Jorge Barrosa

LF Houston Astros

Age 26 S/L 5'6" / 165 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.407 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	23	MLBARI	18	.176/.176/.294	0	1	6	0.1
2025	24	MLBARI	77	.141/.176/.225	1	0	2	-0.3
2026	25	MLBHOU	174	.193/.287/.331	2	3	63	-0.4
2027PROJ	26	MLBHOU	224	.215/.288/.335	4	9	74	-0.3
2028PROJ65% MLB	27	MLBHOU	205	.214/.287/.332	3	8	73	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.6 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.407First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.2M2031Ext$0.4M2032Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed73

Bat Spd33

Avg EV23

Barrel%13

CompsNook Logan (age 26) · Adam Engel (age 26) · Wilmer Difo (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7474vR 74

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .288 / .335

PA224

HR4

SB9

K%25

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO119

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

904.1%

xAVG

100.176

POWER35

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

2387.0

Bat Spd

3369.6

EYE50

Chase%

9012.8%

SPEED55

Sprint

7328.4

DEFENSE60

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 140 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

277

181

◀◀L

ISO

187

103

◀◀L

BABIP

207

271

▶▶R

22.9%

38.6%

◀◀L

BB%

7.1%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.407 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	272	242	62	18	3	4	22	48	6	20	7	256	333	405	738	149	304	18	8	329	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	163	147	49	8	0	3	7	31	7	9	4	333	391	449	840	116	404	19	4	374	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	510	434	120	30	2	12	65	80	4	22	11	276	376	438	814	161	314	16	13	360	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	40	12	3	0	1	2	5	1	4	1	300	349	450	799	150	324	12	5	356	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	18	17	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	176	176	294	471	118	200	11	0	193	6	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.1
2024	23	AAA	Reno Aces	—	329	285	77	17	1	8	38	59	3	12	4	270	362	421	783	151	314	18	12	349	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	38	34	8	1	1	1	2	7	1	1	1	235	297	412	709	176	259	18	5	306	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	64	58	11	1	1	0	4	14	0	3	0	190	242	241	483	52	244	22	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	77	71	10	3	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	141	176	225	401	85	176	29	3	175	2	-9	+0	+3	+2	+2	-0.3
2025	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	456	394	116	29	2	7	54	95	1	10	4	294	381	431	812	137	369	21	12	360	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	174	145	28	12	1	2	17	46	2	3	0	193	287	331	618	138	265	26	10	266	63	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
2026	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	43	34	12	1	1	1	8	6	1	1	1	353	488	529	1.018	176	407	14	19	452	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	269	233	41	17	1	3	19	70	3	4	0	176	247	296	543	120	232	26	7	235	45	-18	+1	+5	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	276	60	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	217	294	290	584	72	270	21	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	272	248	48	11	2	3	16	67	6	20	7	194	259	290	550	97	248	25	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	163	149	43	6	0	3	5	43	7	9	4	289	342	389	731	101	373	26	3	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	510	455	112	27	2	10	44	97	4	22	11	246	318	380	698	134	285	19	9	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	43	40	11	2	0	1	2	6	1	4	1	275	326	400	726	125	296	14	5	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	439	105	17	7	10	53	103	3	15	7	239	325	378	703	139	285	21	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	18	17	3	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	176	176	294	471	118	200	11	0	177	6	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.1
