Parker Dunshee
P
Rochester Red Wings
+0.2
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
xFIP7.04
SIERA4.82
K%21.8%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.0%
IP38
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
K†5050
SI (39%)
CU (8%)
SL-1.1 (53%)
FB-2.3 (39%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | — | — | — | 13.50 | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 24 | 22 | 151 | 587 | 163 | 29 | 12 | 21.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.33 | 3.21 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 26 | 25 | 130 | 547 | 124 | 48 | 22 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 4.36 | 4.75 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 11 | 10 | 45 | 207 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 6.55 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 31 | 20 | 111 | 537 | 92 | 56 | 38 | 15.1% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 9.22 | 7.16 | -2.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | 34 | 5 | 65 | 290 | 77 | 32 | 9 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 3.18 | 4.75 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 38 | 0 | 62 | 274 | 86 | 29 | 3 | 27.3% | 11.0% | 0.4% | 3.94 | 2.42 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 33 | 0 | 39 | 175 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 5.12 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 38 | — | 38 | 158 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.54 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 34 | — | 34 | 145 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 21.5% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.60 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 33 | — | 33 | 138 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.68 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | WSH | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | WSH | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 198 | 82 | 605 | 2628 | 522 | 246 | 100 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 4.70 | +4.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 27 | 200 | 869 | 173 | 81 | 33 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.82 | 4.70 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Parker Dunshee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.65 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 103 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 90 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 83 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 83 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 80 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.83 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .283 | 4.53 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.30 | 2.93 | 176 | 80 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.45 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.18 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.27 | 2.48 | 147 | 80 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.01 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 1.9% | .276 | 3.38 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.63 | 3.38 | 129 | 80 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 78 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 78 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 77 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 77 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.45 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .308 | 4.77 | 19.3% | 7.3% | 90 | +1.32 | 3.45 | 170 | 77 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.81 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .314 | 3.37 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.44 | 3.37 | 144 | 77 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.33 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 2.2% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 108 | 77 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.63 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .276 | 4.24 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.39 | 4.11 | 186 | 77 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 76 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 1.5% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 159 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.