Micah McDowell — OGILVIE

Micah McDowellOF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 142 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .282 / .310

PA142

HR2

K%30

BB%9

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	13	2	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	154	312	231	543	77	333	44	12	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	250	438	333	771	83	429	31	19	370	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	190	166	29	4	3	2	21	63	3	5	3	175	279	271	550	96	267	33	11	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	2 teams	—	190	157	36	5	4	2	29	45	3	5	3	229	358	350	708	121	309	24	15	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIA	—	142	127	26	5	1	2	12	43	2	2	1	205	284	307	591	102	289	30	8	272	66	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	207	185	40	7	2	4	18	61	2	4	1	216	293	341	633	124	289	29	9	279	72	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	275	246	52	9	2	5	24	79	3	5	1	211	289	325	615	114	289	29	9	282	74	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	MIA	30%	63	57	12	2	1	1	5	18	1	1	0	211	286	333	619	123	284	29	8	266	62	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	27	MLB	MIA	42%	115	103	22	4	1	2	10	33	1	2	1	214	289	330	620	117	284	29	9	270	65	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	178	160	34	6	2	3	15	51	2	3	1	212	288	331	619	119	290	29	8	269	64	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	124	22	7	11	55	186	7	11	4	212	288	330	618	118	289	29	8	269	64	-27	+1	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	830	737	149	26	8	13	77	253	11	16	6	202	287	312	599	110	287	30	9	273	67	-31	+1	+0	-5	+24	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	116	20	6	10	60	198	9	13	5	201	286	308	595	107	286	30	9	273	67	-24	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	250	438	333	771	83	429	31	19	370	141	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	122	102	22	4	3	0	19	28	1	2	2	216	344	314	658	98	297	23	16	308	94	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	68	55	14	1	1	2	10	17	2	3	1	255	382	418	801	164	333	25	15	361	135	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Micah McDowell (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	204/282/310	105	289	2	2	30%	9%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	41→44	42→45	49→50	45	202/264/307	105	253	9	11	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/319	108	281	9	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	214/284/342	128	275	11	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Preston Beck 2016 · AA	25	41→44	42→45	48→45	48	204/272/313	109	254	9	8	23%	8%	62	-0.9	215/268/319	104	272	9	6	23%	6%	61	-1.0	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Chantz Mack 2016 · AA	25	43→45	42→45	45	44	209/271/314	105	285	9	6	29%	7%	61	-1.0	215/288/326	111	295	11	5	29%	9%	72	-0.2	212/292/321	109	285	12	3	28%	10%	70	-0.2
✕Kevin Rivers 2014 · A	25	41	45	46→45	43	205/272/331	126	294	12	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	208/265/320	112	291	8	6	29%	7%	60	-1.0	196/247/306	110	265	5	2	27%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Steele Walker 2021 · A	25	44→46	42→45	47→50	43	217/273/326	110	272	9	10	24%	6%	65	-0.7	215/268/339	124	260	14	10	23%	6%	66	-0.6	206/259/329	123	245	15	10	22%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→39	42→55	51→45	40	203/257/318	115	292	9	7	32%	6%	56	-1.3	198/263/346	148	305	18	6	39%	8%	67	-0.5	190/258/353	163	284	21	5	39%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→37	42→60	53→50	48	191/276/300	109	267	10	14	30%	10%	61	-1.0	199/268/347	148	275	16	14	32%	8%	69	-0.4	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Austin Davidson 2018 · A	25	43→40	40→45	45	45	209/273/307	97	268	7	7	24%	7%	60	-1.0	221/281/340	119	280	10	6	24%	7%	72	-0.2	221/283/352	131	272	12	3	22%	7%	73	-0.1
✕LJ Talley 2022 · AA	25	41→48	44→45	48→50	45	208/267/323	115	265	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.9	224/286/345	121	283	13	11	24%	8%	76	+0.0	221/287/339	118	276	13	13	24%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Yoel Yanqui 2021 · A	25	46→50	40	50	43	218/274/312	94	302	7	13	29%	7%	62	-0.9	214/281/331	117	307	12	9	32%	8%	70	-0.3	198/272/315	117	279	13	6	32%	9%	59	-0.6
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA	24	43→48	41→45	46→45	42	209/269/304	95	294	8	9	30%	7%	58	-1.2	206/266/322	116	338	12	12	39%	7%	62	-0.9	194/257/314	120	296	15	15	37%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	37→38	41→45	46→45	42	183/263/283	100	256	8	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/287/282	87	269	7	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	175/279/254	79	240	7	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Reid Fronk 2011 · A	25	45→48	40→45	47→50	48	211/299/306	95	287	6	9	26%	9%	72	-0.2	204/284/292	88	294	5	8	29%	9%	62	-0.9	178/264/262	84	264	5	4	31%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/259/317	123	270	12	12	31%	6%	58	-1.2	191/252/273	82	267	7	12	29%	7%	43	-2.2	164/226/208	45	228	4	12	28%	6%	13	-2.3