Casey Opitz — OGILVIE

Casey OpitzC Iowa Cubs

Age 28 S/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%36

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO95

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	49	12	1	0	0	10	11	0	0	0	245	373	265	638	20	316	18	17	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	138	114	23	6	0	3	22	42	0	0	0	202	331	333	664	132	286	30	16	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	110	91	19	1	0	4	17	41	1	2	0	209	339	352	691	143	319	37	15	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	162	139	29	6	1	2	18	46	3	2	1	209	312	309	622	101	290	28	11	286	80	-4	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	155	131	23	4	2	2	23	41	1	3	0	176	303	282	586	107	239	26	15	277	73	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	26	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	120	109	21	3	1	5	10	41	1	1	0	193	267	376	643	183	254	34	8	287	80	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	27	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	183	37	5	0	4	23	63	3	2	0	202	301	295	597	93	277	30	11	274	71	-7	+0	—	—	+5	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	52	11	1	0	0	7	16	0	0	0	212	305	231	536	19	289	27	12	246	53	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	138	120	17	4	0	2	16	57	0	0	0	142	243	225	468	83	241	41	12	226	39	-10	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2023	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	110	97	17	1	0	3	11	50	1	2	0	175	266	278	544	103	294	45	10	241	49	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	162	145	22	4	1	1	12	64	3	2	1	152	231	214	445	62	243	40	7	202	23	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2024	26	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	155	137	20	3	2	2	17	51	1	3	0	146	245	241	486	95	211	33	11	217	33	-12	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2024	26	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	120	112	16	2	1	4	7	55	1	1	0	143	200	286	486	143	211	46	6	201	22	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	190	32	4	0	3	16	77	3	2	0	168	244	237	481	68	250	36	8	224	38	-16	+0	—	—	+5	-1.1
2021	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	52	11	1	0	0	7	16	0	0	0	212	305	231	536	19	306	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	49	12	1	0	0	10	11	0	0	0	245	373	265	638	20	316	18	17	304	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	138	120	17	4	0	2	16	57	0	0	0	142	243	225	468	83	242	41	12	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	138	114	23	6	0	3	22	42	0	0	0	202	331	333	664	132	286	30	16	304	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	242	39	5	1	4	23	114	4	4	1	161	245	240	485	79	276	42	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	272	230	48	7	1	6	35	87	4	4	1	209	323	326	650	117	300	32	13	299	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	249	35	5	2	6	24	106	2	4	0	141	222	249	471	108	212	39	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	275	240	44	7	3	7	33	82	2	4	0	183	287	325	612	142	245	30	12	281	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	190	32	4	0	3	16	77	3	2	0	168	244	237	481	68	257	36	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	183	37	5	0	4	23	63	3	2	0	202	301	295	597	93	277	30	11	274	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	53	11	1	0	0	7	16	0	0	0	208	305	226	531	19	289	27	12	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	138	121	17	4	0	2	16	57	0	0	0	140	243	223	466	83	241	41	12	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	243	39	5	1	4	23	114	4	4	1	160	245	239	484	78	264	42	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	247	35	5	2	6	24	106	2	4	0	142	222	251	473	109	211	39	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	192	32	4	0	3	16	77	3	2	0	167	244	234	478	68	250	36	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	272	243	39	5	1	4	23	114	4	4	1	160	245	239	484	78	264	42	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	275	247	35	5	2	6	24	106	2	4	0	142	222	251	473	109	211	39	9	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	192	32	4	0	3	16	77	3	2	0	167	244	234	478	68	250	36	8	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	CHC	—	47	45	8	0	0	1	1	19	0	0	0	178	196	244	440	67	280	40	2	180	8	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA RAW	CHC	—	47	44	9	0	0	1	2	16	0	0	0	205	239	273	512	68	296	34	4	228	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AAA MLE	CHC	10%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		264	36	9	236	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	28	MLB CTX	CHC	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						266	0	0	230	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	CHC	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	230	15	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AAA MLE	CHC	—	58	55	9	0	0	1	2	23	0	0	0	164	193	218	411	55	258	40	3	191	15	-6	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	264	240	44	7	1	5	20	91	2	3	0	183	252	283	535	100	268	34	8	243	51	-15	+1	-1	+5	+6	-0.6
2027	29	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	72	65	12	2	0	1	6	25	1	1	0	185	264	262	525	77	270	35	8	237	51	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	73	66	12	2	0	1	6	25	1	1	0	182	260	258	518	76	275	34	8	237	38	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	107	18	0	9	53	223	9	9	0	182	260	259	519	77	275	34	8	237	38	-38	+2	-3	+12	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1233	1103	179	26	4	20	107	465	11	13	1	162	243	248	491	85	254	38	9	225	38	-16	+1	-1	+5	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	95	14	2	11	56	245	6	7	1	164	244	251	495	88	255	38	9	225	38	-38	+1	-3	+12	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Opitz (OGILVIE)	28	30	35	45	50	176/244/267	91	264	4	2	36%	7%	46	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	193/264/277	83	278	6	8	31%	8%	55	-2.0	214/270/320	106	290	9	8	28%	7%	66	-1.1	200/250/316	115	268	9	0	28%	6%	58	-0.3
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	47→45	44	181/260/291	111	272	12	9	36%	9%	57	-1.8	177/263/303	126	271	15	6	38%	10%	61	-1.5	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Jack Murphy 2016 · AAA	28	40	40→45	43→40	46	197/255/287	90	248	7	3	23%	7%	53	-2.1	192/258/265	73	267	6	4	28%	8%	50	-2.3	167/240/214	47	241	3	0	30%	9%	30	-1.4
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	40	41→40	49→55	44	196/256/294	98	264	8	14	28%	7%	55	-1.9	194/262/280	86	289	7	11	33%	7%	55	-2.0	164/237/224	60	253	5	8	35%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→38	40	42→50	41	200/256/286	87	277	9	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	188/252/288	100	262	11	11	31%	7%	53	-2.1	153/225/238	85	211	12	11	32%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Taylor Gushue 2022 · AAA	28	41	45	46→30	38	207/255/330	123	292	13	4	33%	6%	63	-1.3	207/282/340	133	293	15	6	32%	9%	76	-0.4	179/275/308	130	245	16	0	32%	11%	65	-0.6
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	46→45	43→40	42	181/255/303	122	248	15	5	33%	8%	59	-1.7	209/279/324	115	282	12	7	29%	8%	72	-0.7	201/279/293	92	266	9	0	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	40	42→45	44→45	39	197/254/295	99	296	10	6	35%	7%	55	-1.9	198/255/294	96	327	9	8	39%	7%	55	-1.9	157/217/238	81	251	10	4	40%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Joe Hudson 2019 · AAA	28	41	40→45	47→40	44	201/259/295	94	267	7	3	27%	7%	57	-1.8	196/251/311	115	284	13	4	34%	7%	57	-1.8	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	43	40→30	48→45	39	209/261/299	90	290	7	9	30%	5%	58	-1.7	221/293/296	75	282	5	8	22%	7%	70	-0.8	211/292/243	32	271	0	2	20%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Pat Cantwell 2018 · AAA	28	41	37→30	45→40	38	199/254/266	67	281	5	9	30%	5%	49	-2.4	227/300/335	108	316	10	10	29%	7%	82	-0.0	253/339/383	130	321	13	6	24%	8%	105	+0.4
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	37→47	43→40	43→40	45	187/271/294	107	269	11	6	33%	9%	63	-1.4	204/284/311	107	330	10	6	37%	9%	71	-0.8	192/281/285	93	328	7	0	39%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	40	42→40	42→30	39	198/248/296	97	283	10	3	33%	6%	53	-2.1	195/261/286	91	278	9	6	31%	7%	56	-1.9	153/232/207	54	216	5	0	29%	8%	26	-1.8
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Jerome Pena 2016 · A	27	43→34	40	46→45	37	200/255/293	93	320	7	7	38%	6%	55	-2.0	206/275/333	127	336	13	10	39%	9%	72	-0.7	170/253/315	145	270	16	10	41%	10%	57	-0.4
✕Kevin Cash 2007 · MLB	29	38	43→40	42→30	39	194/254/304	109	271	11	4	32%	6%	57	-1.8	194/265/301	107	276	11	4	32%	8%	61	-1.5	194/266/271	78	265	9	0	29%	9%	52	-0.5