Adauri Vicente prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Adauri Vicente P DSL Guardians Blue

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 188 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 101

ERA4.45

FIP4.45

K%23.1%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%13.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	7	0	8	48	4	7	0	0%	1.1	8.3%	14.6%	-6.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.24	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	7	0	8	48	4	7	0	0%	1.1	8.3%	14.6%	-6.3%	0.0%	9.00	4.72	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	13	0	17	95	6	21	0	0%	1.3	4.3%	27.6%	-23.3%	0.0%	10.80	6.24	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	13	0	17	95	6	21	0	0%	1.3	6.3%	22.1%	-15.8%	0.0%	10.80	6.16	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Red	17	0	32	149	40	13	1	0%	1.9	18.3%	10.9%	7.3%	0.9%	6.12	3.45	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Red	17	0	32	149	40	13	1	0%	1.9	26.8%	8.7%	18.1%	0.7%	6.12	2.23	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Red	12	0	14	77	15	12	2	0%	1.1	13.2%	19.5%	-6.2%	3.1%	5.27	6.13	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Red	12	0	14	77	15	12	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	15.6%	3.9%	2.6%	5.27	5.44	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	4	0	11	52	10	6	2	0%	2.7	13.1%	14.4%	-1.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.68	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	DSL Guardians Blue	4	0	11	52	10	6	2	0%	2.7	13.1%	14.4%	-1.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.68	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	DSL Guardians Blue	4	0	11	52	10	6	2	0%	2.7	19.2%	11.5%	7.7%	3.8%	5.91	5.35	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.1%	10.0%	13.1%	3.0%	4.45	4.45	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	3.0%	4.42	4.41	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	3.0%	4.42	4.41	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	3.0%	4.42	4.03	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	9.9%	13.4%	3.0%	4.42	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		53	0	81	421	52	72	6	0%	1.5	12.4%	17.1%	-4.7%	1.5%	7.19	5.06	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		130	0	200	1035	129	177	16	0%	1.5	12.4%	17.1%	-4.7%	1.5%	7.19	5.06	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adauri Vicente (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.45	23.1%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.41	23.3%	13.4%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	88
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	86
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	86
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	86
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	85
Jonathan Albaladejo R 2008 · 3.46 FIP	25	SU	3.46	22.4%	10.3%	1.7%	.368	5.02	14.0%	3.8%	46	+1.56	2.30	173	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	84
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Fernando Salas R 2010 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	21.8%	9.8%	3.2%	.276	3.29	23.5%	16.8%	162	-0.98	2.60	539	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Guillermo Moscoso R 2009 · 3.56 FIP	25	SU	3.56	18.8%	9.4%	1.6%	.311	4.33	15.8%	8.5%	178	+0.77	3.56	486	83
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	83
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	82
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	82
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.56	20.2%	4.0%	131	+0.72	3.70	201	82
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	82