Carter Young — OGILVIE

Carter YoungSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR +8%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .225 / .243

PA296

HR3

SB5

K%38

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

20→20

PWR

25→25

SPD

45→45

EYE

42↘30

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.6peak

2029

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-10M		$-30M	-$21M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$21M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	86	81	18	4	1	1	4	23	0	0	0	.222	.259	.333	.592	.111	.293	27	5	.248	48	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2023	22	A	2 teams	452	417	73	11	3	2	30	180	1	11	3	.175	.232	.230	.462	.055	.297	40	7	.213	21	-40	+1	+0	+5	+13	-2.2
2024	23	A+	2 teams	440	411	65	14	2	5	24	152	2	19	7	.158	.208	.238	.447	.080	.233	35	5	.199	10	-45	+1	+0	+5	+12	-2.7
2025	24	AA	3 teams	291	268	41	5	0	1	15	123	4	2	1	.153	.209	.183	.392	.030	.274	42	5	.180	-4	-34	+0	+0	+3	+8	-2.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	55	46	8	0	0	2	7	21	2	1	0	.174	.309	.304	.613	.130	.261	38	13	.273	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	241	221	38	6	1	3	16	91	2	4	1	.172	.234	.249	.483	.077	.274	38	7	.225	30	-19	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.9
TOT	25	MLB	BAL	296	267	46	6	1	5	23	112	4	5	1	.172	.248	.258	.507	.086	.272	38	8	.234	37	-21	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	BAL	341	309	57	10	1	5	25	112	4	6	2	.184	.254	.272	.526	.087	.265	33	7	.242	44	-22	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.8
2028	27	MLB 26%	BAL	369	334	63	11	1	6	28	118	4	6	2	.189	.260	.281	.541	.093	.268	32	8	.249	48	-21	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.7
2029	28	MLB 38%	BAL	385	348	66	11	1	7	30	122	4	6	2	.190	.262	.287	.549	.098	.269	32	8	.251	51	-22	+0	-1	+4	+11	-0.7
2030	29	MLB 47%	BAL	388	351	66	11	1	7	30	124	4	5	1	.188	.260	.285	.545	.097	.268	32	8	.251	50	-22	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.8
2031	30	MLB 56%	BAL	389	351	65	11	1	6	31	125	4	5	1	.185	.259	.274	.533	.088	.267	32	8	.248	48	-23	+1	-2	+4	+11	-0.9
2032	31	MLB 73%	BAL	377	340	63	11	1	6	30	123	4	3	0	.185	.259	.276	.536	.091	.265	33	8	.244	45	-23	+1	-3	+4	+11	-1.1
2033	32	MLB 91%	BAL	360	325	59	10	1	5	28	119	4	2	0	.182	.255	.265	.520	.083	.264	33	8	.240	42	-24	+0	-4	+4	+10	-1.3
2034	33	MLB	BAL	332	300	53	9	1	4	26	112	3	2	0	.177	.249	.253	.503	.077	.262	34	8	.234	38	-23	+0	-4	+4	+9	-1.5
2035	34	MLB	BAL	289	262	45	7	1	4	22	100	3	1	0	.172	.244	.252	.496	.080	.260	35	8	.228	33	-22	+0	-5	+3	+8	-1.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4740	4318	772	131	16	62	339	1624	43	72	20	.179	.246	.260	.505	.081	.267	34	7	.232	36	-345	+6	-20	+51	+134	-17.7
/ 162G	—			650	592	106	18	2	9	46	223	6	10	3	.179	.245	.262	.507	.083	.266	34	7	.232	36	-47	+1	-3	+7	+18	-2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	71	65	16	5	1	1	5	13	0	0	0	.246	.300	.400	.700	.154	.288	18	7	.306	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	15	14	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	.286	.333	.286	.619	.000	.400	27	7	.288	78	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	64	58	17	4	1	0	5	25	0	4	1	.293	.349	.397	.746	.103	.500	39	8	.330	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	388	339	80	13	3	3	45	104	1	7	2	.236	.327	.319	.646	.083	.328	27	12	.297	85	-6	+1	—	—	+11	0.5
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	42	38	10	4	0	0	4	8	0	2	0	.263	.333	.368	.702	.105	.333	19	10	.318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	398	360	75	15	4	6	33	107	2	17	7	.208	.278	.322	.601	.114	.276	27	8	.271	66	-15	+1	—	—	+11	-0.4
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	23	21	7	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	.333	.391	.429	.820	.095	.412	17	9	.369	141	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	232	209	34	4	0	2	16	81	3	1	0	.163	.232	.211	.443	.048	.250	35	7	.207	17	-22	+0	—	—	+7	-1.5
2025	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	36	31	6	0	0	0	4	14	1	1	1	.194	.306	.194	.499	.000	.353	39	11	.249	49	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Young (OGILVIE)	25	20	25	45	30	.171/.225/.243	.072	.274	3	5	38%	6%	24	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→31	39→40	43→50	39	.185/.242/.267	.083	.288	7	7	37%	7%	37	-2.7	.221/.294/.329	.108	.299	11	19	28%	8%	76	+0.0	.239/.321/.353	.114	.297	13	25	23%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→55	36	.179/.243/.270	.091	.285	8	11	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.186/.268/.305	.119	.285	12	20	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	38→36	41→40	48→50	40	.191/.255/.290	.099	.266	9	14	31%	6%	49	-1.8	.203/.269/.317	.114	.286	10	15	31%	6%	62	-0.9	.179/.252/.313	.134	.265	12	20	35%	6%	50	-0.4
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40→39	38→40	43→45	39	.187/.251/.262	.075	.298	5	7	37%	7%	40	-2.4	.178/.264/.258	.080	.387	6	11	50%	9%	46	-2.0	.048/.185/.080	.032	.161	3	14	63%	11%	-29	-1.4
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	38	37→40	50	35	.177/.235/.246	.069	.305	4	12	41%	6%	28	-3.2	.198/.252/.287	.089	.299	8	13	34%	6%	46	-2.0	.187/.242/.269	.082	.278	9	15	34%	6%	35	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	39	.179/.256/.255	.076	.265	6	5	33%	6%	41	-2.3	.189/.268/.274	.085	.271	7	6	31%	7%	51	-1.7	.144/.247/.211	.068	.201	5	0	28%	8%	25	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	36	39→40	46→40	41	.178/.244/.257	.079	.273	7	5	36%	8%	36	-2.7	.197/.261/.302	.105	.337	11	6	41%	7%	54	-1.4	.162/.239/.276	.114	.269	14	0	42%	7%	37	-0.7
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	45→50	39	.179/.267/.254	.075	.295	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.0	.179/.276/.286	.107	.293	9	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	.155/.261/.260	.105	.255	9	18	39%	9%	45	-1.1
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→29	39→45	46→40	35	.177/.223/.265	.088	.275	7	5	37%	5%	27	-3.3	.194/.242/.308	.114	.294	12	4	36%	6%	47	-1.9	.190/.238/.309	.119	.280	15	3	37%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	40→36	41→45	42→45	41	.194/.264/.293	.099	.285	9	6	33%	7%	53	-1.5	.196/.261/.298	.102	.295	10	5	34%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.262/.311	.111	.288	11	4	33%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Daniel Salters 2018 · AA	25	41	40	47→30	38	.202/.251/.290	.088	.286	8	3	31%	5%	46	-2.0	.210/.264/.310	.100	.296	10	4	31%	5%	57	-1.2	.218/.276/.313	.094	.311	11	2	32%	5%	61	-0.4
✕Mark Reed 2010 · AA	24	39	35→30	42→50	36	.188/.232/.249	.061	.288	3	6	34%	5%	27	-3.3	.212/.255/.288	.076	.309	5	7	31%	5%	46	-2.0	.230/.270/.307	.077	.318	7	8	28%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Cadyn Grenier 2022 · AAA	25	40→37	42→40	48→50	39	.191/.265/.291	.100	.313	9	10	39%	8%	54	-1.4	.196/.279/.296	.100	.292	8	13	33%	9%	61	-1.0	.175/.272/.270	.095	.250	7	16	30%	10%	50	-1.1
✕Galli Cribbs Jr. 2018 · AA	25	39	35→40	49→50	35	.179/.236/.238	.060	.309	2	10	40%	6%	27	-3.3	.176/.245/.256	.080	.314	4	8	42%	6%	36	-2.7	.155/.223/.233	.078	.286	4	7	44%	5%	17	-1.8
✕Brady Lindsly 2023 · AA	25	38	42→40	49→40	37	.189/.248/.288	.099	.300	11	5	39%	7%	45	-2.1	.195/.255/.290	.095	.302	10	6	36%	7%	49	-1.8	.189/.251/.272	.083	.287	9	5	35%	7%	40	-1.0
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	41→40	45	36	.193/.251/.293	.100	.287	9	5	35%	5%	48	-1.9	.216/.266/.305	.089	.313	7	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.221/.270/.295	.074	.319	5	8	31%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	40	35→30	46→45	36	.189/.234/.243	.054	.286	3	6	34%	5%	26	-3.4	.189/.242/.259	.070	.276	4	6	31%	6%	34	-2.8	.172/.230/.237	.065	.244	3	2	29%	6%	22	-0.8
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	37	38→45	45→40	43	.174/.261/.256	.082	.294	6	5	39%	9%	43	-2.2	.182/.265/.300	.118	.291	12	6	39%	9%	56	-1.3	.169/.256/.297	.129	.249	15	4	37%	10%	50	-0.8
✕Kevin Merrell 2021 · AA	25	42→37	36→40	52→55	36	.199/.235/.269	.070	.281	3	15	30%	4%	33	-2.9	.209/.262/.321	.112	.276	13	14	28%	6%	59	-1.1	.200/.256/.312	.113	.251	17	13	27%	6%	53	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)