Wilker Reyes

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	AMIN	28	3	57	5.49	3.97	21.1%	13.8%	—	K 15.6% · BB 16.3% · FIP 4.91
2024	22	MIX2 levels	32	0	49	3.10	2.37	28.9%	9.5%	—	K 20.0% · BB 12.4% · FIP 3.80
2025	23	A+MIN	25	0	41	5.66	3.90	22.8%	11.9%	—	K 17.6% · BB 13.7% · FIP 4.83
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIN	57	0	60	5.38	5.38	17.8%	14.1%	-0.6
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIN	25	0	26	5.26	5.25	18.6%	13.6%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBMIN	35	0	37	5.21	5.22	18.9%	13.3%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control35Command40

CompsChris Reed (age 25) · Graeme Stinson (age 25) · Ryne Slack (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119127vR 135

ERA5.38

FIP5.38

K%17.8%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%3.7%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	16	5	33	165	33	21	2	31%	2.1	13.6%	15.9%	-2.3%	1.7%	5.67	4.90	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	16	5	33	165	33	21	2	31%	2.1	20.0%	12.7%	7.3%	1.2%	5.67	3.79	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	6	42	188	37	17	2	55%	3.8	13.4%	11.3%	2.1%	1.5%	5.14	4.23	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	6	42	188	37	17	2	55%	3.8	19.7%	9.0%	10.6%	1.1%	5.14	3.17	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	1	21	104	31	8	2	9%	1.9	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	2.1%	6.43	3.76	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	1	21	104	31	8	2	9%	1.9	29.8%	7.7%	22.1%	1.9%	6.43	2.53	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	57	275	58	38	4	11%	2.0	15.6%	16.3%	-0.7%	1.9%	5.49	4.91	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	28	3	57	275	58	38	4	11%	2.0	21.1%	13.8%	7.3%	1.5%	5.49	3.97	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	1.5%	3.10	3.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	20.0%	12.4%	7.6%	1.5%	3.10	3.80	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	49	211	61	20	2	0%	1.5	28.9%	9.5%	19.4%	0.9%	3.10	2.37	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	17.6%	13.7%	3.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	17.6%	13.7%	3.8%	2.7%	5.66	4.83	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	25	0	41	193	44	23	4	0%	1.7	22.8%	11.9%	10.9%	2.1%	5.66	3.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	57	0	60	253	45	36	7	0%	1.1	17.8%	14.1%	3.7%	3.0%	5.38	5.38	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	57	0	60	251	47	34	7	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.26	5.25	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	56	0	59	247	47	33	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.3%	5.6%	3.0%	5.21	5.22	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	25	0	26	110	20	15	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	13.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.26	5.25	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	35	0	37	156	30	21	5	0%	1.1	18.9%	13.3%	5.6%	3.0%	5.21	5.22	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	264	50	35	8	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.4%	5.4%	3.0%	5.23	4.86	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	112	26	0%	1.1	18.8%	13.4%	5.4%	3.0%	5.23	4.86	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		123	15	244	1136	188	155	22	12%	2.0	16.5%	13.6%	2.9%	1.9%	5.08	4.47	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		101	12	200	930	154	127	18	12%	2.0	16.5%	13.6%	2.9%	1.9%	5.08	4.47	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wilker Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.38	17.8%	14.1%	3.0%	—	5.24	18.8%	5.3%	118	-0.14	—	—	—
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	85
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	85
Ryne Slack L 2017 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	17.4%	13.2%	2.0%	.308	5.59	13.9%	1.8%	49	+1.17	4.07	212	83
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	81
Chandler Jozwiak L 2024 · 5.33 FIP	25	SU	5.33	16.9%	15.3%	3.1%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.86	161	81
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	81
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	81
T.J. Sikkema L 2023 · 6.04 FIP	25	SU	6.04	16.1%	13.2%	4.8%	.245	3.86	17.2%	9.6%	159	-2.18	3.57	300	81
Ty Madrigal L 2022 · 5.75 FIP	25	SU	5.75	17.6%	15.2%	4.0%	.304	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	107	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	80
Seth Clark L 2024 · 5.66 FIP	24	SU	5.66	18.9%	16.2%	3.9%	.267	4.56	17.7%	-2.7%	32	-1.10	4.23	128	80
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.82	14.5%	3.2%	142	-0.92	3.41	239	80
John Kilichowski L 2018 · 4.99 FIP	24	SU	4.99	17.6%	16.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	115	80
Fred Schlichtholz L 2021 · 4.63 FIP	25	SU	4.63	15.5%	13.4%	2.1%	.343	3.49	22.3%	16.4%	35	-1.14	3.49	175	79
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	79
Trent Szkutnik L 2019 · 4.38 FIP	25	SU	4.38	18.4%	11.8%	2.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	429	79
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	79
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	79
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	18.5%	13.7%	1.15	5.28
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*