Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 14 | 8 | 40 | 173 | 38 | 17 | 0 | 57% | 2.9 | 14.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 3.15 | 3.39 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Athletics | 14 | 8 | 40 | 173 | 38 | 17 | 0 | 57% | 2.9 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 3.15 | 2.48 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 4 | 4 | 13 | 60 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 3.2 | 9.1% | 20.8% | -11.8% | 2.3% | 6.39 | 6.25 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | 4 | 4 | 13 | 60 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 100% | 3.2 | 13.3% | 16.7% | -3.3% | 1.7% | 6.39 | 5.23 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 12 | 5 | 39 | 174 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 42% | 3.2 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.69 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates Black | 12 | 5 | 39 | 174 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 42% | 3.2 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 1.7% | 3.69 | 3.56 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 37 | 1 | 51 | 238 | 58 | 31 | 3 | 3% | 1.4 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 3.88 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 37 | 1 | 51 | 238 | 58 | 31 | 3 | 3% | 1.4 | 24.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 3.88 | 3.41 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 58 | 240 | 67 | 37 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.9% | 17.4% | 4.5% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 58 | 240 | 67 | 37 | 0 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.9% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 2.50 | 2.70 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 51 | 223 | 47 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.6% | 12.5% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 3.00 | 3.45 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 51 | 223 | 47 | 26 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 0.4% | 3.00 | 3.04 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 65 | 262 | 68 | 24 | 2 | 2% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 1.1% | 2.64 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 65 | 262 | 68 | 24 | 2 | 2% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 9.2% | 16.8% | 0.8% | 2.64 | 2.51 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 26 | 0 | 39 | 180 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 1.3% | 5.12 | 3.30 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | SF | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 32 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 2.2% | 4.41 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 107 | 467 | 94 | 49 | 8 | — | — | 20.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 4.67 | 4.01 | +1.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | SF | — | — | 70 | 296 | 94 | 49 | 8 | — | — | 31.9% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 7.11 | 4.07 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 62 | 33 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 61 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 58 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 2.3% | 4.38 | 4.37 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SF | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 59 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.40 | 4.41 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 193 | 0 | 202 | 860 | 176 | 98 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.58 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 851 | 174 | 97 | 20 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.58 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 214 | 19 | 355 | 1550 | 280 | 202 | 15 | 9% | 1.7 | 18.1% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 3.43 | 3.77 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 121 | 11 | 200 | 874 | 158 | 114 | 9 | 9% | 1.7 | 18.1% | 13.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 3.43 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Wilkin Ramos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.41 | 20.3% | 11.2% | 2.2% | — | 4.39 | 21.0% | 10.0% | 139 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Guido Knudson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 20.7% | 11.1% | 1.3% | .255 | 4.83 | 17.5% | 6.7% | 47 | +1.34 | 3.49 | 106 | 90 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 20.5% | 10.4% | 1.4% | .251 | 4.10 | 21.4% | 12.3% | 109 | +0.67 | 3.43 | 187 | 89 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 88 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.21 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.58 | 14.2% | 5.4% | 162 | +0.37 | 3.79 | 291 | 88 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 88 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.02 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .305 | 7.93 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 58 | +3.91 | 3.54 | 153 | 88 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 88 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 88 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 87 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 87 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.85 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .330 | 4.04 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 96 | +0.19 | 2.54 | 214 | 87 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 87 |
| Malcom Culver R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.76 | 18.3% | 12.2% | 1.2% | .327 | 3.35 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 105 | -0.41 | 3.26 | 163 | 87 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 87 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 86 |
| José Ramírez R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.86 | 22.4% | 11.8% | 136 | -0.03 | 3.28 | 206 | 86 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Beck Wheeler R 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.42 | 18.7% | 11.3% | 0.8% | .275 | 4.70 | 20.0% | 6.7% | 114 | +1.28 | 3.42 | 173 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.0% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 106 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 20.8% | 11.1% | 0.90 | 4.40 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Cory Gearrin ('19) | 4 | 57 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 0.79 | 3.42 |