Micah McDowell — OGILVIE

Micah McDowellOF Beloit Sky Carp

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .284 / .316

PA91

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	23	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	250	438	333	771	83	429	31	19	370	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	122	102	22	4	3	0	19	28	1	2	2	216	344	314	658	98	297	23	16	308	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	68	55	14	1	1	2	10	17	2	3	1	255	382	418	801	164	333	25	15	361	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	358	44	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	122	107	18	3	2	0	14	37	1	2	2	168	270	234	504	65	265	30	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	68	59	12	1	1	1	7	23	2	3	1	203	309	305	614	102	293	34	10	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	500	44	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	12	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	250	438	333	771	83	429	31	19	370	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	190	167	30	4	3	1	20	59	3	5	3	180	279	257	536	78	271	31	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	190	157	36	5	4	2	29	45	3	5	3	229	358	350	708	121	309	24	15	327	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	358	44	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	190	165	30	4	3	1	20	59	3	5	3	182	279	261	540	79	275	31	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	16	13	3	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	231	375	308	683	77	358	44	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	190	165	30	4	3	1	20	59	3	5	3	182	279	261	540	79	275	31	11	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	240	215	45	8	2	4	20	69	3	4	1	210	286	318	604	108	288	29	8	274	72	-8	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	26%	122	110	23	4	1	2	10	35	1	2	1	211	287	320	607	109	288	29	8	275	73	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	26%	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	204	281	306	587	102	279	28	9	267	73	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	0	172	250	207	457	34	250	28	9	267	66	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	101	20	0	0	61	183	0	20	0	171	249	205	455	34	249	28	9	267	66	-21	+4	+0	-4	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	419	372	73	12	5	4	40	127	6	9	4	196	285	288	572	91	285	30	10	265	66	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	114	19	8	6	62	197	9	14	6	198	285	289	575	92	287	30	10	265	66	-21	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Micah McDowell (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	208/284/316	107	288	1	2	29%	8%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	220/270/327	107	284	8	13	25%	6%	68	-1.0	225/271/360	135	292	15	18	27%	5%	76	-0.4	220/264/362	141	281	16	22	27%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA	26	39→42	42→45	47→50	41	190/258/296	106	297	10	6	38%	8%	57	-1.8	204/286/324	120	318	13	9	36%	10%	74	-0.5	195/283/314	119	298	13	9	36%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA	26	44	43→45	46→50	49	209/295/322	113	300	9	7	31%	10%	78	-0.3	202/284/324	122	338	12	12	40%	8%	74	-0.5	184/271/307	123	316	12	13	42%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Tanner Allen 2024 · AA	26	43	42→45	50→45	45	211/263/312	101	250	10	7	20%	6%	62	-1.4	216/275/318	102	277	9	10	24%	7%	68	-1.0	189/257/277	88	250	5	12	25%	7%	48	-0.7
✕Morgan McCullough 2024 · AAA	26	42	44→45	49→50	44	204/285/323	119	291	11	12	32%	8%	74	-0.5	208/286/330	122	294	11	15	31%	9%	76	-0.4	175/268/298	123	241	12	20	30%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Matt Higgins 2024 · A	25	44→42	45	48→50	41	217/284/339	122	305	12	8	32%	7%	77	-0.3	214/282/308	94	303	9	8	30%	8%	69	-0.9	207/280/278	72	292	7	8	29%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	41→42	45→50	47→50	44	208/273/336	128	276	12	8	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/272/333	119	275	10	13	25%	7%	70	-0.8	207/263/329	122	259	11	14	24%	6%	65	-0.9
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	36→41	43→45	51→50	42	182/255/296	114	271	11	10	35%	8%	57	-1.8	190/253/290	100	306	7	9	37%	7%	53	-2.1	154/208/242	88	288	0	4	44%	6%	22	-0.8
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→46	43→45	45	46	218/286/329	111	292	11	5	28%	8%	75	-0.5	215/290/317	102	295	9	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	154/267/206	52	209	4	0	26%	13%	39	-0.6
✕Cal Towey 2016 · AA	26	45→48	41→45	49→50	44	210/291/309	99	312	8	13	33%	8%	73	-0.6	203/287/308	105	318	8	10	35%	9%	71	-0.8	193/284/303	109	306	9	9	36%	10%	67	-0.8
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	42	42→45	50	46	208/268/315	106	256	9	11	22%	7%	65	-1.2	209/273/312	103	274	9	9	25%	7%	66	-1.1	207/276/325	118	263	10	8	24%	8%	68	-0.8
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	44→43	42→45	44→45	46	214/275/315	101	269	9	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	224/292/349	125	276	12	7	22%	8%	82	-0.0	224/298/363	139	268	14	6	21%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	41	192/266/289	97	311	9	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	190/280/303	113	308	12	13	39%	10%	68	-1.0	175/274/295	120	276	14	14	38%	11%	61	-0.8
✕Trei Cruz 2024 · AA	26	37→47	43→45	48→50	49	185/271/294	109	262	10	10	31%	10%	62	-1.4	221/295/334	113	305	10	10	28%	9%	80	-0.2	229/304/336	107	310	9	10	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43→42	47→55	50	40	218/259/357	139	276	13	8	26%	5%	71	-0.8	195/241/296	101	288	8	7	34%	5%	50	-2.3	134/177/209	75	215	5	4	39%	5%	3	-2.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	42→40	54→55	44	214/289/325	111	301	9	20	30%	8%	76	-0.4	210/306/317	107	286	9	20	27%	10%	81	-0.1	201/307/298	97	269	8	24	26%	11%	76	-0.2
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	45	43→45	49→45	39	223/264/334	111	295	10	8	28%	5%	68	-1.0	213/265/322	109	317	11	5	34%	6%	65	-1.2	205/258/311	106	309	11	2	36%	6%	57	-1.0