Fredely De Dios prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Fredely De Dios P ACL D-backs Black

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 165 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 5 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%23.1%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 2	4	0	7	40	6	10	0	0%	1.8	15.0%	25.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	12.86	5.00	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 2	4	0	7	40	6	10	0	0%	1.8	15.0%	25.0%	-10.0%	0.0%	12.86	5.67	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	7	2	12	56	10	10	0	29%	1.7	12.1%	22.3%	-10.2%	0.0%	7.71	4.90	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	7	2	12	56	10	10	0	29%	1.7	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.0%	7.71	3.96	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	8	0	15	66	13	16	1	0%	1.9	13.4%	30.3%	-16.9%	2.2%	5.40	6.99	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	8	0	15	66	13	16	1	0%	1.9	19.7%	24.2%	-4.5%	1.5%	5.40	5.43	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	11	0	11	59	10	14	1	0%	1.0	11.5%	29.7%	-18.1%	2.1%	9.82	7.05	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	11	0	11	59	10	14	1	0%	1.0	16.9%	23.7%	-6.8%	1.7%	9.82	6.28	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	8	0	9	60	13	15	0	0%	1.2	14.7%	31.2%	-16.5%	0.0%	15.43	5.81	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	8	0	9	60	13	15	0	0%	1.2	14.7%	31.2%	-16.5%	0.0%	15.43	5.81	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	8	0	9	60	13	15	0	0%	1.2	21.7%	25.0%	-3.3%	0.0%	15.43	5.14	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	ARI	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.1%	13.0%	10.0%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	20	11	3	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.75	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	ARI	9	0	9	38	9	5	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.75	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	5	1	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	117	23	0%	1.1	23.3%	12.6%	10.7%	3.0%	4.76	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		38	2	54	281	37	79	3	5%	1.4	13.3%	28.0%	-14.8%	1.0%	9.50	6.05	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		141	7	200	1041	138	292	10	5%	1.4	13.3%	28.0%	-14.8%	1.0%	9.50	6.05	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fredely De Dios (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	23.1%	13.0%	3.0%	—	4.75	23.3%	10.7%	20	-0.07	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Brad Boxberger R 2013 · 4.40 FIP	25	SU	4.40	25.5%	13.8%	3.1%	.296	3.54	32.3%	22.2%	152	-0.86	2.63	478	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	85
Michael Wuertz R 2004 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	24.2%	12.9%	3.2%	.243	3.39	26.1%	16.6%	189	-1.07	2.27	414	85
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	84
Brandon Cunniff R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	26	SU	4.28	24.5%	13.2%	2.9%	.256	4.32	20.3%	9.0%	115	+0.04	3.89	180	84
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.74	25.9%	15.2%	147	-0.60	2.97	194	83
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	83
Dan Kolb R 2001 · 4.49 FIP	26	SU	4.49	21.4%	12.9%	2.9%	.295	3.61	14.3%	5.5%	131	-0.88	3.00	283	83
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	83
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	83
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	82
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	82
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	81
Manny Acosta R 2007 · 4.05 FIP	26	SU	4.05	23.7%	14.0%	2.1%	.196	4.23	19.0%	9.1%	130	+0.18	3.08	350	81
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	81
Tyler Mitzel R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	25	SU	4.03	20.8%	12.0%	2.1%	.323	4.14	23.4%	17.9%	58	+0.11	4.03	142	81