Geoffrey Gilbert

Geoffrey Gilbert P Somerset Patriots

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.54

FIP4.54

K%24.9%

BB%12.8%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	38	0	49	205	58	28	1	0%	1.3	20.9%	16.1%	4.8%	0.6%	2.92	3.69	—
2023	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	38	0	49	205	58	28	1	0%	1.3	20.9%	16.1%	4.8%	0.6%	2.92	3.69	—
2023	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	38	0	49	205	58	28	1	0%	1.3	28.3%	13.7%	14.6%	0.5%	2.92	2.71	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	5	0	7	25	10	2	0	0%	1.4	40.0%	8.0%	32.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.74	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	5	0	7	25	10	2	0	0%	1.4	40.0%	8.0%	32.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.74	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Hudson Valley Renegades	5	0	7	25	10	2	0	0%	1.4	40.0%	8.0%	32.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	44	184	63	22	2	3%	1.4	26.4%	13.1%	13.2%	1.7%	2.47	3.49	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	1	44	184	63	22	2	3%	1.4	26.4%	13.1%	13.2%	1.7%	2.47	3.49	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	1	44	184	63	22	2	3%	1.4	34.2%	12.0%	22.3%	1.1%	2.47	2.32	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	30	1	40	164	47	22	7	3%	1.3	23.2%	14.8%	8.5%	5.1%	3.63	5.82	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	30	1	40	164	47	22	7	3%	1.3	23.2%	14.8%	8.5%	5.1%	3.63	5.82	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	NYY	30	1	40	164	47	22	7	3%	1.3	28.7%	13.4%	15.2%	4.3%	3.63	4.72	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	37	0	39	166	41	21	5	0%	1.1	25.0%	12.4%	12.6%	2.8%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	16	0	17	72	18	9	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	12.4%	12.6%	2.8%	4.50	4.50	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	73	18	9	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	12.4%	12.6%	2.8%	4.50	4.11	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	104	23	0%	1.1	25.0%	12.4%	12.6%	2.8%	4.50	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		104	2	140	578	139	83	13	2%	1.3	24.1%	14.4%	9.7%	2.2%	2.84	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		149	3	200	828	200	119	18	2%	1.3	24.1%	14.4%	9.7%	2.2%	2.84	4.10	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Geoffrey Gilbert (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.54	24.9%	12.8%	2.8%	—	4.50	25.0%	12.6%	39	-0.04	—	—	—
Dario Alvarez L 2015 · 3.47 FIP	26	SU	3.47	26.0%	13.1%	1.7%	.260	3.64	27.7%	17.1%	129	+0.17	3.47	160	87
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	85
Wesley Moore L 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	25.9%	13.2%	1.9%	.254	4.18	18.3%	5.6%	58	+0.56	3.62	111	84
Peyton Alford L 2023 · 3.69 FIP	25	SU	3.69	28.0%	12.4%	2.5%	.303	4.16	24.1%	12.9%	172	+0.47	3.66	288	83
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	83
Jared Tobey L 2021 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	23.6%	11.8%	2.8%	.341	8.03	20.1%	1.1%	25	+3.92	3.99	158	83
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.90	22.0%	8.8%	105	-0.30	3.14	161	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	83
Hunter Cervenka L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SU	3.63	25.2%	14.7%	1.5%	.381	4.34	22.0%	10.0%	109	+0.71	3.08	194	82
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	82
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	81
Ryan O'Rourke L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	27.4%	12.9%	2.6%	.284	3.05	23.4%	16.7%	53	-0.80	3.05	145	80
Jake Miednik L 2021 · 4.94 FIP	25	SU	4.94	23.7%	11.7%	4.3%	.308	6.12	10.5%	-4.1%	32	+1.18	1.55	126	80
Elvis Araujo L 2016 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	21.0%	9.8%	2.8%	.308	5.18	22.9%	11.1%	38	+1.09	2.46	120	80
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	80
Miguel Aguilar L 2017 · 3.41 FIP	25	SU	3.41	22.9%	12.2%	1.3%	.273	3.59	22.5%	14.4%	87	+0.18	2.18	261	80
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	79
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	79
Jerry Vasto L 2017 · 4.16 FIP	25	SU	4.16	22.2%	10.2%	3.0%	.382	3.52	24.0%	12.5%	38	-0.64	2.89	206	79
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	24.9%	12.5%	1.09	4.51
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10