Julio Carreras

3B Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs AA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAACOL	173	.280/.357/.373	1	11	74	—	.252/.310/.335
2025	25	AACOL	126	.220/.309/.376	3	8	57	—	.205/.276/.330
2026	26	AACIN	147	.183/.285/.294	3	6	32	—	.160/.236/.244
2026	26	A+CIN	142	.294/.400/.479	3	7	91	—	.242/.329/.379
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBCIN	5	.203/.268/.302	0	0	60	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBCIN	83	.203/.269/.303	1	3	61	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%49

Speed43

ISO27

Chase%24

K%19

Whiff%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJoel Booker (age 27) · Matthew Batten (age 27) · Kenny Wilson (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .268 / .302

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%7

BABIP299

ISO101

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	281	228	66	11	7	6	31	46	12	16	13	289	402	478	880	189	335	16	11	379	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	404	362	92	19	5	7	24	102	5	15	4	254	309	392	702	138	329	25	6	304	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	68	60	14	5	1	0	5	21	1	2	0	233	303	350	653	117	359	31	7	287	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	450	402	116	37	2	11	31	106	9	17	5	289	353	473	826	184	367	24	7	359	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	21	16	4	0	0	0	3	4	2	1	0	250	429	250	679		333	19	14	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	62	51	13	3	0	1	10	14	0	1	2	255	377	373	750	118	324	23	16	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	356	311	73	14	1	5	33	81	5	13	1	235	317	334	652	100	300	23	9	294	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	117	102	31	5	1	3	12	28	2	17	1	304	388	461	849	157	394	24	10	376	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	339	308	73	17	5	2	22	102	2	25	3	237	292	344	636	107	345	30	6	281	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	86	72	10	1	0	0	9	18	3	7	1	139	262	153	415	14	185	21	10	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	173	150	42	7	2	1	16	38	2	11	4	280	357	373	730	93	363	22	9	323	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	126	109	24	4	2	3	12	38	2	8	0	220	309	376	685	156	309	30	10	302	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	105	93	18	1	0	2	8	31	3	6	2	194	279	269	548	75	267	30	8	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	147	126	23	5	0	3	15	45	3	6	1	183	285	294	578	111	250	31	10	265	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	142	119	35	11	1	3	16	24	5	7	2	294	400	479	879	185	344	17	11	387	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	281	237	44	7	4	3	22	56	12	16	13	186	288	287	575	101	214	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	404	369	77	14	4	4	17	143	5	15	4	209	253	301	554	92	302	35	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	68	61	13	4	1	0	4	26	1	2	0	213	273	311	584	98	334	38	6	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	450	411	91	29	2	7	22	147	9	17	5	221	276	353	629	131	309	33	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	62	54	13	3	0	1	7	18	0	1	2	241	328	352	680	111	301	29	11	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	356	322	71	13	1	4	23	94	5	13	1	220	283	304	587	84	290	26	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	339	314	68	15	4	1	16	125	2	25	3	217	259	299	558	83	344	37	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	173	155	39	6	2	1	11	48	2	11	4	252	310	335	645	84	336	28	6	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	126	112	23	4	2	2	9	45	2	8	0	205	276	330	607	125	301	36	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	147	131	21	5	0	2	10	55	3	6	1	160	236	244	480	84	232	37	7	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	142	124	30	9	1	2	11	31	5	7	2	242	329	379	708	137	284	22	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	281	237	44	7	4	3	22	56	12	16	13	186	288	287	575	101	227	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	281	228	66	11	7	6	31	46	12	16	13	289	402	478	880	189	335	16	11	379	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	404	369	77	14	4	4	17	143	5	15	4	209	253	301	554	92	322	35	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	404	362	92	19	5	7	24	102	5	15	4	254	309	392	702	138	329	25	6	304	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	539	491	107	34	3	7	26	179	12	20	5	218	274	342	616	124	327	33	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	539	478	134	42	3	11	39	131	12	20	5	280	350	450	800	169	365	24	7	349	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	535	480	106	20	1	6	40	143	7	31	4	221	290	304	594	83	299	27	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	535	464	117	22	2	9	55	123	7	31	4	252	340	366	706	114	322	23	10	317	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	391	88	19	6	2	20	157	5	32	4	225	272	320	591	95	368	37	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	425	380	83	18	5	2	31	120	5	32	4	218	286	308	594	89	312	28	7	266	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	404	361	82	13	5	3	27	126	7	25	6	227	294	316	609	89	338	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	404	352	84	12	4	6	36	107	7	25	6	239	322	347	668	108	324	26	9	299	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	255	51	13	1	5	21	85	8	13	3	200	282	318	599	118	274	29	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	289	245	58	16	1	6	31	69	8	13	3	237	342	384	725	147	301	24	11	325	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	281	245	44	7	4	3	22	56	12	16	13	180	288	278	565	98	214	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	404	379	77	14	4	4	17	143	5	15	4	203	253	293	546	90	302	35	4	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	539	496	107	34	3	7	26	179	12	20	5	216	274	339	613	123	312	33	5	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	