Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 10.12 | 5.91 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 10.12 | 6.85 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 101 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 34.3% | 10.6% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 0.94 | 1.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 101 | 23 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 42.4% | 9.7% | 32.8% | 0.0% | 0.94 | 0.79 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 56 | 232 | 67 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.6% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 0.0% | 1.92 | 2.09 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 56 | 232 | 67 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 0.4% | 1.92 | 2.44 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 28 | 0 | 36 | 132 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 30.7% | 7.8% | 22.9% | 3.2% | 1.50 | 3.24 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 196 | 58 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 3.17 | 3.17 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 58 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.8% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 3.17 | 3.17 | +0.7 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 82 | 328 | 102 | 33 | 8 | — | — | 31.2% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 2.5% | 2.44 | 3.20 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 60 | 251 | 102 | 33 | 8 | — | — | 40.8% | 12.9% | 27.8% | 3.2% | 3.39 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 72 | 29 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 2.3% | 3.74 | 3.75 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 68 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 2.4% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 64 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 68 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.9% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 2.3% | 3.74 | 3.75 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 65 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 2.4% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 60 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 3.96 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 215 | 0 | 229 | 968 | 274 | 116 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 3.56 | +4.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 187 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 239 | 101 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 2.4% | 3.78 | 3.56 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 130 | 0 | 153 | 617 | 189 | 61 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 9.8% | 20.8% | 0.8% | 1.59 | 2.22 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 0 | 200 | 808 | 248 | 79 | 7 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 9.8% | 20.8% | 0.8% | 1.59 | 2.22 | +7.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Craig Yoho (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.58 | 29.5% | 12.0% | 1.9% | — | 3.88 | 28.4% | 16.8% | 170 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.15 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.73 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.58 | 3.15 | 220 | 85 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.02 | 30.4% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .294 | 4.85 | 16.9% | 5.8% | 67 | +1.83 | 2.85 | 174 | 84 |
| Justin Grimm R 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.93 | 32.8% | 12.3% | 1.9% | .250 | 4.11 | 26.1% | 15.2% | 157 | +1.18 | 2.93 | 335 | 82 |
| Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 82 |
| Leonel Campos R 2028 · 2.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.69 | 30.1% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .259 | 3.66 | 25.2% | 12.2% | 118 | +0.97 | 2.69 | 168 | 81 |
| Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 80 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.48 | 29.2% | 11.7% | 2.5% | .265 | 5.47 | 27.4% | 21.2% | 41 | +1.99 | 3.48 | 138 | 80 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.27 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | .291 | 3.07 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.20 | 2.74 | 178 | 79 |
| Matt Jachec R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 79 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 79 |
| Kaleb Fleck R 2026 · 2.67 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.67 | 25.8% | 9.8% | 0.9% | .331 | 3.87 | 21.8% | 13.2% | 125 | +1.20 | 2.67 | 177 | 79 |
| Chase Silseth R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.26 | 28.8% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 313 | 79 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 79 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 79 |
| Art Warren R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.23 | 25.9% | 11.2% | 1.7% | .301 | 2.95 | 31.8% | 21.8% | 73 | -0.28 | 1.38 | 322 | 79 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 78 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.52 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .245 | 5.01 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.49 | 3.00 | 246 | 78 |
| Dan Winkler R 2027 · 2.70 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.70 | 34.0% | 11.3% | 1.9% | .214 | 3.80 | 24.0% | 12.5% | 131 | +1.10 | 2.40 | 231 | 78 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 2.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 2.88 | 27.6% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .379 | 3.96 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 43 | +1.08 | 2.88 | 312 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 28.7% | 11.7% | 0.89 | 3.78 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Carl Edwards Jr. ('23) | 5 | 50 | 28.7% | 12.4% | 0.76 | 3.05 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Brad Brach ('21) | 6 | 62 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 0.84 | 3.50 |