Franny Cobos — OGILVIE

Franny Cobos P Asheville Tourists

Age 26 RHP 5'9" / 195 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 40 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 105

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%21.6%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP40

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros	14	5	45	161	39	7	0	36%	3.2	16.5%	5.4%	11.0%	0.0%	0.60	2.40	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros	14	5	45	161	39	7	0	36%	3.2	24.2%	4.3%	19.9%	0.0%	0.60	1.83	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	8	1	24	104	18	9	1	12%	3.0	11.8%	10.8%	1.0%	1.3%	2.22	4.22	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	8	1	24	104	18	9	1	12%	3.0	17.3%	8.7%	8.7%	1.0%	2.22	3.26	—
2021	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	1	0	2	9	1	1	1	0%	2.3	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	11.1%	3.86	9.67	—
2021	20	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	1	0	2	9	1	1	1	0%	2.3	11.1%	11.1%	0.0%	11.1%	3.86	9.10	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	3	55	242	62	29	8	13%	2.4	19.8%	13.7%	6.1%	4.1%	6.26	5.41	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	3	55	242	62	29	8	13%	2.4	25.6%	12.0%	13.6%	3.3%	6.26	4.33	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	1	60	279	73	33	4	4%	2.2	21.5%	13.7%	7.8%	1.1%	5.10	3.64	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	1	60	279	73	33	4	4%	2.2	26.2%	11.8%	14.3%	1.4%	5.10	3.18	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	31	0	57	267	63	28	9	0%	1.8	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	3.9%	5.84	5.25	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	31	0	57	267	63	28	9	0%	1.8	18.2%	12.1%	6.1%	3.9%	5.84	5.25	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	31	0	57	267	63	28	9	0%	1.8	23.6%	10.5%	13.1%	3.4%	5.84	4.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	HOU	38	0	40	169	36	18	5	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.6%	11.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.66	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	37	0	39	166	36	17	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.65	4.67	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	13	0	14	59	13	6	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.65	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	13	6	2	0%	1.0	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.65	4.29	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	83	28	0%	1.1	21.8%	10.5%	11.2%	3.1%	4.65	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		104	10	243	1062	196	125	26	10%	2.3	18.5%	11.7%	6.7%	2.4%	4.40	4.37	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	8	200	873	161	102	21	10%	2.3	18.5%	11.7%	6.7%	2.4%	4.40	4.37	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franny Cobos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	21.6%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.67	21.8%	11.2%	39	+0.01	—	—	—
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	83
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	83
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	83
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	82
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	82
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	82
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	82
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	82
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	81
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	81
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	81
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	81
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	80
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	80
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	80
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	80
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	80
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	40	21.7%	10.6%	1.18	4.66
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49