Ethan Hearn

C Knoxville Smokies

Age 26 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AACHC	333	.190/.256/.302	8	5	22	—	.157/.208/.253
2026	25	AAACHC	74	.145/.203/.319	3	1	-4	—	.100/.149/.214
2026	25	AACHC	112	.198/.241/.349	4	4	17	—	.150/.188/.262
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBCHC	4	.174/.220/.284	0	0	39	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBCHC	73	.176/.224/.288	2	1	41	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV40

Speed40

BB%11

Z-Con%10

K%4

Chase%4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJordan Betts (age 26) · Arden Pabst (age 27) · Evan Skoug (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .220 / .284

PA4

HR0

K%25

BB%4

BABIP257

ISO122

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	98	80	13	3	0	2	13	36	2	1	1	163	295	275	570	113	244	37	13	263	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	193	34	8	1	6	22	100	5	0	0	176	277	321	599	145	304	44	10	268	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	338	286	61	14	6	12	42	115	7	13	1	213	328	430	758	217	304	34	12	335	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	263	237	37	6	2	2	20	89	5	6	2	156	237	224	460	68	238	34	8	217	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	255	225	52	13	1	10	18	76	9	5	3	231	313	431	745	200	296	30	7	328	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	305	58	8	1	8	24	99	3	5	0	190	256	302	558	111	251	30	7	254	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	74	69	10	3	0	3	3	32	2	1	1	145	203	319	522	174	206	43	4	233	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	112	106	21	4	0	4	4	42	2	4	0	198	241	349	590	151	283	38	4	263	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	98	85	8	2	0	1	8	52	2	1	1	94	189	153	342	59	191	53	8	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	199	21	5	1	3	16	141	5	0	0	106	191	186	377	80	262	62	7	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	338	300	45	10	4	9	28	160	7	13	1	150	239	300	539	150	261	47	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	263	244	27	4	1	1	13	117	5	6	2	111	172	148	319	37	202	44	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	255	231	40	9	1	8	12	96	9	5	3	173	242	325	567	152	239	38	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	312	49	7	1	7	17	122	3	5	0	157	208	253	461	96	225	37	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	74	70	7	2	0	2	2	38	2	1	1	100	149	214	363	114	181	51	3	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	112	107	16	3	0	3	3	51	2	4	0	150	188	262	449	112	250	46	3	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	98	85	8	2	0	1	8	52	2	1	1	94	189	153	342	59	200	53	8	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	—	98	80	13	3	0	2	13	36	2	1	1	163	295	275	570	113	244	37	13	263	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	199	21	5	1	3	16	141	5	0	0	106	191	186	377	80	300	62	7	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	193	34	8	1	6	22	100	5	0	0	176	277	321	599	145	304	44	10	268	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	338	300	45	10	4	9	28	160	7	13	1	150	239	300	539	150	271	47	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	338	286	61	14	6	12	42	115	7	13	1	213	328	430	758	217	304	34	12	335	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	263	244	27	4	1	1	13	117	5	6	2	111	172	148	319	37	205	44	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	263	237	37	6	2	2	20	89	5	6	2	156	237	224	460	68	238	34	8	217	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	255	231	40	9	1	8	12	96	9	5	3	173	242	325	567	152	246	38	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	255	225	52	13	1	10	18	76	9	5	3	231	313	431	745	200	296	30	7	328	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	312	49	7	1	7	17	122	3	5	0	157	208	253	461	96	228	37	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	305	58	8	1	8	24	99	3	5	0	190	256	302	558	111	251	30	7	254	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	177	24	5	0	5	5	90	4	5	1	136	177	249	426	113	232	48	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	186	175	31	7	0	7	7	74	4	5	1	177	226	337	563	160	255	40	4	251	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	98	88	8	2	0	1	8	52	2	1	1	91	189	148	337	57	191	53	8	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	226	203	21	5	1	3	16	141	5	0	0	103	191	182	373	79	262	62	7	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	338	300	45	10	4	9	28	160	7	13	1	150	239	300	539	150	261	47	8	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	263	243	27	4	1	1	13	117	5	6	2	111	172	148	320	37	202	44	5	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	255	232	40	9	1	8	12	96	9	5	3	172	242	323	565	151	239	38	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	310	49	7	1	7	17	122	3	5	0	158	208	255	463	97	225	37	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	175	24	5	0	5	5	90	4	5	1	137	177	251	429	114	223	48	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	255	232	40	9	1	8	12	96	9	5	3	172	242	323	565	151	239	38	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	333	310	49	7	1	7	17	122	3	5	0	158	208	255	463	97	225	37	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	186	175	24	5	0	5	5	90	4	5	1	137	177	251	429	114	223	48	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	236	221	38	7	1	5	10	88	3	4	1	173	219	284	503	111	254	37	4	226	39	-17	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	174	220	284	504	110	257	25	0	226	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	271	253	45	9	1	6	12	100	4	4	1	176	223	288	511	112	256	37	4	229	41	-19	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	73	69	12	2	0	2	3	27	1	1	0	176	224	288	511	111	258	37	4	230	41	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	73	69	12	2	0	2	3	27	1	1	0	174	219	290	509	116	250	37	4	230	25	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	614	107	18	0	18	27	240	9	9	0	174	220	292	512	117	250	37	4	230	25	-45	+2	+0	+12	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2171	1989	292	57	10	45	119	953	42	42	10	147	211	253	464	107	245	44	5	205	25	-33	+1	+0	+8	+10	-1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	87	17	3	13	36	285	13	13	3	146	211	250	461	104	244	44	6	205	25	-46	+1	+0	+12	+14	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ethan Hearn (OGILVIE)	26	30	40	45	35	172/217/282	110	254	5	3	37%	4%	39	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→28	44→45	46→40	35	183/230/295	112	279	11	5	38%	6%	46	-2.6	201/249/309	108	295	11	5	34%	5%	57	-1.8	188/232/279	91	267	11	0	33%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Arden Pabst 2022 · AA	27	33	44→45	44→30	30	179/208/287	108	270	13	4	39%	3%	35	-3.4	186/245/318	132	281	17	6	38%	7%	58	-1.7	104/201/204	100	148	15	0	41%	10%	15	-1.2
✕Evan Skoug 2022 · A	26	32	46→45	45→40	40	171/244/296	125	260	14	5	38%	8%	53	-2.1	190/274/325	135	282	14	5	35%	8%	71	-0.8	165/261/304	139	241	15	2	36%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	36→33	44→45	51→50	32	185/225/299	115	282	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	196/242/313	117	288	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	167/210/287	121	227	14	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Aaron Shackelford 2023 · AAA	26	33→32	51→50	50→45	36	185/239/342	157	266	20	8	38%	6%	61	-1.5	190/257/325	135	287	15	10	37%	7%	64	-1.3	166/255/281	116	248	12	10	36%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Zach Cone 2016 · AA	26	37	45	46→45	33	192/237/311	119	288	14	6	38%	4%	53	-2.1	203/251/330	127	297	14	8	35%	5%	62	-1.4	158/203/290	132	221	16	7	36%	4%	34	-0.8
✕Kellin Deglan 2018 · AA	26	37→35	45→50	42→40	32	190/238/306	116	301	14	5	41%	5%	52	-2.2	201/259/315	114	313	12	5	38%	6%	62	-1.4	177/244/283	106	274	12	2	38%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	42→45	45→30	41	179/238/279	100	251	10	3	32%	7%	46	-2.6	194/263/291	97	283	9	5	32%	8%	58	-1.7	153/239/223	70	230	6	0	33%	9%	31	-1.0
✕Jesus Valdez 2024 · AA	26	37	47→45	49→50	31	198/225/332	134	276	16	9	34%	3%	53	-2.1	205/253/310	105	291	11	6	32%	5%	58	-1.7	193/252/279	86	271	10	3	31%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Brady Lindsly 2024 · AAA	26	40	42→40	51→40	40	195/259/289	94	299	11	7	37%	8%	56	-1.9	200/260/291	91	303	8	7	34%	7%	56	-1.9	192/241/266	74	288	5	2	34%	6%	40	-1.2
✕Ben Ramirez 2024 · AAA	25	40→39	42→40	46→45	39	199/253/301	102	286	11	4	33%	6%	56	-1.9	195/242/278	83	288	6	8	33%	5%	46	-2.6	177/217/242	64	261	4	10	32%	4%	25	-1.6
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→40	36	190/234/294	104	265	12	3	33%	5%	47	-2.5	184/231/293	109	261	12	5	33%	5%	46	-2.6	161/209/276	115	219	13	3	33%	4%	32	-1.7
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	38	45	49→40	38	195/248/314	119	281	13	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	212/265/320	108	303	10	5	32%	6%	65	-1.2	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→25	41→50	45→50	35	170/234/264	94	274	10	6	40%	6%	41	-3.0	198/254/313	115	283	11	10	33%	5%	60	-1.6	196/248/320	125	268	11	11	30%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	33→29	46→45	50	44	177/252/305	128	250	14	12	34%	9%	57	-1.8	191/267/316	125	270	14	12	33%	8%	65	-1.2	158/246/282	125	211	17	12	33%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Kyle Skipworth 2016 · AAA	26	34→38	47→50	41→30	31	173/233/307	134	304	16	4	46%	5%	51	-2.2	194/253/328	134	314	16	7	41%	6%	63	-1.4	129/188/243	114	180	17	0	39%	6%	20	-0.9
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2013 · AAA	27	34→28	48→45	45→30	33	186/226/316	129	261	17	4	36%	4%	49	-2.4	182/217/286	104	269	11	4	36%	4%	38	-3.2	161/191/247	86	249	8	0	38%	3%	18	-1.7
✕Cale Iorg 2012 · AAA	26	36→41	41→45	46→50	33	183/217/277	94	261	9	13	34%	3%	36	-3.3	179/219/272	93	271	8	13	36%	4%	36	-3.3	123/157/185	63	197	3	8	38%	3%	-10	-1.9
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/289	103	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/256	95	264	7	9	38%	9%	42	-1.5