Christian Fagnant

C Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 26 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	25	AWSH	21	.125/.333/.375	1	0	16	—	.111/.238/.333
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBWSH	200	.166/.256/.284	4	2	54	-0.1
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBWSH	30	.168/.258/.286	1	0	56	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsEvan Skoug (age 26) · Colin Simpson (age 26) · Kellin Deglan (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .254 / .282

PA76

HR2

K%44

BB%10

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	25	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	16	2	1	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	125	333	375	708	250	200	48	24	326	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	18	2	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	111	238	333	571	222	154	67	14	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	18	2	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	111	238	333	571	222	333	67	14	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	16	2	1	0	1	5	10	0	0	0	125	333	375	708	250	200	48	24	326	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	18	2	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	111	238	333	571	222	154	67	14	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	21	18	2	1	0	1	3	14	0	0	0	111	238	333	571	222	154	67	14	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	200	177	30	7	1	4	20	88	1	2	1	166	256	284	540	118	291	44	10	248	54	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	WSH	26%	117	103	18	4	1	2	12	50	1	1	0	169	258	288	546	119	290	43	10	251	56	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	WSH	26%	30	27	5	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	168	258	286	544	118	289	43	10	250	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	30	27	5	1	0	1	3	13	0	0	0	185	267	333	600	148	308	43	10	250	51	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	109	22	0	22	65	282	0	0	0	186	268	337	604	150	310	43	10	250	51	-34	+0	+0	+12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	214	189	31	7	1	5	23	97	1	2	0	164	258	291	549	127	295	45	11	244	51	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	94	21	3	15	70	295	3	6	0	164	258	289	547	125	296	45	11	244	51	-35	+1	+0	+12	+14	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Fagnant (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	164/254/282	117	291	2	1	44%	10%	54	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan Skoug 2022 · A	26	32	46→45	45→40	40	171/244/296	125	260	14	5	38%	8%	53	-2.1	190/274/325	135	282	14	5	35%	8%	71	-0.8	165/261/304	139	241	15	2	36%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Colin Simpson 2022 · A	26	39	43→45	51→40	38	194/247/307	113	293	11	6	36%	6%	55	-2.0	203/259/330	127	287	13	6	32%	7%	65	-1.2	193/252/323	131	264	14	4	31%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→35	45→50	42→40	32	190/238/306	116	301	14	5	41%	5%	52	-2.2	201/259/315	114	313	12	5	38%	6%	62	-1.4	177/244/283	106	274	12	2	38%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Kale Emshoff 2024 · A	26	36→31	44→45	44→40	37	183/245/294	111	285	12	3	38%	6%	52	-2.2	199/255/321	122	312	14	6	38%	6%	61	-1.5	184/233/325	141	284	19	3	41%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Aaron Shackelford 2022 · A	25	32	48→50	50→45	34	174/231/310	136	268	17	5	41%	6%	51	-2.3	185/248/328	143	274	17	9	38%	7%	61	-1.5	175/246/321	145	251	18	10	36%	7%	56	-1.4
✕Cade Bunnell 2022 · A	25	38→39	44→50	52→45	44	168/271/290	122	335	11	9	48%	12%	62	-1.4	177/268/309	132	335	14	6	46%	11%	65	-1.2	161/256/288	127	295	15	4	46%	11%	53	-1.4
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→30	44	186/253/298	111	262	10	4	32%	8%	55	-1.9	187/257/288	101	288	9	5	35%	8%	55	-2.0	125/202/184	59	253	4	0	48%	9%	10	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Seth Gray 2023 · AA	25	37	44→40	47→50	37	185/261/292	108	298	13	8	40%	7%	59	-1.7	210/285/316	106	342	11	13	38%	8%	72	-0.7	210/293/305	96	350	10	19	39%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Shervyen Newton 2024 · A	25	35→29	46→45	46→40	35	176/240/302	126	299	14	4	44%	7%	52	-2.2	190/248/308	118	319	13	6	42%	6%	57	-1.8	143/200/241	98	241	15	2	46%	5%	21	-1.6
✕Chris Betts 2022 · AA	25	36→24	44→45	49→40	40	175/255/284	109	300	12	5	43%	9%	55	-2.0	191/259/317	126	379	14	7	49%	8%	63	-1.4	95/178/226	131	194	19	0	59%	9%	11	-0.9
✕David Lyon 2016 · A	26	33	43→45	44→30	35	168/229/279	112	287	11	5	44%	7%	42	-2.9	186/259/321	135	315	15	5	42%	8%	64	-1.3	142/230/297	156	218	21	0	44%	10%	47	-1.0
✕Max Wright 2023 · A	25	39	42→40	44→40	43	186/278/290	104	292	9	4	36%	9%	65	-1.2	196/275/298	102	296	9	6	34%	8%	64	-1.3	147/230/225	78	216	10	0	35%	7%	30	-0.8
✕Michael Berglund 2023 · A	26	41	39→40	50→40	43	186/275/268	82	318	7	6	40%	9%	58	-1.7	190/277/292	102	319	10	7	40%	9%	65	-1.2	125/237/216	91	211	12	2	43%	10%	32	-1.1
✕Cole Cummings 2024 · AA	26	39→37	47→45	48→45	43	198/277/328	130	276	15	5	32%	8%	72	-0.7	193/260/301	108	308	11	8	38%	7%	59	-1.6	167/236/260	93	283	9	9	41%	7%	40	-2.6
✕Cooper Johnson 2024 · AA	26	37	40→45	47→40	40	171/254/258	86	308	7	7	43%	9%	48	-2.5	187/265/311	124	269	14	5	34%	9%	64	-1.3	170/251/291	120	232	14	3	32%	9%	52	-1.3
✕Brandon Martorano 2024 · AA	26	39	45	48→50	42	189/271/309	121	302	13	9	39%	9%	65	-1.2	203/274/314	111	317	12	8	37%	8%	68	-1.0	170/241/256	86	263	11	0	37%	8%	41	-0.8
✕Jake Means 2022 · A	26	35→31	47→45	49→45	45	184/267/321	136	269	15	6	36%	9%	67	-1.1	176/249/292	116	251	13	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	151/225/256	105	208	13	10	33%	8%	34	-2.0
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→42	42→45	47→50	41	190/258/296	106	297	10	6	38%	8%	57	-1.8	204/286/324	120	318	13	9	36%	10%	74	-0.5	195/283/314	119	298	13	9	36%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Gavin Logan 2024 · A	24	37	40→45	44→40	45	173/268/267	94	297	8	6	40%	11%	55	-1.9	177/265/296	119	288	12	6	40%	9%	61	-1.5	160/252/295	135	237	17	4	38%	9%	55	-0.7