Drew Ehrhard2B
Portland Sea Dogs
Age 27
R/R
5'9" / 185 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .282 / .339
PA162
HR3
K%26
BB%7
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
35→35
SPD
45→45
EYE
40↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-3M | $-11M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 78 | 70 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .229 | .308 | .400 | .708 | .171 | .304 | 28 | 6 | .288 | 79 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 223 | 205 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .210 | .260 | .273 | .533 | .063 | .279 | 26 | 5 | .239 | 41 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 45 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .128 | .209 | .308 | .517 | .179 | .120 | 29 | 7 | .206 | 16 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | BOS | 117 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .217 | .284 | .358 | .643 | .142 | .272 | 26 | 7 | .275 | 69 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | BOS | 162 | 145 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .193 | .264 | .345 | .609 | .152 | .235 | 27 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB 9% | BOS | 216 | 196 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .214 | .280 | .342 | .622 | .128 | .264 | 24 | 7 | .280 | 73 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB 19% | BOS | 268 | 244 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 64 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .278 | .336 | .614 | .123 | .265 | 24 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB 29% | BOS | 304 | 275 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 73 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .215 | .282 | .338 | .621 | .124 | .265 | 24 | 7 | .281 | 73 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB 40% | BOS | 306 | 277 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 75 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .213 | .281 | .336 | .616 | .123 | .264 | 25 | 7 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +1 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB 49% | BOS | 299 | 271 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .210 | .279 | .325 | .604 | .114 | .263 | 25 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB 63% | BOS | 276 | 251 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 71 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .270 | .311 | .581 | .108 | .261 | 26 | 7 | .268 | 63 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +8 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB 81% | BOS | 238 | 216 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 63 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .199 | .267 | .301 | .568 | .102 | .259 | 26 | 7 | .262 | 58 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +7 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2325 | 2111 | 445 | 82 | 10 | 47 | 161 | 581 | 32 | 30 | 8 | .211 | .277 | .326 | .603 | .115 | .266 | 25 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -89 | +3 | -20 | +8 | +66 | -3.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 590 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 45 | 162 | 9 | 8 | 2 | .212 | .278 | .327 | .605 | .115 | .268 | 25 | 7 | .272 | 66 | -25 | +1 | -5 | +2 | +18 | -0.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 78 | 68 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .265 | .359 | .456 | .815 | .191 | .333 | 23 | 9 | .363 | 136 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 223 | 200 | 47 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 44 | 3 | 4 | 2 | .235 | .301 | .325 | .626 | .090 | .286 | 20 | 7 | .282 | 74 | -7 | +0 | — | — | +6 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Drew Ehrhard (OGILVIE) | 27 | 45 | 35 | 45 | 35 | .222/.282/.339 | .117 | .287 | 3 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Julian Laurean 2011 · AAA |
27 | 45 | 45→40 | 44→40 | 41 | .224/.277/.347 | .122 | .291 | 12 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .226/.281/.334 | .108 | .280 | 9 | 7 | 22% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.281/.307 | .085 | .269 | 5 | 0 | 18% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Trey Harris 2023 · AA |
27 | 45→51 | 42→45 | 43→45 | 40 | .223/.277/.322 | .100 | .285 | 11 | 8 | 25% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.259/.288 | .080 | .284 | 6 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .190/.236/.251 | .061 | .266 | 2 | 6 | 28% | 4% | 26 | -1.7 |
|
✕Sean Jamieson 2016 · AA |
27 | 49→46 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 43 | .235/.294/.348 | .113 | .314 | 10 | 10 | 27% | 6% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.276/.307 | .090 | .324 | 7 | 8 | 33% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .182/.236/.235 | .053 | .302 | 2 | 0 | 38% | 6% | 22 | -1.2 |
|
✕Sharlon Schoop 2014 · AA |
