Parker Morin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 25 | AAAKC | 263 | .184/.257/.239 | 1 | 0 | 18 | — | .171/.226/.221 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA/AA/ROK3 orgs | 164 | .190/.230/.281 | 2 | 0 | 5 | — | .149/.186/.226 |
| 2018 | 27 | AAAKC | 167 | .265/.323/.351 | 1 | 1 | 52 | — | .226/.268/.303 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 206 | 195 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 302 | 410 | 713 | 144 | 308 | 17 | 4 | 314 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 340 | 297 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 226 | 301 | 293 | 594 | 67 | 280 | 20 | 9 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 207 | 189 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 261 | 291 | 552 | 85 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 248 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 30 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 200 | 333 | 533 | 133 | 227 | 23 | 0 | 233 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 191 | 178 | 55 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 309 | 349 | 489 | 838 | 180 | 367 | 19 | 6 | 364 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 263 | 234 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 257 | 239 | 496 | 56 | 250 | 25 | 9 | 228 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 75 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 189 | 250 | 439 | 83 | 193 | 20 | 1 | 195 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 63 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 246 | 196 | 442 | 18 | 263 | 32 | 5 | 206 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 26 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 308 | 560 | 868 | 280 | 273 | 8 | 4 | 372 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 167 | 151 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 323 | 351 | 674 | 86 | 333 | 20 | 7 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 206 | 198 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 224 | 298 | 522 | 101 | 247 | 25 | 2 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 340 | 308 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 198 | 249 | 247 | 496 | 49 | 260 | 28 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 207 | 193 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 73 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 227 | 249 | 475 | 62 | 281 | 35 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 30 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 167 | 300 | 467 | 133 | 173 | 33 | 0 | 147 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 191 | 182 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 291 | 418 | 709 | 154 | 325 | 23 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 263 | 240 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 226 | 221 | 447 | 50 | 240 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 75 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 162 | 208 | 370 | 69 | 169 | 24 | 1 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 63 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 197 | 158 | 355 | 18 | 224 | 40 | 3 | 165 | -2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 26 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 231 | 440 | 671 | 240 | 195 | 12 | 4 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 167 | 155 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 268 | 303 | 572 | 77 | 294 | 26 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 206 | 198 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 224 | 298 | 522 | 101 | 250 | 25 | 2 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 206 | 195 | 52 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 302 | 410 | 713 | 144 | 308 | 17 | 4 | 314 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 340 | 308 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 198 | 249 | 247 | 496 | 49 | 273 | 28 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ RAW | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 340 | 297 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 226 | 301 | 293 | 594 | 67 | 280 | 20 | 9 | 266 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 223 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 184 | 219 | 256 | 474 | 72 | 277 | 35 | 3 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 237 | 219 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 66 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 253 | 297 | 550 | 91 | 275 | 28 | 5 | 246 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 191 | 182 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 291 | 418 | 709 | 154 | 324 | 23 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 191 | 178 | 55 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 309 | 349 | 489 | 838 | 180 | 367 | 19 | 6 | 364 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 263 | 240 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 226 | 221 | 447 | 50 | 253 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 263 | 234 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 257 | 239 | 496 | 56 | 250 | 25 | 9 | 228 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 164 | 155 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 186 | 232 | 419 | 77 | 200 | 28 | 2 | 176 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 164 | 153 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 230 | 281 | 511 | 92 | 231 | 23 | 3 | 227 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 167 | 155 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 226 | 268 | 303 | 572 | 77 | 306 | 26 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 167 | 151 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 323 | 351 | 674 | 86 | 333 | 20 | 7 | 301 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 206 | 197 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 224 | 299 | 524 | 102 | 247 | 25 | 2 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 340 | 316 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 95 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 193 | 249 | 241 | 490 | 47 | 260 | 28 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 237 | 225 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 182 | 219 | 253 | 472 | 71 | 267 | 35 | 3 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 191 | 182 | 48 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 291 | 418 | 709 | 154 | 325 | 23 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 263 | 244 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 226 | 217 | 443 | 49 | 240 | 32 | 6 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 164 | 157 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 186 | 229 | 416 | 76 | 194 | 28 | 2 | 176 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 167 | 156 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 268 | 301 | 570 | 77 | 294 | 26 | 4 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1568 | 1461 | 289 | 52 | 9 | 15 | 65 | 446 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 198 | 238 | 277 | 514 | 79 | 270 | 28 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -118 | -1 | +0 | +28 | +34 | -5.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 120 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 185 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 198 | 239 | 277 | 516 | 79 | 270 | 28 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -49 | -0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 167 PAwOBA .293 → .245 (−47)K% 20.4% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.36% | ÷1.007 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.99% | ÷1.018 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 4.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.020 | ×0.900 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.936 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 7.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.005 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.101 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 102, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .293 → .245; ISO .086 → .070; BABIP .333 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 75 PAwOBA .192 → .160 (−31)K% 20.0% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.054 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.33% | ÷1.076 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 0.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.04% | ÷1.024 | ×0.900 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 12.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.956 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 111, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .192 → .160; ISO .083 → .067; BABIP .193 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 63 PAwOBA .208 → .165 (−43)K% 31.7% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.75% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 3.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.17% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.091 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 2.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .208 → .165; ISO .018 → .013; BABIP .263 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Royals · 26 PAwOBA .361 → .251 (−110)K% 7.7% → 11.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 2.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 10.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .361 → .251; ISO .280 → .192; BABIP .273 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 263 PAwOBA .224 → .195 (−29)K% 25.5% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.48% | ÷1.040 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.75% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 6.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.76% | ÷0.968 | ×0.900 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 19.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 4.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×1.033 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.054 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.46% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 94, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .224 → .195; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .250 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 191 PAwOBA .354 → .305 (−49)K% 18.8% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.85% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.24% | ÷1.072 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.35% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 22.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.024 | ×0.840 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.52% | ÷1.052 | ×0.940 | ×0.994 | ×1.012 | 3.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 110, K 105, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .354 → .305; ISO .180 → .158; BABIP .367 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 207 PAwOBA .241 → .210 (−32)K% 28.5% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.50% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.31% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.38% | ÷0.969 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.127 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.31% | ÷1.199 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 125, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .241 → .210; ISO .085 → .064; BABIP .283 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 30 PAwOBA .226 → .147 (−78)K% 23.3% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 13.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .226 → .147; ISO .133 → .083; BABIP .227 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).