Carlos Aguiar — OGILVIE

Carlos AguiarCF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 24 L/L 6'3" / 175 lbs A BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.3 · 2029

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .324

PA78

HR2

K%33

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$-13M	-$16M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Twins	121	107	17	3	3	2	8	43	2	6	5	.159	.231	.299	.530	.140	.234	36	7	.218	25	-10	-1	+0	+0	+3	-0.7
2019	17	ROK	GCL Twins	19	18	0	0	0	0	1	16	0	0	0	.000	.053	.000	.053	.000	.000	84	5	.040	-111	-5	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.4
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	107	100	13	1	1	5	6	58	0	2	1	.130	.179	.310	.489	.180	.211	54	6	.196	8	-11	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.8
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	149	142	21	6	1	6	7	94	0	3	6	.148	.188	.331	.519	.183	.357	63	5	.212	20	-13	-2	+0	+1	+4	-1.1
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	206	189	31	4	4	6	12	95	2	5	2	.164	.222	.323	.544	.159	.275	46	6	.233	37	-15	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	155	142	22	8	1	4	12	64	0	3	0	.155	.221	.310	.531	.155	.240	41	8	.236	39	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	MIN	78	71	14	3	0	2	6	26	1	1	0	.197	.269	.324	.593	.127	.287	33	8	.267	63	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 10%	MIN	131	119	25	5	1	3	10	42	1	2	1	.210	.277	.345	.621	.134	.289	32	8	.279	71	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2028	26	MLB 25%	MIN	236	213	45	9	1	6	19	74	2	4	1	.211	.282	.347	.629	.136	.290	31	8	.285	77	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2029	27	MLB 42%	MIN	300	270	58	11	2	8	24	93	3	5	1	.215	.286	.359	.645	.144	.290	31	8	.287	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2030	28	MLB 52%	MIN	341	307	65	12	2	9	28	105	3	5	1	.212	.284	.352	.636	.140	.290	31	8	.287	78	-8	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2031	29	MLB 63%	MIN	360	325	69	13	2	9	29	112	3	5	1	.212	.283	.348	.631	.135	.289	31	8	.285	76	-10	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.1
2032	30	MLB 72%	MIN	371	335	70	13	2	9	30	117	3	4	1	.209	.280	.340	.620	.131	.288	32	8	.282	74	-11	+0	-2	+1	+11	-0.1
2033	31	MLB 81%	MIN	367	331	69	13	2	9	30	117	3	2	0	.208	.280	.341	.622	.133	.286	32	8	.278	71	-12	+0	-3	+1	+10	-0.3
2034	32	MLB	MIN	355	320	65	12	2	8	29	115	3	1	0	.203	.276	.328	.604	.125	.285	32	8	.274	67	-13	+0	-4	+1	+10	-0.5
2035	33	MLB	MIN	329	296	59	11	2	7	27	109	3	0	0	.199	.273	.321	.594	.122	.283	33	8	.268	63	-14	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.7
2036	34	MLB	MIN	288	261	50	9	1	6	23	98	2	0	0	.192	.262	.303	.565	.111	.281	34	8	.262	58	-14	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3913	3546	693	133	27	99	301	1378	31	48	20	.195	.264	.332	.596	.136	.284	35	8	.267	62	-167	+2	-20	+14	+111	-6.2
/ 162G	—			650	589	114	22	4	16	50	229	5	8	3	.194	.262	.326	.588	.132	.282	35	8	.267	62	-28	+0	-3	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	16	ROK	DSL Twins	121	101	23	5	4	2	14	30	2	6	5	.228	.333	.416	.749	.188	.296	25	12	.323	106	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.3
2019	17	ROK	GCL Twins	19	18	1	1	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	.056	.105	.111	.216	.056	.143	58	5	.104	-62	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	19	ROK	FCL Twins	107	97	21	1	1	8	9	40	0	2	1	.216	.283	.495	.778	.278	.260	37	8	.334	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	20	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	149	140	34	9	2	10	9	66	0	3	6	.243	.289	.550	.839	.307	.375	44	6	.360	134	+6	-2	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	21	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	206	184	41	5	6	8	17	65	2	5	2	.223	.296	.446	.741	.223	.289	32	8	.320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+6	0.7
2024	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	155	139	32	11	2	5	15	45	0	3	0	.230	.305	.446	.751	.216	.300	29	10	.328	109	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Aguiar (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	.200/.266/.324	.124	.287	2	1	33%	7%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	.212/.273/.333	.122	.278	12	9	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.228/.285/.377	.149	.300	18	5	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.226/.286/.378	.152	.294	19	3	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	42→43	46→50	53→50	39	.205/.270/.332	.127	.311	15	13	37%	7%	66	-0.6	.215/.283/.352	.137	.306	16	15	33%	8%	77	+0.1	.214/.283/.361	.147	.282	16	17	29%	8%	76	+0.0
●Ryan Schimpf 2012 · A	24	38→39	46→60	51→45	40	.193/.263/.329	.136	.276	13	8	33%	7%	63	-0.9	.199/.276/.370	.171	.267	20	5	32%	8%	79	+0.3	.201/.284/.419	.218	.235	28	2	28%	9%	91	+0.9
✕DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 2022 · A	25	35→45	45→50	53→60	40	.180/.251/.302	.122	.279	13	14	38%	8%	50	-1.7	.231/.283/.350	.119	.327	11	31	31%	6%	76	+0.0	.245/.299/.367	.122	.338	11	36	29%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Trey Cabbage 2021 · A	24	39→45	44→55	51→55	32	.189/.238/.308	.119	.317	11	7	42%	5%	46	-2.0	.215/.276/.398	.183	.367	24	14	45%	7%	86	+0.8	.215/.278/.414	.199	.347	27	22	43%	7%	89	+0.6
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	40→45	40→55	52→50	40	.196/.247/.290	.094	.271	8	12	30%	6%	44	-2.1	.219/.273/.373	.154	.297	19	13	32%	7%	78	+0.2	.216/.275/.377	.161	.291	21	14	32%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2012 · AA	24	36→41	44→50	49→45	41	.183/.249/.300	.117	.266	12	4	34%	7%	50	-1.8	.198/.255/.308	.110	.279	10	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.212/.252/.322	.110	.274	6	0	24%	5%	52	-0.3
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	45→55	47→45	45	.204/.281/.326	.122	.262	13	8	27%	7%	70	-0.3	.219/.278/.391	.172	.284	22	4	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.215/.266/.411	.196	.270	28	0	32%	5%	81	+0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2016 · AAA	24	36→41	48→55	48→50	44	.188/.265/.331	.144	.271	15	11	35%	9%	65	-0.7	.204/.278/.369	.165	.296	18	13	35%	9%	79	+0.3	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	43	46→50	50→45	37	.218/.252/.353	.135	.284	13	9	28%	4%	63	-0.8	.230/.276/.361	.131	.301	15	9	28%	5%	76	+0.0	.226/.276/.350	.123	.294	15	9	28%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→47	44→50	52→55	45	.189/.271/.304	.115	.294	11	13	37%	10%	59	-1.1	.219/.303/.372	.153	.347	16	14	37%	10%	90	+1.0	.205/.288/.342	.137	.315	13	20	36%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	40→38	42→50	47→55	38	.195/.256/.302	.107	.293	9	11	35%	6%	53	-1.5	.185/.248/.308	.123	.276	12	13	36%	6%	51	-1.7	.199/.260/.339	.140	.286	17	24	35%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2021 · AA	24	42→43	48→55	51→50	36	.214/.257/.351	.137	.291	16	9	32%	5%	66	-0.6	.221/.282/.380	.159	.297	19	9	31%	7%	84	+0.6	.211/.283/.380	.168	.276	21	6	31%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Kyle Isbel 2021 · A	24	43→51	45→50	52→55	39	.215/.260/.338	.123	.281	12	17	28%	5%	63	-0.9	.225/.284/.361	.136	.286	13	18	25%	6%	79	+0.3	.226/.284/.366	.140	.280	13	19	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Kevin Rivers 2013 · A	24	42→45	45→50	46→45	44	.207/.279/.331	.124	.288	12	7	31%	8%	70	-0.3	.214/.277/.345	.131	.297	12	6	30%	8%	72	-0.2	.210/.272/.344	.134	.286	11	4	29%	8%	67	-0.4
✕Chris Epps 2013 · A	24	41→36	48→55	48→45	42	.210/.273/.351	.142	.298	16	9	34%	8%	72	-0.2	.197/.270/.336	.139	.293	15	9	35%	9%	67	-0.5	.183/.265/.325	.142	.273	14	7	36%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Jake Ring 2019 · A	24	41→42	43→45	49→50	40	.202/.258/.314	.112	.289	11	11	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.192/.254/.301	.109	.297	11	7	37%	7%	51	-1.7	.145/.210/.255	.110	.235	13	2	43%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	45	44→45	53→50	46	.219/.290/.343	.124	.299	11	9	29%	8%	77	+0.1	.205/.273/.316	.111	.294	11	13	32%	8%	63	-0.9	.181/.252/.276	.095	.261	10	16	33%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Robert Neustrom 2021 · A	24	43→44	43→50	49→50	41	.214/.260/.328	.113	.280	11	7	27%	6%	60	-1.0	.219/.273/.360	.141	.270	15	12	24%	6%	74	-0.1	.212/.269/.359	.147	.253	17	14	23%	6%	69	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)