Cesari Moreno prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Cesari Moreno P FCL Braves

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 214 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 11 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%22.7%

BB%13.1%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	15	5	27	127	17	19	1	33%	1.8	9.1%	18.7%	-9.6%	1.1%	6.07	5.31	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	15	5	27	127	17	19	1	33%	1.8	13.4%	15.0%	-1.6%	0.8%	6.07	4.45	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	12	0	11	64	17	23	0	0%	0.9	18.1%	44.9%	-26.9%	0.0%	12.66	7.26	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	12	0	11	64	17	23	0	0%	0.9	26.6%	35.9%	-9.4%	0.0%	12.66	6.38	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	14	3	17	96	19	28	2	21%	1.2	13.5%	36.5%	-23.0%	2.7%	12.42	8.08	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	14	3	17	96	19	28	2	21%	1.2	19.8%	29.2%	-9.4%	2.1%	12.42	7.42	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	18	0	19	97	16	19	0	0%	1.1	11.2%	24.5%	-13.3%	0.0%	6.16	5.25	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	18	0	19	97	16	19	0	0%	1.1	11.2%	24.5%	-13.3%	0.0%	6.16	5.25	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	18	0	19	97	16	19	0	0%	1.1	16.5%	19.6%	-3.1%	0.0%	6.16	4.42	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.7%	13.1%	9.6%	3.0%	4.86	4.86	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ATL	19	0	20	84	20	10	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	ATL	9	0	9	38	9	4	1	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.8%	11.3%	3.0%	4.72	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		59	8	73	384	47	111	4	14%	1.2	12.2%	29.0%	-16.8%	1.0%	8.51	6.31	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		162	22	200	1052	129	305	11	14%	1.2	12.2%	29.0%	-16.8%	1.0%	8.51	6.31	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cesari Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	22.7%	13.1%	3.0%	—	4.65	23.1%	11.3%	20	-0.21	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	84
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	84
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	84
Todd Wellemeyer R 2003 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	24.6%	14.8%	4.1%	.290	4.56	18.9%	4.8%	135	-0.58	3.35	615	83
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	83
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	83
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	83
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	83
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	82
Michael Bowden R 2011 · 4.93 FIP	24	SU	4.93	18.9%	12.2%	3.4%	.271	4.22	17.1%	8.1%	77	-0.71	3.21	269	82
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	82
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.78	21.8%	10.2%	115	-0.60	4.73	183	82
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	82