Garrett Hawkins P El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION28 act + 47 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 95
ERA4.13
FIP4.13
K%27.0%
BB%11.9%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP47
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 75 IP
K: +1.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -5.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -0.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +5.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+6STAMTotal WAR: +0.10 (75 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP45
STUF4050
CTRL50
CMD3540
K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202121ROKACL Padres70156227210%2.229.6%4.0%25.6%2.3%2.352.35
202121ROKACL Padres70156227210%2.243.5%3.2%40.3%1.6%2.350.82
202222MIX2 levels2121933991203015100%4.422.3%8.8%13.5%5.6%4.745.39
202222MIX2 levels2121933991203015100%4.430.1%7.5%22.6%3.8%4.743.58
202323A+Fort Wayne TinCaps4415681562100%3.817.0%10.1%6.8%5.3%3.605.85
202323A+Fort Wayne TinCaps4415681562100%3.822.1%8.8%13.2%2.9%3.604.03
202525MIX2 levels45060228802210%1.327.4%10.9%16.5%0.6%1.502.51
202525MIX2 levels45060228802210%1.335.1%9.6%25.4%0.4%1.501.75
▸ 2026 Season
202626AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas25028132292620%1.115.6%23.2%-7.7%1.9%6.115.80-0.4
ROS26MLBSD45047198532450%1.027.0%11.9%15.0%2.6%4.134.13+0.2
ROS26MLBSD1801980221020%1.127.0%11.9%15.0%2.6%4.134.13+0.1
2026 TOT26MLBSD753308250725.0%15.0%9.9%2.2%4.874.75+0.1
2026 FULL26MLBSD1979219227.0%11.9%15.0%2.6%4.133.75+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBSD66069291773480%1.026.6%11.7%14.8%2.7%4.174.18+0.5
202828MLBSD64067282743380%1.026.2%11.7%14.5%2.8%4.244.28+0.3
202727MLBSD40042177472150%1.126.6%11.7%14.8%2.7%4.174.18+0.2
202828MLBSD48050211552560%1.026.2%11.7%14.5%2.8%4.244.28+0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career105011046612355130%1.126.5%11.7%14.7%2.7%4.193.84+2.0
/ 200 IP1900200844223100240%1.126.5%11.7%14.7%2.7%4.193.84+3.7
Career102252118892021003125%2.122.7%11.3%11.5%3.5%3.754.54+2.1
/ 200 IP9724200841191953025%2.122.7%11.3%11.5%3.5%3.754.54+2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Garrett Hawkins (OGILVIE) 4.13 27.0%11.9%2.6% 4.23 26.4%14.7%136 +0.10
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 86
Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SU 3.89 25.1%13.4%2.2%.310 4.58 25.4%10.8%79 +0.69 3.89 272 84
Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 26 SU 4.31 29.2%14.1%3.5%.307 2.87 138 84
Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 25.8%12.1%2.0%.214 3.04 25.0%15.3%55 -0.50 2.59 156 84
Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 26 SU 4.34 23.4%11.6%3.2%.273 4.52 18.7%7.1%88 +0.18 3.57 187 83
Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 83
Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 25 SU 3.52 26.1%12.2%2.0%.245 5.01 28.6%16.5%41 +1.49 3.00 246 83
Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP 26 SU 3.75 21.7%11.4%1.9%.292 4.81 19.0%7.9%223 +1.06 3.75 299 83
Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP 26 SU 3.62 23.9%12.3%1.8%.291 6.27 19.1%-8.3%16 +2.65 3.05 134 83
Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 26 SU 3.24 25.8%11.9%1.5%.223 5.47 15.2%-3.3%46 +2.23 3.24 113 82
Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP 27 SU 3.16 26.4%8.5%2.2%.320 3.55 26.0%17.6%128 +0.39 2.85 185 82
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 82
Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP 26 SU 3.02 30.4%10.5%2.1%.294 4.85 16.9%5.8%67 +1.83 2.85 174 81
Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 28.8%12.7%3.1%.261 3.34 22.7%12.8%112 -0.62 3.06 331 81
Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.69 FIP 26 SU 3.69 26.8%9.8%2.9%.289 3.84 20.9%11.9%66 +0.15 3.31 166 81
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP 26 SU 4.16 24.5%13.2%2.6%.256 4.34 20.3%9.0%115 +0.18 3.78 180 81
Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 26 SU 3.77 24.1%8.9%2.9%.242 3.56 22.5%12.4%100 -0.21 3.05 205 81
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 26 SU 3.48 29.2%11.7%2.5%.265 5.47 27.4%21.2%41 +1.99 3.48 138 81
Matt Blackham R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 26 SU 3.90 25.4%12.0%2.6%.206 7.09 26.9%8.7%25 +3.19 2.08 187 80
Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.08 FIP 27 SU 3.08 23.3%10.5%1.1%.290 3.66 22.4%13.8%71 +0.58 3.08 124 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36126.5%11.8%1.044.19
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)45723.0%11.3%1.193.64