Garrett Hawkins
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
+0.2
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 26
RHP
6'5" / 230 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.5 · 2027
ERA4.08
FIP4.08
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%24.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%14.5%
IP54
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2027
K†6060
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Padres | 7 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 29.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.35 | 2.35 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 21 | 21 | 93 | 399 | 120 | 30 | 15 | 22.3% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.74 | 5.17 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 4 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 17.0% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 3.60 | 5.22 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | 45 | 0 | 60 | 228 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 27.4% | 10.9% | 0.6% | 1.50 | 2.49 | +1.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 5 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.69 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SD | 21 | — | 21 | 90 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.08 | 4.08 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | SD | — | — | 27 | 111 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 25.3% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.27 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SD | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 55 | 22 | 6 | 24.4% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SD | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 54 | 22 | 6 | 24.3% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.14 | 4.16 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SD | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 52 | 22 | 6 | 24.1% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.21 | +0.4 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | SD | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 23.9% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.24 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | SD | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 48 | 21 | 6 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | SD | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 46 | 20 | 6 | 23.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.43 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | SD | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 43 | 20 | 6 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SD | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 40 | 19 | 6 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | SD | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | SD | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 82 | 25 | 189 | 778 | 187 | 72 | 26 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 3.34 | 4.09 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 27 | 200 | 825 | 198 | 76 | 28 | 24.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 3.34 | 4.09 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Garrett Hawkins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.08 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 2.6% | — | 4.16 | 24.3% | 14.3% | 157 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.10 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .289 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.67 | 3.10 | 220 | 92 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 90 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 88 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 88 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 88 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.25 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .256 | 4.33 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.08 | 3.88 | 180 | 88 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 86 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.21 | 2.96 | 114 | 85 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.48 | 26.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .245 | 4.81 | 28.6% | 16.5% | 41 | +1.33 | 3.04 | 230 | 84 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 84 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 84 |
| Sam Wolff R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.36 | 26.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% | .291 | 2.98 | 24.1% | 13.3% | 63 | -0.38 | 2.67 | 178 | 84 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 83 |
| Logan Boyer R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 25.0% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .267 | 4.91 | 17.9% | 1.6% | 54 | +1.21 | 3.70 | 121 | 82 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.00 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.00 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 0.8% | .333 | 3.70 | 23.7% | 15.0% | 136 | +0.70 | 2.36 | 309 | 82 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.99 | 26.8% | 9.8% | 3.5% | .289 | 3.80 | 20.9% | 11.9% | 66 | -0.19 | 3.11 | 166 | 81 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.63 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 186 | 81 |
| Blake Smith R 2027 · 3.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.18 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .290 | 3.63 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.45 | 3.18 | 124 | 81 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.6% | .214 | 3.12 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.77 | 2.59 | 156 | 81 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.8M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1.0M | -$0.0M |
| Totals | $5M | $9M | +$4M | ||