Bradley Blalock
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 213 lbs
AAA
ERA6.76
FIP5.85
xFIP5.67
SIERA5.76
K%14.8%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%4.8%
IP49
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL4040
CMD2020
K†3040
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p1015.9%
K%
p109.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.409
CU (13%)
CT-0.9 (10%)
SL-3.3 (15%)
FB-14.6 (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.75 | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 23 | 23 | 86 | 390 | 85 | 36 | 5 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 2.0% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 15 | 15 | 67 | 271 | 75 | 20 | 7 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 2.82 | 4.13 | +0.7 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 27 | 24 | 120 | 524 | 100 | 49 | 16 | 15.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 4.64 | 5.14 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 29 | 27 | 119 | 572 | 79 | 57 | 28 | 12.7% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 8.97 | 6.15 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 3 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.93 | 5.22 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 20 | — | 20 | 83 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 14.0% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 7.40 | 6.23 | -0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 34 | 137 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 5.13 | 5.81 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 49 | — | 49 | 208 | 33 | 25 | 9 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 6.46 | 5.97 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 16.3% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 6.04 | 5.85 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 16.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 5.87 | 5.80 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 16.3% | 11.6% | 4.1% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.5 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 30 | 23 | 8 | 15.7% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 5.89 | 5.93 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 28 | 22 | 8 | 15.1% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 5.98 | 6.03 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 42 | — | 42 | 179 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 14.5% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 6.08 | 6.15 | -0.6 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 24 | 21 | 8 | 13.9% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 6.20 | 6.28 | -0.6 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 13.2% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 6.33 | 6.42 | -0.6 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 36 | — | 36 | 153 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 12.4% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 6.47 | 6.57 | -0.7 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 11.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 6.63 | 6.73 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 101 | 95 | 414 | 1840 | 287 | 185 | 68 | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 5.46 | 5.09 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 46 | 200 | 890 | 139 | 89 | 33 | 15.6% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 5.46 | 5.09 | +0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bradley Blalock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.23 | 14.0% | 12.2% | 4.3% | — | 5.87 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 146 | -0.36 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.29 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 316 | 83 |
| Jake Dunning R 2027 · 5.59 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.59 | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .354 | 4.30 | 14.1% | 2.8% | 74 | -1.29 | 4.20 | 120 | 79 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.74 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.6% | .340 | 6.89 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.15 | 2.89 | 115 | 79 |
| Aaron Cohn R 2025 · 5.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.79 | 11.1% | 10.7% | 4.2% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.73 | 106 | 79 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.34 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.34 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .294 | 5.62 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.28 | 2.60 | 198 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.74 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 105 | 78 |
| Andrew Gross R 2026 · 6.02 FIP | 25 | SW | 6.02 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 116 | 78 |
| David Holman R 2028 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .324 | 5.48 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.00 | 5.37 | 129 | 78 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.75 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.5% | .278 | 3.13 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.62 | 2.67 | 178 | 77 |
| Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.73 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 3.7% | .282 | 4.49 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 53 | -1.24 | 4.49 | 170 | 77 |
| Paul Clemens R 2028 · 5.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.33 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .310 | 4.55 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.78 | 4.49 | 247 | 77 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.73 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.1% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 232 | 77 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2028 · 6.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 6.74 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.1% | .314 | 4.30 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.44 | 3.26 | 118 | 77 |
| Adrian Garza R 2028 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .360 | 4.17 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 84 | -1.31 | 3.95 | 229 | 77 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.16 | 17.0% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .273 | 2.95 | 22.8% | 15.6% | 188 | -2.21 | 2.59 | 302 | 77 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 141 | 76 |
| Brody Jessee R 2025 · 5.90 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.90 | 15.3% | 13.9% | 4.2% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 140 | 76 |
| Will Geerdes R 2025 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 16.3% | 12.2% | 4.1% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 121 | 76 |
| Aldo Montes R 2026 · 6.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 6.69 | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | .337 | 4.71 | 11.6% | 1.4% | 110 | -1.98 | 4.64 | 210 | 76 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .282 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.86 | 3.99 | 419 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.