Carlos Gutierrez (P, FCL Twins) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Carlos Gutierrez P FCL Twins

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%23.0%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%13.0%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	15	4	44	194	43	11	5	27%	2.9	15.1%	7.1%	8.0%	3.6%	5.73	4.71	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	15	4	44	194	43	11	5	27%	2.9	22.2%	5.7%	16.5%	2.6%	5.73	3.37	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	14	4	47	197	53	19	0	29%	3.3	18.3%	12.1%	6.2%	0.0%	4.05	3.08	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	14	4	47	197	53	19	0	29%	3.3	26.9%	9.6%	17.3%	0.0%	4.05	2.05	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	3	31	150	43	14	6	27%	2.8	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	6.1%	6.03	6.30	—
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	11	3	31	150	43	14	6	27%	2.8	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	6.1%	6.03	6.30	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	11	3	31	150	43	14	6	27%	2.8	28.7%	9.3%	19.3%	4.0%	6.03	4.19	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.0%	10.1%	13.0%	3.0%	4.47	4.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.0%	13.0%	3.1%	4.47	4.49	+0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIN	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.0%	13.0%	3.1%	4.47	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.0%	13.0%	3.1%	4.47	4.11	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.0%	13.0%	3.1%	4.47	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		40	11	122	541	95	55	16	28%	3.0	17.5%	10.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.16	4.56	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	18	200	887	155	90	27	28%	3.0	17.5%	10.2%	7.3%	3.0%	5.16	4.56	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carlos Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	23.0%	10.1%	3.0%	—	4.49	23.1%	13.0%	20	+0.02	—	—	—
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	76
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	74
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	73
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	73
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	73
John Ely R 2011 · 4.38 FIP	25	SW	4.38	23.2%	10.7%	3.4%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	113	72
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	72
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	72
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	72
Jake Lyons R 2023 · 4.13 FIP	24	SW	4.13	20.1%	8.5%	3.0%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	174	72
Kyle Bischoff R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.6%	11.8%	4.8%	.240	3.83	21.8%	8.7%	140	-1.43	3.21	162	71
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	71
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	71
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	71
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	71
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	70
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	70
Ryan Tapani R 2019 · 3.86 FIP	25	SW	3.86	19.0%	7.3%	2.6%	.331	5.56	20.8%	10.6%	47	+1.70	3.86	141	70
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	70