Carter Young — OGILVIE

Carter YoungSS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 25 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†19

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .227 / .215

PA164

HR1

K%43

BB%7

BABIP278

ISO60

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-11M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	86	81	20	5	1	1	4	22	0	0	0	247	282	370	653	123	322	26	5	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	86	79	20	5	1	1	6	17	0	0	0	253	306	380	686	127	306	20	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	452	418	72	11	3	2	29	180	1	11	3	172	228	227	455	55	292	40	6	208	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	452	397	97	17	4	3	50	129	1	11	3	244	330	330	660	86	349	29	11	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	440	408	65	15	3	4	27	156	2	19	7	159	215	240	455	81	243	35	6	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	2 teams	—	440	398	85	19	4	6	37	115	2	19	7	214	284	327	610	113	282	26	8	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	291	267	42	5	0	1	16	119	4	2	1	157	216	187	403	30	275	41	5	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	3 teams	—	291	261	47	6	0	2	22	99	4	2	1	180	254	226	480	46	278	34	8	225	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	BAL	—	246	217	34	5	1	3	24	116	3	4	1	157	250	230	480	74	313	47	10	223	29	-20	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
YTD	25	AA	BAL	—	246	207	42	7	1	4	34	90	3	4	1	203	324	304	628	101	333	37	14	293	82	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
ROS	25	AA	BAL	2%	164	149	23	4	1	1	12	70	2	3	1	154	227	215	442	60	279	43	7	210	19	-15	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.9
ROS	25	MLB	BAL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						282	33	0	206	16	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	BAL	—	249	220	34	5	1	3	24	117	3	4	1	155	247	227	474	73	307	47	10	223	29	-20	+0	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
TOT	25	AA	BAL	—	410	366	57	9	2	4	36	186	5	7	2	156	241	224	465	68	298	45	9	218	25	-35	+1	+0	+4	+12	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	BAL	31%	344	312	52	9	1	5	26	140	3	5	2	167	238	250	488	83	282	41	8	226	31	-27	+0	+0	+4	+10	-1.3
2028	27	MLB	BAL	42%	371	336	57	10	1	5	29	147	3	6	2	170	242	250	492	80	283	40	8	234	37	-26	+0	+0	+4	+11	-1.2
2029	28	MLB	BAL	48%	387	349	61	11	1	6	31	150	4	6	2	175	250	264	514	89	283	39	8	237	40	-26	+0	-1	+4	+11	-1.2
2030	29	MLB	BAL	49%	388	351	62	11	1	6	31	150	3	5	2	177	249	265	514	88	283	39	8	238	40	-26	+0	-1	+4	+11	-1.2
2031	30	MLB	BAL	54%	389	352	61	11	1	6	31	151	3	5	1	173	246	261	507	88	281	39	8	235	38	-27	+1	-2	+4	+11	-1.4
2027	26	MLB	BAL	31%	107	97	16	3	0	1	8	44	1	2	0	165	236	227	463	62	286	41	7	223	29	-9	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	BAL	42%	156	142	24	4	1	2	12	62	1	2	1	169	239	254	492	85	287	40	8	230	35	-12	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
2029	28	MLB	BAL	48%	185	166	30	5	1	3	15	72	2	3	1	181	257	277	534	96	287	39	8	234	37	-13	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.6
2030	29	MLB	BAL	49%	192	173	32	6	1	3	15	74	2	3	1	185	258	283	541	98	287	39	8	235	38	-14	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.7
2031	30	MLB	BAL	54%	211	190	34	6	1	3	17	82	2	3	1	179	254	268	522	89	286	39	8	232	36	-15	+0	-1	+2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	854	771	136	24	4	12	67	335	8	13	4	176	249	265	514	88	289	39	8	232	35	-62	+1	-2	+9	+24	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	103	18	3	9	51	255	6	10	3	175	248	262	511	87	287	39	8	232	35	-47	+1	-2	+7	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	3312	3023	515	92	13	37	236	1285	25	62	21	170	236	246	482	76	278	39	7	222	28	-270	+4	-4	+35	+94	-14.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	101	18	3	7	46	252	5	12	4	170	236	246	482	76	278	39	7	222	28	-53	+1	-1	+7	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	71	65	16	5	1	1	5	13	0	0	0	246	300	400	700	154	288	18	7	306	93	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	15	14	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	286	333	286	619		400	27	7	288	78	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	64	58	17	4	1	0	5	25	0	4	1	293	349	397	746	103	500	39	8	330	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	388	339	80	13	3	3	45	104	1	7	2	236	327	319	646	83	328	27	12	297	85	-6	+1	—	—	+11	0.5