27 | 43→44 | 45→40 | 46→45 | 43 | .219/.272/.337 | .119 | .277 | 13 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .212/.259/.296 | .084 | .278 | 7 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .204/.257/.319 | .115 | .259 | 12 | 0 | 26% | 6% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Chuckie Robinson 2022 · AA |
27 | 40→50 | 45 | 47→45 | 40 | .204/.266/.319 | .115 | .281 | 13 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .228/.277/.351 | .123 | .290 | 14 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .227/.276/.326 | .099 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 64 | -0.4 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Davis Stoneburner 2012 · AA |
27 | 47→48 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .230/.284/.355 | .125 | .290 | 11 | 13 | 24% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .206/.262/.297 | .091 | .279 | 6 | 15 | 27% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .168/.224/.225 | .057 | .241 | 0 | 17 | 28% | 5% | 15 | -2.4 |
|
✕Nevin Ashley 2012 · AAA |
27 | 46→50 | 42→45 | 44→45 | 42 | .224/.291/.328 | .104 | .299 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .226/.291/.344 | .118 | .290 | 11 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .216/.284/.330 | .113 | .273 | 10 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2019 · AA |
26 | 48 | 42→40 | 46→40 | 48 | .234/.299/.339 | .105 | .296 | 10 | 5 | 24% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .239/.285/.330 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 8 | 20% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .253/.292/.330 | .076 | .305 | 4 | 5 | 17% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Gavin Cecchini 2021 · AAA |
27 | 45→55 | 43→45 | 48→45 | 43 | .225/.271/.335 | .110 | .276 | 11 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .218/.250/.309 | .091 | .274 | 8 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 50 | -1.8 | .213/.237/.287 | .074 | .266 | 6 | 9 | 22% | 3% | 36 | -1.6 |
|
✕Arturo Rodriguez 2019 · AAA |
27 | 45→41 | 43→45 | 46→30 | 43 | .223/.266/.329 | .107 | .272 | 12 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .258/.294/.402 | .144 | .289 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 4% | 94 | +1.3 | .282/.311/.427 | .146 | .305 | 23 | 2 | 16% | 3% | 103 | +1.0 |
|
✕Josh Ford 2010 · AA |
27 | 47→53 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 43 | .227/.283/.324 | .097 | .300 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.280/.374 | .145 | .310 | 17 | 4 | 31% | 5% | 81 | +0.4 | .223/.273/.364 | .141 | .305 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2022 · AAA |
27 | 42→46 | 43→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .206/.269/.317 | .110 | .278 | 10 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .201/.276/.293 | .092 | .275 | 7 | 9 | 27% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .191/.273/.268 | .077 | .259 | 6 | 10 | 26% | 9% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Stephen Bruno 2018 · AAA |
27 | 46→51 | 43→40 | 52→50 | 39 | .226/.279/.333 | .107 | .284 | 11 | 13 | 24% | 4% | 70 | -0.3 | .214/.269/.312 | .098 | .260 | 10 | 11 | 22% | 4% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.251/.253 | .061 | .235 | 5 | 8 | 20% | 3% | 35 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jake Kahaulelio 2012 · AA |
27 | 43→44 | 43→45 | 45 | 44 | .211/.272/.325 | .114 | .259 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.287/.313 | .101 | .256 | 8 | 11 | 20% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.305/.245 | .049 | .231 | 0 | 23 | 13% | 9% | 59 | -0.2 |
|
✕Cody Clark 2009 · AA |
27 | 43 | 42→45 | 47→40 | 41 | .214/.262/.317 | .103 | .260 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.270/.348 | .126 | .258 | 14 | 5 | 20% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.268/.341 | .122 | .251 | 12 | 1 | 18% | 5% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nick Trzesniak 2008 · AAA |
27 | 48 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 44 | .234/.282/.340 | .107 | .292 | 10 | 9 | 23% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.262/.330 | .114 | .307 | 12 | 7 | 32% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .162/.202/.263 | .101 | .261 | 12 | 0 | 42% | 3% | 16 | -1.0 |
|
✕Devin Ivany 2009 · AA |
27 | 45→48 | 43→50 | 47→45 | 40 | .225/.266/.334 | .109 | .281 | 11 | 9 | 24% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .222/.276/.351 | .129 | .287 | 14 | 9 | 27% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .213/.270/.335 | .122 | .275 | 13 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2015 · AAA |
27 | 45→49 | 42→40 | 47→50 | 46 | .218/.280/.320 | .102 | .273 | 9 | 6 | 23% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.264/.297 | .083 | .280 | 6 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .199/.257/.293 | .094 | .251 | 9 | 4 | 23% | 6% | 47 | -0.6 |
|
✕Hunter Brown 2006 · AAA |
26 | 47→45 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .230/.289/.349 | .119 | .294 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.288/.337 | .114 | .294 | 9 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | .213/.286/.320 | .107 | .284 | 7 | 14 | 26% | 9% | 66 | -0.5 |