Declan Cronin
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.5
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.43
FIP4.04
xFIP3.43
SIERA3.28
K%22.2%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.5%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF5050
CTRL5050
CMD5050
K†5050
FB Velo
p4193.9
Whiff%
p5826.6%
K%
p5723.5%
xwOBA vs
p640.298
FB+1.4 (48%)
SL (52%)
SI (41%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 20 | 0 | 34 | 135 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 12.6% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 2.88 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 35 | 0 | 47 | 204 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 49 | 1 | 51 | 216 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 13.9% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 3.71 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 56 | 0 | 63 | 276 | 50 | 27 | 6 | 16.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 4.74 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 59 | 0 | 75 | 327 | 76 | 26 | 2 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 0.3% | 4.34 | 2.20 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | 23 | 3 | 23 | 101 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 19.6% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 51 | 22 | 5 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 54 | — | 54 | 227 | 49 | 22 | 5 | 21.6% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 4.29 | 4.19 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 47 | 21 | 5 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 4.30 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 44 | 21 | 5 | 20.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 4.36 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 41 | 20 | 5 | 20.2% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 19.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 18.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 32 | 19 | 5 | 18.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.99 | 5.09 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 242 | 4 | 293 | 1259 | 223 | 130 | 24 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 4.20 | 3.98 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 165 | 3 | 200 | 858 | 152 | 89 | 16 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 4.20 | 3.98 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Declan Cronin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.09 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 2.3% | — | 4.29 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 156 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.52 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .327 | 4.82 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.30 | 2.39 | 676 | 84 |
| Zach McAllister R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.53 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.28 | 24.0% | 17.4% | 119 | +0.75 | 2.83 | 363 | 82 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 79 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.11 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.11 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.78 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 164 | +0.67 | 2.27 | 445 | 78 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.30 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .271 | 2.97 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.54 | 521 | 78 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.56 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.23 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.33 | 2.83 | 228 | 78 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.41 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .283 | 4.31 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.90 | 3.41 | 104 | 77 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.25 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .247 | 4.33 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 39 | +1.08 | 3.25 | 160 | 77 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.42 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.85 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 187 | +0.43 | 2.67 | 333 | 77 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.21 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 1.2% | .327 | 3.19 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 187 | -0.02 | 2.26 | 602 | 77 |
| Greg Holland R 2027 · 3.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.19 | 25.4% | 13.0% | 1.1% | .316 | 3.45 | 26.4% | 14.2% | 104 | +0.26 | 1.94 | 268 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.91 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 2.9% | .348 | 3.55 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.36 | 2.38 | 160 | 76 |
| Matt Pushard R 2025 · 2.97 FIP | 27 | SW | 2.97 | 25.1% | 9.4% | 1.5% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 167 | 76 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.96 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% | .307 | 6.39 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.43 | 2.85 | 299 | 76 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.35 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | .359 | 5.13 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.78 | 3.35 | 108 | 76 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2029 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 76 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2029 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 76 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 76 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.44 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% | .348 | 2.85 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.59 | 2.85 | 199 | 76 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.