Colby Thomas

RF Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AAA HR +14% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAA40-MANArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAAOAK	314	.272/.347/.559	17	3	91	—	.218/.286/.423
2025	24	MLBOAK	132	.225/.273/.417	6	2	84	-0.7
2026	25	MLBOAK	121	.202/.235/.333	4	1	53	-0.8
2027PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBPHI	158	.215/.276/.388	6	2	82	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	27	MLBPHI	192	.214/.275/.385	7	3	81	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.2M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Chase%90

Bat Spd83

Avg EV73

Barrel%70

Speed68

Whiff%57

CompsRyan Rua (age 26) · Evan White (age 26) · Trayce Thompson (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 8682vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .276 / .388

PA158

HR6

K%30

BB%6

BABIP271

ISO179

MLB%45%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5710.2%

xAVG

100.195

POWER60

Barrel%

7011.2

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

8374.8

EYE40

Chase%

9023.5%

SPEED50

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2025 · 132 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

140

◀◀L

wOBA

375

207

◀◀L

ISO

344

034

◀◀L

BABIP

281

333

▶▶R

36.2%

38.1%

◀L

BB%

8.7%

1.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.9M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	237	217	63	15	2	10	11	70	4	11	2	290	333	516	849	226	381	30	5	365	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Stockton Ports	—	327	290	82	24	4	8	26	76	11	14	4	283	364	476	840	193	359	23	8	372	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	314	279	76	25	2	17	23	95	9	3	3	272	347	559	906	287	347	30	7	390	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	261	234	66	19	3	14	17	47	5	12	1	282	341	568	909	286	295	18	7	387	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Athletics	—	132	120	27	5	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	225	273	417	690	192	309	37	5	295	84	-3	+0	-1	-6	+3	-0.7
2025	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	384	333	97	21	2	18	32	103	11	7	4	291	371	529	900	237	361	27	8	387	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Athletics	—	121	114	23	3	0	4	4	37	1	1	1	202	235	333	569	132	260	31	3	249	53	-7	-0	+0	-3	+3	-0.8
2026	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	200	180	37	7	1	6	15	61	4	2	2	206	281	356	637	150	274	30	8	287	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	253	234	50	8	0	10	11	86	2	3	2	214	255	376	631	162	284	34	4	273	71	-9	-0	-1	-9	+5	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	237	222	48	11	1	6	8	95	4	11	2	216	256	356	612	140	333	40	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	327	298	66	18	3	6	18	104	11	14	4	221	291	362	653	141	315	32	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	314	284	62	18	2	12	18	111	9	3	3	218	286	423	709	204	298	35	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	261	241	52	13	2	12	12	59	5	12	1	216	267	436	703	220	231	23	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	132	120	26	4	0	6	7	49	1	2	1	217	266	400	666	183	309	37	5	292	84	-3	+0	-1	-6	+3	-0.7
2025	24	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	384	342	82	18	2	11	24	121	11	7	4	240	310	401	711	161	317	32	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Athletics	—	121	114	23	3	0	4	4	37	1	1	1	202	235	333	569	132	260	31	3	247	53	-7	-0	+0	-3	+3	-0.8
