Brayan Castillo — OGILVIE

Brayan Castillo P ACL Rockies

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 204 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 33 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%24.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP33

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	10	44	193	38	21	1	77%	3.4	13.4%	13.6%	-0.2%	0.7%	4.87	4.09	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	13	10	44	193	38	21	1	77%	3.4	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	0.5%	4.87	3.10	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	11	52	221	48	23	1	100%	4.8	14.8%	13.0%	1.8%	0.6%	3.61	3.85	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	11	52	221	48	23	1	100%	4.8	21.7%	10.4%	11.3%	0.5%	3.61	2.83	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	8	5	25	119	28	16	0	62%	3.1	16.0%	16.8%	-0.8%	0.0%	5.11	3.88	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	8	5	25	119	28	16	0	62%	3.1	23.5%	13.4%	10.1%	0.0%	5.11	2.78	—
2022	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	22	22	99	453	89	51	12	100%	4.5	14.5%	13.3%	1.3%	3.6%	5.62	5.55	—
2022	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	22	22	99	453	89	51	12	100%	4.5	19.6%	11.3%	8.4%	2.6%	5.62	4.42	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	24	8	62	296	58	46	5	33%	2.6	15.1%	17.9%	-2.8%	2.0%	6.21	5.20	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	24	8	62	296	58	46	5	33%	2.6	19.6%	15.5%	4.1%	1.7%	6.21	4.50	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	43	179	52	22	5	0%	1.2	22.9%	14.9%	8.0%	3.5%	3.32	4.98	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	43	179	52	22	5	0%	1.2	22.9%	14.9%	8.0%	3.5%	3.32	4.98	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	43	179	52	22	5	0%	1.2	29.1%	12.3%	16.8%	2.8%	3.32	3.72	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	218	64	25	2	0%	1.3	24.3%	11.8%	12.5%	0.9%	2.94	3.05	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	218	64	25	2	0%	1.3	24.3%	11.8%	12.5%	0.9%	2.94	3.05	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	52	218	64	25	2	0%	1.3	29.4%	11.5%	17.9%	0.9%	2.94	2.58	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	10	59	15	12	1	0%	1.1	25.4%	20.3%	5.1%	1.7%	17.10	4.46	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	10	59	15	12	1	0%	1.1	25.4%	20.3%	5.1%	1.7%	17.10	4.46	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	0	10	59	15	12	1	0%	1.1	25.4%	20.3%	5.1%	1.7%	17.10	5.00	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	31	0	33	139	34	16	4	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.5%	12.8%	2.7%	4.38	4.38	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	44	0	46	195	47	22	5	0%	1.0	24.2%	11.3%	12.8%	2.8%	4.40	4.41	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	43	0	45	189	45	21	6	0%	1.0	24.0%	11.3%	12.7%	2.9%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	16	0	17	72	17	8	2	0%	1.1	24.2%	11.3%	12.8%	2.8%	4.40	4.41	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	25	0	26	110	26	12	3	0%	1.0	24.0%	11.3%	12.7%	2.9%	4.45	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		41	0	43	182	44	21	5	0%	1.0	24.1%	11.3%	12.7%	2.9%	4.43	4.08	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	205	98	23	0%	1.1	24.1%	11.3%	12.7%	2.9%	4.43	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		165	56	388	1738	297	252	35	34%	2.4	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	2.0%	5.01	4.59	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	29	200	895	153	130	18	34%	2.4	17.1%	14.5%	2.6%	2.0%	5.01	4.59	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brayan Castillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	24.3%	11.5%	2.7%	—	4.45	24.1%	12.8%	91	+0.07	—	—	—
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	77
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	77
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	76
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	76
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	76
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	76
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	75
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	75
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	75
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	74
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	74
Wil Jensen R 2024 · 3.48 FIP	26	SW	3.48	22.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	368	74
Trent Sellers R 2024 · 3.41 FIP	24	SW	3.41	23.4%	13.2%	1.1%	.211	4.63	22.6%	8.7%	175	+1.22	3.41	257	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	74
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	73
Madison Younginer IV R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	26	SU	4.22	23.0%	9.8%	3.3%	.370	4.73	14.0%	-5.3%	27	+0.51	3.08	219	73
TJ Shook R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	26	SW	4.15	23.7%	8.7%	3.5%	.317	3.92	20.0%	11.1%	107	-0.23	3.35	452	73
Jose Samayoa R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	26	SW	3.44	16.6%	9.9%	0.9%	.286	3.79	17.3%	9.4%	226	+0.35	3.44	262	73
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	41	24.1%	11.4%	1.09	4.41
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Brandon Workman ('21)	1.6	55	24.3%	11.1%	1.04	4.02