Wilyer Abreu

RF Boston Red Sox
Age 28 L/L 5'10" / 215 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 2.238S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202425MLBBOS447.253/.326/.4591581111.7
202526MLBBOS417.247/.320/.4692261101.6
202627MLBBOS681.248/.330/.4462481091.6
2027PROJ28MLBBOS648.255/.329/.46126101163.2
2028PROJ29MLBBOS648.252/.326/.4542571132.7
2029PROJ30MLBBOS648.248/.322/.4452551102.3
Last 3 seasons WAR 4.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 8.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.238First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$5M2028Arb-2$6M2029Arb-3$9M2030Arb-4$11M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Barrel%76
Bat Spd75
xwOBA74
Avg EV72
Form.234/.307/.415 ▼▼ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .247/.320/.451
CompsTravis Shaw (age 28) · Scott Schebler (age 28) · Gregory Polanco (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 98116vR 122
AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .329 / .461
PA648
HR26
SB10
K%23
BB%10
BABIP294
ISO208
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +12.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+12BATRUN: +1.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +10.3 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+10FLDPOS: -6.9 runs (Positional adjustment)-7POSREP: +14.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+14REPTotal WAR: +3.20+3.2WAR
0.02.04.03.22.72.31.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$49M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
906.7%
xAVG
400.243
POWER55
Barrel%
7612.0
Avg EV
7290.6
Bat Spd
7574.0
EYE50
Chase%
9018.0%
SPEED50
Sprint
6328.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▼25% over 61 PA (45d) · proj 22%
BB%9%·9% over 122 PA (60d) · proj 10%
ISO.181▼.147 over 109 AB (60d) · proj .204
HR/BB4.5%▼2.5% over 81 BBE (60d) · proj 6.1%
BABIP.282·.266 over 79 BIP (60d) · proj .283
SLASH.234/.307/.415▼▼proj .247/.320/.451
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 973 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
165
808
—
wRC+
75
126
▶▶R
wOBA
279
355
▶▶R
ISO
114
231
▶▶R
BABIP
271
314
▶R
K%
21.2%
26.1%
◀◀L
BB%
7.9%
8.7%
▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.238 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$5M+3.2$30M+$25M
2028Arb-2$6M+2.7$21M+$16M
2029Arb-3$9M+2.3$16M+$8M
2030Arb-4$11M+1.8$11M+$3M
Totals $31M $78M +$53M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 138119 34510 14294 74 286380345724 59374 2110 334 38 — — — — — —
201819 ROKGCL Astros — 160139 311100 18320 84 223312302614 79287 2011 280 14 — — — — — —
201819 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 2827 7300 180 00 259286370656 111368 294 292 84 — — — — — —
201920 AQuad Cities River Bandits — 138122 33721 14292 45 270355385740 115348 2110 336 59 — — — — — —
202021 INTLAguilas del Zulia — 1716 2000 140 20 125176125301 167 246 148 -14 — — — — — —
202122 A+Asheville Tourists — 331287 7715116 38995 1011 268364495858 226353 3011 378 63 — — — — — —
202223 AAPortland Sea Dogs — 579457 11329019 1141534 313 247402435837 188325 2620 377 90 — — — — — —
202223 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 6954 9200 10180 31 167297204501 37220 2614 230 42 — — — — — —
202324 MLBBoston Red Sox — 8576 24602 9230 31 316388474862 158431 2711 384 138 +4 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.8
202324 AAAWorcester Red Sox — 363299 8211122 59741 81 274396538934 264290 2016 405 103 — — — — — —
202425 MLBBoston Red Sox — 447399 10133215 401253 83 253326459784 206326 289 342 111 +6 +0 +5 -5 +10 1.7
202526 MLBBoston Red Sox — 417373 9217022 401010 63 247320469789 223277 2410 344 110 +5 +0 +6 -4 +9 1.6
202627 MLBBoston Red Sox — 681597 14838424 711413 84 248330446775 198282 2110 339 109 +7 +0 +1 -7 +15 1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 16301445 36594663 1603906 2511 253329457786 204300 2410 344 119 +36 +1 +12 -15 +35 7.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 138123 23310 10354 74 187270228498 41255 257 225 38 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLEGCL Astros — 160146 22700 11460 84 151210199409 48215 297 189 14 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 138127 27511 9392 45 213275291567 79301 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 331299 5710111 261345 1011 191267341608 151292 408 262 63 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs — 579491 10123015 801884 313 206322344666 138292 3214 301 90 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 8576 23502 9230 31 303376447824 145431 2711 372 138 +4 +0 -0 +2 +2 0.8
202324 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox — 363316 717117 42871 81 225318415732 190248 2412 320 103 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 447399 9629215 401253 83 241314436751 195326 289 333 111 +6 +0 +5 -5 +10 1.7
202526 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 417378 9015023 351010 63 238303460763 222277 248 331 110 +5 +0 +6 -4 +9 1.6
202627 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 681602 14434425 681413 84 239319434753 194282 2110 330 109 +7 +0 +1 -7 +15 1.6