2026	25	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	200	185	32	6	1	4	10	73	4	2	2	173	231	281	512	108	250	36	5	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	564	520	115	29	5	12	26	198	15	25	6	221	278	365	643	144	330	35	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	564	507	145	39	6	18	37	146	15	25	6	286	351	493	844	207	368	26	7	369	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	525	115	32	4	24	30	171	14	15	4	219	279	432	712	213	271	30	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	575	513	142	44	5	31	40	142	14	15	4	277	344	563	908	287	321	25	7	389	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	462	109	23	2	17	31	170	12	9	5	236	301	405	706	169	323	33	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	516	453	124	26	2	24	39	152	12	9	5	274	347	499	845	225	348	29	8	364	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	321	299	54	8	1	8	14	110	5	3	3	181	230	294	524	114	254	34	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	321	294	60	10	1	10	19	98	5	3	3	204	264	347	611	143	269	31	6	273	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	564	518	115	29	5	12	26	198	15	25	6	222	278	367	645	145	323	35	5	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	526	115	32	4	24	30	171	14	15	4	219	279	432	711	213	268	30	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	468	109	23	2	17	31	170	12	9	5	233	301	400	701	167	315	33	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	321	299	54	8	1	8	14	110	5	3	3	181	230	294	524	114	254	34	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	575	526	115	32	4	24	30	171	14	15	4	219	279	432	711	213	268	30	5	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	516	468	109	23	2	17	31	170	12	9	5	233	301	400	701	167	315	33	6	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	321	299	54	8	1	8	14	110	5	3	3	181	230	294	524	114	254	34	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PHI	45%	371	339	73	14	2	13	22	112	7	6	1	212	274	378	652	165	271	30	6	289	82	-8	+1	-0	-4	+8	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	PHI	45%	158	145	32	6	1	6	9	48	3	2	1	215	276	388	664	173	271	30	6	294	82	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	389	356	76	14	2	14	23	118	7	6	1	211	273	375	648	164	270	30	6	287	81	-9	+1	-0	-4	+8	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	192	175	38	7	1	7	12	58	3	3	1	214	275	385	660	171	271	30	6	292	81	-4	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	445	409	88	15	1	17	23	144	5	6	3	215	265	381	647	166	282	32	5	282	79	-13	+0	-2	-11	+10	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	128	22	1	25	34	210	7	9	4	214	265	380	645	166	280	32	5	282	79	-19	+0	-2	-16	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2715	2482	536	119	15	87	145	872	59	63	20	216	276	381	657	165	291	32	5	285	79	-25	+1	-2	-17	+21	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	128	28	4	21	35	209	14	15	5	215	275	382	657	167	290	32	5	285	79	-17	+1	-1	-11	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Brian Hunter'91-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,742 PA	2.6	1,742	67	4	226*	288*	432*	-29	+4	0.1	0.8
/162	664	26	2	-11.1	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	603	22	8	212	262	375	-6	-5	-0.6	-0.5
/162	664	25	9	-7.1	-5.6	-0.6	pk7: -0
#5Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colby Thomas (OGILVIE)	26	55	60	50	40	211/272/374	164	271	12	5	30%	6%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ryan Rua 2016 · MLB	26	44→54	49→50	47→50	42	225/281/372	147	285	17	7	27%	6%	84	+0.1	225/282/361	136	311	17	12	32%	6%	81	-0.1	217/274/354	136	303	17	14	33%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Evan White 2022 · MLB	26	41→51	52→55	43→40	41	215/273/375	160	287	21	5	32%	7%	82	-0.0	215/282/375	160	270	19	7	27%	8%	84	+0.2	169/244/357	189	183	25	0	25%	8%	63	-0.2
●Trayce Thompson 2017 · MLB	26	45→49	51→60	51→50	45	230/287/398	168	283	18	12	26%	7%	91	+0.7	183/234/321	138	256	16	9	34%	6%	54	-2.0	203/291/407	204	286	27	7	37%	10%	95	+0.6
✕Brett Carroll 2009 · MLB	26	42→46	53→55	42→50	40	223/275/396	173	279	20	5	28%	5%	87	+0.4	214/277/361	147	267	16	7	26%	6%	80	-0.2	205/272/343	137	252	15	8	25%	6%	72	-0.5
✕Tyler Colvin 2012 · MLB	26	40→50	53→60	52→45	39	213/254/391	177	260	20	6	27%	5%	77	-0.3	225/270/391	166	294	17	8	29%	6%	83	+0.1	227/273/385	158	301	15	8	29%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Austin Hays 2021 · MLB	26	45→54	51→60	45	40	234/279/391	156	282	20	11	25%	5%	87	+0.4	250/303/420	170	293	19	6	21%	6%	103	+1.5	253/307/424	171	299	19	4	22%	6%	106	+1.6
✕Eric Wood 2019 · AAA	26	43→50	51→55	51→45	42	222/279/386	164	284	18	8	28%	6%	86	+0.3	223/279/373	150	301	17	8	30%	6%	83	+0.1	202/258/340	139	270	18	2	32%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2016 · AAA	25	43→47	52→55	47→50	42	227/282/388	161	279	21	12	27%	6%	88	+0.4	217/276/351	134	275	14	13	26%	6%	77	-0.3	206/267/328	122	262	11	14	25%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Kent Matthes 2014 · AAA	27	40→49	53→60	50	38	217/258/393	176	269	21	13	28%	4%	80	-0.2	201/246/333	132	268	14	10	30%	5%	61	-1.5	183/228/306	124	244	12	8	30%	5%	46	-1.5
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2016 · AAA	26	46→50	49→60	50	41	232/279/379	147	291	16	11	26%	5%	84	+0.1	214/266/357	143	292	16	8	31%	6%	74	-0.5	210/275/401	192	267	25	3	31%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Wladimir Balentien 2010 · MLB	26	43→48	52→60	44→50	47	227/290/398	171	274	20	7	25%	8%	93	+0.8	239/293/422	183	285	22	11	24%	7%	99	+1.3	240/288/439	199	276	26	14	24%	6%	102	+1.1
✕David Winfree 2012 · AAA	26	47→50	50	50→40	42	239/284/394	154	281	18	10	22%	5%	89	+0.5	232/287/370	138	294	15	11	25%	6%	85	+0.2	215/260/324	109	286	8	0	27%	5%	64	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2022 · MLB	26	38→42	52→55	48→50	42	205/272/372	168	280	21	10	34%	8%	80	-0.1	197/267/330	133	274	15	13	32%	8%	68	-1.0	180/260/303	122	249	13	14	32%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Josh Whitaker 2015 · AAA	26	44→54	49→50	46→45	39	226/274/373	147	296	17	9	30%	6%	81	-0.1	217/261/349	132	286	14	9	28%	5%	70	-0.9	197/235/324	127	256	14	8	29%	4%	51	-1.4
✕Sandro Fabian 2024 · AAA	26	45→48	52→55	48→45	41	235/276/403	168	263	20	6	20%	4%	88	+0.5	240/291/394	154	273	17	7	19%	6%	92	+0.7	242/295/394	152	270	16	4	17%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Michael Hermosillo 2021 · MLB	26	41→49	50→55	49→55	39	207/287/358	151	304	17	13	36%	7%	83	+0.1	221/311/390	169	300	19	15	31%	8%	100	+1.3	202/288/380	178	250	24	18	29%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Stefan Gartrell 2010 · AAA	26	47→52	50→55	50→45	42	238/292/396	159	309	17	7	28%	6%	93	+0.8	228/282/394	166	296	21	6	30%	6%	89	+0.5	219/275/387	168	281	23	6	30%	6%	81	-0.0
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2010 · MLB	26	40→48	52→55	50	40	213/264/383	170	266	20	9	29%	6%	80	-0.2	237/286/394	157	289	18	12	24%	6%	90	+0.6	240/295/408	167	283	19	7	22%	7%	98	+0.8
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	42→44	55→60	45→50	42	221/287/415	194	279	23	10	29%	7%	96	+1.0	226/296/407	181	287	20	8	28%	8%	97	+1.1	219/296/392	174	276	19	6	27%	8%	94	+0.4
✕Will Craig 2021 · AAA	26	42→48	52→55	42→40	40	220/281/382	162	284	20	5	30%	6%	86	+0.3	231/287/378	147	303	17	7	28%	6%	86	+0.3	227/277/371	145	290	18	0	28%	6%	81	-0.0

Colby Thomas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps