Carlos Aguiar — OGILVIE

Carlos AguiarCF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .235 / .288

PA78

HR2

K%30

BB%7

ISO118

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	107	17	3	3	2	8	43	2	6	5	159	231	299	530	140	234	36	7	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	16	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	101	23	5	4	2	14	30	2	6	5	228	333	416	749	188	296	25	12	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Twins	—	19	18	0	0	0	0	1	16	0	0	0		53		53			84	5	40	-111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Twins	—	19	18	1	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	56	105	111	216	56	143	58	5	104	-62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	107	100	13	1	1	5	6	58	0	2	1	130	179	310	489	180	211	54	6	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	107	97	21	1	1	8	9	40	0	2	1	216	283	495	778	278	260	37	8	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	149	143	20	6	1	6	6	96	0	3	6	140	174	322	496	182	341	64	4	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	149	140	34	9	2	10	9	66	0	3	6	243	289	550	839	307	375	44	6	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	206	189	31	3	5	6	12	98	2	5	2	164	222	328	550	164	284	48	6	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	206	184	41	5	6	8	17	65	2	5	2	223	296	446	741	223	289	32	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	155	142	22	8	1	4	12	65	0	3	0	155	221	310	531	155	243	42	8	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	155	139	32	11	2	5	15	45	0	3	0	230	305	446	751	216	300	29	10	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	MIN	—	78	72	12	2	0	2	5	23	1	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	224	29	6	239	41	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIN	30%	131	120	22	4	1	3	9	38	1	2	1	183	246	308	554	125	232	29	7	250	50	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	MIN	30%	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	232	28	8	244	45	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	39	36	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	167	231	278	509	111	208	28	8	244	45	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	101	17	0	17	50	183	0	17	0	168	232	282	514	113	210	28	8	244	45	-41	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	966	891	137	27	12	28	59	437	6	22	15	154	211	305	517	152	251	45	6	224	29	-77	-2	+0	+3	+27	-4.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	92	18	8	19	40	294	4	15	10	153	211	305	516	152	250	45	6	224	29	-52	-1	+0	+2	+18	-3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Twins	—	121	101	23	5	4	2	14	30	2	6	5	228	333	416	749	188	296	25	12	323	106	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2019	17	ROK	GCL Twins	—	19	18	1	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	56	105	111	216	56	143	58	5	104	-62	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	107	97	21	1	1	8	9	40	0	2	1	216	283	495	778	278	260	37	8	334	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	149	140	34	9	2	10	9	66	0	3	6	243	289	550	839	307	375	44	6	360	134	+6	-2	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	206	184	41	5	6	8	17	65	2	5	2	223	296	446	741	223	289	32	8	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	155	139	32	11	2	5	15	45	0	3	0	230	305	446	751	216	300	29	10	328	109	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Aguiar (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	171/235/288	117	224	2	1	30%	7%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan Farrar 2019 · A	24	39→34	46→45	49→45	43	203/261/330	127	255	14	3	26%	6%	62	-0.9	199/264/288	89	282	8	6	30%	7%	52	-1.6	172/250/210	39	260	3	6	32%	9%	25	-1.6
✕Cam Gibson 2018 · A	24	37→41	46→45	54→55	42	194/251/331	136	259	14	15	30%	7%	57	-1.2	197/260/301	104	277	9	19	30%	7%	53	-1.5	187/255/275	87	267	7	22	30%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36	43→45	49→50	38	178/256/281	102	283	11	6	38%	7%	48	-1.9	195/273/305	110	331	12	11	42%	8%	61	-1.0	188/271/297	108	330	13	14	43%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→35	44→45	49→50	45	196/278/309	113	276	13	10	32%	9%	64	-0.8	190/263/303	113	285	10	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	175/248/290	115	270	9	16	36%	8%	43	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	39→29	42→45	51→60	39	193/259/298	104	285	9	12	34%	6%	53	-1.5	180/251/274	94	284	8	13	37%	7%	44	-2.1	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Daniel Cabrera 2023 · AA	24	40	45	51→45	41	205/253/327	122	266	12	7	28%	6%	56	-1.3	215/278/315	100	279	8	8	24%	8%	64	-0.8	217/300/282	65	283	2	8	22%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Mike Peabody 2023 · A	24	37	47→45	47→50	37	190/259/319	130	282	15	12	37%	6%	59	-1.1	199/266/320	121	289	13	12	34%	6%	62	-0.9	177/247/292	116	250	14	12	34%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/259/317	123	270	12	12	31%	6%	58	-1.2	191/252/273	82	267	7	12	29%	7%	43	-2.2	164/226/208	45	228	4	12	28%	6%	13	-2.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	44→40	49→50	41	191/244/304	113	257	11	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	196/261/302	106	280	9	17	31%	7%	54	-1.4	179/251/275	96	257	8	22	31%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Tyler Frost 2019 · A	23	36→32	47→50	48→50	38	189/248/323	134	278	14	6	36%	7%	55	-1.4	185/241/292	107	322	11	8	43%	6%	43	-2.2	157/213/246	90	292	9	9	47%	5%	18	-3.1
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	36	41→45	53→50	44	181/245/281	100	235	8	18	26%	7%	42	-2.3	206/271/305	99	295	7	14	30%	7%	59	-1.1	214/281/311	97	327	6	13	34%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Pat Porter 2017 · A	24	31	44→45	47→45	37	165/231/277	113	250	12	7	38%	6%	36	-2.7	189/250/287	98	292	9	8	36%	6%	46	-2.0	170/232/237	67	267	6	5	37%	6%	23	-1.3
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	40	43→50	49→50	42	200/260/311	111	272	11	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	186/247/306	120	255	14	11	32%	6%	50	-1.8	144/217/244	100	209	14	11	37%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Craig Dedelow 2019 · A	24	38→34	45→50	44→45	35	198/232/325	126	263	12	4	30%	4%	47	-1.9	184/229/307	123	276	13	4	37%	5%	42	-2.3	161/224/296	135	264	16	7	44%	6%	36	-2.3
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2015 · A	24	34→30	45→50	49→30	38	179/232/306	127	251	12	4	34%	6%	43	-2.2	185/242/325	140	253	15	3	32%	6%	53	-1.5	171/231/317	146	225	16	1	32%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Michael Harrington 2010 · A	24	38→34	41→45	45→40	39	189/237/289	101	266	8	3	32%	6%	40	-2.4	191/242/275	84	287	6	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	149/205/195	45	234	3	0	35%	6%	0	-1.6
✕Brandon Dulin 2016 · A	23	37→30	44→45	49→40	36	191/241/311	120	263	12	5	32%	4%	48	-1.9	200/250/321	121	284	15	3	34%	5%	55	-1.4	189/240/311	122	264	17	0	35%	5%	45	-1.3