2024	23	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	329	296	68	15	1	5	27	73	3	12	4	230	301	338	638	108	280	22	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	38	35	7	1	1	1	1	10	1	1	1	200	243	371	615	171	195	26	3	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	77	71	10	3	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	141	176	225	401	85	176	29	3	171	2	-9	+0	+3	+2	+2	-0.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	456	408	111	24	2	6	40	111	1	10	4	272	339	385	723	113	349	24	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	Houston Astros	—	174	145	27	11	1	2	17	46	2	3	0	186	280	317	598	131	265	26	10	261	63	-8	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.4
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	276	60	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	217	294	290	584	72	275	21	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	308	265	74	8	6	3	29	45	12	39	8	279	376	389	764	109	324	15	9	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	397	91	17	2	6	21	110	13	29	11	229	290	327	617	98	300	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	435	389	111	26	3	7	29	79	13	29	11	285	355	422	777	136	341	18	7	346	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	495	121	29	2	10	46	103	5	26	12	244	315	372	687	127	289	19	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	553	474	132	33	2	13	67	85	5	26	12	278	374	439	812	160	315	15	12	360	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	439	105	17	7	10	53	103	3	15	7	239	325	378	703	139	289	21	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	—	502	412	113	20	8	13	80	82	3	15	7	274	396	456	852	182	312	16	16	376	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	405	89	20	2	7	33	100	4	17	5	220	285	331	616	111	272	22	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA RAW	4 teams	—	449	394	99	21	3	9	44	82	4	17	5	251	333	388	721	137	293	18	10	320	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	479	121	27	2	7	42	133	2	10	4	253	315	361	677	109	330	25	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	533	465	126	32	2	8	56	117	2	10	4	271	352	400	752	129	341	22	11	333	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	217	183	34	14	1	3	21	57	3	4	1	186	280	322	603	137	250	26	10	261	63	-10	+0	+1	-2	+5	-0.6
2026	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	217	179	40	13	2	3	25	52	3	4	1	223	329	369	697	145	296	24	12	303	63	-10	+0	+1	-2	+5	-0.6
2018	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	308	275	60	6	4	2	18	65	12	39	8	218	294	291	585	73	270	21	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	435	398	91	17	2	6	21	110	13	29	11	229	290	327	617	98	295	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	553	497	121	29	2	10	46	103	5	26	12	243	315	370	685	127	286	19	8	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	502	441	105	17	7	10	53	103	3	15	7	238	325	376	702	138	285	21	11	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	409	89	20	2	7	33	100	4	17	5	218	285	328	613	110	268	22	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	484	121	27	2	7	42	133	2	10	4	250	315	357	673	107	324	25	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	217	191	34	14	1	3	21	57	3	4	1	178	280	309	589	131	265	26	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AAA MLE	4 teams	—	449	409	89	20	2	7	33	100	4	17	5	218	285	328	613	110	268	22	7	271	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	533	484	121	27	2	7	42	133	2	10	4	250	315	357	673	107	324	25	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	217	191	34	14	1	3	21	57	3	4	1	178	280	309	589	131	265	26	10	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	224	201	43	10	1	4	19	55	2	9	2	212	286	330	616	118	269	25	8	278	74	-7	+1	+1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	224	201	43	10	1	4	19	55	2	9	2	215	288	335	623	120	273	25	8	281	74	-7	+1	+1	-2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	315	283	59	14	1	5	27	78	2	13	3	211	284	327	612	116	268	25	9	277	73	-10	+1	+1	-3	+7	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	205	184	39	9	1	3	17	51	2	8	2	214	287	332	619	118	273	25	8	280	73	-7	+1	+1	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	474	417	80	26	2	6	36	121	5	12	2	192	264	307	571	115	251	26	8	254	79	-24	+2	+5	-1	+10	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	110	36	3	8	49	166	7	16	3	192	264	308	572	115	252	26	8	254	79	-33	+2	+7	-1	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3536	3158	723	154	22	54	280	804	46	162	53	229	301	343	644	114	288	23	8	284	79	-34	+3	+6	-5	+18	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	133	28	4	10	51	148	8	30	10	229	300	343	642	114	288	23	8	284	79	-28	+3	+5	-4	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#2Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#3Max Venable'79-'91 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	18	64	238*	301*	371*	-11	-1	0.9	1.9
