263 | 384 | 387 | 771 | 125 | 337 | 23 | 15 | 352 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 62 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 160 | 311 | 220 | 531 | 60 | 194 | 19 | 15 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | — | 434 | 367 | 90 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 95 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 245 | 356 | 313 | 669 | 68 | 314 | 22 | 14 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 204 | 172 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 209 | 327 | 285 | 612 | 76 | 265 | 23 | 14 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 175 | 156 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 275 | 314 | 589 | 109 | 265 | 29 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 41 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 366 | 257 | 623 | 315 | 17 | 15 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 326 | 293 | 62 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 92 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 212 | 285 | 266 | 551 | 55 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 399 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 122 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 218 | 308 | 306 | 614 | 88 | 295 | 27 | 11 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 417 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 68 | 108 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 235 | 350 | 302 | 652 | 67 | 306 | 22 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 496 | 384 | 107 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 98 | 79 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 279 | 430 | 362 | 792 | 83 | 340 | 16 | 20 | 367 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 328 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 204 | 300 | 293 | 593 | 88 | 270 | 26 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 379 | 301 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 69 | 75 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 249 | 394 | 355 | 750 | 106 | 310 | 20 | 18 | 344 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 328 | 70 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 213 | 291 | 262 | 553 | 49 | 298 | 27 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 367 | 311 | 73 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 51 | 83 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 235 | 346 | 293 | 639 | 58 | 313 | 23 | 14 | 299 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 399 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 122 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 218 | 308 | 306 | 614 | 88 | 298 | 27 | 11 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 377 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 70 | 102 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 263 | 384 | 387 | 771 | 125 | 337 | 23 | 15 | 352 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 496 | 419 | 98 | 19 | 0 | 3 | 68 | 108 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 234 | 350 | 301 | 651 | 67 | 299 | 22 | 14 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 331 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 202 | 300 | 290 | 590 | 88 | 265 | 26 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 328 | 70 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 213 | 291 | 262 | 553 | 49 | 296 | 27 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 398 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 122 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 219 | 308 | 307 | 615 | 88 | 295 | 27 | 11 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 379 | 331 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 98 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 202 | 300 | 290 | 590 | 88 | 265 | 26 | 11 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 367 | 328 | 70 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 99 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 213 | 291 | 262 | 553 | 49 | 296 | 27 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 453 | 398 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 122 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 219 | 308 | 307 | 615 | 88 | 295 | 27 | 11 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 10% | 380 | 335 | 75 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 99 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 227 | 313 | 311 | 624 | 84 | 305 | 26 | 10 | 287 | 80 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 10% | 16 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 314 | 312 | 626 | 85 | 306 | 25 | 12 | 288 | 80 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 27% | 212 | 187 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 311 | 309 | 620 | 84 | 303 | 26 | 10 | 285 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 27% | 58 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 311 | 311 | 622 | 85 | 304 | 26 | 10 | 286 | 79 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 58 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 310 | 327 | 637 | 96 | 306 | 26 | 10 | 286 | 75 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 134 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 67 | 168 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 230 | 309 | 324 | 633 | 94 | 304 | 26 | 10 | 286 | 75 | -16 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2062 | 1796 | 396 | 64 | 6 | 20 | 230 | 522 | 17 | 24 | 13 | 220 | 315 | 296 | 611 | 76 | 297 | 25 | 11 | 278 | 75 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 566 | 124 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 73 | 165 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 314 | 293 | 607 | 74 | 296 | 25 | 11 | 278 | 75 | -16 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 453 PAwOBA .344 → .278 (−66)K% 22.5% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 10.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .344 → .278; ISO .125 → .095; BABIP .337 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABirmingham Barons · 326 PAwOBA .289 → .249 (−40)K% 23.6% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.62% | ÷1.020 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.19% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷0.954 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 25.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.984 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.784 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 91, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .289 → .249; ISO .065 → .059; BABIP .310 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 41 PAwOBA .328 → .286 (−42)K% 14.6% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.51% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 13.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 31.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.320 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .286; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .333 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABirmingham Barons · 204 PAwOBA .346 → .279 (−67)K% 18.6% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.63% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.06% | ÷1.081 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 13.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.93% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 21.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.98% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.044 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.935 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 98, 3B 109, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .346 → .279; ISO .084 → .078; BABIP .299 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 175 PAwOBA .335 → .260 (−76)K% 21.1% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.14% | ÷0.952 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.71% | ÷1.006 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷0.972 | ×0.870 | ×0.984 | ×0.978 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.070 | ×0.780 | ×0.984 | ×0.978 | 5.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.929 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×0.978 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.817 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 86, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .335 → .260; ISO .130 → .116; BABIP .321 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AKannapolis Cannon Ballers · 434 PAwOBA .366 → .305 (−62)K% 16.1% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷1.004 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.12% | ÷0.951 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 13.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.980 | 24.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×0.980 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.910 | ×1.019 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 100, 2B 110, 3B 98, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .366 → .305; ISO .086 → .072; BABIP .354 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 62 PAwOBA .325 → .251 (−74)K% 14.5% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.52% | ÷0.948 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.58% | ÷0.943 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 14.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 18.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.017 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.37% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 102, K 90, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .325 → .251; ISO .067 → .062; BABIP .229 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).