201718 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 138123 23310 10354 74 187270228498 41258 257 225 38 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWDSL Astros Blue — 138119 34510 14294 74 286380345724 59374 2110 334 38 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLE2 teams — 188172 27900 13540 84 157216209426 52227 297 189 14 — — — — — —
201819 ROK RAW2 teams — 188166 381400 19400 84 229308313621 84299 2110 282 14 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 138127 27511 9392 45 213275291567 79299 287 255 59 — — — — — —
201920 A RAWQuad Cities River Bandits — 138122 33721 14292 45 270355385740 115348 2110 336 59 — — — — — —
202021 INTL MLEAguilas del Zulia — 1716 2000 140 20 125176125301 167 246 — — — — — — — —
202021 INTL RAWAguilas del Zulia — 1716 2000 140 20 125176125301 167 246 148 -14 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 331299 5710111 261345 1011 191267341608 151297 408 262 63 — — — — — —
202122 A+ RAWAsheville Tourists — 331287 7715116 38995 1011 268364495858 226353 3011 378 63 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 648546 11426017 892104 344 209324350674 141296 3214 301 90 — — — — — —
202223 AA RAW2 teams — 648511 12231019 1241714 344 239391411802 172312 2619 361 90 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 448392 9513119 511101 112 242331426757 184285 2511 330 109 — — — — — —
202324 AAA RAW2 teams — 448375 10617124 68971 112 283394525919 243318 2215 401 109 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 447399 9629215 401253 83 241314436751 195307 289 333 111 +6 +0 +5 -5 +10 1.7
202425 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 447399 10133215 401253 83 253326459784 206326 289 342 111 +6 +0 +5 -5 +10 1.7
202526 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 417378 9015023 351010 63 238303460763 222261 248 331 110 +5 +0 +6 -4 +9 1.6
202526 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 417373 9217022 401010 63 247320469789 223277 2410 344 110 +5 +0 +6 -4 +9 1.6
202627 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 681602 14434425 681413 84 239319434753 194269 2110 330 109 +7 +0 +1 -7 +15 1.6
202627 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 681597 14838424 711413 84 248330446775 198282 2110 339 109 +7 +0 +1 -7 +15 1.6
201718 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 138123 23310 10354 74 187270228498 41255 257 225 38 — — — — — —
201819 ROK MLE2 teams — 188173 27900 13540 84 156216208424 52215 297 189 14 — — — — — —
201920 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 138126 27511 9392 45 214275294569 79301 287 255 59 — — — — — —
202122 A+ MLEAsheville Tourists — 331297 5710111 261345 1011 192267343610 152292 408 262 63 — — — — — —
202223 AA MLE2 teams — 648550 11426017 892104 344 207324347671 140292 3214 301 90 — — — — — —
202324 AAA MLE2 teams — 448393 9513119 511101 112 242331425756 183283 2511 330 109 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 447401 9629215 401253 83 239314434748 195326 289 333 111 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 417379 9015023 351010 63 237303459762 222277 248 331 110 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 681605 14434425 681413 84 238319431751 193282 2110 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 447401 9629215 401253 83 239314434748 195326 289 333 111 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 417379 9015023 351010 63 237303459762 222277 248 331 110 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 681605 14434425 681413 84 238319431751 193282 2110 330 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEBOS 100% 601537 13329325 571352 92 247322451774 204283 229 339 116 +11 +1 +10 -6 +13 3.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXBOS 100% 648578 14836326 621463 102 255329461790 206294 2310 346 116 +12 +1 +10 -7 +14 3.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEBOS 100% 648580 14131326 611472 72 244319444764 200281 239 335 113 +10 +1 +9 -7 +14 2.7
202930 MLB MLEBOS 100% 648580 13931325 611502 52 241315435750 195278 239 330 110 +7 +0 +8 -7 +14 2.3
203031 MLB MLEBOS 100% 641574 13530324 601502 11 235309424733 188274 239 323 105 +4 -0 +7 -7 +14 1.8
203132 MLB MLEBOS 100% 628563 12928223 581502 01 229302408710 179268 249 314 98 -1 -0 +7 -7 +14 1.2
203233 MLB MLEBOS 100% 572514 11424220 521401 00 220292389681 169260 249 302 91 -6 +0 +5 -6 +12 0.5
202829 MLB CTXBOS 100% 648580 14535325 611472 72 252326454780 202293 239 342 113 +10 +1 +9 -7 +14 2.7
202930 MLB CTXBOS 100% 648580 14535325 611502 52 248322445766 197290 239 337 110 +7 +0 +8 -7 +14 2.3
203031 MLB CTXBOS 100% 641574 14034224 601502 11 242316433749 191285 239 330 105 +4 -0 +7 -7 +14 1.8
203132 MLB CTXBOS 100% 628563 13332222 581502 01 235308417725 182278 249 320 98 -1 -0 +7 -7 +14 1.2
203233 MLB CTXBOS 100% 572514 11727219 521401 00 226298398696 171270 249 308 91 -6 +0 +5 -6 +12 0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 47674256 104525718178 452112715 3817 246320440760 194291 249 333 98 +50 +1 +48 -49 +103 15.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 14235224 621542 52 245320436756 191291 2410 333 98 +7 +0 +7 -7 +14 2.1
Career— MLE — 72386443 147732026256 696183634 12148 229308406714 177278 2510 314 98 +62 +2 +58 -56 +117 18.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 13329223 631653 114 230309406714 176278 2510 314 98 +7 +0 +7 -7 +14 2.3