/162	664	8	27	-4.6	-0.3	0.4	pk7: 3
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.0	680	11	21	196	267	313	-7	+7	-1.3	-1.1
/162	664	10	20	-7.1	+6.4	-1.3	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Barrosa (OGILVIE)	26	50	35	55	50	210/283/327	117	269	4	9	25%	8%	74	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nook Logan 2006 · MLB	26	52	38→40	60	48	246/294/331	85	286	4	30	15%	6%	77	-0.3	244/292/329	85	318	4	28	23%	6%	76	-0.4	248/293/320	72	338	1	34	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	195/258/316	120	275	10	24	32%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/348	126	302	12	17	29%	5%	76	-0.4	223/282/358	135	299	13	23	29%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Wilmer Difo 2018 · MLB	26	51→56	40→45	56→55	44	247/289/340	93	298	7	20	20%	5%	78	-0.3	232/288/335	103	286	9	14	21%	7%	76	-0.4	235/294/338	102	293	8	11	22%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Kaleb Cowart 2018 · MLB	26	49→53	45	52→50	44	238/292/367	129	309	12	18	26%	7%	86	+0.3	219/268/342	123	282	11	12	25%	6%	71	-0.8	202/248/320	118	261	9	9	26%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	42→45	41→45	54→60	48	208/280/303	96	266	9	18	25%	8%	67	-1.1	229/294/326	97	295	9	19	24%	7%	77	-0.3	228/294/307	79	296	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Conner Capel 2024 · MLB	27	47→48	44→45	53→55	49	230/300/350	120	289	11	21	24%	9%	85	+0.2	209/275/330	121	261	13	19	24%	8%	71	-0.8	194/256/316	121	233	14	16	23%	7%	58	-1.1
✕Nick Sogard 2024 · AAA	26	47→50	41→45	52→50	51	226/299/322	96	280	8	17	22%	9%	78	-0.3	234/310/336	102	299	8	15	23%	10%	85	+0.2	234/315/336	103	297	9	13	22%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	47→57	42→45	53→60	45	227/289/338	111	294	9	19	25%	7%	78	-0.3	229/299/322	93	301	7	37	24%	8%	78	-0.3	232/301/308	76	308	5	50	24%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Ramiro Pena 2011 · MLB	26	50→55	37→45	53→50	45	235/279/310	75	283	5	15	19%	6%	67	-1.1	229/277/318	89	280	8	8	20%	6%	68	-1.0	248/288/343	95	285	8	2	16%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA	26	43→51	44→45	51→50	46	216/281/326	110	273	12	18	25%	8%	73	-0.6	238/309/354	116	308	11	18	24%	8%	89	+0.5	243/318/356	113	306	10	20	22%	9%	92	+0.3
✕Tim Raines Jr. 2006 · MLB	26	48→55	41→50	53→60	39	232/269/335	103	306	7	24	26%	4%	69	-0.9	250/285/370	120	316	11	29	24%	4%	83	+0.1	259/292/391	133	318	13	32	23%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Vidal Bruján 2024 · MLB	26	46→56	44→45	54→65	48	225/288/342	118	271	11	33	21%	7%	79	-0.2	232/300/340	108	288	8	20	21%	8%	82	+0.0	236/311/342	107	289	6	21	19%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2014 · MLB	27	49→54	43→45	51→55	39	239/273/354	115	297	9	18	23%	4%	75	-0.5	227/263/349	122	282	10	17	23%	4%	70	-0.8	225/269/337	112	284	9	19	23%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Chavez Young 2023 · AAA	26	47→50	43→45	60	45	228/295/338	110	313	11	29	29%	8%	80	-0.1	201/276/295	94	277	8	29	28%	8%	64	-1.3	173/258/252	79	240	6	35	28%	8%	46	-1.2
✕Charles Thomas 2006 · MLB	27	45→49	43→45	52→50	48	220/290/335	115	262	10	16	20%	7%	78	-0.3	220/278/309	89	280	9	13	24%	6%	67	-1.1	219/272/288	69	282	8	11	24%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Riley Unroe 2023 · AAA	27	45→47	43→45	54→55	49	219/289/329	110	277	10	20	24%	8%	76	-0.4	221/297/335	114	295	11	23	27%	10%	81	-0.1	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	47→51	42→45	52→50	43	229/281/334	105	298	9	16	26%	6%	74	-0.6	209/273/306	97	299	7	15	30%	8%	65	-1.2	217/283/314	97	316	7	9	31%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Reegie Corona 2013 · AAA	26	45→55	42→40	54→55	47	220/275/330	109	259	9	15	19%	7%	70	-0.8	219/269/310	91	276	8	11	23%	6%	63	-1.3	217/268/293	76	270	6	10	21%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Josh Prince 2014 · AAA	26	43→46	41→40	53→60	47	210/279/308	98	274	9	26	26%	8%	68	-1.0	212/282/301	89	275	8	28	24%	8%	68	-1.0	213/287/292	79	281	7	28	25%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA	26	49→51	40→45	56→55	44	235/280/332	98	291	7	29	22%	6%	72	-0.7	236/295/341	105	302	7	27	23%	8%	80	-0.1	240/309/352	112	310	6	33	23%	9%	87	+0.1

Jorge Barrosa

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps