Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.7% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.85 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 120 | 505 | 97 | 30 | 16 | 88% | 5.0 | 14.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 4.74 | 4.57 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 21 | 120 | 505 | 97 | 30 | 16 | 88% | 5.0 | 19.2% | 5.9% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.74 | 3.97 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 23 | 19 | 96 | 409 | 83 | 19 | 16 | 83% | 4.2 | 15.6% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 4.80 | 4.67 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 23 | 19 | 96 | 409 | 83 | 19 | 16 | 83% | 4.2 | 20.3% | 4.6% | 15.6% | 3.9% | 4.80 | 4.13 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 1 | 19 | 104 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8% | 1.5 | 11.9% | 13.4% | -1.6% | 3.7% | 11.64 | 5.85 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 1 | 19 | 104 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 1.9% | 11.64 | 3.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 19 | 2 | 29 | 117 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 11% | 1.5 | 11.0% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.79 | 5.42 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | PIT | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 58 | 240 | 50 | 14 | 7 | — | — | 20.7% | 5.7% | 15.0% | 2.9% | 3.76 | 5.07 | -0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 4.72 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | PIT | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.27 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 165 | 71 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 82 | 43 | 268 | 1150 | 166 | 76 | 43 | 52% | 3.3 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.98 | 4.77 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 32 | 200 | 859 | 124 | 56 | 32 | 52% | 3.3 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.98 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Derek Diamond (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 19.4% | 8.7% | 3.2% | — | 4.64 | 20.2% | 11.4% | 29 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 88 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 85 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 82 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 80 |
| Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 79 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 78 |
| Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.26 | 17.4% | 11.5% | 4.0% | .321 | 3.22 | 25.9% | 16.8% | 60 | -2.04 | 2.63 | 213 | 78 |
| Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.55 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | .316 | 2.73 | 28.3% | 20.8% | 219 | -1.82 | 1.96 | 948 | 78 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.71 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.44 | 3.27 | 339 | 77 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 77 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 77 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 76 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 76 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 76 |
| Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 76 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.02 | 15.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | .294 | 5.41 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 61 | +0.39 | 2.76 | 198 | 75 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .331 | 5.46 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.57 | 3.89 | 141 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |