Riley Greene

LF Detroit Tigers
Age 26 L/L 6'2" / 200 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 3.640 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202423MLBDET584.262/.349/.4792441343.1
202524MLBDET655.258/.315/.4933621292.7
202625MLBDET592.280/.373/.4742131403.4
2027PROJ26MLBDET599.258/.336/.4712741303.3
2028PROJ27MLBDET642.257/.335/.4682831293.4
2029PROJ28MLBDET629.255/.333/.4632721273.1
Last 3 seasons WAR 9.3  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 9.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.640First FA2030
2027Arb-1$7M2028Arb-2$13M2029Arb-3$18M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Barrel%90
Chase%90
Bat Spd89
xwOBA88
Whiff%72
Avg EV68
Form.278/.353/.517 ▲▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .263/.339/.484
CompsMichael Conforto (age 26) · Franmil Reyes (age 26) · Chris Duncan (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 107130vR 138
AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .336 / .471
PA599
HR27
K%28
BB%10
BABIP322
ISO215
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +21.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+22BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +3.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: -6.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +13.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +3.60+3.6WAR
0.02.04.03.63.43.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$42M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
728.7%
xAVG
480.250
POWER60
Barrel%
9015.2
Avg EV
6890.3
Bat Spd
8975.4
EYE50
Chase%
9020.6%
SPEED45
Sprint
3226.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▲▲22% over 69 PA (45d) · proj 28%
BB%10%·10% over 100 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.238▲.270 over 89 AB (60d) · proj .221
HR/BB7.6%·7.7% over 65 BBE (60d) · proj 7.5%
BABIP.331·.383 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .328
SLASH.278/.353/.517▲▲proj .263/.339/.484
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1350 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
382
968
—
wRC+
92
141
▶▶R
wOBA
304
377
▶▶R
ISO
160
246
▶▶R
BABIP
305
343
▶R
K%
29.6%
27.9%
▶R
BB%
8.9%
9.1%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.640 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$7M+3.6$37M+$30M
2028Arb-2$13M+3.4$31M+$19M
2029Arb-3$18M+3.1$25M+$10M
Totals $38M $92M +$59M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201918 AWest Michigan Whitecaps — 10896 21222 6263 40 219286344629 125268 246 277 48 — — — — — —
201918 ROKGCL Tigers West — 4337 13302 5121 00 3514425951.036 243478 2812 453 89 — — — — — —
202120 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 185159 49938 22513 40 308402553956 245406 2812 415 122 — — — — — —
202120 AAErie SeaWolves — 373326 9716516 411024 121 298383525907 227386 2711 396 114 — — — — — —
202221 MLBDetroit Tigers — 418376 951845 361203 14 253323362685 109354 299 308 98 -1 -1 -1 +2 +9 0.8
202221 AAAToledo Mud Hens — 6862 17401 6140 30 274338387725 113340 219 327 78 — — — — — —
202322 MLBDetroit Tigers — 416378 10919411 351141 70 288350447797 159384 278 353 129 +14 +1 -1 +1 +9 2.5
202423 MLBDetroit Tigers — 584512 13427624 641565 42 262349479827 217329 2711 364 134 +24 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.1
202524 MLBDetroit Tigers — 655600 15531136 462014 21 258315493809 235323 317 351 129 +22 +0 -3 -7 +14 2.7
202625 MLBDetroit Tigers — 592511 14332221 711575 31 280373474847 194361 2712 373 140 +28 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 26652377 6361271797 25274818 178 268342458800 190348 289 352 125 +78 +0 -6 -16 +58 11.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201918 A MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 10898 19222 4333 40 194248316564 122242 314 239 48 — — — — — —
201918 ROK MLEGCL Tigers West — 4339 9201 3171 00 231302359661 128375 407 300 89 — — — — — —
202120 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 185166 46835 15613 40 277348452800 175399 338 349 122 — — — — — —
202120 AA MLEErie SeaWolves — 373336 9016412 311214 121 268337446783 179373 328 337 114 — — — — — —
202221 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 418376 961845 361203 14 255325364690 109354 299 313 98 -1 -1 -1 +2 +9 0.8
202221 AAA MLEToledo Mud Hens — 6864 17401 4170 30 266309375684 109333 256 284 78 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 416378 11019411 351141 70 291353450802 159384 278 359 129 +14 +1 -1 +1 +9 2.5
202423 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 584516 13728625 611565 42 266349488837 223329 2710 367 134 +24 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.1
202524 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 655601 15932138 452014 21 265320511831 246323 317 358 129 +22 +0 -3 -7 +14 2.7
202625 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 592515 14633222 671575 31 283371483855 200361 2711 375 140 +28 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.4
201918 A MLE2 teams — 151136 28423 8514 40 206270331601 125294 345 256 60 — — — — — —
201918 A RAW2 teams — 151133 34524 11384 40 256331414745 158319 257 327 60 — — — — — —
202120 AA MLE2 teams — 558503 13624718 451827 161 270339453792 183386 338 341 117 — — — — — —
202120 AA RAW2 teams — 558485 14625824 631537 161 301389534923 233392 2711 403 117 — — — — — —
202221 MLB MLE2 teams — 486440 1132246 401373 44 257323366689 109357 288 309 95 -3 -1 -1 +2 +11 0.8
202221 MLB RAW2 teams — 486438 1122246 421343 44 256325365690 110352 289 311 95 -3 -1 -1 +2 +11 0.8
202322 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 416378 11019411 351141 70 291353450802 159388 278 359 129 +14 +1 -1 +1 +9 2.5
202322 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 416378 10919411 351141 70 288350447797 159384 278 353 129 +14 +1 -1 +1 +9 2.5
202423 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 584516 13728625 611565 42 266349488837 223332 2710 367 134 +24 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.1
202423 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 584512 13427624 641565 42 262349479827 217329 2711 364 134 +24 +0 +0 -6 +13 3.1
202524 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 655601 15932138 452014 21 265320511831 246330 317 358 129 +22 +0 -3 -7 +14 2.7
202524 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 655600 15531136 462014 21 258315493809 235323 317 351 129 +22 +0 -3 -7 +14 2.7
202625 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 592515 14633222 671575 31 283371483855 200364 2711 375 140 +28 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.4
202625 MLB RAWDetroit Tigers — 592511 14332221 711575 31 280373474847 194361 2712 373 140 +28 +0 -1 -6 +13 3.4
201918 A MLE2 teams — 151138 28423 8514 40 203270326596 123280 345 256 60 — — — — — —
202120 AA MLE2 teams — 558501 13624718 451827 161 271339455794 184382 338 341 117 — — — — — —
202221 MLB MLE2 teams — 486440 1132246 401373 44 257323366689 109351 288 309 95 — — — — — —
202322 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 416377 11019411 351141 70 292353451804 159384 278 359 129 — — — — — —
202423 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 584513 13728625 611565 42 267349491840 224329 2710 367 134 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 655601 15932138 452014 21 265320511831 246323 317 358 129 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 592515 14633222 671575 31 283371483855 200361 2711 375 140 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202423 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 584513 13728625 611565 42 267349491840 224329 2710 367 134 — — — — — —
202524 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 655601 15932138 452014 21 265320511831 246323 317 358 129 — — — — — —
202625 MLB MLEDetroit Tigers — 592515 14633222 671575 31 283371483855 200361 2711 375 140 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202726 MLB MLEDET 100% 599531 14029228 581665 41 264341485826 221328 2810 361 130 +22 +0 +3 -6 +13 3.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202726 MLB CTXDET 100% 599531 13829227 581665 41 258336471808 213322 2810 354 130 +22 +0 +3 -6 +13 3.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202827 MLB MLEDET 100% 642570 15031330 621785 31 262340482822 219327 2810 359 129 +22 +0 +3 -7 +14 3.4
202928 MLB MLEDET 100% 629558 14530229 611765 21 260338476814 216325 2810 356 127 +20 +0 +3 -7 +14 3.1
203029 MLB MLEDET 100% 616548 13929227 591744 01 256334468801 212321 2810 351 124 +17 -0 +2 -7 +13 2.6
203130 MLB MLEDET 100% 604537 13528226 581734 00 252329458788 206318 2910 346 120 +14 +0 +1 -6 +13 2.3
203231 MLB MLEDET 100% 592527 13027125 561724 00 247324447770 200313 299 339 115 +11 +0 +0 -6 +13 1.8
203332 MLB MLEDET 100% 580518 12425124 541713 00 240316431747 191307 299 329 109 +6 +0 -0 -6 +13 1.3
203433 MLB MLEDET 100% 500447 10420120 461503 00 231307411718 180298 309 318 101 +1 +0 -1 -5 +11 0.5
203534 MLB MLEDET 100% 451405 9017117 411392 00 221295388683 168287 319 304 92 -4 +0 -2 -5 +10 -0.2
202827 MLB CTXDET 100% 642570 14530228 621785 31 257335468804 211321 2810 352 129 +22 +0 +3 -7 +14 3.4
202928 MLB CTXDET 100% 629558 14230227 611765 21 255333463796 208319 2810 349 127 +20 +0 +3 -7 +14 3.1
203029 MLB CTXDET 100% 616548 13729226 591744 01 251329455784 204316 2810 344 124 +17 -0 +2 -7 +13 2.6
203130 MLB CTXDET 100% 604537 13328225 581734 00 247325446770 199312 2910 339 120 +14 +0 +1 -6 +13 2.3
203231 MLB CTXDET 100% 592527 12726124 561724 00 242319434753 192308 299 332 115 +11 +0 +0 -6 +13 1.8
203332 MLB CTXDET 100% 580518 12225123 541713 00 235312419731 184301 299 323 109 +6 +0 -0 -6 +13 1.3
203433 MLB CTXDET 100% 500447 10220119 461503 00 227302400702 173293 309 312 101 +1 +0 -1 -5 +11 0.5
203534 MLB CTXDET 100% 451405 8917116 411392 00 216291378669 161282 319 298 92 -4 +0 -2 -5 +10 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 72796487 163333229285 689208148 2211 252328444772 192324 299 340 119 +166 +0 -0 -66 +158 26.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 14630325 621864 21 252328444772 192326 2910 340 119 +15 +0 -0 -6 +14 2.3
Career— MLE — 86557730 198639841349 796249764 4913 257331454786 198332 299 345 119 +188 +0 +3 -72 +171 29.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 14930326 601885 41 256332453784 196332 299 345 119 +15 +0 +0 -6 +14 2.4