Drew Ehrhard — OGILVIE

Drew Ehrhard1B Portland Sea Dogs

Age 27 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs AA HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP272

ISO98

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	68	18	5	1	2	7	18	3	0	1	265	359	456	815	191	333	23	9	363	132	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	200	47	7	1	3	16	44	3	4	2	235	301	325	626	90	286	20	7	282	77	-6	+0	—	—	+5	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	16	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	229	308	400	708	171	291	27	6	286	80	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	206	43	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	209	256	272	528	63	268	25	4	235	45	-15	+0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	16	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	229	308	400	708	171	298	27	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	68	18	5	1	2	7	18	3	0	1	265	359	456	815	191	333	23	9	363	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	206	43	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	209	256	272	528	63	273	25	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	200	47	7	1	3	16	44	3	4	2	235	301	325	626	90	286	20	7	282	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	16	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	229	308	400	708	171	291	27	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	208	43	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	207	256	269	525	62	268	25	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	78	70	16	4	1	2	5	21	3	0	1	229	308	400	708	171	291	27	6	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	—	223	208	43	5	1	2	10	55	3	4	2	207	256	269	525	62	268	25	4	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	BOS	—	45	39	5	1	0	2	3	12	1	1	0	128	209	308	517	179	115	27	7	196	19	-4	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA RAW	BOS	—	45	38	5	1	0	2	4	10	1	1	0	132	233	316	548	184	111	22	9	240	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	27	AA MLE	BOS	2%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		267	27	9	259	62	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	27	AA MLE	BOS	—	56	49	6	1	0	2	4	15	1	1	0	122	204	265	469	143	121	27	7	208	27	-5	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	BOS	27%	216	198	42	8	1	4	13	54	3	3	1	212	271	323	594	111	268	25	6	263	64	-9	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.9
2027	28	MLB CTX	BOS	27%	58	54	11	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	204	259	296	555	93	274	26	5	256	64	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	58	54	11	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	204	259	296	555	93	263	26	5	256	58	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	123	22	0	11	34	168	11	11	0	203	258	294	553	91	263	26	5	256	58	-28	+2	-2	-12	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	528	484	102	17	3	8	29	133	9	7	4	211	268	308	576	97	272	25	5	255	58	-10	+0	-1	-4	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	126	21	4	10	36	164	11	9	5	211	269	310	579	99	274	25	6	255	58	-28	+1	-2	-12	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Ehrhard (OGILVIE)	27	45	35	45	35	207/261/309	103	267	3	3	25%	5%	62	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pete Kozma 2015 · MLB	27	45→47	40	44→50	48	216/274/310	94	257	7	9	19%	7%	66	-1.1	197/255/266	69	248	5	11	22%	6%	49	-2.4	194/243/282	88	241	5	6	21%	5%	46	-1.7