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	42	38	10	4	0	0	4	8	0	2	0	263	333	368	702	105	333	19	10	318	102	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	398	360	75	15	4	6	33	107	2	17	7	208	278	322	601	114	276	27	8	271	66	-15	+1	—	—	+11	-0.4
2025	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	23	21	7	2	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	333	391	429	820	95	412	17	9	369	141	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	24	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	232	209	34	4	0	2	16	81	3	1	0	163	232	211	443	48	250	35	7	207	17	-22	+0	—	—	+7	-1.5
2025	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	36	31	6	0	0	0	4	14	1	1	1	194	306	194	499		353	39	11	249	49	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	857	13	12	175	246	263	+9	+6	-2.8	-1.4
	/162	664	10	9	175	246	263	+7.1	+4.7	-2.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Young (OGILVIE)	25	20	25	45	30	156/241/224	68	298	4	7	45%	9%	25	-1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	40	43→50	37	182/237/266	85	290	8	8	38%	7%	34	-2.8	216/287/322	106	294	11	19	28%	8%	70	-0.3	228/308/337	109	285	13	25	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Garrison Schwartz 2021 · AA	25	40	38→40	44→45	38	188/250/263	75	302	6	7	38%	7%	40	-2.4	179/266/261	82	400	6	11	51%	9%	47	-1.9	44/182/74	30	163	3	14	65%	11%	-32	-1.4
✕Ryan Metzler 2018 · AA	25	37	36→40	50	33	172/230/239	67	312	4	12	43%	6%	24	-3.5	194/246/278	84	292	8	13	34%	6%	41	-2.3	179/231/253	74	263	8	15	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Tim Susnara 2021 · A	25	35	38→40	47→40	40	173/239/249	75	277	7	5	38%	8%	31	-3.0	198/264/303	105	342	10	6	42%	7%	56	-1.3	161/239/268	108	273	13	0	43%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Galli Cribbs Jr. 2018 · AA	25	38	34→40	49→50	34	173/231/230	57	310	2	10	42%	6%	22	-3.7	176/245/255	79	316	4	8	42%	6%	36	-2.7	155/223/229	74	287	4	7	44%	5%	17	-1.8
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	44→50	38	172/263/245	73	309	5	11	42%	8%	42	-2.3	183/278/292	109	301	9	15	39%	8%	61	-1.0	161/264/270	110	265	10	18	39%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Mark Reed 2011 · AA	25	42	36→30	46→50	35	200/242/263	63	302	3	7	34%	4%	35	-2.8	219/266/304	85	307	7	8	29%	6%	56	-1.3	249/293/346	97	314	9	8	23%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Cole Daily 2022 · AA	25	41	35→30	43→55	45	193/258/249	56	273	3	8	29%	8%	39	-2.5	201/272/270	69	315	4	16	34%	9%	50	-1.7	184/263/228	44	298	1	24	35%	9%	33	-1.4
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Kevin Merrell 2021 · AA	25	40→35	37→40	53→55	36	194/231/266	72	275	4	16	30%	4%	30	-3.1	213/266/333	120	277	14	13	28%	6%	65	-0.7	203/260/324	121	252	18	13	27%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Jordan Procyshen 2019 · AA	26	38	39→40	38→40	39	185/244/265	80	278	7	4	35%	6%	37	-2.6	199/254/337	138	254	16	5	28%	6%	61	-1.0	175/241/332	157	209	22	4	29%	6%	53	-0.4
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	35	172/214/248	76	253	6	4	34%	5%	20	-3.8	181/221/241	60	273	5	3	34%	4%	20	-3.8	164/200/203	38	252	3	0	35%	4%	-1	-1.7
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕A.J. Kennedy 2019 · AAA	25	27	38→30	42→40	28	148/186/222	73	247	7	4	42%	3%	1	-5.1	180/224/289	109	319	12	7	45%	5%	35	-2.8	95/130/205	109	164	16	0	54%	4%	-30	-1.2
✕Garrett Kennedy 2018 · AA	25	35	41→40	45→30	40	178/236/276	98	254	9	3	33%	6%	37	-2.7	195/260/292	97	285	9	5	32%	7%	52	-1.6	158/237/234	77	232	7	0	33%	8%	24	-1.0
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/238	61	263	4	7	33%	5%	20	-3.8	207/260/288	81	285	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	214/270/294	80	284	4	12	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7