Pablo Mujica prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Pablo Mujica P FCL Yankees

Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.52

FIP4.52

K%22.5%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.3%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals 2	13	9	37	159	44	16	0	69%	2.8	18.8%	12.6%	6.2%	0.0%	3.65	3.10	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals 2	13	9	37	159	44	16	0	69%	2.8	27.7%	10.1%	17.6%	0.0%	3.65	2.02	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	11	1	32	134	44	16	2	9%	2.9	22.3%	14.9%	7.4%	2.0%	3.13	4.21	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	11	1	32	134	44	16	2	9%	2.9	32.8%	11.9%	20.9%	1.5%	3.13	2.66	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	1	25	127	16	14	4	8%	2.1	9.6%	13.0%	-3.3%	3.8%	7.46	6.03	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	1	25	127	16	14	4	8%	2.1	9.6%	13.0%	-3.3%	3.8%	7.46	6.03	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	1	25	127	16	14	4	8%	2.1	12.6%	11.0%	1.6%	3.1%	7.46	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	NYY	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.52	4.52	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.48	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.48	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.10	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.1%	12.7%	3.0%	4.49	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		36	11	94	420	72	56	8	31%	2.6	17.2%	13.4%	3.7%	1.8%	4.50	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		77	23	200	894	153	120	16	31%	2.6	17.2%	13.4%	3.7%	1.8%	4.50	4.34	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pablo Mujica (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	22.5%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.48	22.8%	12.7%	20	-0.04	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	79
Wesley Wright L 2010 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	19.6%	8.8%	4.2%	.310	3.38	23.9%	16.5%	106	-1.47	3.03	375	79
Paul Fry L 2017 · 4.66 FIP	25	SU	4.66	21.2%	11.7%	3.4%	.338	3.43	24.6%	14.6%	159	-1.23	1.78	560	74
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	74
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	74
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	72
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	72
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	72
Parker Mushinski L 2021 · 3.50 FIP	25	SW	3.50	24.7%	9.0%	2.5%	.357	4.02	21.7%	11.9%	143	+0.52	3.03	459	71
Logan Darnell L 2014 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP-	4.78	19.6%	7.1%	4.4%	.338	4.10	13.4%	6.1%	262	-0.68	3.16	454	71
Tyler Holton L 2021 · 3.35 FIP	25	SW	3.35	22.0%	6.6%	2.3%	.393	3.41	22.0%	16.1%	224	+0.06	2.97	439	70
Pat Misch L 2007 · 3.51 FIP	25	SW	3.51	14.8%	5.7%	1.7%	.321	4.71	12.7%	7.3%	152	+1.20	3.50	265	70
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	70
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	70
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	70
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	70
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	69
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	69
Rito Lugo L 2022 · 4.04 FIP	26	SW	4.04	18.3%	7.3%	2.8%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	176	69
Bryan Warzek L 2022 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	22.1%	15.0%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	1.91	138	69