✕Kyle Overstreet 2021 · AA	27	44→46	40	48→30	41	217/259/302	85	271	8	4	23%	5%	58	-1.7	221/285/305	84	302	7	6	27%	8%	69	-0.9	216/286/281	65	297	5	2	27%	9%	62	-1.0
✕Craig Tatum 2010 · MLB	27	43→47	42→45	42→30	41	211/257/311	100	269	10	3	25%	5%	59	-1.6	211/269/285	74	270	5	6	22%	7%	58	-1.7	209/273/247	38	267	0	4	20%	8%	49	-0.6
✕Harold Martinez 2017 · AA	27	49→46	41→40	45	39	236/271/336	100	306	9	4	26%	4%	70	-0.8	218/265/317	99	296	8	6	28%	5%	63	-1.3	179/224/244	65	252	3	0	29%	4%	30	-0.9
✕Clint Sammons 2010 · MLB	27	40→50	41→40	50→45	42	200/245/290	89	248	9	10	23%	5%	50	-2.3	180/234/282	102	229	12	7	27%	6%	45	-2.7	140/192/219	79	174	11	2	27%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Osvaldo Abreu 2021 · AA	27	41→48	40	44→50	38	198/253/292	93	292	8	8	34%	6%	54	-2.0	204/267/295	91	336	7	9	38%	7%	60	-1.6	140/212/191	51	264	3	4	45%	8%	13	-0.8
✕Jeff Bianchi 2014 · MLB	27	49→57	39→45	46→50	43	237/276/318	81	289	6	13	20%	5%	68	-1.0	225/266/302	77	283	6	9	22%	5%	60	-1.6	214/254/266	53	277	4	6	23%	5%	44	-0.9
✕Luis Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	47→49	39→40	45	41	227/266/312	85	283	6	8	22%	4%	62	-1.4	232/274/353	121	321	13	9	30%	5%	75	-0.5	233/265/346	113	320	14	5	31%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Luke Maile 2019 · MLB	28	44→50	41→40	49→40	45	214/275/317	103	281	9	5	26%	7%	68	-1.0	212/283/321	109	291	10	8	28%	8%	72	-0.7	228/311/347	119	313	11	4	28%	9%	87	+0.1
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2015 · AAA	27	47→49	40	47→50	47	225/287/322	97	281	7	6	22%	7%	74	-0.6	213/263/294	81	279	6	7	24%	6%	57	-1.8	197/255/283	86	249	7	4	23%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	45→44	39→40	44→45	43	214/267/305	91	279	6	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	211/255/285	74	262	6	8	21%	5%	53	-2.1	203/244/257	54	248	6	5	20%	4%	38	-1.7
✕Sean Nicol 2014 · AA	27	49	38→40	45	47	232/285/314	82	288	5	7	21%	7%	70	-0.8	226/278/312	86	285	6	12	21%	7%	68	-1.0	214/255/266	52	274	0	18	21%	5%	43	-0.6
✕Julian Laurean 2011 · AAA	27	46	44→40	43→40	42	225/282/341	116	294	11	8	27%	6%	76	-0.4	227/286/333	106	282	9	7	22%	6%	76	-0.4	222/281/303	81	269	4	0	18%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Leury Bonilla 2012 · AAA	27	46	43→45	47→50	39	227/265/332	106	298	10	11	27%	5%	68	-1.0	226/268/304	78	302	6	9	26%	5%	61	-1.5	220/263/282	62	295	3	8	25%	5%	51	-1.1
✕Laz Rivera 2022 · AAA	27	46→55	41→45	44→50	38	224/267/322	98	290	9	14	26%	4%	65	-1.2	213/270/306	93	297	8	15	29%	5%	63	-1.3	196/257/270	75	280	5	17	30%	5%	48	-0.9
✕Jorge Flores 2019 · AAA	27	42→52	40→30	45→50	43	205/253/294	89	251	8	8	22%	5%	54	-2.0	244/326/326	82	296	7	13	19%	8%	90	+0.6	253/345/314	61	306	6	14	17%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Zach Remillard 2021 · AA	27	45→50	40	46→55	37	212/263/295	83	318	8	8	35%	6%	58	-1.7	209/277/297	88	289	8	17	29%	7%	65	-1.2	208/278/289	82	282	8	21	27%	7%	61	-1.1
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	38→40	46→50	40	190/245/264	74	274	6	8	32%	6%	45	-2.7	220/258/323	103	315	12	17	33%	5%	63	-1.4	224/249/331	107	323	14	23	34%	3%	57	-1.1
✕Jesus Lopez 2015 · AAA	27	49→52	39→40	44→45	44	237/274/323	86	277	7	8	17%	5%	68	-1.0	226/260/331	105	287	9	8	24%	4%	65	-1.2	230/242/328	98	282	8	3	22%	2%	53	-0.6
✕Chris Barnwell 2006 · AAA	27	44→51	40	47→50	42	216/260/312	96	265	8	10	22%	5%	61	-1.5	230/284/316	86	277	7	15	19%	6%	71	-0.8	231/290/312	82	275	6	17	18%	6%	70	-0.6