Garrett Hawkins — OGILVIE

Garrett Hawkins P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 26 RHP 6'5" / 230 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION51 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.09

FIP4.09

K%27.0%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%15.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4050

CTRL—50

CMD3540

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	7	0	15	62	27	2	1	0%	2.2	29.6%	4.0%	25.6%	2.3%	2.35	2.35	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	7	0	15	62	27	2	1	0%	2.2	43.5%	3.2%	40.3%	1.6%	2.35	0.82	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	93	399	120	30	15	100%	4.4	22.3%	8.8%	13.5%	5.2%	4.74	5.16	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	93	399	120	30	15	100%	4.4	30.1%	7.5%	22.6%	3.8%	4.74	3.58	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	4	4	15	68	15	6	2	100%	3.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.8%	4.3%	3.60	5.33	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	4	4	15	68	15	6	2	100%	3.8	17.0%	10.1%	6.8%	4.3%	3.60	5.33	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	4	4	15	68	15	6	2	100%	3.8	22.1%	8.8%	13.2%	2.9%	3.60	4.03	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	60	228	80	22	1	0%	1.3	27.4%	10.9%	16.5%	0.6%	1.50	2.49	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	60	228	80	22	1	0%	1.3	27.4%	10.9%	16.5%	0.6%	1.50	2.49	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	60	228	80	22	1	0%	1.3	35.1%	9.6%	25.4%	0.4%	1.50	1.75	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	51	228	60	33	6	0%	1.3	21.5%	13.6%	7.9%	3.1%	5.33	4.69	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	40	0	51	228	60	33	6	0%	1.3	21.5%	13.6%	7.9%	3.1%	5.33	4.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	SD	17	0	23	99	35	7	4	0%	1.4	35.4%	7.1%	28.3%	4.0%	5.48	3.23	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	SD	23	0	28	129	25	26	2	0%	1.2	19.4%	20.2%	-0.8%	1.6%	5.20	4.87	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SD	6	0	6	27	7	3	1	0%	1.1	27.0%	11.7%	15.3%	2.6%	4.09	4.09	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	57	255	67	36	7	—	—	26.4%	14.2%	12.2%	2.6%	5.19	4.63	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SD	66	0	69	291	77	33	8	0%	1.0	26.6%	11.5%	15.1%	2.7%	4.13	4.15	+0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	64	0	67	282	74	32	8	0%	1.0	26.2%	11.5%	14.8%	2.8%	4.20	4.24	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SD	61	0	64	270	70	31	8	0%	1.0	25.8%	11.6%	14.3%	2.9%	4.31	4.38	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	33	14	3	0%	1.0	26.6%	11.5%	15.1%	2.7%	4.13	4.15	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	40	0	42	177	46	20	5	0%	1.1	26.2%	11.5%	14.8%	2.8%	4.20	4.24	+0.2
2029	29	MLB CTX	SD	45	0	47	198	51	23	6	0%	1.0	25.8%	11.6%	14.3%	2.9%	4.31	4.38	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		113	0	118	500	131	58	14	0%	1.0	26.2%	11.5%	14.6%	2.8%	4.23	3.89	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	221	98	24	0%	1.1	26.2%	11.5%	14.6%	2.8%	4.23	3.89	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		117	25	234	985	231	100	33	21%	2.0	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.4%	3.81	4.27	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		100	21	200	842	197	86	28	21%	2.0	23.4%	10.2%	13.2%	3.4%	3.81	4.27	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Hawkins (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.09	27.0%	11.7%	2.6%	—	4.25	26.2%	14.7%	200	+0.16	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	86
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	86
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	85
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	84
Jordan Gore R 2021 · 3.20 FIP	26	SU	3.20	25.8%	11.9%	1.4%	.223	5.37	15.2%	-3.3%	46	+2.17	3.20	113	84
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	84
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	84
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	84
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	83
Seth Simmons R 2015 · 3.07 FIP	27	SU	3.07	23.8%	9.7%	1.4%	.277	4.87	16.6%	7.6%	175	+1.80	3.07	251	83
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	83
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	82
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	82
Blake Smith R 2015 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	23.3%	10.5%	1.3%	.290	3.59	22.4%	13.8%	71	+0.42	3.17	124	82
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	82
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	82
Matt Blackham R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	25.4%	12.0%	2.6%	.206	6.85	26.9%	8.7%	25	+2.95	2.08	187	81
Dustin Antolin R 2016 · 3.43 FIP	26	SU	3.43	23.9%	13.1%	1.3%	.286	4.35	16.2%	1.8%	50	+0.92	2.95	159	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	66	26.4%	11.5%	1.06	4.18
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33