Seth Halvorsen

P Los Angeles Dodgers

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 243 lbs MLB ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

Overview

MLBRPRM40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX3 levels	53	57	3.81	3.08	28.5%	9.9%	1.0	K 21.0% · BB 12.5% · FIP 3.82
2025	25	MLBCOL	42	40	4.99	5.09	20.8%	11.6%	-0.3
2026	26	MIX2 levels	58	56	3.67	3.92	23.7%	9.9%	0.4	K 21.7% · BB 9.5% · FIP 3.96
2027PROJ	27	MLBLAD	45	47	4.68	4.52	24.4%	10.8%	0.0
2028PROJ95% MLB	28	MLBLAD	62	65	4.62	4.59	24.1%	10.8%	-0.0
2029PROJ95% MLB	29	MLBLAD	59	62	4.68	4.73	23.5%	10.9%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.2 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo90

Whiff%19

K%10

xwOBA vs10

CompsShintaro Fujinami (age 29) · Jason Adam (age 27) · Tyler Bashlor (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.68

FIP4.52

K%24.4%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%13.5%

Proj IP47

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF6055

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p9098.9

Whiff%

p1921.0%

p1016.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.375

FB+0.6 (54%)

SL-4.1 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.0	23.6%	7.3%	16.4%	3.6%	2.70	4.02	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	0	13	55	13	4	2	0%	1.0	23.6%	7.3%	16.4%	3.6%	2.70	4.00	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	3.81	3.82	+0.5
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.5%	8.5%	1.7%	3.81	3.82	+0.5
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	53	0	57	242	69	24	5	0%	1.1	28.5%	9.9%	18.6%	2.1%	3.81	3.08	+1.0
2025	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	3.6%	4.99	4.78	-0.1
2025	25	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	3.6%	4.99	4.78	-0.1
2025	25	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	42	0	40	173	36	20	7	0%	0.9	20.8%	11.6%	9.2%	4.0%	4.99	5.09	-0.3
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	56	253	60	25	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.5%	12.2%	2.7%	3.67	3.96	+0.4
2026	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	0	56	253	60	25	7	0%	1.0	21.7%	9.5%	12.2%	2.7%	3.67	3.96	+0.4
2026	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	0	56	253	60	25	7	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.9%	13.8%	2.8%	3.67	3.92	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			86	0	81	360	72	37	15	0%	0.9	20.0%	10.3%	9.7%	4.2%	4.78	5.10	-0.5
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	LAD	45	0	47	198	48	22	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	10.8%	13.5%	3.1%	4.68	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	65	0	68	288	70	31	9	0%	1.1	24.1%	10.8%	13.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.59	-0.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	LAD	62	0	65	275	65	30	9	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.9%	12.6%	3.4%	4.68	4.73	-0.1
2030	30	MLB MLE	LAD	58	0	61	259	59	29	9	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.2%	11.7%	3.5%	4.81	4.91	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	62	0	65	274	66	30	9	0%	1.0	24.1%	10.8%	13.3%	3.2%	4.62	4.59	-0.0
2029	29	MLB CTX	LAD	59	0	62	262	62	29	9	0%	1.1	23.5%	10.9%	12.6%	3.4%	4.68	4.73	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	LAD	55	0	58	245	56	27	9	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.2%	11.7%	3.5%	4.81	4.91	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		262	0	266	1141	256	123	41	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.8%	11.7%	3.6%	4.72	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		197	0	200	858	192	92	31	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.8%	11.7%	3.6%	4.72	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		166	0	166	723	155	78	19	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.8%	10.6%	2.6%	3.96	4.11	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		200	0	200	871	186	94	23	0%	1.0	21.4%	10.8%	10.6%	2.6%	3.96	4.11	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Seth Halvorsen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.52	24.4%	10.8%	3.1%	—	4.74	23.5%	12.5%	195	+0.22	—	—	—
Shintaro Fujinami R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	23.2%	12.3%	2.5%	.290	4.49	22.0%	0.2%	51	+0.40	4.09	130	76
Jason Adam R 2019 · 3.39 FIP	27	SU	3.39	24.2%	9.0%	2.2%	.237	2.64	33.1%	24.9%	88	-0.75	2.42	396	72
Tyler Bashlor R 2019 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	20.7%	11.7%	3.7%	.258	4.10	23.7%	13.0%	38	-0.78	2.55	253	71
Tyler Kinley R 2018 · 3.36 FIP	27	SU	3.36	27.2%	11.8%	1.9%	.331	4.14	23.5%	11.8%	159	+0.78	1.58	602	71
Juan Minaya R 2018 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	27.0%	11.4%	2.1%	.282	3.82	24.0%	13.2%	131	+0.42	3.20	446	70
Alan Busenitz R 2018 · 4.37 FIP	27	SU	4.37	23.2%	7.5%	4.1%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	436	70
Brian Ellington R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	26	SU	4.75	25.5%	14.9%	3.5%	.283	5.61	22.4%	5.3%	29	+0.86	2.75	233	70
José A. Váldez R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	21.6%	8.3%	3.8%	.325	4.15	18.8%	6.4%	153	-0.24	4.02	328	69
José Ramírez R 2017 · 4.56 FIP	27	SU	4.56	21.7%	10.9%	3.5%	.218	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	206	69
Marcos Mateo R 2011 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	25.5%	10.2%	2.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	104	69
Hansel Robles R 2018 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	24.4%	9.9%	3.6%	.293	3.48	25.9%	17.2%	158	-0.82	2.67	469	69
Jimmy Cordero R 2019 · 3.60 FIP	27	SU	3.60	20.8%	7.8%	2.3%	.256	2.84	23.8%	16.4%	65	-0.76	2.59	365	68
Jason Motte R 2009 · 4.62 FIP	27	SU	4.62	22.1%	9.0%	4.1%	.297	2.84	26.9%	21.0%	192	-1.78	2.22	387	68
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	68
Branden Kline R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	27	SU	5.37	20.3%	11.5%	4.6%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	2.85	167	68
Javy Guerra R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	27	SU	4.44	18.2%	12.7%	2.3%	.256	5.14	17.2%	4.1%	37	+0.70	3.33	183	68
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	68
Austin Adams R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	18.6%	9.5%	1.4%	.331	3.40	21.1%	15.0%	56	-0.11	3.40	162	67
Nick Robertson R 2024 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	20.3%	9.9%	3.2%	.342	3.80	23.4%	13.4%	108	-0.61	3.08	337	67
Arquimedes Caminero R 2013 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	23.1%	5.8%	4.0%	.229	3.95	20.7%	10.9%	135	-0.15	3.54	186	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.6	54	22.7%	11.0%	1.37	4.72
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*