Edgar Manzo prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Edgar Manzo P Peoria Chiefs

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 181 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%19.3%

BB%8.4%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP49

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	12	12	59	259	56	23	5	100%	4.9	14.7%	11.1%	3.6%	2.7%	3.68	4.75	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	12	12	59	259	56	23	5	100%	4.9	21.6%	8.9%	12.7%	1.9%	3.68	3.48	—
2021	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	25	6	66	288	65	30	5	24%	2.6	16.7%	12.3%	4.4%	2.4%	4.91	4.59	—
2021	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	25	6	66	288	65	30	5	24%	2.6	22.6%	10.4%	12.2%	1.7%	4.91	3.48	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	5	55	257	47	28	8	19%	2.1	13.9%	12.7%	1.2%	4.0%	6.59	5.75	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	5	55	257	47	28	8	19%	2.1	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	3.1%	6.59	4.82	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	4	73	312	54	20	7	13%	2.3	12.5%	7.6%	4.9%	2.6%	4.95	4.46	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	4	73	312	54	20	7	13%	2.3	12.5%	7.6%	4.9%	2.6%	4.95	4.46	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	4	73	312	54	20	7	13%	2.3	17.3%	6.4%	10.9%	2.2%	4.95	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	STL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.3%	8.4%	10.9%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	47	0	49	207	42	17	6	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.4%	11.7%	3.0%	4.50	4.49	+0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	46	0	48	204	42	17	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.5%	11.8%	3.0%	4.50	4.51	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	20	0	21	89	18	7	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	8.4%	11.7%	3.0%	4.50	4.49	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	29	0	30	127	26	11	4	0%	1.0	20.3%	8.5%	11.8%	3.0%	4.50	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		49	0	51	217	44	18	7	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.5%	11.8%	3.0%	4.50	4.12	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	70	27	0%	1.1	20.3%	8.5%	11.8%	3.0%	4.50	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		94	27	252	1116	161	120	33	29%	2.7	14.4%	10.8%	3.6%	2.9%	5.00	4.86	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	21	200	886	128	96	26	29%	2.7	14.4%	10.8%	3.6%	2.9%	5.00	4.86	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Manzo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	19.3%	8.4%	3.0%	—	4.50	20.2%	11.8%	97	-0.05	—	—	—
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.39	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.39	3.65	301	90
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	90
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	85
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	84
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	83
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	83
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	83
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	82
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	82
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	82
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	82
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	81
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	81
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	81
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	80
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	80
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	80
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	80
Adam Warren R 2013 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	19.3%	8.5%	2.8%	.306	3.43	20.5%	13.1%	275	-0.66	2.65	548	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	19.9%	8.4%	1.16	4.52
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Tyler Walker ('10)	1.5	50	18.9%	8.5%	1.11	4.23
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Juan Carlos Oviedo ('14)	1.9	56	18.9%	8.0%	1.16	4.28
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65