Bradley Blalock — OGILVIE

Bradley Blalock P Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 213 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 7 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152144vR 136

ERA5.88

FIP5.73

K%13.1%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%1.5%

ROS IP7

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 123 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD2020

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p1015.9%

p109.8%

xwOBA vs

p100.409

CU (13%)

CT-0.9 (10%)

SL-3.3 (15%)

FB-14.6 (46%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	4	3	7	29	4	4	0	75%	1.7	13.8%	13.8%	0.0%	0.0%	6.75	3.68	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	4	3	7	29	4	4	0	75%	1.7	13.8%	13.8%	0.0%	0.0%	6.75	3.70	—
2021	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	23	23	86	390	85	36	5	100%	3.8	16.1%	10.9%	5.2%	1.9%	4.27	4.18	—
2021	20	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	23	23	86	390	85	36	5	100%	3.8	21.8%	9.2%	12.6%	1.3%	4.27	3.13	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	67	271	75	20	7	100%	4.5	21.1%	8.5%	12.5%	3.2%	2.82	4.14	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	67	271	75	20	7	100%	4.5	21.1%	8.5%	12.5%	3.2%	2.82	4.14	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	67	271	75	20	7	100%	4.5	27.7%	7.4%	20.3%	2.6%	2.82	3.11	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	24	120	524	100	49	16	89%	4.5	15.9%	10.1%	5.8%	3.7%	4.64	5.10	-0.3
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	24	120	524	100	49	16	89%	4.5	15.9%	10.1%	5.8%	3.7%	4.64	5.10	-0.3
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	24	120	524	100	49	16	89%	4.5	19.1%	9.4%	9.7%	3.1%	4.64	4.39	+0.7
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	27	119	572	79	57	28	93%	4.1	12.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.7%	8.97	5.84	-1.2
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	27	119	572	79	57	28	93%	4.1	12.3%	9.4%	2.9%	4.7%	8.97	5.84	-1.2
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	27	119	572	79	57	28	93%	4.1	13.8%	10.0%	3.8%	4.9%	8.97	6.26	-1.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			23	18	95	448	53	44	22	78%	4.1	11.8%	9.8%	2.0%	4.9%	7.84	6.37	-1.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	26	23	116	511	109	47	22	88%	4.5	17.6%	8.4%	9.3%	4.8%	5.43	5.28	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	26	23	116	511	109	47	22	88%	4.5	17.6%	8.4%	9.3%	4.8%	5.43	5.28	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	MIA	24	23	110	485	103	45	21	96%	4.6	21.2%	9.3%	12.0%	4.3%	5.56	4.86	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	MIA	2	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	3.0	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.8%	3.00	4.24	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	MIA	2	0	6	26	6	2	1	0%	3.0	23.1%	7.7%	15.4%	3.8%	3.00	4.24	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	MIA	1	1	7	28	4	3	1	100%	6.5	13.1%	11.6%	1.5%	4.1%	5.88	5.73	-0.1
ROS	25	MLB CTX	MIA	1	1	7	30	4	3	1	100%	7.0	13.1%	11.6%	1.5%	4.1%	5.88	5.73	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	MIA	—	—	123	539	113	50	23	—	—	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	4.3%	5.45	5.31	-0.6
FULL	25	MLB A+C	MIA	—	—	13	53	113	50	23	—	—	212.6%	94.8%	117.8%	43.7%	53.28	21.13	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	121	509	77	57	20	100%	6.0	15.1%	11.1%	4.0%	4.0%	5.90	5.81	-1.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	123	518	81	57	21	100%	6.1	15.6%	11.0%	4.6%	4.0%	5.75	5.73	-1.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	123	518	82	57	21	100%	6.1	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	4.0%	5.71	5.74	-1.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	MIA	20	20	117	495	76	55	21	100%	5.9	15.4%	11.1%	4.3%	4.1%	5.78	5.86	-1.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	MIA	18	18	110	466	68	53	20	100%	6.1	14.7%	11.4%	3.3%	4.3%	5.95	6.07	-1.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	MIA	19	19	115	486	73	54	19	100%	6.1	15.1%	11.1%	4.0%	4.0%	5.90	5.81	-1.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	20	20	117	494	77	54	20	100%	5.8	15.6%	11.0%	4.6%	4.0%	5.75	5.73	-1.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	20	20	117	494	78	54	20	100%	5.8	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	4.0%	5.71	5.74	-1.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	MIA	18	18	111	469	72	52	19	100%	6.2	15.4%	11.1%	4.3%	4.1%	5.78	5.86	-1.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	MIA	18	18	105	443	65	50	19	100%	5.8	14.7%	11.4%	3.3%	4.3%	5.95	6.07	-1.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		118	113	666	2857	422	312	120	96%	5.6	14.8%	10.9%	3.9%	4.2%	6.11	5.55	-4.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	34	200	858	127	94	36	96%	5.6	14.8%	10.9%	3.9%	4.2%	6.11	5.55	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		124	115	516	2297	367	219	87	93%	4.2	16.0%	9.5%	6.5%	3.8%	5.55	5.04	-7.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	45	200	891	142	85	34	93%	4.2	16.0%	9.5%	6.5%	3.8%	5.55	5.04	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bradley Blalock (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.18	12.5%	11.9%	4.1%	—	5.76	15.5%	4.5%	366	-0.42	—	—	—
Jarred Cosart R 2015 · 5.07 FIP	25	SP	5.07	15.2%	10.8%	3.4%	.274	4.94	13.1%	-0.5%	132	-0.13	4.10	218	78
Johendí Jiminian R 2018 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP	5.25	14.0%	11.4%	3.5%	.282	4.41	13.9%	4.4%	94	-0.84	4.01	419	78
Sam Wolff R 2016 · 5.72 FIP	25	SP	5.72	13.9%	15.0%	3.5%	.278	3.15	25.1%	15.5%	106	-2.57	2.66	178	76
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.23	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.01	3.57	306	75
Grant Judkins R 2022 · 6.22 FIP	24	SP	6.22	15.8%	13.4%	5.0%	.306	5.53	15.7%	6.6%	207	-0.69	5.13	322	74
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	73
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	73
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	72
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.84	19.6%	8.0%	114	-2.22	3.68	136	72
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.41	25.9%	11.8%	106	-0.76	3.84	202	71
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	71
Allen Webster R 2015 · 5.05 FIP	25	SP	5.05	14.0%	9.1%	3.6%	.356	5.78	14.9%	6.8%	58	+0.73	4.56	177	71
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	71
Zach Lee R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	25	SP	5.40	11.7%	11.1%	3.5%	.332	3.77	15.1%	8.9%	268	-1.63	3.10	738	71
Mason Erla R 2023 · 6.22 FIP	25	SP	6.22	13.2%	12.5%	4.8%	.350	4.03	15.7%	7.9%	75	-2.19	3.11	206	70
Trenton Toplikar R 2021 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP-	5.25	16.4%	9.3%	4.3%	.325	5.83	16.9%	4.2%	30	+0.58	4.32	232	70
Matthew DeRosier R 2018 · 5.67 FIP	24	SP-	5.67	15.1%	9.1%	4.9%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	200	70
Thomas Farr R 2023 · 5.31 FIP	24	SP	5.31	12.9%	9.7%	3.8%	.278	5.42	11.7%	2.3%	208	+0.11	5.05	423	70
Mitchell Traver R 2018 · 5.21 FIP	24	SP	5.21	14.3%	10.6%	3.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	5.21	104	69
Kevin Biondic R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	8.6%	11.0%	3.2%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	5.52	100	69

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	111	15.0%	11.2%	1.58	5.87
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56