Adam Maier
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 203 lbs
A+
peak 0.5 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.87
FIP5.87
K%11.8%
BB%13.0%
K-BB%-1.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 125 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 358 | 78 | 25 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 4.10 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 358 | 78 | 25 | 4 | 100% | 4.4 | 21.8% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 1.1% | 4.10 | 2.75 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 100 | 444 | 77 | 45 | 11 | 87% | 4.4 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 5.83 | 5.75 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 20 | 100 | 444 | 77 | 45 | 11 | 87% | 4.4 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 5.83 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 14 | 13 | 60 | 268 | 56 | 17 | 8 | 93% | 4.3 | 16.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 4.48 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 32 | 36 | 9 | 100% | 5.4 | 11.8% | 13.0% | -1.2% | 3.2% | 5.87 | 5.87 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.8% | 13.0% | -1.2% | 3.2% | 5.87 | 5.87 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 125 | 542 | 88 | 53 | 17 | — | — | 16.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 5.20 | 5.31 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 11.8% | 13.0% | -1.2% | 3.2% | 5.87 | 5.49 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 41 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.62 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 35 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.45 | 5.39 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 45 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 44 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.41 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 42 | 32 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 15.9% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.62 | 5.56 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 15.7% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.45 | 5.39 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.39 | 5.38 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.41 | 5.44 | -0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 54 | 228 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.9% | 12.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.50 | 5.57 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 39 | 236 | 995 | 157 | 121 | 32 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.46 | 5.08 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 133 | 103 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.8% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.46 | 5.08 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 52 | 244 | 1070 | 160 | 100 | 34 | 93% | 4.4 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 4.78 | +1.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 43 | 200 | 877 | 131 | 82 | 28 | 93% | 4.4 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.91 | 4.78 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Maier (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.87 | 11.8% | 13.0% | 3.2% | — | 5.44 | 15.4% | 3.2% | 203 | -0.43 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Hall R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.39 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 137 | 85 |
| Sam Wolff R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 84 |
| Baron Stuart R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 83 |
| Jarred Cosart R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 83 |
| Hayden Merda R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.06 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.5% | .325 | 4.42 | 25.8% | 12.5% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.50 | 182 | 82 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 80 |
| Connor Staine R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.94 | 14.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .280 | 5.59 | 19.0% | 5.2% | 79 | +0.65 | 3.71 | 370 | 79 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 78 |
| Jacob Dahlstrand R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.06 | 7.4% | 10.1% | 2.4% | .294 | 5.70 | 8.6% | -5.2% | 77 | +0.64 | 3.06 | 119 | 78 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2028 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 78 |
| Kevin Biondic R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.39 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 100 | 77 |
| Grant Judkins R 2026 · 6.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.22 | 15.8% | 13.4% | 5.0% | .306 | 5.85 | 15.7% | 6.6% | 207 | -0.37 | 5.40 | 322 | 77 |
| Parker Smith R 2025 · 5.01 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.01 | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.22 | 132 | 77 |
| Will Ethridge R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.47 | 14.5% | 11.5% | 3.9% | .253 | 3.57 | 15.6% | 1.5% | 17 | -1.90 | 3.57 | 227 | 76 |
| Ricky Salinas R 2025 · 4.87 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.87 | 15.8% | 10.5% | 3.2% | .297 | 5.50 | 17.7% | 5.1% | 146 | +0.63 | 4.87 | 274 | 76 |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 76 |
| Paxton Schultz R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.22 | 17.5% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .293 | 4.57 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 274 | -0.65 | 4.00 | 512 | 76 |
| Sam Highfill R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.68 | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .305 | 5.95 | 18.2% | 7.9% | 55 | +1.27 | 4.68 | 161 | 76 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 76 |
| Casey Steward R 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.79 | 15.1% | 12.4% | 2.5% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 191 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 66 | 15.0% | 12.3% | 1.24 | 5.54 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |