Derek Diamond — OGILVIE

Derek Diamond P Indianapolis Indians

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%15.8%

BB%7.7%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	3	0	4	15	4	1	0	0%	1.3	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.69	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	3	0	4	15	4	1	0	0%	1.3	26.7%	6.7%	20.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.85	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	120	505	97	30	16	88%	5.0	14.4%	6.9%	7.5%	3.6%	4.74	4.73	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	21	120	505	97	30	16	88%	5.0	14.4%	6.9%	7.5%	3.6%	4.74	4.73	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	21	120	505	97	30	16	88%	5.0	19.2%	5.9%	13.3%	3.2%	4.74	3.97	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	23	19	96	409	83	19	16	83%	4.2	15.6%	5.3%	10.3%	4.4%	4.80	4.88	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	23	19	96	409	83	19	16	83%	4.2	15.6%	5.3%	10.3%	4.4%	4.80	4.88	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	23	19	96	409	83	19	16	83%	4.2	20.3%	4.6%	15.6%	3.9%	4.80	4.13	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	1	19	104	20	10	2	8%	1.5	11.9%	13.4%	-1.6%	3.3%	11.64	5.60	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	1	19	104	20	10	2	8%	1.5	11.9%	13.4%	-1.6%	3.3%	11.64	5.60	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	1	19	104	20	10	2	8%	1.5	19.2%	9.6%	9.6%	1.9%	11.64	3.93	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	35	2	56	225	55	9	4	6%	1.6	17.9%	4.2%	13.7%	2.6%	2.57	3.53	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	35	2	56	225	55	9	4	6%	1.6	17.9%	4.2%	13.7%	2.6%	2.57	3.53	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	PIT	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
2026	25	A RAW	PIT	2	0	4	17	5	1	0	0%	2.0	29.4%	5.9%	23.5%	0.0%	2.25	1.36	—
2026	25	AA RAW	PIT	5	0	10	32	13	0	0	0%	2.0	40.6%	0.0%	40.6%	0.0%	0.00	-0.33	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	PIT	27	2	41	172	37	8	4	7%	1.5	21.5%	4.7%	16.9%	2.3%	3.29	3.15	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	82	0	86	364	63	28	12	0%	1.0	17.5%	7.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.78	4.74	-0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	81	0	85	358	64	28	12	0%	1.0	17.8%	7.7%	10.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.74	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	78	0	82	347	62	27	12	0%	1.1	17.9%	7.9%	10.0%	3.3%	4.77	4.80	-0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	75	0	79	332	66	24	12	0%	1.0	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	3.5%	4.69	4.65	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	70	0	74	312	61	24	12	0%	1.1	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.7%	4.77	4.83	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	40	0	42	177	31	14	6	0%	1.1	17.5%	7.6%	9.8%	3.2%	4.78	4.74	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	53	0	56	236	42	18	8	0%	1.1	17.8%	7.7%	10.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.74	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	61	0	64	270	48	21	9	0%	1.0	17.9%	7.9%	10.0%	3.3%	4.77	4.80	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	62	0	65	274	54	20	10	0%	1.0	19.8%	7.3%	12.5%	3.5%	4.69	4.65	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	61	0	64	270	52	21	10	0%	1.0	19.4%	7.6%	11.8%	3.7%	4.77	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		276	0	290	1225	227	93	42	0%	1.1	18.6%	7.6%	10.9%	3.4%	4.75	4.37	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	64	29	0%	1.1	18.6%	7.6%	10.9%	3.4%	4.75	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		98	43	295	1258	193	81	45	44%	3.0	15.4%	6.5%	8.9%	3.6%	4.73	4.60	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	29	200	854	131	55	31	44%	3.0	15.4%	6.5%	8.9%	3.6%	4.73	4.60	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Derek Diamond (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	15.8%	7.7%	3.2%	—	4.76	17.7%	10.0%	253	-0.14	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	92
Micah Dallas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	15.1%	5.7%	3.6%	.374	4.23	18.2%	9.5%	152	-0.33	3.60	201	81
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	81
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	81
Michael Flynn R 2022 · 3.89 FIP	25	SW	3.89	14.2%	8.4%	1.7%	.362	4.45	24.0%	13.5%	98	+0.56	3.89	168	80
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	80
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	78
Noah Bremer R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	25	SW	4.39	18.0%	9.4%	2.9%	.292	5.82	13.1%	1.2%	46	+1.43	3.19	271	78
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	24	SW	5.11	18.2%	9.9%	4.2%	.304	3.67	18.0%	9.9%	189	-1.44	3.51	330	78
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	77
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	77
Zac Kristofak R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	25	SW	4.10	15.5%	8.9%	2.1%	.252	4.70	10.8%	5.0%	19	+0.60	4.10	168	76
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	76
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	76
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	76
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	76
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	76
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	76
Daury Torrez R 2018 · 4.28 FIP	25	SU	4.28	12.9%	6.5%	2.6%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	356	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.2	72	18.2%	7.6%	1.31	4.76
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45