Bradley Blalock
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 25
RHP
6'2" / 213 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 165156vR 146
ERA6.30
FIP6.15
K%12.7%
BB%12.4%
K-BB%0.3%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 127 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p1015.9%
K%
p109.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.409
CU (13%)
CT-0.9 (10%)
SL-3.3 (15%)
FB-14.6 (46%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 1.7 | 13.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 3.68 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 4 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 75% | 1.7 | 13.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.75 | 3.70 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 23 | 23 | 86 | 390 | 85 | 36 | 5 | 100% | 3.8 | 16.1% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 4.27 | 4.40 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 23 | 23 | 86 | 390 | 85 | 36 | 5 | 100% | 3.8 | 21.8% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 1.3% | 4.27 | 3.13 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 67 | 271 | 75 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 21.1% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 3.1% | 2.82 | 4.09 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 67 | 271 | 75 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 4.5 | 27.7% | 7.4% | 20.3% | 2.6% | 2.82 | 3.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 24 | 120 | 524 | 100 | 49 | 16 | 89% | 4.5 | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.64 | 5.21 | +0.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 24 | 120 | 524 | 100 | 49 | 16 | 89% | 4.5 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.64 | 4.39 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 27 | 119 | 572 | 79 | 57 | 28 | 93% | 4.1 | 12.7% | 10.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 8.97 | 5.70 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 27 | 119 | 572 | 79 | 57 | 28 | 93% | 4.1 | 13.8% | 10.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.97 | 6.26 | -1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 16 | 16 | 74 | 322 | 71 | 29 | 17 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 5.81 | 5.85 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 28 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.7% | 12.4% | 0.3% | 3.9% | 6.30 | 6.15 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | MIA | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.7% | 12.4% | 0.3% | 3.9% | 6.30 | 6.15 | -0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 127 | 542 | 99 | 56 | 26 | — | — | 18.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.01 | 5.97 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 29 | 121 | 15 | 15 | 5 | — | — | 12.7% | 12.4% | 0.3% | 3.9% | 6.30 | 5.77 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 78 | 328 | 48 | 40 | 13 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.8% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.97 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 76 | 323 | 50 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.82 | 5.80 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.8% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.97 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | MIA | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.82 | 5.80 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 47 | 44 | 237 | 1046 | 138 | 117 | 45 | 94% | 5.0 | 13.2% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.80 | 5.77 | -1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 37 | 200 | 882 | 116 | 99 | 38 | 94% | 5.0 | 13.2% | 11.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.80 | 5.77 | -0.9 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 108 | 474 | 2108 | 342 | 212 | 82 | 95% | 4.2 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.62 | 5.13 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 46 | 200 | 889 | 144 | 89 | 34 | 95% | 4.2 | 16.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.62 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bradley Blalock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.15 | 12.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% | — | 5.84 | 15.1% | 3.1% | 154 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 78 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 78 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 77 |
| Chris McElvain R 2026 · 6.60 FIP | 25 | SP | 6.60 | 14.8% | 13.3% | 5.6% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 287 | 75 |
| Grant Judkins R 2025 · 6.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.22 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.0% | .306 | 5.85 | 15.7% | 6.6% | 207 | -0.37 | 5.40 | 322 | 74 |
| Trystan Vrieling R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.66 | 16.8% | 17.2% | 3.3% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 297 | 73 |
| Tanner Hall R 2024 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 72 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 72 |
| Aaron Sanchez R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.38 | 14.4% | 12.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 4.48 | 18.6% | 7.3% | 236 | -0.90 | 3.43 | 924 | 72 |
| Parker Smith R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 132 | 71 |
| Noah Song R 2027 · 6.24 FIP | 26 | SP | 6.24 | 12.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% | .239 | 4.28 | 17.8% | 4.6% | 85 | -1.96 | 3.62 | 106 | 71 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2024 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 71 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 71 |
| Lauro Ramirez R 2026 · 6.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.21 | 9.5% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .382 | 5.19 | 7.2% | -3.4% | 90 | -1.02 | 5.19 | 140 | 71 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2027 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 70 |
| Ryan Hawks R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.48 | 14.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 304 | 70 |
| Adam Kloffenstein R 2026 · 5.70 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.70 | 17.7% | 12.8% | 4.5% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 584 | 70 |
| Zach Lee R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.26 | 11.7% | 11.1% | 3.2% | .332 | 3.81 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 268 | -1.45 | 3.24 | 738 | 70 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 70 |
| Jarrod Cande R 2025 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.66 | 16.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 292 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 14.5% | 12.1% | 1.50 | 6.00 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Edwin Jackson ('19) | 5 | 75 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 1.75 | 5.37 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |