Hunter Gaddis
P
Columbus Clippers
+0.9
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'6" / 260 lbs
AAA
Svc 2.0 · Ctrl thru 2029
peak 0.8 · 2026
ERA3.47
FIP3.86
xFIP2.27
SIERA1.83
K%24.0%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%16.9%
IP66
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p9032.2%
K%
p7426.6%
xwOBA vs
p640.298
FB+0.7 (25%)
SL-0.6 (57%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | AZL Indians Blue | 7 | 5 | 17 | 66 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 26.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.12 | 3.89 | +0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 20 | 19 | 97 | 419 | 127 | 28 | 20 | 23.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.16 | 4.84 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 26 | 25 | 129 | 533 | 163 | 44 | 24 | 26.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 4.83 | 4.17 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 31 | 22 | 116 | 520 | 89 | 47 | 24 | 15.6% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 5.49 | 5.61 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 78 | 0 | 75 | 278 | 66 | 13 | 4 | 23.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 1.57 | 2.42 | +2.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 73 | 0 | 67 | 274 | 73 | 19 | 8 | 26.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 3.10 | 3.26 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | 6 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 6 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 10.12 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 66 | 20 | 8 | 24.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 3.38 | 3.89 | +0.8 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 70 | 303 | 72 | 24 | 8 | 23.8% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 3.89 | 3.59 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 64 | 272 | 64 | 20 | 8 | 23.6% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 3.73 | 3.96 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 62 | 264 | 61 | 19 | 8 | 23.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 3.93 | 4.06 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 57 | 19 | 8 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 53 | 19 | 8 | 21.9% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 4.19 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 55 | — | 55 | 233 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 21.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 4.32 | 4.40 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 52 | — | 52 | 222 | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 4.45 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 41 | 17 | 7 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 37 | 16 | 7 | 19.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.76 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 241 | 71 | 506 | 2119 | 484 | 169 | 81 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.14 | 4.29 | +5.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 95 | 28 | 200 | 837 | 191 | 67 | 32 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.14 | 4.29 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hunter Gaddis (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.89 | 24.1% | 7.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.06 | 23.1% | 15.8% | 187 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.48 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.74 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.26 | 1.69 | 468 | 77 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.68 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .289 | 3.07 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -0.61 | 2.31 | 403 | 73 |
| Ryan Pressly R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.77 | 24.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | .251 | 2.32 | 34.0% | 27.5% | 146 | -1.45 | 1.82 | 586 | 72 |
| Alan Busenitz R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.14 | 23.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 436 | 71 |
| Will Harris R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.47 | 24.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .190 | 2.46 | 28.0% | 22.8% | 166 | -1.01 | 2.15 | 315 | 71 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .313 | 4.10 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | +0.18 | 2.48 | 507 | 71 |
| Matt Bush R 2028 · 2.88 FIP | 30 | SW | 2.88 | 24.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | .232 | 3.96 | 22.2% | 12.7% | 75 | +1.08 | 2.88 | 249 | 71 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.45 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.62 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 70 | +1.17 | 2.30 | 511 | 71 |
| Mychal Givens R 2026 · 2.70 FIP | 28 | SW | 2.70 | 24.9% | 8.2% | 1.2% | .274 | 4.19 | 29.1% | 18.9% | 136 | +1.49 | 1.77 | 526 | 71 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.07 | 22.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.78 | 28.3% | 18.0% | 75 | +0.71 | 3.07 | 185 | 71 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.54 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | .295 | 3.15 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 172 | -0.39 | 2.73 | 316 | 71 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 70 |
| Joakim Soria R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.48 | 23.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .258 | 2.91 | 26.6% | 18.9% | 183 | -0.57 | 2.00 | 380 | 70 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 70 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 2.58 FIP | 28 | SW | 2.58 | 23.9% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .323 | 3.07 | 30.9% | 21.5% | 63 | +0.49 | 2.58 | 121 | 70 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.77 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.89 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 65 | +0.12 | 2.26 | 172 | 70 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2027 · 2.99 FIP | 29 | SW | 2.99 | 22.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | .345 | 4.56 | 20.6% | 12.8% | 147 | +1.57 | 2.99 | 227 | 69 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.21 | 25.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | .286 | 3.66 | 21.9% | 12.2% | 152 | +0.45 | 2.80 | 284 | 69 |
| Paul Sewald R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.01 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | .325 | 3.30 | 30.7% | 24.2% | 135 | -0.71 | 2.72 | 558 | 69 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 2.424 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2029
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.7 | $3M | +$0.6M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $4M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-4 | $5M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $8M | $11M | +$3M | ||