Dionys Rodriguez

P Peoria Chiefs

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 188 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+STL	33	0	50	2.32	3.32	24.6%	10.0%	—	K 19.0% · BB 11.4% · FIP 4.26
2025	24	A+STL	23	1	35	8.74	4.64	10.9%	12.6%	—	K 8.4% · BB 14.5% · FIP 5.15
2027PROJ	26	MLBSTL	22	0	23	5.26	5.26	16.3%	12.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBSTL	10	0	11	5.19	5.21	17.0%	12.2%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsTyler Yates (age 26) · Grant Black (age 27) · Brad Allen (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.26

FIP5.26

K%16.3%

BB%12.4%

K-BB%3.9%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	24	129	26	32	1	0%	1.3	13.7%	31.0%	-17.3%	1.1%	7.40	6.47	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	19	0	24	129	26	32	1	0%	1.3	20.2%	24.8%	-4.7%	0.8%	7.40	5.44	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	0	26	118	32	19	1	0%	1.5	18.4%	20.1%	-1.7%	1.2%	5.88	4.74	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	17	0	26	118	32	19	1	0%	1.5	27.1%	16.1%	11.0%	0.8%	5.88	3.33	—
2021	20	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	12	70	288	88	22	5	55%	3.2	22.6%	9.0%	13.6%	2.4%	3.36	3.67	—
2021	20	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	22	12	70	288	88	22	5	55%	3.2	30.6%	7.6%	22.9%	1.7%	3.36	2.45	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	27	25	122	535	119	53	14	93%	4.5	17.1%	11.4%	5.7%	2.9%	4.59	4.71	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	27	25	122	535	119	53	14	93%	4.5	22.2%	9.9%	12.3%	2.6%	4.59	3.95	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	30	11	80	365	59	52	7	37%	2.7	12.4%	16.4%	-3.9%	2.2%	4.61	5.33	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	30	11	80	365	59	52	7	37%	2.7	16.2%	14.2%	1.9%	1.9%	4.61	4.71	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	19.0%	11.4%	7.5%	2.4%	2.32	4.26	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	19.0%	11.4%	7.5%	2.4%	2.32	4.26	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	33	0	50	211	52	21	4	0%	1.5	24.6%	10.0%	14.7%	1.9%	2.32	3.32	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	8.4%	14.5%	-6.1%	1.7%	8.74	5.15	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	8.4%	14.5%	-6.1%	1.7%	8.74	5.15	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	23	1	35	174	19	22	2	4%	1.5	10.9%	12.6%	-1.7%	1.1%	8.74	4.64	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	STL	22	0	23	97	16	12	3	0%	1.0	16.3%	12.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.26	5.26	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	30	0	31	131	22	16	4	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	3.0%	5.19	5.21	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	10	0	11	46	8	6	1	0%	1.1	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	3.0%	5.19	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	8	6	1	0%	1.0	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	3.0%	5.19	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	141	106	18	0%	1.1	17.0%	12.2%	4.8%	3.0%	5.19	4.83	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		171	49	407	1820	296	260	42	29%	2.4	16.3%	14.3%	2.0%	2.3%	4.71	4.79	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	24	200	894	146	128	20	29%	2.4	16.3%	14.3%	2.0%	2.3%	4.71	4.79	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dionys Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.26	16.3%	12.4%	2.9%	—	5.21	17.0%	4.8%	31	-0.05	—	—	—
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	86
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	80
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	80
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	79
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	79
Tim Corcoran R 2005 · 4.10 FIP	27	SU	4.10	13.4%	12.4%	1.0%	.254	4.77	13.7%	2.3%	108	+0.67	4.10	130	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	78
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	77
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	76
Endrys Briceno R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	26	SU	4.76	14.0%	13.2%	2.1%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	303	76
Jose Campos R 2018 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	14.3%	9.1%	2.9%	.377	6.69	15.5%	4.5%	26	+2.03	3.28	241	76
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	76
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	76
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	76
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	75
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	75
Jimmy Joyce R 2024 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	17.8%	14.2%	1.7%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	259	75
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	75
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	16.7%	12.3%	1.13	5.22
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27