535	483	106	20	1	6	40	143	7	31	4	219	290	302	593	83	292	27	7	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	397	88	19	6	2	20	157	5	32	4	222	272	315	586	93	344	37	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	404	367	82	13	5	3	27	126	7	25	6	223	294	311	604	87	321	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	258	51	13	1	5	21	85	8	13	3	198	282	314	596	116	258	29	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	397	88	19	6	2	20	157	5	32	4	222	272	315	586	93	344	37	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	404	367	82	13	5	3	27	126	7	25	6	223	294	311	604	87	321	31	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	289	258	51	13	1	5	21	85	8	13	3	198	282	314	596	116	258	29	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CIN	2%	339	308	62	13	2	4	23	112	5	13	3	202	267	298	566	97	298	33	7	257	60	-16	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	CIN	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	203	268	302	570	99	299	40	0	259	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	310	281	57	12	2	4	21	101	5	11	2	202	268	299	567	97	297	33	7	258	61	-15	+1	-1	+1	+7	-0.6
2028	28	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	83	76	16	3	1	1	6	27	1	3	1	203	269	303	572	100	297	33	7	260	61	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	83	76	16	3	1	1	6	27	1	3	1	211	277	316	593	105	312	33	7	260	59	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	125	23	8	8	47	211	8	23	8	210	277	316	593	106	311	32	7	260	59	-31	+2	-1	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3437	3092	658	142	28	37	211	1073	65	173	43	213	277	313	590	100	310	31	6	256	59	-26	+3	-1	+2	+12	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	124	27	5	7	40	203	12	33	8	212	276	311	587	99	309	31	6	256	59	-31	+3	-1	+2	+14	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Julio Carreras (OGILVIE)	27	55	35	60	45	200/265/296	96	298	3	10	33%	7%	60	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	45→49	39→40	51→55	39	216/270/300	84	298	7	19	29%	5%	62	-1.4	200/238/299	99	316	10	21	38%	4%	49	-2.4	160/180/239	79	266	9	33	43%	1%	11	-1.8
✕Matthew Batten 2022 · AAA	27	51→54	38→40	54→55	42	237/292/314	77	344	6	22	31%	7%	73	-0.6	219/288/317	98	296	9	23	27%	8%	73	-0.6	205/277/303	98	268	9	24	26%	8%	64	-1.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2017 · AAA	27	48→51	38→40	56→60	44	227/286/312	85	303	5	27	26%	7%	70	-0.8	214/279/305	91	311	7	22	31%	7%	67	-1.1	198/266/289	91	302	7	22	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2022 · AA	27	43→49	40→45	52→60	43	203/276/302	99	286	6	20	29%	7%	65	-1.2	194/276/300	106	273	11	26	31%	7%	66	-1.1	168/264/269	100	238	12	31	32%	8%	53	-1.5
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→52	38→40	56→60	37	238/273/320	82	319	5	28	27%	4%	66	-1.1	227/266/306	79	298	4	28	24%	5%	61	-1.5	224/260/289	65	292	0	37	22%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	42→40	59→60	45	209/288/304	95	297	11	32	31%	8%	71	-0.8	207/275/301	94	292	9	27	30%	7%	65	-1.2	173/243/241	69	239	8	46	30%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Mason McCoy 2022 · AAA	27	43→51	41→45	53→55	39	209/256/309	99	298	7	13	31%	6%	58	-1.7	202/260/323	121	294	11	21	33%	7%	63	-1.3	210/268/302	92	293	7	30	29%	7%	59	-1.3
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	49→51	39→40	55→65	45	231/291/318	87	321	7	30	29%	8%	74	-0.6	230/296/317	87	303	6	37	24%	8%	76	-0.4	225/297/294	69	292	4	56	22%	9%	68	-0.7
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	44→47	40→45	58→65	40	202/275/297	95	318	7	26	36%	7%	64	-1.3	208/284/297	89	321	8	39	34%	9%	68	-1.0	212/289/296	84	320	7	47	33%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	224/281/335	111	303	8	29	28%	6%	74	-0.5	210/272/317	107	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	148/218/218	71	242	7	18	39%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	49→53	36→30	57→50	44	226/294/297	71	316	3	17	28%	7%	70	-0.8	238/309/325	87	324	6	16	26%	8%	82	+0.0	245/322/314	69	336	4	16	26%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Adam Engel 2019 · MLB	27	43→48	43→50	53→60	39	211/266/329	118	289	10	19	30%	5%	68	-1.0	231/288/375	144	303	15	17	28%	5%	86	+0.3	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jared Oliva 2023 · MLB	27	44→49	42→45	58→65	38	215/262/327	111	294	8	24	29%	5%	65	-1.2	224/284/350	126	286	12	38	25%	6%	79	-0.2	221/286/346	125	277	12	55	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Kenny Kelly 2006 · AAA	27	52→54	41→40	56→55	44	247/295/346	99	317	7	24	24%	6%	81	-0.1	231/286/319	88	303	8	21	25%	7%	72	-0.7	223/282/295	72	291	7	23	25%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Errol Robinson 2023 · AAA	28	46→49	37→40	52→55	46	209/288/281	72	329	5	21	35%	10%	65	-1.2	204/270/273	69	309	5	20	33%	8%	56	-1.9	186/252/234	48	283	3	23	33%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Todd Hankins 2018 · AAA	27	42→49	39→40	52→55	38	202/245/284	81	286	7	19	31%	5%	48	-2.5	222/271/312	90	320	7	21	31%	6%	65	-1.2	245/294/325	80	354	4	31	30%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	43→41	43→45	55	37	210/262/322	112	299	11	22	32%	5%	64	-1.3	219/267/309	90	320	9	18	32%	5%	63	-1.4	221/264/278	57	330	6	18	33%	5%	50	-1.4
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	43→40	42→40	51→55	42	202/280/309	107	314	9	19	36%	8%	69	-0.9	195/274/288	93	280	9	21	31%	8%	62	-1.4	176/261/250	74	249	7	25	30%	9%	47	-1.5
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	225/278/324	98	307	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.8	225/271/307	82	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	225/270/292	67	304	4	48	26%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Matt Lipka 2019 · AAA	27	42→52	41→45	55→60	43	207/262/306	100	264	8	21	24%	6%	60	-1.6	223/272/327	104	301	8	25	27%	5%	69	-0.9	223/273/322	99	317	8	40	31%	5%	64	-0.7