Cristian Hernandez

P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 26 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	A+PHI	29	9	75	4.70	3.29	20.7%	5.9%	—	K 16.0% · BB 6.8% · FIP 4.30
2023	22	AAPHI	35	4	52	3.66	4.34	28.7%	9.6%	—	K 23.2% · BB 10.5% · FIP 5.20
2024	23	MIX3 levels	40	1	54	3.50	2.67	25.6%	5.8%	—	K 20.5% · BB 5.7% · FIP 3.42
2027PROJ	26	MLBPHI	24	0	25	4.22	4.22	22.4%	7.9%	0.1
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBPHI	9	0	9	4.25	4.27	22.5%	8.1%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsColeman Huntley III (age 28) · Connor Schultz (age 25) · Stephen Perakslis (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%22.4%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%14.5%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	13	13	63	265	49	10	2	100%	4.8	12.6%	4.7%	7.9%	1.1%	2.57	3.22	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	13	13	63	265	49	10	2	100%	4.8	18.5%	3.8%	14.7%	0.8%	2.57	2.43	—
2021	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	17	76	319	94	29	12	85%	3.8	21.1%	11.4%	9.8%	4.8%	3.57	5.38	—
2021	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	17	76	319	94	29	12	85%	3.8	29.5%	9.1%	20.4%	3.8%	3.57	3.83	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	29	9	75	323	67	19	7	31%	2.6	16.0%	6.8%	9.2%	3.1%	4.70	4.30	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	29	9	75	323	67	19	7	31%	2.6	20.7%	5.9%	14.9%	2.2%	4.70	3.29	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	35	4	52	230	66	22	10	11%	1.5	23.2%	10.5%	12.7%	5.0%	3.66	5.20	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	35	4	52	230	66	22	10	11%	1.5	28.7%	9.6%	19.1%	4.3%	3.66	4.34	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	20.5%	5.7%	14.8%	2.4%	3.50	3.42	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	20.5%	5.7%	14.8%	2.4%	3.50	3.42	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	1	54	223	57	13	4	2%	1.4	25.6%	5.8%	19.7%	1.8%	3.50	2.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	PHI	24	0	25	106	24	8	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	7.9%	14.5%	3.0%	4.22	4.22	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	PHI	24	0	25	105	24	8	3	0%	1.0	22.5%	8.1%	14.4%	3.0%	4.25	4.27	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	PHI	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	8.1%	14.4%	3.0%	4.25	4.27	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	9	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	8.1%	14.4%	3.0%	4.25	3.89	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	64	21	0%	1.1	22.5%	8.1%	14.4%	3.0%	4.25	3.89	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		137	44	319	1360	251	108	45	32%	2.3	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.64	4.35	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	28	200	853	158	67	28	32%	2.3	18.5%	7.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.64	4.35	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristian Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	22.4%	7.9%	3.0%	—	4.27	22.5%	14.4%	25	+0.05	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	77
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	77
Stephen Perakslis R 2017 · 3.07 FIP	26	SW	3.07	21.3%	8.2%	1.3%	.313	5.15	11.8%	5.9%	42	+2.08	3.07	211	76
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	76
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	76
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	75
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	75
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	75
Reinier Roibal R 2015 · 3.11 FIP	26	SU	3.11	19.1%	4.5%	1.9%	.262	4.37	16.9%	9.8%	35	+1.26	3.11	133	75
Dylan King R 2022 · 3.78 FIP	25	SW	3.78	26.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	121	75
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	75
Wil Jensen R 2024 · 3.48 FIP	26	SW	3.48	22.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	368	74
Angel Guzman R 2007 · 3.13 FIP	25	SW	3.13	20.3%	7.0%	1.6%	.330	4.25	19.2%	11.4%	61	+1.12	3.13	147	74
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	74
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	74
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	73
TJ Shook R 2024 · 4.15 FIP	26	SW	4.15	23.7%	8.7%	3.5%	.317	3.92	20.0%	11.1%	107	-0.23	3.35	452	73
Brandon Backe R 2004 · 4.41 FIP	26	SW	4.41	18.4%	7.8%	3.4%	.316	4.77	13.2%	3.4%	221	+0.36	4.41	525	73
Jon Rauch R 2005 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.236	3.67	21.6%	15.8%	250	-0.11	2.87	595	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.2	25	22.4%	8.0%	1.16	4.23
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Ed Vosberg ('86-'02, 1 WAR*)	1.2	47	21.0%*	9.6%*	0.86*	4.06*