Casey Opitz — OGILVIE

Casey OpitzC Iowa Cubs

Age 28 S/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .256 / .293

PA182

HR4

K%37

BB%8

BABIP280

ISO110

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	52	11	1	0	0	7	16	0	0	0	212	305	231	536	19	306	27	12	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	49	12	1	0	0	10	11	0	0	0	245	373	265	638	20	316	18	17	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	138	120	18	4	0	3	16	56	0	0	0	150	250	258	508	108	242	41	12	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	138	114	23	6	0	3	22	42	0	0	0	202	331	333	664	132	286	30	16	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	272	243	38	4	1	4	22	119	4	4	1	156	238	230	468	74	276	44	8	211	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	A+	2 teams	—	272	230	48	7	1	6	35	87	4	4	1	209	323	326	650	117	300	32	13	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	275	249	35	5	2	7	24	110	2	4	0	141	222	261	483	120	212	40	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	2 teams	—	275	240	44	7	3	7	33	82	2	4	0	183	287	325	612	142	245	30	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	190	33	5	0	4	16	82	3	2	0	174	249	263	512	89	271	38	8	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	183	37	5	0	4	23	63	3	2	0	202	301	295	597	93	277	30	11	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	CHC	—	42	40	8	0	0	1	1	18	0	0	0	200	220	275	495	75	333	43	2	194	7	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	28	AAA	CHC	—	42	40	9	0	0	1	1	15	0	0	0	225	244	300	544	75	333	36	2	239	41	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	28	AAA	CHC	10%	182	164	30	4	1	4	14	68	2	2	0	183	256	293	548	110	270	37	8	241	42	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
ROS	28	MLB	CHC	10%	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	118	167	118	284		271	39	6	235	38	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	CHC	—	60	57	10	0	0	1	2	25	0	0	0	175	203	228	431	53	290	42	3	206	16	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
TOT	28	AAA	CHC	—	224	204	38	4	1	5	15	86	2	2	0	186	249	289	538	103	289	38	7	232	36	-16	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CHC	27%	264	240	44	7	1	5	20	95	2	3	0	183	252	283	535	100	272	36	8	246	47	-16	+1	-1	+5	+7	-0.5
2027	29	MLB	CHC	27%	72	65	12	2	0	2	6	26	1	1	0	185	264	308	572	123	273	36	8	241	43	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	90	82	14	2	0	2	7	33	1	1	0	171	244	268	513	98	255	37	8	240	42	-6	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	100	14	0	14	51	238	7	7	0	169	243	264	507	95	253	37	8	240	42	-43	+1	-3	+12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	1404	1258	209	30	5	27	119	546	13	15	1	166	245	262	508	96	262	39	8	228	33	-107	+3	-1	+25	+40	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	96	14	2	12	55	253	6	7	0	165	244	258	502	93	262	39	8	228	33	-49	+1	-1	+12	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	60	49	12	1	0	0	10	11	0	0	0	245	373	265	638	20	316	18	17	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2022	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	138	114	23	6	0	3	22	42	0	0	0	202	331	333	664	132	286	30	16	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2023	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	110	91	19	1	0	4	17	41	1	2	0	209	339	352	691	143	319	37	15	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	162	139	29	6	1	2	18	46	3	2	1	209	312	309	622	101	290	28	11	286	77	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2024	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	155	131	23	4	2	2	23	41	1	3	0	176	303	282	586	107	239	26	15	277	70	-5	+1	—	—	+4	-0.0
2024	26	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	120	109	21	3	1	5	10	41	1	1	0	193	267	376	643	183	254	34	8	287	78	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	27	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	213	183	37	5	0	4	23	63	3	2	0	202	301	295	597	93	277	30	11	274	68	-8	+0	—	—	+6	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Casey Opitz (OGILVIE)	28	30	35	45	50	186/249/289	103	289	5	2	38%	7%	36	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	44→45	47→30	43	185/254/299	114	263	11	5	33%	8%	51	-1.7	195/267/300	105	315	10	6	38%	9%	56	-1.3	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	40	39→30	47→45	44	194/263/277	83	281	6	8	31%	8%	49	-1.8	214/268/321	107	292	9	8	28%	7%	62	-0.9	198/244/319	121	263	11	0	28%	6%	50	-0.3
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	37	45	47→40	39	194/245/315	121	274	14	4	34%	6%	51	-1.7	195/251/321	126	280	15	5	34%	7%	55	-1.4	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Jack Murphy 2016 · AAA	28	39	40→45	43→40	45	193/250/283	90	249	8	3	25%	7%	44	-2.1	189/254/263	74	266	6	4	29%	8%	41	-2.3	165/235/212	48	239	4	0	30%	8%	18	-1.4
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	49→55	43	192/252/288	96	264	8	14	30%	7%	46	-2.0	189/256/275	86	286	8	11	34%	7%	45	-2.1	154/227/217	62	241	6	8	36%	7%	15	-1.2
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	36→46	44→45	43→40	45	184/268/299	115	267	12	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	201/279/314	113	329	11	6	39%	9%	66	-0.6	187/275/287	100	323	9	0	41%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Logan Moore 2018 · AAA	27	39	43→40	42→30	38	196/243/300	104	281	11	3	34%	6%	46	-2.0	193/259/289	96	278	10	6	32%	7%	50	-1.7	153/236/213	60	218	6	0	30%	8%	20	-1.7
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Matt Whatley 2023 · AAA	27	40→36	41→40	42→50	40	201/255/292	91	279	10	9	31%	6%	49	-1.8	189/252/290	101	263	12	11	31%	6%	47	-1.9	154/225/240	86	212	12	11	33%	7%	22	-1.3
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	47→45	43→40	42	182/256/313	130	250	17	5	33%	8%	56	-1.3	211/279/332	121	284	13	7	29%	8%	70	-0.3	205/282/307	102	267	11	0	26%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	45→40	47→30	40	194/250/312	118	257	13	5	29%	6%	53	-1.5	231/295/334	103	322	9	8	29%	8%	76	+0.1	254/328/320	66	364	4	0	28%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Hamlet Marte 2021 · AA	27	39	42→45	44→45	38	192/249/290	98	298	10	6	38%	7%	46	-2.0	199/256/301	102	333	10	8	40%	7%	52	-1.6	160/221/250	90	259	11	4	40%	6%	21	-0.8
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2022 · AA	28	42	40→30	48→45	38	203/255/293	90	292	7	9	32%	5%	49	-1.8	218/289/294	76	280	5	8	22%	7%	64	-0.8	205/285/239	34	267	0	2	21%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Jason Martinson 2017 · AAA	28	36→39	44→45	52→50	33	180/234/290	111	293	11	12	41%	5%	40	-2.4	187/243/302	115	314	13	8	42%	6%	46	-2.0	144/202/234	90	248	12	0	45%	6%	8	-1.6
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	196/259/308	112	257	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	213/261/333	120	273	13	5	26%	6%	62	-0.9	210/254/324	114	266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Chandler Seagle 2023 · AA	27	41	40	44→45	37	199/255/289	91	295	8	5	34%	6%	49	-1.8	179/226/256	77	302	6	7	41%	5%	27	-3.3	143/184/197	54	257	3	4	44%	3%	-9	-1.7
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6