Brayan Castillo
P
ACL Rockies
Age 25
RHP
6'0" / 204 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION5 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117107vR 98
ERA4.29
FIP4.29
K%23.6%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 13 | 10 | 44 | 193 | 38 | 21 | 1 | 77% | 3.4 | 13.4% | 13.6% | -0.2% | 0.7% | 4.87 | 4.09 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 13 | 10 | 44 | 193 | 38 | 21 | 1 | 77% | 3.4 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 0.5% | 4.87 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 11 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.8% | 13.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 3.61 | 3.85 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 11 | 52 | 221 | 48 | 23 | 1 | 100% | 4.8 | 21.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 3.61 | 2.83 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 8 | 5 | 25 | 119 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 62% | 3.1 | 16.0% | 16.8% | -0.8% | 0.0% | 5.11 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 8 | 5 | 25 | 119 | 28 | 16 | 0 | 62% | 3.1 | 23.5% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 5.11 | 2.78 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 22 | 22 | 99 | 453 | 89 | 51 | 12 | 100% | 4.5 | 14.5% | 13.3% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.62 | 5.67 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 22 | 22 | 99 | 453 | 89 | 51 | 12 | 100% | 4.5 | 19.6% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 5.62 | 4.42 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 24 | 8 | 62 | 296 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 33% | 2.6 | 15.1% | 17.9% | -2.8% | 1.9% | 6.21 | 5.15 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 24 | 8 | 62 | 296 | 58 | 46 | 5 | 33% | 2.6 | 19.6% | 15.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 6.21 | 4.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 43 | 179 | 52 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.9% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 3.32 | 4.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 43 | 179 | 52 | 22 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.1% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 2.8% | 3.32 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 64 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 0.9% | 2.94 | 3.07 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 218 | 64 | 25 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.4% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 0.9% | 2.94 | 2.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | — | — | — | — | 10.12 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 4.29 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 2.5% | 4.29 | 4.29 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | COL | — | — | 38 | 163 | 42 | 17 | 3 | — | — | 25.7% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 2.1% | 5.10 | 3.69 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 31 | 0 | 32 | 137 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 133 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | COL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 4.28 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 2.6% | 4.30 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | COL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.36 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 58 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 3.96 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 93 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 161 | 56 | 384 | 1703 | 292 | 243 | 34 | 35% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.76 | 4.54 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 29 | 200 | 888 | 152 | 127 | 18 | 35% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 4.76 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Castillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.29 | 23.6% | 11.3% | 2.5% | — | 4.33 | 23.7% | 12.7% | 97 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 79 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 79 |
| Layne Somsen R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 78 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 78 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 78 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 78 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 78 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 78 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.63 | 18.5% | 12.8% | 0.9% | .313 | 4.12 | 14.1% | 1.7% | 50 | +0.49 | 3.63 | 104 | 77 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 77 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 77 |
| Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 76 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 76 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 76 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 75 |
| Anthony Vizcaya R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.19 | 21.9% | 10.8% | 1.0% | .259 | 7.08 | 18.2% | 5.5% | 13 | +3.89 | 3.19 | 115 | 75 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 75 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 75 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 32 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 1.01 | 4.31 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |