Parker Dunshee — OGILVIE

Parker Dunshee P Rochester Red Wings

Age 31 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%20.1%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

SI (39%)

CU (8%)

SL-1.1 (53%)

FB-2.3 (39%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	1	0	2	11	3	0	1	0%	2.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	9.1%	13.50	5.79	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	1	0	2	11	3	0	1	0%	2.0	27.3%	0.0%	27.3%	9.1%	13.50	6.60	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	151	587	163	29	12	92%	6.3	21.9%	5.6%	16.4%	2.3%	2.33	3.22	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	151	587	163	29	12	92%	6.3	27.8%	4.9%	22.8%	2.0%	2.33	2.55	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	130	547	124	48	22	96%	5.0	19.5%	9.3%	10.2%	4.0%	4.36	4.83	—
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	130	547	124	48	22	96%	5.0	22.7%	8.8%	13.9%	4.0%	4.36	4.50	—
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	10	45	207	41	16	7	91%	4.1	16.8%	8.4%	8.4%	4.1%	6.55	5.01	—
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	10	45	207	41	16	7	91%	4.1	19.8%	7.7%	12.1%	3.4%	6.55	4.36	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	31	20	111	537	92	56	38	65%	3.6	15.1%	10.9%	4.1%	7.2%	9.22	7.19	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	Las Vegas Aviators	31	20	111	537	92	56	38	65%	3.6	17.1%	10.4%	6.7%	7.1%	9.22	7.39	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	5	65	290	77	32	9	15%	1.9	21.7%	11.4%	10.2%	3.6%	3.18	4.71	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	5	65	290	77	32	9	15%	1.9	21.7%	11.4%	10.2%	3.6%	3.18	4.71	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	5	65	290	77	32	9	15%	1.9	26.6%	11.0%	15.5%	3.1%	3.18	4.01	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	62	274	86	29	3	0%	1.6	26.3%	9.7%	16.6%	0.4%	3.94	2.34	+1.7
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	62	274	86	29	3	0%	1.6	26.3%	9.7%	16.6%	0.4%	3.94	2.34	+1.7
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	62	274	86	29	3	0%	1.6	31.4%	10.6%	20.8%	1.1%	3.94	2.35	+1.6
2025	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	33	0	39	175	33	20	5	0%	1.2	15.7%	10.3%	5.4%	3.3%	5.12	4.88	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	33	0	39	175	33	20	5	0%	1.2	15.7%	10.3%	5.4%	3.3%	5.12	4.88	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	33	0	39	175	33	20	5	0%	1.2	18.9%	11.4%	7.4%	2.9%	5.12	4.63	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	2	14	3	2	2	0%	2.3	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	14.3%	19.29	14.24	-0.3
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	WSH	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.1%	10.0%	2.7%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	WSH	23	0	24	103	21	11	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	10.4%	9.6%	3.0%	4.67	4.76	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	WSH	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	10.4%	9.6%	3.0%	4.67	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	52	11	6	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	6.1%	7.70	6.16	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	0	200	918	195	106	53	0%	1.2	20.4%	11.5%	8.9%	6.1%	7.70	6.16	-3.7
Career	—	MLE		198	82	605	2628	516	238	101	41%	3.1	19.7%	9.0%	10.6%	3.9%	4.82	4.70	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	27	200	869	171	79	33	41%	3.1	19.7%	9.0%	10.6%	3.9%	4.82	4.70	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Parker Dunshee (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	20.1%	10.1%	2.7%	—	4.76	20.0%	9.6%	24	+0.20	—	—	—
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	74
Chris Leroux R 2015 · 4.20 FIP	31	SU	4.20	15.2%	8.6%	2.4%	.279	4.08	13.5%	5.5%	140	-0.12	4.08	219	72
Robert Stock R 2021 · 4.18 FIP	31	SW	4.18	23.0%	8.5%	3.5%	.301	7.24	13.8%	-0.4%	23	+3.06	2.74	378	71
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	69
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	69
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	68
Casey Coleman R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	31	SP-	4.79	15.2%	7.9%	3.6%	.344	5.06	18.4%	9.4%	78	+0.27	2.95	306	68
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	68
Steve Johnson R 2017 · 4.53 FIP	29	SW	4.53	20.3%	8.9%	3.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	2.22	152	68
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	68
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	67
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	67
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	67
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	66
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	65
Mitch Lively R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	31	SP-	3.47	17.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	2.39	158	65
Paul Clemens R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SW	4.72	14.9%	11.0%	2.7%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	247	65
Paolo Espino R 2018 · 4.51 FIP	31	SW	4.51	18.7%	9.6%	3.2%	.348	4.42	20.4%	14.7%	202	-0.09	3.42	933	64
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	64

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.1%	10.2%	1.11	4.61
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64