Derek Diamond P Indianapolis Indians
Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 29 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 107
ERA4.72
FIP4.72
K%19.4%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+2BBCONTACT: -6.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-7CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.35 (58 IP)-0.4WAR
-0.10.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221ROKFCL Pirates304154100%1.326.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%0.001.69
202221ROKFCL Pirates304154100%1.326.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%0.001.85
202322MIX2 levels242112050597301688%5.014.4%6.9%7.5%3.3%4.744.57
202322MIX2 levels242112050597301688%5.019.2%5.9%13.3%3.2%4.743.97
202423A+Greensboro Grasshoppers23199640983191683%4.215.6%5.3%10.3%4.0%4.804.67
202423A+Greensboro Grasshoppers23199640983191683%4.220.3%4.6%15.6%3.9%4.804.13
202524MIX3 levels13119104201028%1.511.9%13.4%-1.6%3.7%11.645.85
202524MIX3 levels13119104201028%1.519.2%9.6%9.6%1.9%11.643.93
▸ 2026 Season
202625AAAIndianapolis Indians19229117263311%1.511.0%3.3%7.7%5.2%2.795.42-0.3
ROS25MLBPIT28029123241140%1.019.4%8.7%10.6%3.2%4.724.72-0.1
ROS25MLBPIT303132100%1.019.4%8.7%10.6%3.2%4.724.72-0.0
2026 TOT25MLBPIT582405014720.7%5.7%15.0%2.9%3.765.07-0.4
2026 FULL25MLBPIT31221019.4%8.7%10.6%3.2%4.724.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBPIT28029123251140%1.020.2%8.7%11.4%3.2%4.654.64-0.0
202726MLBPIT130145912520%1.120.2%8.7%11.4%3.2%4.654.64-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career160177214620%1.120.0%8.7%11.3%3.2%4.664.27+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084416571240%1.120.0%8.7%11.3%3.2%4.664.27+2.6
Career82432681150166764352%3.314.4%6.6%7.9%3.8%4.984.77+2.0
/ 200 IP6132200859124563252%3.314.4%6.6%7.9%3.8%4.984.77+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Derek Diamond (OGILVIE) 4.72 19.4%8.7%3.2% 4.64 20.2%11.4%29 -0.08
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 88
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 85
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 82
Jose Samayoa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP 26 SW 3.56 16.6%9.9%1.1%.286 4.12 17.3%9.4%226 +0.56 3.56 262 80
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 79
Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 16.9%8.6%2.8%.338 3.01 22.4%12.3%71 -1.30 3.01 176 78
Cameron Foster R 2026 · 5.26 FIP 25 SW 5.26 17.4%11.5%4.0%.321 3.22 25.9%16.8%60 -2.04 2.63 213 78
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 78
Colby Morris R 2026 · 5.76 FIP 25 SW 5.76 16.2%11.8%4.6%.268 4.23 105 77
Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.71 FIP 25 SW 4.71 18.3%9.2%3.6%.337 3.27 22.7%12.7%50 -1.44 3.27 339 77
Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 4.72 146 77
Edwin Quirarte R 2029 · 3.59 FIP 28 SW 3.59 16.7%6.2%2.0%.311 3.45 12.7%4.9%83 -0.14 3.21 157 77
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 18.9%10.2%2.7%.271 4.65 19.5%11.5%99 +0.39 3.81 233 76
Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 4.31 174 76
Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SU 4.03 16.8%9.3%2.1%.275 8.37 16.9%-3.1%25 +4.34 4.03 161 76
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 76
Steven Bruce R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SW 3.70 14.9%5.0%2.2%.300 3.62 15.0%9.8%94 -0.08 3.62 148 76
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 76
Jake Bray R 2026 · 5.02 FIP 25 SP- 5.02 15.4%11.2%3.3%.294 5.41 20.5%7.7%61 +0.39 2.76 198 75
Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION22919.8%8.7%1.244.68
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82