Yovanny Cabrera

P South Bend Cubs

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	22	MIX2 levels	34	72	3.73	3.53	25.6%	13.5%	—	K 19.1% · BB 15.8% · FIP 4.63
2024	23	A+CHC	33	45	3.97	4.36	23.7%	14.5%	—	K 18.2% · BB 16.7% · FIP 5.49
2025	24	A+CHC	7	11	5.91	3.85	16.0%	16.0%	—	K 12.3% · BB 18.4% · FIP 4.39
2027PROJ	26	MLBCHC	11	12	5.13	5.13	20.2%	13.8%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBCHC	7	7	5.07	5.09	20.5%	13.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Spencer Bivens (age 28) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131122vR 114

ERA5.13

FIP5.13

K%20.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%6.5%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs 2	19	5	42	180	48	31	1	26%	2.2	18.1%	21.5%	-3.4%	0.8%	4.32	4.72	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs 2	19	5	42	180	48	31	1	26%	2.2	26.7%	17.2%	9.4%	0.6%	4.32	3.34	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	12	10	42	192	41	21	4	83%	3.5	14.5%	13.7%	0.8%	2.9%	6.70	5.18	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	12	10	42	192	41	21	4	83%	3.5	21.4%	10.9%	10.4%	2.1%	6.70	3.89	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	2	31	149	37	24	4	12%	1.9	17.5%	19.5%	-1.9%	3.8%	5.23	6.15	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	2	31	149	37	24	4	12%	1.9	24.8%	16.1%	8.7%	2.7%	5.23	4.71	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	72	312	80	42	5	0%	2.1	19.1%	15.8%	3.3%	2.1%	3.73	4.63	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	72	312	80	42	5	0%	2.1	25.6%	13.5%	12.2%	1.6%	3.73	3.53	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	18.2%	16.7%	1.6%	3.3%	3.97	5.49	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	18.2%	16.7%	1.6%	3.3%	3.97	5.49	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	33	0	45	207	49	30	5	0%	1.4	23.7%	14.5%	9.2%	2.4%	3.97	4.36	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.4%	-6.1%	0.0%	5.91	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	12.3%	18.4%	-6.1%	0.0%	5.91	4.39	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	7	0	11	50	8	8	0	0%	1.5	16.0%	16.0%	0.0%	0.0%	5.91	3.85	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CHC	11	0	12	51	10	7	1	0%	1.1	20.2%	13.8%	6.5%	2.9%	5.13	5.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	17	11	3	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.09	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.09	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	3.0%	5.07	4.71	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	109	27	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.4%	7.1%	3.0%	5.07	4.71	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		121	17	243	1090	190	187	26	14%	2.0	17.4%	17.2%	0.3%	2.4%	4.67	5.10	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	14	200	898	157	154	21	14%	2.0	17.4%	17.2%	0.3%	2.4%	4.67	5.10	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yovanny Cabrera (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.13	20.2%	13.8%	2.9%	—	5.09	20.5%	7.1%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	81
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	80
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	80
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	80
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	80
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	80
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	79
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	79
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	79
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	79
Jackson Goddard R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	26	SU	4.53	21.1%	14.3%	2.5%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	149	78
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	78
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	78
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	77
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	77
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	77