Franny Cobos
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 25
RHP
5'9" / 195 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%22.2%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 14 | 5 | 45 | 161 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 36% | 3.2 | 16.5% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.60 | 2.40 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Astros | 14 | 5 | 45 | 161 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 36% | 3.2 | 24.2% | 4.3% | 19.9% | 0.0% | 0.60 | 1.83 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 8 | 1 | 24 | 104 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 12% | 3.0 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.22 | 4.22 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Astros | 8 | 1 | 24 | 104 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 12% | 3.0 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 1.0% | 2.22 | 3.26 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 3.86 | 9.67 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 3.86 | 9.10 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 3 | 55 | 242 | 62 | 29 | 8 | 13% | 2.4 | 19.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.26 | 5.43 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 23 | 3 | 55 | 242 | 62 | 29 | 8 | 13% | 2.4 | 25.6% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 3.3% | 6.26 | 4.33 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 60 | 279 | 73 | 33 | 4 | 4% | 2.2 | 21.5% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 0.9% | 5.10 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 1 | 60 | 279 | 73 | 33 | 4 | 4% | 2.2 | 26.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 1.4% | 5.10 | 3.18 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 31 | 0 | 57 | 267 | 63 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.8 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.84 | 5.11 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 31 | 0 | 57 | 267 | 63 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 3.4% | 5.84 | 4.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.11 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 81 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 10 | 243 | 1062 | 196 | 125 | 25 | 10% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 8 | 200 | 873 | 161 | 102 | 20 | 10% | 2.3 | 18.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 4.40 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franny Cobos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.49 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 40 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 84 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 84 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 84 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 84 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.98 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | .272 | 5.11 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.13 | 4.98 | 105 | 83 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 83 |
| Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 83 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 82 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 82 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 82 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 81 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .284 | 3.25 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 125 | -0.65 | 3.08 | 201 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 81 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 81 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 80 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.81 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.69 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.88 | 3.16 | 253 | 80 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 22.4% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 4.51 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |