Niklas Rimmel prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Niklas Rimmel P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%21.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP25

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	8	0	14	67	6	3	0	0%	1.8	6.1%	5.6%	0.5%	0.0%	3.86	3.29	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	8	0	14	67	6	3	0	0%	1.8	9.0%	4.5%	4.5%	0.0%	3.86	2.89	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	9	7	38	149	34	8	1	78%	4.2	15.5%	6.7%	8.8%	0.9%	2.15	3.16	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	9	7	38	149	34	8	1	78%	4.2	22.8%	5.4%	17.4%	0.7%	2.15	2.28	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	3	3	7	29	7	1	0	100%	2.3	24.1%	3.4%	20.7%	0.0%	3.86	1.50	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	3	3	7	29	7	1	0	100%	2.3	24.1%	3.4%	20.7%	0.0%	3.86	1.53	—
2022	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	29	1	41	171	52	19	2	3%	1.4	22.5%	13.1%	9.4%	1.5%	1.98	3.69	—
2022	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	29	1	41	171	52	19	2	3%	1.4	30.4%	11.1%	19.3%	1.2%	1.98	2.59	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	0	43	175	38	24	2	0%	1.5	16.7%	15.8%	0.9%	1.3%	3.16	4.38	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	0	43	175	38	24	2	0%	1.5	16.7%	15.8%	0.9%	1.3%	3.16	4.38	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	0	43	175	38	24	2	0%	1.5	21.7%	13.7%	8.0%	1.1%	3.16	3.62	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.7%	11.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	23	0	25	104	23	12	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.80	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.7%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	89	22	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.6%	10.1%	3.1%	4.76	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		77	11	142	591	102	65	6	14%	1.8	17.2%	11.0%	6.3%	1.0%	2.66	3.61	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	15	200	830	143	91	9	14%	1.8	17.2%	11.0%	6.3%	1.0%	2.66	3.61	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Niklas Rimmel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	21.7%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.80	21.7%	10.1%	25	+0.04	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	82
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	82
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	81
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	81
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	81
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	81
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	80
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	80
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	79
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	79
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	79
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	79
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Jason Boyd R 2000 · 3.68 FIP	27	SU	3.68	19.9%	12.4%	1.2%	.346	4.86	13.9%	2.8%	81	+1.18	3.68	128	79
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	79
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.2	25	21.7%	11.7%	1.16	4.76
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27