Parker Dunshee
P
Rochester Red Wings
Age 31
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%21.8%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SI (39%)
CU (8%)
SL-1.1 (53%)
FB-2.3 (39%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 9.1% | 13.50 | 5.79 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | AZL Athletics | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 2.0 | 27.3% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 9.1% | 13.50 | 6.60 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 151 | 587 | 163 | 29 | 12 | 92% | 6.3 | 21.9% | 5.6% | 16.4% | 2.2% | 2.33 | 3.17 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 151 | 587 | 163 | 29 | 12 | 92% | 6.3 | 27.8% | 4.9% | 22.8% | 2.0% | 2.33 | 2.55 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 130 | 547 | 124 | 48 | 22 | 96% | 5.0 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 3.7% | 4.36 | 4.64 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 25 | 130 | 547 | 124 | 48 | 22 | 96% | 5.0 | 22.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 4.0% | 4.36 | 4.50 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 45 | 207 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 91% | 4.1 | 16.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 6.55 | 5.16 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 10 | 45 | 207 | 41 | 16 | 7 | 91% | 4.1 | 19.8% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 6.55 | 4.36 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 31 | 20 | 111 | 537 | 92 | 56 | 38 | 65% | 3.6 | 15.1% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.22 | 6.93 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 31 | 20 | 111 | 537 | 92 | 56 | 38 | 65% | 3.6 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.22 | 7.39 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 65 | 290 | 77 | 32 | 9 | 15% | 1.9 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 3.18 | 4.81 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 5 | 65 | 290 | 77 | 32 | 9 | 15% | 1.9 | 26.6% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 3.1% | 3.18 | 4.01 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 62 | 274 | 86 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.3% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 0.5% | 3.94 | 2.43 | +1.6 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 62 | 274 | 86 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.6 | 31.4% | 10.6% | 20.8% | 1.1% | 3.94 | 2.35 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 33 | 0 | 39 | 175 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.12 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 30 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 33 | 0 | 39 | 175 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.9% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 4.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.67 | 6.14 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 0 | 200 | 918 | 195 | 106 | 53 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.67 | 6.14 | -1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 198 | 82 | 605 | 2628 | 522 | 246 | 97 | 41% | 3.1 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.64 | +5.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 27 | 200 | 869 | 173 | 81 | 32 | 41% | 3.1 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 3.7% | 4.82 | 4.64 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Parker Dunshee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 21.8% | 10.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.73 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 24 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 72 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 71 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.10 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .301 | 7.89 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.79 | 0.76 | 348 | 70 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 69 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 68 |
| Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 67 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2024 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 67 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 66 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 66 |
| Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.65 | 13.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .347 | 3.78 | 14.0% | 6.5% | 79 | -0.87 | 3.32 | 119 | 65 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.98 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 78 | +0.02 | 2.86 | 306 | 65 |
| Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 65 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 64 |
| Paolo Espino R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.33 | 18.7% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .348 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 14.7% | 202 | +0.14 | 3.45 | 933 | 64 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 64 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 63 |
| Paul Clemens R 2024 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.76 | 14.9% | 11.0% | 2.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 247 | 63 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2027 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 63 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 1.12 | 4.58 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |