Michael Prosecky

P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #851

ETA2029FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	MIX3 levels	14	13	49	4.44	1.99	36.1%	9.7%	—	K 24.4% · BB 14.1% · FIP 3.73
2025	24	MIX2 levels	27	27	127	4.19	3.92	23.1%	11.5%	—	K 18.0% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.75
2026	25	MIX2 levels	14	5	24	3.80	5.25	13.9%	13.0%	—	K 11.8% · BB 14.9% · FIP 6.05
2027PROJ	26	MLBCOL	10	10	60	5.46	5.46	16.2%	13.5%	-0.4
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBCOL	7	7	42	5.36	5.38	16.8%	13.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBCOL	11	11	65	5.33	5.38	17.1%	12.8%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Command45FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMiguel Cienfuegos (age 26) · Jack Snodgrass (age 27) · Erik Rivera (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121129vR 137

ERA5.46

FIP5.46

K%16.2%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%2.7%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CMD4045

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	21	21	109	453	125	41	4	100%	5.2	20.4%	10.7%	9.7%	1.0%	2.72	3.26	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	21	21	109	453	125	41	4	100%	5.2	27.6%	9.1%	18.5%	0.9%	2.72	2.41	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	49	216	78	21	3	93%	3.5	24.4%	14.1%	10.3%	1.7%	4.44	3.73	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	14	13	49	216	78	21	3	93%	3.5	24.4%	14.1%	10.3%	1.7%	4.44	3.73	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	14	13	49	216	78	21	3	93%	3.5	36.1%	9.7%	26.4%	1.4%	4.44	1.99	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	127	550	127	63	13	100%	4.7	18.0%	13.0%	5.1%	2.8%	4.19	4.75	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	127	550	127	63	13	100%	4.7	18.0%	13.0%	5.1%	2.8%	4.19	4.75	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	127	550	127	63	13	100%	4.7	23.1%	11.5%	11.6%	2.4%	4.19	3.92	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	5	24	108	15	14	3	36%	1.7	11.8%	14.9%	-3.1%	3.8%	3.80	6.05	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	5	24	108	15	14	3	36%	1.7	11.8%	14.9%	-3.1%	3.8%	3.80	6.05	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	5	24	108	15	14	3	36%	1.7	13.9%	13.0%	0.9%	2.8%	3.80	5.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	10	10	60	253	41	34	8	100%	6.0	16.2%	13.5%	2.7%	3.0%	5.46	5.46	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	19	19	112	474	80	62	14	100%	5.9	16.8%	13.0%	3.8%	3.0%	5.36	5.38	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	18	18	109	460	78	59	14	100%	6.1	17.1%	12.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.33	5.38	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	17	17	104	439	75	56	14	100%	6.1	17.1%	12.8%	4.3%	3.3%	5.38	5.45	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	16	16	98	413	70	53	14	100%	6.1	16.9%	12.9%	3.9%	3.5%	5.50	5.60	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	7	7	42	177	30	23	5	100%	6.0	16.8%	13.0%	3.8%	3.0%	5.36	5.38	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	11	11	65	274	47	35	9	100%	5.9	17.1%	12.8%	4.3%	3.1%	5.33	5.38	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	12	12	74	312	53	40	10	100%	6.2	17.1%	12.8%	4.3%	3.3%	5.38	5.45	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	13	13	77	325	55	42	11	100%	5.9	16.9%	12.9%	3.9%	3.5%	5.50	5.60	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		43	43	257	1086	184	140	35	100%	6.0	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.3%	5.40	5.08	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	143	109	27	100%	6.0	17.0%	12.9%	4.1%	3.3%	5.40	5.08	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		77	66	309	1330	258	166	27	86%	4.0	19.4%	12.5%	6.9%	2.1%	3.67	4.17	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	43	200	861	167	108	18	86%	4.0	19.4%	12.5%	6.9%	2.1%	3.67	4.17	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Prosecky (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.46	16.2%	13.5%	3.0%	—	5.40	17.0%	4.1%	325	-0.06	—	—	—
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.54	14.3%	5.8%	242	-0.58	2.95	313	82
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	80
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 5.71 FIP	23	SP-	5.71	19.0%	14.6%	4.3%	.255	4.74	23.9%	6.3%	106	-0.97	4.42	141	79
Justin Marks L 2015 · 4.60 FIP	27	SP-	4.60	15.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.323	3.88	19.0%	9.1%	216	-0.72	3.83	324	78
Houston Harding L 2024 · 4.54 FIP	26	SP-	4.54	16.5%	11.2%	2.6%	.268	5.19	12.0%	0.5%	61	+0.65	3.41	239	78
Brad Mills L 2011 · 5.37 FIP	26	SP-	5.37	19.8%	12.1%	4.4%	.328	5.61	18.8%	7.9%	21	+0.24	4.22	243	77
Matt Walker L 2023 · 4.73 FIP	25	SP-	4.73	12.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	156	75
Luis Leroy Cruz L 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SP-	5.03	16.0%	10.1%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	5.03	116	74
Scott DeCecco L 2015 · 4.55 FIP	24	SP-	4.55	14.5%	11.5%	2.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.55	125	73
Hayden Wynja L 2024 · 4.79 FIP	25	SP-	4.79	18.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.74	154	72
Brian Tallet L 2003 · 4.65 FIP	25	SP-	4.65	10.3%	9.2%	2.3%	.309	4.43	16.2%	4.4%	54	-0.22	2.59	443	71
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	71
Jake Miednik L 2022 · 6.12 FIP	26	SP-	6.12	10.5%	14.6%	3.8%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	1.55	126	71
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	70
Alejandro Astorga L 2015 · 4.35 FIP	28	SP	4.35	11.5%	10.2%	1.7%	.283	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	220	-0.48	3.72	311	69
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	69
Sean Nolin L 2015 · 4.88 FIP	25	SP	4.88	14.5%	9.5%	3.3%	.273	3.79	20.7%	11.3%	40	-1.09	3.79	309	69
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	69
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	68
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	96	16.9%	13.0%	1.23	5.40
Bobby Jones ('04)	1.6	81	15.1%	12.9%	1.25	5.77
Blake Stein ('02)	2.4	95	17.4%	13.2%	1.48	5.41
Rube Fischer ('41-'46, -4 WAR*)	1.9	96	18.0%*	12.5%*	1.14*	6.04*
Hal Griggs ('56-'59, -4 WAR*)	1.7	116	16.8%*	11.9%*	1.33*	5.92*
Charlie Bishop ('52-'55, -1 WAR*)	1.5	98	16.9%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.49*
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72