Darlin Noboa P ACL Guardians
+0.1 WAR
Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
xFIP
SIERA
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.1%
IP15
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR K%BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Indians13229125181419.8%14.0%1.1%2.484.66+0.1
202222ROKACL Guardians17023100279318.4%11.2%4.9%2.785.66-0.2
202323ROKACL Guardians15017812511021.0%17.0%0.0%3.633.48+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCLE151562156223.4%9.3%3.0%4.324.32+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202727MLBCLE202084208323.4%9.3%3.0%4.334.33+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career452693064842615.6%13.9%2.1%2.874.67+0.3
/ 200 IP13062008871391221715.6%13.9%2.1%2.874.67+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Darlin Noboa (OGILVIE) 4.32 23.4%9.3%3.0% 4.33 23.4%14.1%20 +0.01
Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 26 SU 3.85 22.0%7.5%3.0%.333 4.24 18.2%8.5%116 +0.39 3.85 149 89
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP 26 SU 3.60 23.4%10.1%2.2%.267 3.51 27.2%19.2%59 -0.09 3.51 103 88
Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 26 SU 3.74 23.1%8.7%2.7%.234 3.53 18.4%8.3%43 -0.21 2.96 114 87
Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 26 SU 3.70 24.5%9.5%2.7%.232 5.13 18.0%7.0%180 +1.43 3.70 223 87
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 26 SU 4.32 26.5%11.2%3.7%.299 4.62 23.6%11.9%58 +0.30 3.86 134 85
Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.21 FIP 27 SU 3.21 24.2%9.6%1.7%.330 3.20 23.6%14.6%81 -0.01 2.42 125 85
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 26 SU 3.97 21.7%11.4%2.3%.292 4.93 19.0%7.9%223 +0.96 3.84 299 85
Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 26 SU 4.32 20.9%8.8%3.4%.310 4.30 17.6%5.6%46 -0.02 3.45 161 84
Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.36 FIP 26 SU 3.36 26.6%8.0%2.7%.291 2.98 24.1%13.3%63 -0.38 2.67 178 83
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 26 SU 4.25 24.5%13.2%2.8%.256 4.33 20.3%9.0%115 +0.08 3.88 180 83
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 26 SU 4.46 21.3%8.3%3.8%.243 3.46 24.8%17.1%57 -1.00 3.46 198 83
Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.14 FIP 26 SU 4.14 20.6%9.1%2.9%.255 4.04 20.3%8.9%66 -0.10 4.04 214 81
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 26 SW 3.85 23.7%11.6%2.3%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.07 3.23 161 81
Nick Rumbelow R 2026 · 4.53 FIP 26 SU 4.53 25.3%8.9%4.5%.281 5.60 15.5%4.3%32 +1.07 2.03 164 81
Jake Lee R 2026 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 20.5%9.7%2.1%.362 5.48 16.2%9.2%113 +1.76 2.78 181 81
Esmerling De La Rosa R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 26 SU 3.37 20.5%7.2%2.0%.313 4.87 14.1%5.8%66 +1.50 2.90 237 80
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 26 SW 3.86 24.1%8.9%3.0%.242 2.97 25.1%15.7%62 -0.89 2.97 167 80
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.99 FIP 26 SU 3.99 26.8%9.8%3.5%.289 3.80 20.9%11.9%66 -0.19 3.11 166 80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2029 · 4.33 FIP 29 SU 4.33 21.3%8.5%3.6%.241 3.99 18.5%11.9%118 -0.34 3.47 149 80
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP 26 SW 4.22 23.4%11.6%3.0%.273 4.53 18.7%7.1%88 +0.31 3.70 187 80

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.